Warner Bros Discovery Inc
NASDAQ:WBD
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one WBD stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.22 USD. Compared to the current market price of 10.11 USD, Warner Bros Discovery Inc is Undervalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Warner Bros Discovery Inc. is a global leader in media and entertainment, born from the merger of two iconic companies: WarnerMedia and Discovery, Inc. This union has created a powerhouse that offers an extensive portfolio of beloved brands, including HBO, Warner Bros. films, CNN, Discovery Channel, and many others. By harnessing the strengths of both organizations, the company aims to capture diverse audiences across various platforms, from traditional cable television to innovative streaming services. With a strong commitment to storytelling and high-quality content, Warner Bros Discovery is well-positioned to thrive in an ever-evolving media landscape, where competition is fierce and cons...
Warner Bros Discovery Inc. is a global leader in media and entertainment, born from the merger of two iconic companies: WarnerMedia and Discovery, Inc. This union has created a powerhouse that offers an extensive portfolio of beloved brands, including HBO, Warner Bros. films, CNN, Discovery Channel, and many others. By harnessing the strengths of both organizations, the company aims to capture diverse audiences across various platforms, from traditional cable television to innovative streaming services. With a strong commitment to storytelling and high-quality content, Warner Bros Discovery is well-positioned to thrive in an ever-evolving media landscape, where competition is fierce and consumer preferences are shifting rapidly towards on-demand viewing.
For investors, Warner Bros Discovery Inc. presents a unique opportunity to be part of a transformative journey in the entertainment sector. The company is actively focusing on expanding its streaming offerings, exemplified by its flagship service, Max, which combines premium and popular content under one roof. In addition to its robust direct-to-consumer strategy, Warner Bros Discovery benefits from a diverse revenue stream, including advertising, licensing, and merchandise sales. With a dedicated management team steering the ship through industry challenges, including changing consumer habits and technological advancements, investors can find confidence in the company's ability to adapt and grow. By leveraging its rich content library and global appeal, Warner Bros Discovery is not just a media company; it's a key player shaping the future of entertainment.
Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. operates through several core business segments, reflecting its diverse portfolio in media and entertainment. As of my last knowledge update, the primary segments include:
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Warner Bros. Film and Television Studios: This segment includes film production, television production, and development across various genres and formats. It encompasses Warner Bros. Pictures and television networks such as HBO, which produce feature films, television series, and documentaries. The focus here is on both theatrical releases and streaming content.
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HBO and HBO Max: This segment is crucial for the company's overall strategy, focusing on subscription-based services offering premium content. HBO Max combines the vast library of HBO's original programming with content from Warner Bros., DC, and more, creating a significant streaming platform that competes with other major services.
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Television Networks: This segment includes traditional broadcast and cable networks such as TNT, TBS, CNN, and Cartoon Network. These networks provide a suite of entertainment options, sports programming, news, and children's programming. This segment also explores opportunities in regional and international markets.
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Warner Bros. Games: This includes video game development and publishing, leveraging iconic franchises from the Warner Bros. portfolio such as Harry Potter, Batman, and more. The gaming segment has been increasingly important for the company, offering digital content and interactive entertainment.
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Discovery Networks: With a rich offering of non-fiction content, this includes the various channels and networks under the Discovery brand, such as Discovery Channel, HGTV, Food Network, and others. This segment focuses on lifestyle, nature, and reality-based programming that appeals to diverse audiences.
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International Operations: Warner Bros. Discovery also emphasizes its international footprint, with operations extending to various global markets. This segment includes the distribution of content across different channels and platforms tailored to regional audiences.
These segments allow Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. to leverage its extensive content library, expand its market presence, and engage with a variety of consumer preferences across multiple platforms. As the media landscape continues to evolve, adaptations in strategy across these segments will likely be necessary to remain competitive.
Warner Bros Discovery Inc holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the media and entertainment industry. Here are some of the most notable ones:
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Rich Content Library: Warner Bros Discovery has an extensive portfolio of intellectual property, including iconic franchises and series from Warner Bros, HBO, DC Comics, and Discovery. This vast library allows for diverse offerings across genres, catering to various audience segments.
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Strong Brand Recognition: Established brands like HBO, Warner Bros, and Discovery have significant recognition and loyalty among consumers. This brand equity can help draw subscribers and viewers more effectively than lesser-known competitors.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: The company benefits from multiple revenue streams, including traditional cable, streaming services (such as HBO Max), film production, merchandising, and international licensing. This diversification can provide resilience against market fluctuations.
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Global Reach: Warner Bros Discovery has a well-established international presence, enabling it to tap into global markets. This global footprint allows for content to be produced and tailored for different regions, maximizing audience engagement.
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Content Creation and Distribution Synergies: The merger of Warner Bros and Discovery allows for synergies in content creation and distribution. By pooling resources, the company is better positioned to create high-quality content that can be efficiently marketed and distributed both in theaters and streaming platforms.
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Focus on Original Content: With significant investments in original content through its streaming platform and traditional channels, Warner Bros Discovery can attract audiences who seek unique, high-quality programming. Successful series like "Game of Thrones" and "Succession" highlight their capacity to produce compelling content.
