Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2019-Q3

from 0
Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Take-Two Interactive Software Third Quarter Fiscal Year '19 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Hank Diamond, Senior Vice President of IR and Corporate Communications. Please go ahead Mr. Diamond.

H
Hank Diamond

Good afternoon. Welcome and thank you for joining Take-Two's conference call to discuss its results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2019 ended December 31st, 2018. Today's call will be led by Strauss Zelnick, Take-Two's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karl Slatoff, our President; and Lainie Goldstein, our Chief Financial Officer. We will be available to answer your questions during the Q&A session following our prepared remarks.

Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that statements made during this call that are not historical facts are considered forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs of our management as well as assumptions made by and information currently available to us. We have no obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

Actual operating results may vary significantly from these forward-looking statements based on a variety of factors. These important factors are described in our filings with the SEC including the company's most recent annual report on Form 10-K, and quarterly report on Form 10-Q, including the risks summarized in the section entitled Risk Factors.

I'd also like to note that, unless otherwise stated, all numbers we will be discussing today are GAAP, and all comparisons are year-over-year. Additional details regarding our actual results and outlook are contained in our press release, including the items that our management uses internally to adjust our GAAP financial results in order to evaluate our operating performance. In addition, we have posted to our website a slide deck that visually presents our results and financial outlook. Our press release and filings with the SEC may be obtained from our website at www.take2games.com.

And now, I'll turn the call over to Strauss.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Hank. Good afternoon and thank you for joining us today. I'm pleased to report that during the third quarter, Take-Two delivered better than expected results, driven primarily by the record breaking launch of Read Dead Redemption 2, as well as the strong performance of NBA 2K19.

We generated significant cash flow and ended the period with $1.6 billion in cash and short-term investments after deploying $109 million to repurchase 1 million shares of our stock.

On October 26, Rockstar Games launched Red Dead Redemption 2, which set numerous records, including achieving the biggest opening weekend in the history of entertainment with over $725 million in sell-through during its first three days. In fact, Red Dead Redemption 2 sold in more units in its first eight days than its predecessors sold in its first eight years. The title had exceeded our expectations and to-date has sold in over 23 million units worldwide. According to the NPD Group, based on combined physical and digital sales in the U.S., Red Dead Redemption 2 was the best selling video game of 2018. A testament to Rockstar Games' unparalleled ability to create the highest quality entertainment experiences, Red Dead Redemption 2 received near perfect critical reviews and multiple game of the year awards. The title is tied with Grand Theft Auto V is the highest rated title on PlayStation 4 and Xbox One with the 97 Metacritic score.

In late November, Rockstar Games launched The Red Dead Online Beta, a new multiplayer experience set against the backdrop of Red Dead Redemption 2 is enormous and vibrant open world. Free with the purchase of Red Dead Redemption 2, The Red Dead Online Beta is an evolution of the classic multiplayer experience in the original Red Dead Redemption blending narrative with competitive and cooperative game play and fund new ways. Rockstar Games continues to refine the vast world of Red Dead Online and will deliver ongoing updates to grow and evolve this experience.

I’d like to congratulate the entire team of Rockstar Games for the phenomenal critical and commercial success of Red Dead Redemption 2.

Grand Theft Auto Online and Grand Theft Auto V remained significant contributors to our results more than five years after their launch. During the third quarter, Rockstar Games supported Grand Theft Auto Online with the Arena War update as well as Festive Surprise 2018 Halloween themed content and more.

During December, combined monthly active users across Grand Theft Auto Online and Red Dead Online, took Rockstar to a new record. Rockstar Games will continue to support both products with innovative new content in order to drive engagement and recurrent consumer spending. We’re very excited for the future of these two highly robust ongoing living game worlds.

Turning to our industry-leading basketball simulation, NBA 2K19 exceeded our expectations in the third quarter, driven primarily by strong growth in the current consumer spending. Sales of the game also surpassed our outlook. We now expect lifetime unit sales of NBA 2K19 to be slightly up over the prior year's release. According to the NPD Group, based on combined physical and digital sales in the U.S., NBA 2K19 was the best selling sports title in 2018 and the third best selling game overall. In addition, 2018 marks the third consecutive year than an NBA 2K title with the best selling sports game of the year.

An important part of NBA 2K19's success has been the increasing engagement over the prior year's release. NBA 2K19 has generated more than 50% growth in online multiplayer games per day and both daily active users and the number of games that they play have also increased meaningfully. We have also seen significant increases in engagement with the MyTEAM Mode for NBA 2K18 with daily average users up 28% and games played up 46%. On average, nearly 12 million games of NBA 2K19 are being play daily, which reflects the many enhancements that 2K and Visual Concepts introduced this year. As a result of this strong engagement, recurrent consumer spending on NBA 2K grew 39% in the third quarter to a new record and was the largest single contributor to recurrent consumer spending in the period. We expect the net bookings for NBA 2K19, including recurrent consumer spending, will be the highest ever for a 2K sports title.

On January 15, 2K announced the significant multiyear partnership expansion with the NBA and the Players Association. The NBA has been an outstanding partner, and we're thrilled to be in business with Adam Silver, Michelle Roberts and their teams. And we're very pleased with the terms of our partnership expansion, which enabled NBA 2K to continue to grow and be highly profitable both for Take-Two and the NBA. We have a broad range of basketball offerings across console, PC, mobile, online in China and eSports. And I'm confident that we’ll continue to find new and innovative ways to captivate and engage fans and expand further the success of the NBA 2K brand.

In early October 2K launched WWE 2K19, the latest installment in our popular sports entertainment series, developed collaboratively by Yuke's and Visual Concepts. The title received improved reviews and has been supported with a series of downloadable content, including the season pass. The WWE brand continues to expand worldwide, and we believe that remains a substantial long-term opportunity to grow our WWE 2K series by leveraging further the development expertise of 2K and Visual Concepts.

Our third quarter results were also enhanced by a variety of other offerings led by Social Point's mobile games, Sid Meier's Civilization VI for Nintendo Switch, which significantly exceeded our expectations and WWE SuperCard.

At Take-Two, our goal is to serve our audiences by delivering the highest quality entertainment that exceeds expectations in terms of the value they receive from both the money and time that they spend on our products. If we deliver on that goal consistently, we'll engage our customers and provide returns for our shareholders over the long-term. A hallmark of our approach is finding new and exciting ways to drive engagement through a creativity and innovation. The execution of this philosophy results in our audiences remaining immersed in our titles well after their initial launch and has been a key driver of our ongoing success. This is reflected in the strong growth and engagement and recurrent summer spending on our titles over the past several years.

