Trustmark Corp
NASDAQ:TRMK

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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q2

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Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Trustmark Corporation's Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation this morning, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder this call is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce, Mr. Joey Rein, Director of Corporate Strategy at Trustmark. Go ahead.

J
Joey Rein
Director, Corporate Strategy

Good morning. I'd like to remind everyone that a copy of our second quarter earnings release, as well as the slide presentation that will be discussed on our call this morning is available on the Investor Relations section of our website at trustmark.com.

During the course of our call, management may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and we would like to caution you that these forward-looking statements may differ materially from actual results due to a number of risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in our earnings release as well as our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

At this time, I'd like to introduce Duane Dewey, President and CEO of Trustmark.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Joey, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. With me this morning are Tom Owens, our Chief Financial Officer; Barry Harvey, our Chief Credit and Operations Officer; and Tom Chambers, our Chief Accounting Officer.

Trustmark had a solid second quarter with continued loan and deposit growth, expanding net interest income and growth in our fee income businesses. We reported net income of $45 million or $0.74 per diluted share in the second quarter. This level of profitability resulted in a return on average tangible common equity of 15.18% and a return on average assets of 0.96%.

Let's look at our financial highlights in a little more detail by turning to Slide 3. Loans held for investment increased $117 million or 0.9% linked-quarter to a total of $12.6 billion. Deposits during the quarter grew $130 million or 0.9% linked-quarter to a level of $14.9 billion.

Revenue in the second quarter totaled $193 million, an increase of 2.4% linked-quarter. Net interest income increased 1.6% linked-quarter while noninterest income grew 4.2% linked-quarter. Noninterest income totaled $53.6 million in the second quarter and represented 27.7% of total revenue. Noninterest expense in the second quarter was $132.2 million, up 3% compared to the prior quarter.

Credit quality remained solid as the allowance for credit losses represented 1.03% of loans held for investment and 301% of nonaccrual loans. Net charge-offs during the quarter totaled $1.2 million and represented four basis points of average loans. Nonperforming assets represented 0.6% of total loans as of June 30.

We continue to maintain strong capital levels with common equity Tier 1 of 9.87% and a total risk-based capital ratio of 12.08%. The Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.23 per share payable on September 15th to shareholders of record as of September 1.

At this time, I'd like to ask Barry Harvey to provide some color on loan growth and credit quality.

B
Barry Harvey
Chief Credit & Operations Officer

I’ll be glad to, Duane. Thank you.

Turning to Slide 4. Loans held for investments totaled $12.6 billion as of June 30th. That's an increase as Duane mentioned of $117 million same quarter. Loan growth during Q2 came from CRE, equipment finance and our mortgage line of businesses. We continue to be very disciplined both on -- from a credit and from a processing standpoint. We do expect continued solid loan growth throughout the remainder of 2023. Our loan portfolio continues to be well-diversified based upon both product type as well as geography.

Looking to Slide 5. Trustmark CRE portfolio is 93% vertical with 62% in the existing category and 38% being in the construction land development. Our construction land development portfolio is 82% construction. Trustmark's office portfolio as you can see is very modest at $280 million outstanding, which represents only 2% of our overall loan book. The portfolio is comprised of credits with high-quality tenants, low lease turnover, strong occupancy levels and low leverage. The credit metrics on this portfolio remains extremely strong.

Turning to slide 6. The bank's commercial loan portfolio is well diversified, as you can see, across numerous industry segments with no single category exceeding 13%.

Looking to slide 7. Our provision for credit losses for loans held for investment was $8.2 million during the quarter, which was attributable to a weakening macroeconomic forecast, funding our provisioning for our loan growth, and an increase in the average life within our mortgage companies portfolio. The provision for credit losses for off-balance sheet credit exposure was $246,000 for the second quarter. On June 30, the allowance for loan losses for loans held for investment was -- the balance was $129.3 million.

Looking on to slide 8. We continue to post solid credit quality metrics. The allowance for credit losses represents -- the allowance for our credit losses represents 1.03% of loans held for investment and 301% of non-accruals excluding those loans that are individually analyzed. In the second quarter net charge-offs totaled $1.2 million or 0.04% of average loans, both nonaccruals, nonperforming assets remain near historically low levels.

