Texas Instruments Inc
NASDAQ:TXN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TXN stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.88 USD. Compared to the current market price of 201.12 USD, Texas Instruments Inc is Overvalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Texas Instruments Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Texas Instruments Inc. (TI) has long been a cornerstone in the semiconductor industry, renowned for its pioneering innovations in analog and embedded processing technologies. Founded in 1930, the company has evolved significantly over the decades, transitioning from a humble oil exploration company to a leader in global electronics. TI's diverse product portfolio serves a broad array of sectors, from consumer electronics to automotive and industrial applications. With a strong focus on research and development, the company has established a robust intellectual property base, allowing it to offer solutions that enhance efficiency and performance across myriad devices. As a result, TI enjoys a...
Texas Instruments Inc. (TI) has long been a cornerstone in the semiconductor industry, renowned for its pioneering innovations in analog and embedded processing technologies. Founded in 1930, the company has evolved significantly over the decades, transitioning from a humble oil exploration company to a leader in global electronics. TI's diverse product portfolio serves a broad array of sectors, from consumer electronics to automotive and industrial applications. With a strong focus on research and development, the company has established a robust intellectual property base, allowing it to offer solutions that enhance efficiency and performance across myriad devices. As a result, TI enjoys a reputation for reliability and quality, positioning it as a preferred partner among manufacturers and engineers globally.
From an investment perspective, Texas Instruments stands out due to its strong commitment to shareholder value, demonstrated through consistent dividend payments and strategic share buybacks. The company's healthy balance sheet reflects its robust cash flow generation capabilities and disciplined capital allocation strategies, which are crucial in an industry often characterized by rapid technological change. TI's strategic focus on high-margin, high-growth markets—such as automotive and industrial automation—positions it well for sustained growth. With a solid track record of navigating economic cycles and a thoughtful approach to innovation, Texas Instruments continues to be a compelling opportunity for investors looking for stability and growth in the technology sector.
Texas Instruments Inc. (TI) is a global leader in the semiconductor industry, and its core business segments primarily focus on the design and manufacturing of analog and embedded processing chips. Here are the primary business segments of Texas Instruments:
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Analog:
- This segment is one of the largest revenue generators for TI, contributing significantly to its overall sales. Analog chips are used to process real-world signals such as sound, light, temperature, and pressure. Applications include industrial automation, automotive systems, communications equipment, and consumer electronics. The analog segment includes products like operational amplifiers, voltage regulators, and data converters.
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Embedded Processing:
- This segment focuses on microcontrollers and digital signal processors (DSPs) that are used in various applications. These products serve diverse markets, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. Embedded processing solutions are essential for applications requiring processing of data and control tasks, such as automotive safety systems, robotics, and consumer appliances.
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Other Semiconductor Products:
- This catch-all category can include products that might not fall strictly into the analog or embedded processing categories. It includes certain technologies and products like application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) and other custom chips used for niche applications.
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Education Technology:
- Although smaller in terms of revenue compared to the other segments, this area focuses on calculators and educational software. TI has a long history of providing products for educational institutions and students, including graphing calculators and support for STEM education through various digital platforms.
Each of these segments plays a critical role in TI’s overall strategy, focusing on high-performance and high-efficiency solutions tailored to meet the needs of a wide array of industries, thereby driving innovation and growth in the semiconductor space.
Texas Instruments (TI) has several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain its position in the semiconductor industry. Here are some of the key factors:
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Strong Product Diversification: TI has a broad product portfolio that includes analog, embedded processing, and digital signal processing. This diversification allows the company to serve various end markets, including automotive, industrial, personal electronics, and communications, reducing dependency on any single segment.
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Leadership in Analog Semiconductors: Texas Instruments is a leader in the analog semiconductor space, which is crucial for converting real-world signals into digital data. This expertise is essential in a wide variety of applications, giving TI a strong foothold in a segment that has consistently high demand.
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Robust R&D and Innovation: TI invests heavily in research and development, focusing on innovation and improving manufacturing processes. Their ability to innovate helps them stay ahead of technology trends and create high-performance products that meet evolving customer needs.
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Cost Efficiency and Manufacturing Expertise: TI has developed a highly efficient manufacturing process and has implemented innovative production techniques. Their experience in managing manufacturing cost structures effectively allows them to maintain healthy margins while offering competitive pricing.
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Strong Customer Relationships: TI has established long-term partnerships with major OEMs and has built a reputation for reliability and quality. Strong relationships with customers foster loyalty, helping the company navigate cyclical downturns better than competitors.
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Focus on Embedded Systems: TI's strong position in embedded processing solutions enables it to cater to the growing demand for smart and connected devices, particularly in automotive and industrial applications. This focus aligns with market trends towards IoT and automation.
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End-to-End Solutions: TI provides holistic solutions, not just components. This includes software and development tools that make it easier for customers to integrate TI products into their systems, enhancing customer satisfaction and retention.
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Economies of Scale: With significant manufacturing capabilities and a global supply chain, TI can leverage economies of scale that reduce costs and improve competitiveness.