During the third quarter recurrent consumer spending exceeded expectations growing 31% to a new record and accounting for 22% of total net bookings. The biggest contributors to this outperformance were strong sales of the Red Dead Redemption 2 Special Edition and Ultimate Edition, which include additional content that is allocated to recurrent consumer spending along with robust growth in recurrent consumer spending at NBA 2K.

In addition, recurrent consumer spending was enhanced by variety of other offerings in the free-to-play category, Social Point, once again was a significant contributor to our results through its two biggest mobile titles, Dragon City and Monster Legends. During the third quarter, combined net bookings from these titles grew sequentially. Recurrent consumer spending of WWE SuperCard grew double digits and net of platform fees and 2K released the fifth season of its popular card battle game and several content updates. WWE SuperCard has now been downloaded nearly 18.5 million times and then 2K's has highest grossing mobile title.

And net bookings from NBA 2K Online of China more than doubled, driven by the launch of online NBA 2K Online 2 in August. Total combined registered users for NBA 2K Online 2 and its predecessor currently stands 43 million, and that franchise remains the number one TT online sports game in China. Asia remained as significant long-term growth opportunity for our business. We’re very encouraged by recent developments in China.

Add-on content grew 9%, led by offerings for Sid Meier's Civilization, WWE 2K19 and XCOM 2. As a result of our strong performance in the third quarter, we’re increasing our outlook for fiscal 2019. Our long-term success has been the result of our creative team's ability to connect deeply with audiences across the Marietta platforms and offerings. As our industry continues to embrace new technologies of enhanced consumers experience with an access to interactive entertainment, we remain focused on broadening the reach for our content and expanding further globally. Take-Two is at better position than ever creatively, strategically and financially to capitalize on the vast opportunities that will shape the future of our business and our industry.

I'll now turn the call over to Karl.

K
Karl Slatoff
President

Thanks, Strauss. Today I'll begin by discussing our recent and upcoming releases for the balance of fiscal 2019. On January 31, Social Point launched Tasty Town, our latest free-to-play mobile offering for iOS and Android devices. This all-new game enables players to fulfill their culinary dreams of designing and managing their own restaurant. In Tasty Town, players embark on an incredible journey through farm to table to build their gastronomic empire, including experiencing the joy of growing their own ingredients, hiring the best chefs, creating delectable dishes, creating and managing their own restaurant, and racing against the clock to serve meals with their food truck.

In addition to Tasty Town, Social Point is focused on its robust pipeline of other exciting new games and development. On February 14, 2K and Firaxis Games will release Sid Meier’s Civilization VI: Gathering Storm, the second expansion path for the critically acclaimed and award winning PC strategy game. Gathering Storm, the largest civilization expansion that Firaxis has ever created for any civilization game, will allow fans to explore and master the franchise's rich and strategic game play in all new ways. Gathering Storm also adds nine new leaders from eight new civilizations a new diplomatic victory condition and a variety of new units, districts, wonders, buildings and more.

This spring 2K and Cat Daddy Studios will bring NBA 2K Mobile to Android devices. Downloadable for free, NBA 2K Mobile was released for IoS on November 19th and delivered console quality graphics and lifelike NBA action on the go, like never before.

NBA 2K Mobile led gamers experience the favorite NBA moments collect player cards to build dream-teams and step on to the court in 5 on 5 matchups, including season play and a variety of game modes. The team at Cat Daddy studios strive to match the quality bar, set by our industry leading basketball series, and we are excited to deliver this rich mobile experience to basketball fans around the world.

Rockstar Games will continue to release an array of new content for both Red Dead Online and Grand Theft Auto Online. Given Rockstar Games unique ability to keep consumers engaged by delivering innovative content and exciting new modes of play, we believe Red Dead Online is positioned to deliver continued growth and player engagement over both the short and long-term.

Turning to eSports. Preparations are underway for the second season of the NBA 2K League that will kick off this spring. Last month qualifying rounds began with more than 7,000 players across North America and Europe vying for a spot in the combine and draft. This past weekend, in the league first, an Asia Pacific tournament was held at Hong Kong to identify five elite players from the region who will be eligible for the 2019 draft coming soon. With 21 teams competing in the season, we're very excited about the continued progress and growth of the league, which has a long-term potential to enhance engagement and to be a meaningful driver process for our company.

Now I'd like to discuss our fiscal 2020 pipeline. At beginning the words in December, Private Division announced The Outer Worlds, an upcoming new IT from Obsidian Entertainment that is coming for PC, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One. The Outer Worlds marks for the union of Tim Cain and Leonard Boyarsky, the original creators of Fallout, for this new single player sci-fi RPG from the renowned team behind Fallout: New Vegas; Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic II; South Park: The Stick of Truth and the Pillars of Eternity franchise. The announcement trailer for the Outer Worlds has tallied more than 12.6 million users and the game is featured on this month cover of Game Informer magazine. Also at the Game Awards, Private Division announced that Ancestors: The Humankind Odyssey will launch digitally on PC, PlayStation 4 and Xbox One in calendar 2019. Following the Game Awards, Private Division partnered with GameSpot to view the first 25 minutes of the game, which has been viewed more than 2.4 million times on GameSpot's YouTube channel.

Ancestors has been developed by Panache Digital Games, an independent studio of 35 talented developers in Montreal, co-founded by Patrice Desilets, original creative director of Assassin's Creed. In addition, Private Division will continue to release updates for new content for the Kerbal Space Program enhanced edition for Xbox One and PlayStation 4 as well as for the PC version. Going forward, Private Division will seek to add to its already impressive roster of development partners throughout the world and we look forward to its future announcements. In addition, the unannounced title from one of 2K's biggest and most beloved franchise remains on track for lunch during fiscal 2020. 2K will have more to share in the coming months.

In furtherance of our growth, we expand our development capabilities across our labels. On Monday, 2K announced the formation of a new development studio based in Silicon Valley. Industry veteran Michael Condrey will serve as president of this yet to be officially names this new studio. Michael is best known for cofounding Sledgehammer Games in leading development for the Call of Duty franchise, including Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3. Michael also served as Chief Operating Officer and Director of Visceral Games, where he played an integral role in establishing the popular Dead Space franchise. We are very pleased that Michael is joined our team so we develop on a new unannounced project. We are confident that Michael's creator, production and leadership effort expertise will help position 2K for future success.