Duane?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Thank you, Barry. Now turning to the liability side of the balance sheet, I'd like to ask Tom Owens to discuss our deposit base and net interest margin.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Duane, and good morning, everyone.

Looking at deposits on slide 9, let me begin by saying we remain pleased with our ability to manage our deposit costs, maintain the strong liquidity that our core deposit base provides amid an exceptionally competitive environment for deposits. Deposits totaled $14.9 billion at June 30 that was a $130 million increase linked quarter and $144 million increase year-over-year.

Linked quarter increase was driven primarily by increases in time deposits with promotional CDs of $197 million and brokered CDs of $448 million. The increase in time deposits was offset somewhat by declines in other segments, most notably a $216 million decline in public fund balances, primarily attributable to normal seasonality.

As of June 30 our promotional time deposit book totaled $887 million with a weighted average rate paid of 4.32%, and a weighted average remaining term of about eight months. Our broker deposit book totaled $615 million with an all-in weighted average rate base of about 5.25% and a weighted average remaining term of about six months as of June 30. Our cost of interest-bearing deposits increased by 43 basis points from the prior quarter to 1.96%.

Turning to slide 10. Trustmark continues to maintain a stable granular and low exposure deposit base. During the second quarter, we had an average of about 461,000 personal and non-personal deposit accounts, excluding collateralized public fund accounts, with an average balance per account of about $26,000. Average accounts increased by about 4,000 for the quarter or an annualized rate of about 3.2%.

As of June 30, 64% of our deposits were insured and 15% were collateralized meaning that our mix of deposits that are uninsured and uncollateralized was essentially unchanged linked quarter at 22%. We maintain substantially secured borrowing capacity which stood at $5.5 billion at June 30, representing 172% coverage of uninsured and uncollateralized deposits.

Our second quarter total deposit cost of 1.48% represented a linked quarter increase of 35 basis points and a cumulative beta cycle to date of 29%. Our forecast for the remainder of the year is for continued increase in deposit costs, reaching a rate of about 2.15% in the fourth quarter, which would represent a cycle-to-date beta of 39%. The forecast reflects market implied forward interest rates with Fed hiking top of the target range for the Fed funds rate to 5.5% later this morning and then remaining on hold through the remainder of the year.

Turning our attention to revenue on Slide 11. Net interest income FTE increased $2.2 million linked quarter totaled $143.3 million, which resulted in a net interest margin of 3.33%, representing a linked quarter decrease of 6 basis points.

Drivers of the linked quarter compression in net interest margin included a accelerating deposit betas, deposit mix change to interest-bearing from non-interest-bearing and excess on-hand liquidity and maintained due to the challenging macroeconomic environment that pervaded particularly in the early part of the second quarter.

Turning to Slide 12. The balance sheet remains well positioned for higher interest rates with substantial asset sensitivity, driven by loan portfolio mix with 50% variable rate coupon.

During the second quarter, we maintained the weighted average maturity of the cash flow hedge portfolio by entering into $100 million of forward starting interest rate swaps, which were up notional for the portfolio at quarter end to $950 million with a weighted average maturity of 3.1 years and a weighted average received fixed rate of 3.12%.

Through implementation of the cash flow hedging program, we've substantially reduced our adverse asset sensitivity to a potential downward shock in interest rates while maintaining upside potential from higher interest rates.

Turning to Slide 13. Non-interest income for the second quarter totaled $53.6 million, a $2.2 million linked quarter increase and a $300,000 increase year-over-year. The linked quarter increase was driven by increases in bankcard and other fees of $1.1 million, insurance commissions of $459,000 and service charges on deposit accounts of $359,000.

For the quarter, non-interest income increased to 27.7% of total revenue, continuing to demonstrate our well-diversified revenue stream.