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Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: Warner Bros Discovery has the potential for strategic partnerships with other content creators and distributors, enhancing its content library and expanding its audience reach.
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Event Programming and Exclusive Content: The company has the ability to leverage exclusive broadcasting rights for valuable sports events and award shows, drawing in viewers who might not subscribe for regular programming alone.
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Strong Talent Relationships: Established relationships with writers, directors, and actors can facilitate the creation of content that resonates with audiences, contributing to the overall content quality and viewer retention.
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Technology and Data Insights: Utilizing advanced data analytics, Warner Bros Discovery can better understand viewer preferences and habits, allowing for more personalized marketing and content offerings.
Together, these competitive advantages position Warner Bros Discovery to effectively compete in a rapidly evolving media landscape. While challenges from direct competitors such as Netflix, Disney+, and Amazon Prime continue to grow, the company's unique assets and strategies provide a strong foundation for ongoing success.
Warner Bros Discovery Inc faces several risks and challenges in the near future, particularly in a rapidly changing media landscape. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Intense Competition: The streaming market is highly competitive, with established players like Netflix, Disney+, and Amazon Prime Video, as well as emerging platforms. This competition can lead to subscriber churn and necessitates continual investment in high-quality content.
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Content Costs: The cost of producing and acquiring content is rising. Warner Bros Discovery must carefully manage its budget to avoid overspending, while still appealing to diverse audiences with compelling programming.
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Economic Factors: Fluctuations in the economy can impact consumer spending. In a recession, consumers may cut back on subscriptions, affecting revenue.
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Regulatory Scrutiny: Increased scrutiny from regulators regarding concentration in media and potential antitrust issues can pose challenges, particularly after the merger of WarnerMedia and Discovery. Compliance and potential legal disputes can be costly.
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Technological Changes: The need to adapt to new technologies (like AI in content creation and distribution) is critical. Failing to keep pace with technological advancements can hinder growth and competitiveness.
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Global Market Variability: Expanding into international markets comes with risks related to cultural differences, local regulations, and varying consumer preferences. These factors can complicate global content strategies and market entries.
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Subscriber Retention: Maintaining and growing a subscriber base for its streaming services is essential. High attrition rates can severely impact revenue, especially if new content fails to attract viewers.
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Brand Reputation: The company's reputation can be affected by controversies surrounding its content, business practices, or other operational issues. Managing public perception and brand loyalty is critical in retaining audience engagement.
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Debt Management: Following the merger, managing debt levels and ensuring sufficient cash flow to meet obligations while investing in growth is crucial to financial health.
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Ad Revenue Fluctuations: For its television networks and streaming services, volatility in advertising revenue, especially during economic downturns, can impact financial performance.
Navigating these challenges will require strategic planning, innovation, and agile responses to changing market dynamics.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
Current Assets | 12.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.3B |
Receivables | 5.5B |
Other Current Assets | 3.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 93.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 817m |
PP&E | 6.2B |
Intangibles | 79.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 7.2B |
Current Liabilities | 15.7B |
Accounts Payable | 1.1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 10B |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 55.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 37.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 18.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
Revenue
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39.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-23B
USD
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Gross Profit
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16.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-17B
USD
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Operating Income
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-378m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-10.8B
USD
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Net Income
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-11.2B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Warner Bros. Discovery reported significant progress in Q3, adding 7 million subscribers to its Max platform, driving a 9% revenue increase to $2.6 billion. EBITDA soared over 175% to $290 million. The company anticipates maintaining similar subscriber growth and revenue growth in Q4. Despite challenges in linear TV, their strategic focus on reducing expenses led to over $16 billion in debt repayment. Looking ahead, their goal for direct-to-consumer EBITDA is now above $1 billion by 2025. Overall, the positive content cadence and international expansion are expected to bolster continued growth.
What is Earnings Call?
WBD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Warner Bros Discovery Inc's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Warner Bros Discovery Inc's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
WBD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Warner Bros Discovery Inc's solvency score is 23/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Warner Bros Discovery Inc's solvency score is 23/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
WBD Price Targets Summary
Warner Bros Discovery Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WBD is 11.52 USD with a low forecast of 8.08 USD and a high forecast of 23.1 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for WBD is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
WBD Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Warner Bros.Discovery, Inc. operates as a media and entertainment company. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 37,500 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-07-06. Discovery, Inc. is a global media and entertainment company. The firm operates through three segments: Studios, Networks, and DTC. The Studios segment consists of the production and release of feature films for initial exhibition in theaters, production, and initial licensing of television programs to third parties. The company also includes networks/DTC services, distribution of its films and television programs to various third party and internal television and streaming services, distribution through the home entertainment market (physical and digital), related consumer products and themed experience licensing, and interactive gaming. The Networks segment primarily consists of its domestic and international television networks. The DTC segment primarily consists of its premium pay-TV and streaming services. The firm's brands and franchises include Warner Bros. Pictures Group, Warner Bros. Television Group, DC, HBO, HBO Max, Discovery Channel, discovery+, and CNN.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one WBD stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.22 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.11 USD, Warner Bros Discovery Inc is Undervalued by 52%.