Looking ahead, our labels have a strong development pipeline, which includes titles from our renowned franchises and groundbreaking new intellectual properties. We will continue to support virtually all of our titles with additional content designed to enhance players' game play experience and drive engagement. This is an incredibly exciting time for our company and the industry. The promise of new technologies, more powerful platforms, and emerging distribution and business models, such as streaming and subscription services, all have the potential to enhance our growth rate to provide incremental margin expansion opportunities. We remained highly enthusiastic about our future and believe that with our industry-leading creative assets and commitment to innovation, we are well positioned to capitalize on the many positive trends on our industry and to provide value to our customers and returns for our shareholders of long-term.

I'll now turn the call over to Lainie.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Karl, and good morning, everyone. Today I'll discuss our third quarter results and then review our financial outlook for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2019. Please note that additional details regarding our actual results and outlets are contained in our press release.

As Strauss mentioned, our business delivered better than expected results in the third quarter. Total net bookings grew 140% to $1.57 billion, a new quarterly record and exceeded our outlook range of $1.4 billion to 1.45 billion due primarily to the outperformance of Red Dead Redemption 2 and NBA 2K19. Digitally-delivered net bookings also exceeded our forecasts, growing 85% to a new quarterly record of $704 million and accounted for 45% of the total. During the third quarter, 31% of our sales of current generation console games, we delivered digitally, up from 26% last year.

Turning to some details from our third quarter income statement. GAAP net revenue increased to $1.25 billion and cost of goods sold increased to $898 million. Operating expenses increased by 46% to $299 million due primarily to higher marketing spend. And GAAP net income was $180 million or $1.57 per share, up from $25 million or $0.21 per share in the prior year period.

Net income included $109 million tax benefit resulting from the release of certain valuation allowances on the company's deferred tax assets. Without release of these valuation allowances, the GAAP tax benefit would have been $11 million. This had no effect on our management reporting tax rate, which is 20%.

Our strong performance converted into significant cash flow. During the nine months ended December 31st, non-GAAP adjusted operating cash flow grew 188% to $587 million. During that same period, we deployed $262 million to repurchase 2.6 million shares of Tasty stock. And as of December 31st we had $1.6 billion in cash and short-term investments.

Now we will review the highlights of our fiscal 2019 outlook. Starting with the fiscal fourth quarter, we expect net bookings to range from $450 million to $500 million, up from $411 million in the fourth quarter last year. The increase is being driven primarily by ongoing sales of Red Dead Redemption 2, the current consumer spending on Red Dead Online and growth in NBA 2K partially offset by lower results, Grand Theft Auto Online and Grand Theft Auto V.

The largest contributors to net bookings are expected to be NBA 2K19, Red Dead Redemption 2 and Red Dead Online, Grant Theft Auto Online and Grand Theft Auto V, Social Point's mobile offerings and WWE 2K. We expect both recurrent consumer spending and digitally-delivered net bookings to increase by around 10% each. Our forecast assumes that 44% of our current generation console games out will be delivered digitally. We expect GAAP net revenue to range from $530 million to $580 million and cost of goods sold to range from $248 million to $274 million.

Operating expenses are expected to range from $205 million to $215 million. At the midpoint, this represents a 21% increase over last year, driven primarily by higher marketing expense. And GAAP net income is expected to range from $76 million to $89 million or $0.67 to $0.77 per share.

Turning to fiscal 2019, we are increasing our outlook primarily as a result of our stronger than expected third quarter results, partially offset by the following factors. We believe that some of the forecasted sales of our Dead Redemption 2 were accelerated into the third quarter may have adjusted our fourth quarter expectations accordingly. Even with this adjustment, we expect fiscal 2019 sales of Red Dead Redemption 2 to be significantly higher than our forecast prior to launch. We expect new content releases for Red Dead Online to accelerate in the first quarter of fiscal 2020. And therefore, we are shifting some of our net bookings expectations for the title into that period. And we have increased our marketing spend forecast for the fourth quarter.

We're increasing our net bookings range from $2.89 billion to $2.94 billion, up from our prior outlook of $2.8 million to $2.9 million. At the midpoint, this represents a 46% increase over fiscal 2018, driven primarily by the launch of Red Dead Redemption 2 and expected growth from NBA 2K, which we forecast to be partially assets by lower results of Grand Theft Auto V and Grand Theft Auto Online. The largest contributors to net bookings are expected to be Red Dead Redemption 2 and Red Dead Online, NBA 2K, Grand Theft Auto V, WWE 2K and Social Point's mobile offerings.

We expect the net bookings breakdown from our labels to be roughly 60% Rockstar games, 35% 2K and 5% Social Point and other.

Now we forecast our geographic net bookings spread to be about 55% United States and 45% International. We're increasing our recurrent consumer spending outlook to growth in the mid-teens, and we're maintaining or 30% growth outlook for digitally delivered net bookings.

We've forecasted 37% of our current generation console games will be delivered digitally, up from 34% last year. We expect to generate approximately $740 million in adjusted operating cash flow, up $10 million from our prior outlook, and we plan to deploy approximately $60 million for capital expenditures.

We’ve increased our GAAP net revenue outlook to range from $2.66 billion to $2.71 billion. And we expect cost of goods sold to range from $1.51 billion to $1.54 billion, so operating expenses are forecasts to range from $921 million to $931 million. At the midpoint, this represents a 22% increase over the prior year, driven primarily by higher marketing, personnel, IT and R&D expenses. And we have increased or GAAP net income forecast to range from $354 million to $367 million or $3.17 to $3.18 per share. For management reporting purposes, we expect our tax rate to be 20%.

In closing, Take-Two is on pace to deliver one of its best years ever highlighted by record operating results. Looking ahead, with our world class creative teams, focus on operational excellence and strong financial foundation, our company is exceptionally well propositioned to deliver growth and margin expansion for our shareholders over the long term.