Now looking at Slide 14. Mortgage banking revenue totaled $6.6 million in the second quarter. That was a $1 million decrease linked quarter driven by a $1.6 million increase in the amortization of the mortgage servicing asset, which more than offset a $100,000 increase in gain on sale and a $500,000 reduction in negative net hedge ineffectiveness.

Year-over-year, mortgage banking declined by $1.5 million, driven primarily by reduced gain on sale. Mortgage loan production totaled $431 million in the second quarter, an increase of 19.5% linked quarter and a decrease of 36.7% year-over-year.

Retail production remained strong in the second quarter, representing 81% of volume or about $349 million and loans sold in the secondary market represented 77% of production, while loans held on balance sheet represented 23%.

Gain on sale margin increased by 4 basis points linked quarter to 1.24%. And now I'll ask Tom Chambers to cover non-interest expense and capital management.

T
Tom Chambers
Chief Accounting Officer

Thank you, Tom. Turning to Slide 15, you'll see a detail of our non-interest expenses broken out between adjusted, other and total. Adjusted non-interest expense was $131.6 million during the second quarter, a linked quarter increase of $4.1 million or 3.2% and mainly driven by an increase in salary and employee benefits of $1.9 million as a result of second quarter mortgage commissions and annual merit increases. In addition, the services and then fees increased $2.8 million, due to increased professional and consulting fees during the quarter.

As noted on Slide 16, Trustmark remains well positioned from a capital perspective. As Duane previously mentioned, our capital ratios remained solid, with a common equity Tier one ratio of 9.87% and a total risk-based capital ratio of 12.08%. Trustmark did not repurchase any of its common shares during the second quarter, although we have a $50 million authority for the remainder of 2023, under our Board authorized stock repurchase program, we are unlikely to engage in stock repurchase in a meaningful way. Our priority for capital deployment continues to be through organic lending. Back to you, Duane.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Thank you, Tom. Turning to Slide 17. Let's review our outlook. Let's first look at the balance sheet. We're expecting loans and deposits to grow mid-single digits for the year. Security balances are expected to decline by high single digits, as cash flow runoff of the portfolio is not reinvested, which is of course subject to the impact of changes in market interest rates.

Moving on to the income statement. We're expecting net interest income to grow mid- to high single digits in 2023, and driven by earning asset growth and reflecting a full year net interest margin in the mid-3.20's, based on the current market implied forward interest rates. The total provision for credit losses, including unfunded commitments is dependent upon future loan growth and the macroeconomic forecast. Net charge-offs requiring additional reserving are expected to be nominal, based on the current economic outlook.

From a noninterest income perspective, insurance revenue is expected to increase high single digits full year, with wealth management expected to increase low single digits. We're expecting a service charges and bank card fees to increase low single digits and mortgage banking revenue, is expected to stabilize at or above the prior year level.

Noninterest expense is expected to increase mid-single digits for the year. This reflects general inflationary pressures especially, on wages new talent across -- added across the system and is subject to the impact of commissions in various lines of business. We remain intently focused on our FIT2GROW initiatives, as discussed throughout the 2022 year.

Our Atlanta-based equipment finance, division has grown its portfolio to $127 million as of June 30. Implementation of our technology plans continued in the second quarter, with the conversion of our credit card platform, as well as the implementation of advancements in our loan underwriting system.

During the quarter, we continued to design our sales through service process, which will be fully implemented across the retail branch network, throughout 2023 and into early 2024. We believe these actions will enhance Trustmark's performance, and build long-term value for our shareholders.

Finally, we will continue a disciplined approach to capital deployment, with a preference for organic loan growth and potential M&A. We will continue to maintain strong capital base with -- and implement corporate priorities and initiatives.

With that overview of our second quarter financial results and outlook commentary, we'd like to open the floor to questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Catherine Mealor of KBW. Go ahead.

C
Catherine Mealor
KBW

Thanks. Good morning.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Katherine.

I'd start with the margin, surprising I know, but I wanted to maybe talk about your updated thoughts on deposit beta. It looks like you lowered your expected full-cycle beta, just a little bit 39% from 43% last quarter. I think most companies are increasing it versus decreasing it. So just curious, what you're seeing in your markets? Are you seeing kind of a stabilization, in deposit activity for the quarter. Is there anything else to kind of read through your better guidance? Thanks.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Catherine, this is Tom Owens.