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Strong Financial Position: Texas Instruments has a solid balance sheet, providing them with flexibility to invest in growth areas, navigate market fluctuations, and return capital to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks.
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Commitment to Sustainability: TI’s focus on sustainable practices and reducing environmental impact resonates with modern consumers and businesses looking to partner with socially responsible companies.
These competitive advantages help Texas Instruments differentiate itself in a highly competitive market, sustain its profitability, and position itself for long-term growth.
Texas Instruments Inc. (TI) is a major player in the semiconductor industry, and like all companies in this sector, it faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its performance. Here are some of the key concerns TI may encounter in the near future:
1. Supply Chain Disruptions
- Global Supply Chain Issues: Ongoing disruptions due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or global pandemics can affect material availability.
- Component Shortages: A lack of essential components and raw materials can hinder production capacity and delay product launches.
2. Market Competition
- Intense Competition: TI faces competition from other semiconductor companies like Intel, Analog Devices, and NXP Semiconductors, which can affect pricing power and market share.
- Rapid Technological Change: The semiconductor industry evolves quickly; TI must continuously innovate to keep ahead of competitors.
3. Economic Conditions
- Global Economic Slowdown: Economic downturns can impact the demand for consumer electronics and, consequently, semiconductor sales.
- Inflation Pressures: Rising operational costs (materials, labor, etc.) can affect margins if not managed effectively.
4. Technological Risks
- Innovation: Failing to keep pace with technological advancements, such as advancements in AI, 5G, and automotive technologies, could render TI's products less competitive.
- Obsolescence: Rapid technological changes can render existing products obsolete, requiring significant investment in R&D.
5. Regulatory Challenges
- Trade Policies: Changes in international trade policies or tariffs, particularly between major markets like the U.S. and China, can affect sales and supply chains.
- Environmental Regulations: Increasingly stringent regulations related to sustainability and environmental impact could require investment in compliance and technology.
6. Dependency on Key Markets
- Market Concentration: A significant portion of TI’s revenue comes from specific markets such as automotive and industrial. Economic shifts affecting these sectors could impact profitability.
- Customer Concentration: A dependency on key customers for a large part of its revenue can pose risks if those customers face difficulties or choose to diversify their supplier base.
7. Talent Acquisition and Retention
- Workforce Challenges: The semiconductor industry requires highly skilled engineers and researchers. A talent shortage or high turnover could hinder TI’s ability to innovate and execute its strategy.
8. Cybersecurity Risks
- Data Breaches and Cyber Attacks: As TI relies on technology and digital systems for operations, cybersecurity threats can pose significant risks to its intellectual property and operational continuity.
Strategic Considerations
Given these challenges, TI must remain proactive in managing risks through strategic diversification, investment in R&D, improving supply chain resilience, and fostering strong relationships with customers and suppliers. Regular assessments of market trends, technological advancements, and geopolitical developments will be crucial for mitigating risks and sustaining competitive advantage.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Texas Instruments Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Texas Instruments Inc
Current Assets | 15.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.8B |
Receivables | 1.9B |
Other Current Assets | 5.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 19.4B |
PP&E | 12.6B |
Intangibles | 4.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.3B |
Current Liabilities | 3.7B |
Accounts Payable | 794m |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 14.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 12.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Texas Instruments Inc
Revenue
|
15.7B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-6.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
9.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.7B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
5.5B
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-557m
USD
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Net Income
|
4.9B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Texas Instruments Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Texas Instruments reported $4.2 billion in revenue, marking a 9% sequential rise but an 8% decline year-over-year. The automotive sector saw upper single-digit growth, primarily from China, while personal electronics surged 30%. Gross profit was $2.5 billion, leading to a gross margin of 60%, up 180 basis points sequentially. The company expects Q4 revenue between $3.7 billion and $4 billion, with earnings per share projected between $1.07 and $1.29. Texas Instruments continues to maintain financial strength, returning $5.2 billion to shareholders over the past year, including a recent 5% dividend increase.
What is Earnings Call?
TXN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Texas Instruments Inc's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Texas Instruments Inc's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TXN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Texas Instruments Inc's solvency score is 71/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Texas Instruments Inc's solvency score is 71/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TXN Price Targets Summary
Texas Instruments Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TXN is 209.87 USD with a low forecast of 116.15 USD and a high forecast of 281.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TXN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Texas Instruments Incorporated engages in the design, manufacture, test, and sale of analog and embedded semiconductors, which includes industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, and enterprise systems. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and currently employs 31,000 full-time employees. The firm operates through two segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The firm's Analog segment product lines include Power and Signal Chain. Power includes products that help customers manage power in electronic systems. Signal Chain includes products that sense, condition and measure signals to allow information to be transferred or converted for further processing and control. The Embedded Processing segment includes microcontrollers, digital signal processors (DSPs), and applications processors. Microcontrollers are self-contained systems with a processor core, memory and peripherals that are designed to control a set of specific tasks for electronic equipment. DSPs perform mathematical computations to process or improve digital data. Applications processors are designed for specific computing activities.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TXN stock under the Base Case scenario is 120.88 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 201.12 USD, Texas Instruments Inc is Overvalued by 40%.