Thank you. I'll now turn the call back to Zelnick.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Lainie and Karl. On behalf of our entire management team, I'd like to thank our colleagues for their hard work in delivering another successful quarter. To our shareholders, I want to express our appreciation for your continued support. We will now take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Our first question is coming from the line of Ryan Gee with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

R
Ryan Gee
Barclays

I guess, first on recurrent consumers spend, we grew 31% in the quarter versus your guidance were flat, clearly several products outperformed and GTA Online, NBA 2K amongst them. So can you talk about the deceleration in 4Q? I know you mentioned Red Dead Online, a little bit of that shift into fiscal '20. But I'm curious why you wouldn't come out and be a little bit more optimistic around that business given how well it performed. And then second, if I may, you know, I believe you said Red Dead Redemption sold in 23 million units and that's probably as of today, so it's roughly two months left in the quarter. What should we expect in terms of reorder demander or how's the channel looking at this point. Thanks.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

So for recurrent consumer spend, in Q3, the outperformance was driven by the strong sales of Red Dead Redemption 2 special and ultimate editions, which include additional content that was allocated to recurrent consumer spending as well as growth from NBA 2K's virtual currency. In terms of Q4, we still expect NBA 2K to continue to grow and that's being offset by lower GTA Online sales that we've talked about being lower this year and a bit lower in Q3 and in Q4. Now for Red Dead Redemption, we still have strong sales and strong demand for the title. The 23 million units in Q3 was higher than what we expected. And based on that, we accordingly adjusted in Q4.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tim O'Shea with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

T
Tim O'Shea
Jefferies

My question is just about business models, especially free-to-play. EA just launched Titanfall Apex Legends. It’s the same free model that Fortnite uses. And I'm just curious if you could help us understand how full price games can perform in an environment where AAA content is being given away for free. And as you look at your portfolio, what do you think is the right mix of business models going forward in terms of subscription free-to-play, full price, et cetera. Just love to get an updated -- hear your updated thoughts on that. Thank you.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Just in terms of our console title being made available free-to-play, remember that Fortnite came about in a roundabout way. It was originally developed as AAA game. And the free-to-play version that became such a huge hit and continues to perform well, was actually originally a mode and that was developed into what it is now. I think that's sort of a standalone experience. I think it's hard to replicate and it would probably be -- advised to try to replicate it. The truth is that when you deliver an amazing AAA experience, consumer show upward. And you've seen that with us over and over again, and you see that in these results with the extraordinary results of Red Dead Redemption 2, the continuing amazing result of Grand Theft Auto V and the results of our catalog, which sell pound for pound better than anyone else's catalog, which say units sold per skew for more than best in the business or more recently NBA 2K19. So what we found is you give consumers what they want. That's often reflected in reviews and Metacritic scores and the Red Dead Redemption 2 type Grant Theft Auto V with the 97 score. They will show up and they show up in quantity. So I'm not worried at all about someone else establishing a free-to-play approach. As long as our quality continues to be stellar, and that's a very big as long as that's what we have to execute against every day. Consumers aren't actually super price sensitive where entertainment is concerned. Or said another way, if we put out something that people don't want, you can kind of price it whatever price you want, they're not going to show up for. I wish that we're different, but it's -- it's not like selling groceries or commodities. And when you give someone something that's phenomenal, it's our job to deliver vastly more value than what we charge, but price sensitivity declines. So, I think, this is all about quality. That's our approach and that's why we're delivering these extraordinary results.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Michael Ng with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your questions.

M
Michael Ng
Goldman Sachs

I have three questions, one for Strauss, one for Karl and one for Lainie. First, Strauss, I was just wondering if you can comment on the new development studio in Silicon Valley. Is there a rule of thumb in terms of how long it takes for a studio like that to ramp up? And when could we start seeing content coming out of that studio? And then for Karl, I was just wondering if you could comment on the promotional environment during the holiday. Was Fred Dead more promoted that expected in the quarter? And then lastly, for Lainie, I think the previous full year RCS growth was for low teens. And based on the expectation for flat this quarter, I think, that would have implied over 30% growth for the March quarter. Could you just talk about what changed from them to the updated view of 10% growth this quarter? Thank you.

K
Karl Slatoff
President

This is Karl. I'll take the first question. So we are very excited to bring Michael Condrey on board for us. And it really follows our pattern of trying to attract and retain and develop the best content, the best talent in the industry. That's obviously something that's very important part of our strategy. And we've been able to do that to date, and it's now by accident. So Michael joining us is, in my opinion, one of our best hires in a very long time. And we're really excited what he's going to do within new studio. In terms of timetables, we're not talking about timetables. And frankly, every studio is different and every game is different. So it wouldn't really help much anyway if I say something now because it will end up being that way. But just to make sure that this is something that's very exciting for 2K and for our company.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, on the second question, look, Red Dead is flying off the shelves. We sold in over 23 million units. It's performing vastly better than our expectations. It's continuing to sell. It's a massive hit. We definitely have marketed the title, but it’s -- by promoted discounted, we did not stepped in and have to price promote the title. The title is generally speaking being sold at full price.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

And for the Q4 recurrent consumer spending, as I mentioned previously, we look Red Dead Online, we expect their new content releases to accelerate into the first quarter. So we shifted some of the net bookings expectations for Red Dead Online into that period.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Justin Post with Merrill Lynch. Please proceed with your question.

J
Justin Post
Merrill Lynch

A couple on Red Dead. First, congrats on a great launch. When you look at sales since launch and the first couple of weeks, how have they trended versus other Rockstar titles? And I'm really trying to get the reorder potential next year? And then online with Red Dead, are you seeing incremental players to GTA? You mentioned in your prepared remarks the total players grown as hard number of players. Can you maybe give more color on that? And how do you feel about the online potential as you look at 2020 as far as recurrent spend for the title based on the users you're seeing today? Thank you.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So we wouldn't really compare Red Dead to the last release which is Grand Theft Auto. Grand Theft Auto stands alone. It is the most important product in the entertainment history, the highest grossing product in the entertainment history and it's just phenomenal. Red Dead Redemption 2 is also phenomenal in its own way. And the sales have vastly exceeded our expectations. But I don't think we can learn much by tracking those sales of any other release. Our expectations remain exceedingly high, consumers are highly engaged, titles continuing to sell actively. In terms of online -- and I'm sorry, in terms of the outlook, this is again, vastly fitting our expectations and we expect it to continue. Of course that's very hard to call and that would be driven by the consumers, but we feel great about it. In terms of online players that we've seen so far, remember Red Dead Online is in Beta, it's really early days. It seems to be developing incredibly well for early days, but it is early days. We have no reason to believe that the overlap between Grand Theft Auto Online players and Red Dead Online players is necessarily substantial, certainly nothing approaching a 100%, which is implied in your question. So the answer is absolutely there are plenty of new players and we expect that to continue as well. And as we mentioned in our prepared remarks, in December, Rockstar Games with the highest level of monthly active users ever had between Grand Theft Auto Online and Red Dead Online. So I think that tells you just how powerful this offering is. Look, stay tuned, because the title comes out of beta. Obviously, we get a lot of content to come and we expect to pickup activity with content drops and then naturally monetization should follow accordingly in fiscal 2020.

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Brandon Ross with BTIG. Please proceed with your question.

B
Brandon Ross
BTIG

Just a follow-up on Red Dead Online, I mean, obviously, as you're keep saying, it's still in Beta. Can you talk about what you're seeing in the Beta? What changes need to be made before you really launch the online game? And how you compare the player behavior to GTA so far? And then, I have a follow-up.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So Rockstar is going to talk about that in more detail. But I think, as you'd expect, what's great about being in Beta, as you get feedback from your consumer and you're able to make improvements. And we've made no bones about the fact that this is a work-in-progress, Grand Theft Auto Online was a work-in-progress. We listened to the market, we listen to consumers and we develop a great offering. One of the most exciting things about the way our business has evolved from what it was five, six years ago, you work really hard, you make a title, you launched the title and you get great results, good results, bad results, but that you're done. There's very little you can do. In an online environment, we can engage with the consumer, and we can get better and better and better. And you've seen the effects of that with Grand Theft Auto Online, five years after its initial launch. It continues to show enormous engagement. And therefore, it also delivers net bookings to us and drives profitability. So we have high hopes and expectations for Red Dead Online. It's super early to say that and more details will be forthcoming from the label.

B
Brandon Ross
BTIG

Okay. And then, just bigger picture industry question. We've seen some focus from the tech giants lately, Amazon, Google, obviously, a lot more from Microsoft on video game streaming and subscription. How do you expect their focus to affect content creators and publishers like yourself? And do you expect that they will look to acquire content? Thanks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So remember, streaming is a distribution technology, subscription is a business model. They are completely different animals. We could have a subscription program right now. You could do with physical disks, act after all how Netflix started with physical disks. So there is nothing magical about new technology with regard to a subscription business model. Will that business model develop? It will develop if it's really good for consumers and it's really good for people to create products. That -- it has to be good for both. And remember, people consume video games differently than they consume linear programming. So the average American household consumes about five hours of linear programming what we used to call television programming, but fruit to all sources, a day about 150 hours a month. And currently they consume about an hour and 20 minutes of interactive entertainment programming a day, so about 45 hours a month, very big difference. And of course, the biggest differences with regard to linear programming, you're very unlikely to watch something twice. So in a given month, at five hours a day, you could be watching 75, 100, or depending on the length, it maybe more than that different products. In the case of the video game business, people may play the same title for the entire month. Maybe they played two or three titles, but they're not engaging with 75 or 100 titles. So you have to ask yourself whether a subscription model really applies to a video game consumer versus the possibility of engaging with a free-to-play title and paying as you go or engaging with a title for which you pay, for example, like NBA 2K19, where you pay a meaningful price in the U.S. about $60 in retail, little bit more outside of the U.S., but you might play that game for a year. We have people stay engaged for you. And it's a terrific deal if you stay engaged for that. So during that on subscription models, but I would observe, our strategy is to be where the consumer is. So subscription models do make sense, could be an opportunity for us, but they need to make sense for everyone involved.

Let's turn to streaming technology. Streaming technology should be an opportunity to bring interactive entertainment with virtually no friction to all devices in the world. Are their barriers to that? Yes, there are enormous technical barriers because you have to actually do that with low latency in a multiplayer environment. So that if Lainie sitting here in New York, and she's on the Dell computer, and I'm in London on my iPad, we have to be able to play together and we have to be able to play together without reducing the quality of the gaming experience. Is that durable? Technically, I believe it will become durable, currently, it is not durable. How many companies can actually deliver such an experience? Well, you need to have hyper scale data centers all around the world. Who has that? Google has that, Facebook has that, Amazon has that, Microsoft has that, very few other people have it or are going to have it. That gives you a sense of who can be a player in streaming. What will a streaming model look like remains to be same? My guess is it'll look a lot like providing internet access over cable. Everyone here is a cable customer if you have internet access at home. I believe that ultimately if you want to get streamed video games, you're going to be a customer if someone who provides streaming. But in order for you to play those games, you have to interact with us and that business model has to appeal to us. There are those who believe by making available our video games to a broad audience that we will automatically increase the size of our market accordingly. I wish I could take that position. I'm not sure I can. But I would observe anytime you brought in distribution, it's a good thing for a provider of the products.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ray Stochel with Consumer Edge Research. Please proceed with your question.

R
Ray Stochel
Consumer Edge Research

I'm trying to think about how we should think about your commentary related to Red Dead Online. And whether the shift in bookings is more related to a content drop or more related to your expectations for Red Dead Online overall and how that tracking? And then I would like any commentary of possible on if the recent content drops for GTA Online, overall, or better or worse in your expectations? And then overall, whether or not this content drop was actually meant to be a little bit smaller year-over-year when we take a look at it versus The Doomsday Heist. It seems as if it's a little bit less content, but would love any opinion on your end. Thanks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So first of all, Red Dead Online, early days -- it's going great. Our expectations for what will happen in 2020 are driven by enhanced content drops. We feel terrific about it. It is however, early days. In terms of how GTA Online is doing, it's performing in line with our expectations. The only different this year versus prior years as we've had expectations, the title we’ve moderated in prior years and we were pleasantly surprised with the upside. We're still incredibly pleasantly surprised because GTA Online continues to perform so well. It is, however, moderating in accordance with our expectations. So I would say things are going certainly as good and in most instances better than expected in the case of the most recent content drops for GTA Online going at least as well as expected.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Nowak with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.

Brian Nowak
Morgan Stanley

I have two. Just to ask sort of a broader picture question, Strauss, that sort of the pipeline of the overall company and how you think about the potential of the sort of increase, the breadth of the number of titles you put out and even maybe increase the cadence of content coming out of Rockstar given the headcount you have. I was curious to see how you think about the next few years from a pipeline perspective? And then Lainie, I just, there's a lot of questions that investors and shareholders just kind of really trying to fully understand the booking shift. So I know as previously mentioned how you implied 25% plus RCS growth before announced around 10, are there any other moving pieces there other than the Red Dead shift? Or is that the right way to think about the size of the shift? Thanks.

K
Karl Slatoff
President

Hey, Brian, it's Karl. In terms of our pipeline of the company and -- look, we are highly focused on increasing our releases. And I think you see our efforts. First of all, acquisition of Social Point and their robust pipeline going forward brings us a lot of opportunity to bring new releases in the near term. And we've also got private division with we spend a lot of time talking about, which you’re going to see the first couple releases coming out in the near term future. But there's more to come as well. We talked about a new studio led by Michael Condrey. So just from a project-based perspective, we are highly focused on bringing more titles into the mix for us. And you're going to - and -- look, not every title is going to come out in the next 12 months. But over time, you're going to see a higher release and cadence from our titles because that's the stated objective of ours. There’s also -- obviously, we're focused on M&A as well and there's always an opportunity to bring in new projects that way. And that's something that we've been focused on from day one. And again, Social Point is one example of that.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

So for Q4, we talked about that there were units from Red Dead Redemption 2 that were in Q3 so they shifted out of Q4. And it was also offset by higher MBA expectation. So that's the overall change in Q4. It's driven by those items, primarily.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Eric Handler with MKM Partners. Please proceed with your question.

E
Eric Handler
MKM Partners

Yes, thanks for taking my question. It's for Lainie. I want to talk about the gross margin a little bit here. In the third quarter, your guidance is sort of implied something around 45%. You came in a little below that by about 150 basis points. Was there anything in the gross profit or in the cost of goods sold that resulted in -- the margin coming in a bit below expectations? And I'm curious, as far as the amortization of Red Dead Redemption 2, are you willing to say how much of that amortization remains?

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

So in terms of the margin in Q3, it's really driven by the business mix and it was more weighted towards the new releases and we had expected. And they have higher development costs associated with it and also higher interval royalties. So that is the difference in the gross margin. And we should see that for the full year as well. And then -- sorry, what was your second question? On the -- oh, the amortization of Red Dead? We don't share that on a title by title basis, but our amortizing is in line with what the overall expectations are for the sales over a multiyear period.

E
Eric Handler
MKM Partners

And then, just a quick follow-up. In terms of your deal with eSports and the NBA, through last year when it entered its first season there was no presence at all during any NBA games as far as I could tell. I'm just curious how some of the marketing plans are evolving for this season?

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

It's a very early day sort of thing. And we, the first season was a work-in-progress when we got great results and we're going to continue to develop. Karl mentioned that the fact that we have four more teams. We're heading into a draft. We're heading into all kinds of exciting opportunities around the second season and stay tuned for more news on promotional opportunities as well.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ben Schachter with Macquarie Group. Please proceed with your question.

B
Ben Schachter
Macquarie Group

A few questions if I could. And first, can you just highlight how you think Fortnite is impacting the industry and yourself? Second question, Strauss, the trade issues related to video games in China, do you think any of these talks with the Trump administration could have a positive impact on how video games are brought to China? And then finally, on buybacks -- you bought back stock at about $108, stocks trading below 100, should we expect you to see you in the market in an even more meaningful way that you have been in the past? Thanks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

In terms of Fortnite, I've been asked about this before. I was just observed we continue to have stellar results despite the fact that there are competitive titles in the market including Fortnite. There is also plenty of other competition. We get competition from every point of entertainment and other activities that people engaged in it. We take them away from consuming our titles. So there is no one-for-one comparison to the titles. I don't believe for a minute that our results when they're great or our results when they're less than great are being influenced positively or negatively by another title in the marketplaces. It's just not the way entertainment works. So it was -- it's not the way the movie business works, it's not the way the television business works or the music business or the software business. So if you have something great people will show up for it. If you don't have anything great, they're not going to show up for it. And just by wave of examples, just to look at the last fiscal year, we had record results for Grand Theft Auto. We've record results for Grand Theft Auto Online, and Fortnite was booming. So there's room for plenty of fits in the marketplace. We just had a stellar third quarter. Fortnite continues to perform. And we have these amazing results with Red Dead Redemption 2, NBA 2K19, and the rest of our lineup and our catalog. So I don't see any crossover. And I think if you want to step back from it, you would say, it's almost certainly a good thing when there is a multiplicity that springs in a bigger audience, perhaps more diverse audience. We think that's the case. So we're not concerned about competition, we are very concerned about what we do every day, which is why as Karl said, we're increasing our development, we're increasing our pipeline and we're utterly focused on quality. And we're really proud of the quality of our titles in our recent releases because frankly, they've been very good for quite a long time. We've had very few -- if any, disappointments that I can think of.

On China, we think Asia is an enormous opportunity. Specifically, China's a great opportunity. We're gratified that game approvals have been re-launched under a new method. We feel cautiously optimistic that there's great opportunity as a result $0.10 and others are engaging in developing new distribution platforms. And I do think actually as we look at trade, our government is focused on the fact that taking care of intellectual property, which is America's second biggest export after aerospace, is important. I think it's on the list of important things. So I think you'll begin to see some progress there. So I think there's a wonderful opportunity for us in China. There's a wonderful opportunity right now, and absolutely if regulation soften, there'd be an even greater opportunity. But we understand we have to work within the environment that we find ourselves in there.

Finally, with regard to buybacks, we've made it very clear that we have three uses for our cash supporting our organic growth story. That has been our story here. 11 years ago when we showed up here, we had net revenue, apples-to-apples of around $700 million of net, but what we would call net bookings today and we're going to be knocking on the door $3 billion today. And that is almost all organic. We did buy Social Point. We acquired a few studios. But that is primarily organic growth and that's a great story. So we want to support organic growth and support measured risk. And so far our measured risks have all paid off, which is amazing when I get to say those words. We really have nothing that we're concerned about, and we have all these opportunities in front of us. That's said we also think with the $1.6 billion cash balance and no debt and plenty of cash flow that we have an opportunity to pursue inorganic growth. And certainly, given market conditions right now, there's probably more opportunity facing us now then there was six months ago, and that's potentially exciting, but we're very disciplined. And if it needs to be said, we're only interested in accretive transactions like Social Point, which was an accretive transaction.

And finally, we're interested in returning capital to our shareholders when it makes sense. My philosophy about buybacks is well known, which is you do buy backs when you see deep value in the marketplace. And when we have seen deep value in the marketplace, we've acted against and I'll probably leave it right there.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Olson with Piper Jaffray. Please proceed with your question.

M
Mike Olson
Piper Jaffray

Without getting into the specifics of content releases, which I know you can’t share, just wondering, should we expect somewhat staggered approach to new content and GTA, Red Dead in order to kind of maintain engagement for each title? Or is really the focus to shift resources primarily towards the new content for Red Dead? And then just very high level, there's been some increasing chatter about an idea that perhaps the industry is getting closer to kind of a ceiling in what gamers are willing to spend for in-game content. And the concept, I guess, really being that the significant growth of in-game content spend in recent years was maybe a low-hanging fruit, and now that opportunity is more saturated off. I'm guessing you wouldn't agree with that line of thinking, but just be interested in your take on it. Thanks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So in terms of content drops for GTA Online, for Red Dead Online, or frankly for other titles, because we have opportunities to engage post-release with virtually everything that we put out. No, we wouldn't see that there will be any relationship between the content drop for one title inside our organization and any other titles. So, no, I think they stand alone. And what we're trying to do is engage and captivate consumers for every title and to optimize each one for its own customer base and to grow that consumer base. With regard to in-game spending, I think, you're talking about in-game spending, which really speaks to free-to-play games. I don't think we're seeing any kind of a cap. I do think that consumers always pay attention to what they're getting and what they're spending. They're always paying attention to that -- to value. And you never ever want to be in a position of charging more than what you deliver. And you want everyone to leave the experience feeling great. So, you know even anecdotally, if you have a really great experience. But you feel you were charged too much for it. Your emotional experience, overall, is not good even if the thing itself was good. You're going to restaurant, you had a great meal, but you feel like you were overcharged. It doesn't feel like a great meal when you leave the restaurant. So we want to make sure that our consumers always feel like we're taking great care of them. And our consumers understand that we have to pay our folks in order to deliver content. But we always want to deliver more than what we recharge. And I do think that certain of our competitors have gotten that upside down. And they even say it. We're a data-driven business, and we're trying to maximize our revenue. And then they back into the entertainment experience. We're an entertainment company. We're trying to build incredible experiences, trying to be the most creative company on earth. We believe we have the best creative teams on earth and we encourage them, in fact, require them to pursue their passion and not work on anything that they're not passionate about. And as a result, we think we have the best creative properties in the business, and people will show up for those. But we have to be totally respectful of our customers. And that means delivering more than what we charge and we're utterly focused on doing that. I think if you do that, there's plenty of room. And remember the cohorts growing. So even if there's a particular pushback on how much any individual consumer will spend on any experience, and by the way, we're not seeing them. Then what you have to do is create great experiences and encourage more consumers to get involved, which is happening.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Todd Juenger with Sanford Bernstein. Please proceed with your question.

T
Todd Juenger
Sanford Bernstein

At this point in the call, I keep it to just one rather expensive one though. Strauss, I'm loving the conversations on value and pricing. I hope you don't mind if I select one level even further. I mean that, when you talk about some of the premier properties in the Rockstar Games or Red Dead Redemption, for instance, and you've commented that at a $60 price point, you believe that your consumers is probably feel that's a fantastic value. And it doesn't, you said some things, if could, doesn't really matter what price you charge at the products that good. So let me challenge you -- have you thought about why $60? I might suppose that lots of Red Dead Redemption players would have thought US$100 with a great value. But on the other end too, right? I wonder what the elasticity really is when you thought about it. If it were three, would you have twice as many players because a bunch of people are not willing to pay $60 to find out how great it is. And as we think about revenue amounts go forward, I just wonder if could be a lot more dynamism and sort of that upfront pricing relationship and what you really think how U.S. is we fold? Thanks a lot.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, so, I think, there's -- the price discrimination in entertainment is really tricky. The same question -- I was asked the same question when I was in the movie business. You're putting out Home Alone 2 -- I'm aging myself, but it's all true. And you knew how Home Alone 1 did. So why don't you charge much more at the Box Office? The answer is it's not really how consumers tend to see entertainment. They expect to pay the same price point for frontline entertainment and their expectations are that it's high quality. And of course, in the video game business because of Metacritic scores and reviews, they have some path to know typically what they're getting more or so than in any other businesses. So it seems as though you're front-line pricing kind of has to be within a range without regard to the properties that you develop, especially because we never want a consumer to feel as that we're taking advantage of them. And that includes, even if there's a lot of demand.

On your second point, your question resonates in great success, but when you don't have any knowledge about where you're going to be very difficult to pursue the model that you said. So the model works great retroactively. It doesn't work at all prospectively. Because prospectively, you could be in a terrible position where your monetization levels are exceedingly low as they are for free-to-play games, typically under 10% of the audience pays. And yet you went and spent the money to create an enormous frontline experience. So we think you have to find a middle path, which is charge a reasonable amount to get people in the door and give them phenomenal quality for that. And then for the people who choose to continue along with your additional content, whatever form it takes, an online offering or downloadable add-on content, you want to make the frictions to that low as well. And of course, over time, typically there's discounting of the frontline product and that will reduce the threshold for people who don't want to initially participate at a higher price. Although in the case of Grand Theft Auto, of course, our retailers maintained a very high frontline pies for a very long time. So I guess the answer is, we have to find a path in between.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Mike Hickey with Benchmark Company. Please proceed with your question.

M
Mike Hickey
Benchmark Company

Just two from me. Curious if you could share with us your relationship with Gearbox. How stable that studio is? It looks like there's a fair amount of disruption internally, and if you feel this is impacting the development timeline for Borderlands 3. The second question, on your unannounced 2K title, it's already been delayed once. It sounds like it's on track. I don't know what it is? I guess why the lingering mystery on what this game is? Thanks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Our relationship with Gearbox, which is an external studio, is excellent. The company is stable. And they're doing a phenomenal job as they always do, and we support them greatly. In terms of the unannounced 2k title, that is very much on track. And we expect it to stay on track and we have very high expectations.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Andrew Uerkwitz with Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your question.

A
Andrew Uerkwitz
Oppenheimer

Just real quick on a modeling question, maybe I missed it. You mentioned there was some recurring revenue as pull forward related to RDR. Could you let us know approximately how much that was? And I have one big picture follow up.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

We don't share that level of detail on a title-by-title basis. So I can’t answer that with you today.

A
Andrew Uerkwitz
Oppenheimer

No, no, fair enough. And then, Strauss, I just had a couple of questions around Private Division. What were some of that -- now that we're getting the two games launched this year -- what were some of the industry trends you identified a couple of years ago that made you want to build Private Division out, really aside from a focus on original content? And as a follow-up, how do you think about building a studio is what you're doing with Mr Condrey versus finding third-party studios like what you're doing with Private Division? Thank you.

K
Karl Slatoff
President

Hey Andrew, it's Karl. So in terms of the idea behind Private Division, look, we've had obviously, we've been around the industry a long time and when we see sort of ebbs and flows in terms of the amount of independent studios that are out there and also talent that's not necessarily associated with other enterprises. And just within the last few years, we've seen an increase. And

most of the people we have that we send up for Private Division, these are actually folks that have got real credibility in the industry and have done things before. And to want to try creative -- different creative approach than they have in the past. And not necessarily work on titles with as bigger budget as that had in the AAA acquired world. So there's just an opportunity. It's really based on talent and the availability of talent. And like I said earlier, we pride ourselves to be a home where and they have the flexibility to be a home for creative talent to allow them to pursue those endeavors. And the key ingredient there is passion. And that really is probably 95% of it is passion. Do we believe in them -- do they believe in themselves? And can we find a way for it to work within the business model that works for both of us? And that idea is something that was born here and that we actually really believe. And once we saw it work once -- we said this is -- this could be a new business model for us. We can grow this out to a much bigger place because there has to be more than one or two of these folks out there that want to pursue this path.And as it turns out, we were absolutely right. And the pipeline has been incredible. And the number of titles that we've looked at is staggering over the past few years. I mean, we -- there is no shortage of inbound interest for Private Division. So [Audio Gap]

Operator

Our next question is from Drew Crum with Stifel.

D
Drew Crum
Stifel

So I wonder if you could talk about your changed view for the NBA 2K for game sales relative your last update. What has led to the improved performance are you seeing an uptick in interest outside the U.S.? And then separately for Lainie, can talk about the implications for gross margin given the seven year renewal with the NBA license? Thanks.

Operator

[Technical Difficulty]

Operator

Please continue.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sorry. I think we may have lost you. If there are any other people left in the line, apologies. We had a technical lapse. And we'll be happy to continue with the questions if anyone's here.

Operator

Thank you. Our next questionnaire is Matthew Harrigan with Buckingham Research.

M
Matthew Harrigan
Buckingham Research

Strauss, you have an unbelievably brought you of the entertainment business diverges your background. Do you have any thoughts on how you can better monetize the IP that you enviably have all the rights for in-house, even on the movie side, I wonder how difficult those adaptations can be? And I know this is a little far afield. But what's your action to Bandersnatch and that's trying to embark on sort of new interactive entertainment genre? I don't know if it's at all pertinent to take you, I suspect it's not. But I'd be curious to sort of get your laboratory reaction on that one.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So -- all good questions. We are very - we have this wonderful intellectual property, more than 11 franchises that have sold, at least 5 million units with one release, something like 60 releases that have sold at least 2 million units. So we have a terrific array of properties. And I think you've correctly noted that we have not exploited those in other media. I think the issue is that -- you have to make something great in every medium in which you operate. And if you're going to make a motion picture television show based on the IP, it has to be utterly phenomenal and we'd have to have a lot of creative control. And we're not in those businesses. And they have different economic constraints and opportunities. What we have found so far is that licensing the IP to others with sufficient creative control and appropriate financial participation on our end is very challenging to do, and it's been necessarily great use of our time. We also -- we do very, very well in our core business and it's proved us to focus on our core business. And I'd also just note, it seemed to be very difficult creatively to take intellectual properly. We have stripped property driven by interactive entertainment agreement to linear entertainment. There aren't so many examples of that being done successfully and that gives us pause as well.

In terms of sort of choose your adventure applied to television, I've always been a little bit skeptical because my concern is that the more engagement you have in the outcome of a linear friction to less likely it is that you can maintain the suspension of disbelief. But consumers like it, there could be something there. I think, we'll find out if it's a novelty that's interesting at novelty or if there's something there that's more long list. I probably call on the camp of performer, but their whole point creatively is that you've got to be open-minded, and pursue the passions of your creators. And I would note that the biggest hits are often the most unexpected. So I'd be open-minded.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Evan Wingren with KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

E
Evan Wingren
KeyBanc

This one is for Lainie, just a quick one. On Red Dead Redemption 2 and the recurrent consumer spending associated with the premium skew units during the holiday quarter. Just wondering if could give us a sense as to how much of the contributor that was to the recurrent consumer spending exceeding your expectations just recognizing -- don't get specific commentary, but some flavor would be helpful. And second, I think during the technical difficulties, Drew, asked a question about -- Drew Crum asked a question about your NBA relationship and implications for the margins really go forward about that question. So I'm hoping you would address that too. Thank you.

L
Lainie Goldstein
Chief Financial Officer

So during the Q3, discussion on open additions -- additional content that was allocated to recurrent customer spending was the large portion of why we overachieved during the quarter, about 17% of some of the special and open additions or about 17% of all of the units that were sold during the quarter.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

And in terms of our relationship going forward with the NBA, we're thrilled to be in a long-term relationship with the NBA and the Players Association. We're grateful for their trust in us and we're incredibly proud of what believe the Players Association. And we have achieved in the past years delivering the industry-leading title over and over and over again. In terms of our expectations under the terms of the new deal, there's plenty of room for everyone to do well. That's the best kind of deal. And we expect that our margins will be maintained. We do not see any reason to believe that our margins will be changed in a negative way.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Gerrick Johnson with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.

G
Gerrick Johnson
BMO Capital Markets

And thanks for the commentary on Private Division. But can you remind us the economic relationship between Take-Two and the companies in Private Division like Obsidian? What do you get -- what's your upside potential from out of roles and games like that? Thank you.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I won't get into the specific economics, but generally speaking, all the -- these are situations where the independent -- with the studios that we work with, they actually maintain the ownership of the IP, but we have long-term publishing rights to that IP, and we generally will fund developments and marketing those expensive -- of those titles. And once all of that is recouped, and there's typically a profit share. But I can't get into the specifics of how -- what kind of profit share that is -- et cetera, et cetera.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Doug Creutz with Cowen and Company. Please proceed with your questions.

D
Doug Creutz
Cowen and Company

What are your competitors have made the decision to do a PC launch in upcoming battle exclusively to the Epic Store. Just wondering how you do the trade off of the potentially better economics there versus the importance of having your content as many distribution platforms as possible? Thank you.

K
Karl Slatoff
President

Well, generally speaking, our approach is to be wherever the consumer is and we distribute very widely. Generally speaking, we have not been a believer in exclusive relationships. And I wouldn't comment on any particular store. But for example, the question has been raised about we shouldn't give as a company be exclusively direct-to-consumer. And I think our experience was that consumers want to shop in a place where they get a multiplicity of titles. We have terrific titles coming from all of our labels. We have a very broad offering. But there are other titles besides -- titles coming through the take to enterprise that people want. So generally speaking, our strategy is to be broadly distributed. There are times when an exclusive distribution relationship can make sense. And, I wouldn't be in a position to comment on one of our competitors chose to do. But on balance, we're happy that FX going into business. We're happy to have someone else at the table.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I will turn the floor back to management for closing remarks.

S
Strauss Zelnick
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

First of all, I apologize for the fact that we lost you for a few minutes there and we make sure that never happens again. Look, we're proud of the quarter that we just reported on. We're incredibly excited that our outlook says we're going to have a record year for net bookings and adjusted cash flow provided by operations. We feel like we're firing on all cylinders and the outlook is very strong. So we thank you so much for joining us today. I know it’s a long call. Thanks for your support.

Operator

Today’s conference has concluded. You may now disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.