C
Catherine Mealor
KBW

Good morning.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks for the question. So, you're right. The 39% in the fourth quarter, is a lower cumulative beta. A couple of thoughts. One, as we've discussed on previous calls, for a full-cycle beta. And now we're looking at a Fed funds rate of 5.5% and who knows whether this Fed goes higher than that or not.

Our thinking hasn't changed so much in terms of what that full-cycle beta would be, which would maybe be mid-50s for interest-bearing deposit cost and mid-40s for total deposit cost. It's really more about the trajectory of it. Our forecast is based on market implied forward interest rates, which as you know, a quarter ago, the market was pricing as I said would be easing in the second half of this year. And now we're looking at market implied forwards that basically have the Fed hiking today and then remaining on hold through the first quarter next year and not beginning to ease until the second quarter. And so that's really moved the goalpost in terms of where the peak in this interest rate cycle is in terms of the market-implied forwards and it's extended it out. So what I would describe it as Catherine is a flatter trajectory towards a similar destination.

C
Catherine Mealor
KBW

That makes sense. Okay. Thank you for that. And then maybe just on the deposit composition. You talked a little bit about some of the promotional CDs you're doing a little bit of a mix shift out of non-interest-bearing that not actually been I think less than what we've seen in some of your peer banks. Can you just talk about how you're thinking about what that remix looks like, as we move to the back half of the year between CDs, non-interest-bearing and the other?

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Well, one point to make is that on the non-interest bearing, some of what you've seen is a transition from DDA to interest-bearing accounts on which we are higher value-added accounts, so we're able to charge fees on those accounts. So I'm going to say in round numbers in the second quarter for example, we had $150 million or so of that migration. So that decline linked-quarter in non-interest bearing was a little bit more in the second quarter than it was in the first.

But when I think when you adjust for that we're in the same neighborhood or maybe even a little less. So our thinking there has not really changed. We're at about 23% now. We're continuing to project that we're going to – it's going to bottom out at about 20%.

C
Catherine Mealor
KBW

Great. Okay. And then one last one on the margin and then I'll step out of the questions. Just as I think big picture, you talked a little bit about the swaps that you put on but in a higher for longer let's just say we get to say, 550 and we stay there for a while. Just big picture how do you think about the direction of your margin from here under that scenario? And then separately in an environment where we start to see the Fed start to cut also how you feel about the direction of the margin in that scenario. It feels like – I mean you're so asset sensitive, but it feels like you're taking some of that off the table so just kind of trying to think how you're thinking about it?

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, there's a lot there Catherine. But as simple as I can, when you get a Fed hike because half of our loan book is floating rate you get the lift from that. So we get a Fed hike today. That's helpful in the short-term, right? What happens though is in a higher for longer, as it becomes a race essentially, if you think about it between the ongoing repricing of your fixed rate loan portfolio. And then the onward, upward grind in deposit cost over time. So if you look at our guidance for full year NIM, where the trajectory takes you into the low 3s as a run rate but then essentially you do stabilize at that point.

So the other thing I would say is stabilized somewhat, right? The other thing I would say is to your question about the Fed potentially beginning to ease at some point. Yes, we are asset sensitive but you probably have some offset there because as everyone on this call knows, deposit betas are not linear, right? And here we are towards the higher end of all likelihood the range of interest rates for this interest rate cycle. So deposit betas have accelerated. And deposit betas seemingly will continue to accelerate with the Fed on hold, say through the first or second quarter of next year as the market-implied forward suggests.

But then what happens is, to my way of thinking anyway, if you get into the onset of a significant Fed easing cycle those same deposits that were much higher beta later in the cycle on our way up. Historically, you have the opportunity to re-price those down more quickly as the Fed begins an easing cycle that tends to be what happens.

And so, in the same way that ongoing winding up of deposit costs from that high beta compresses your net interest margin and a higher for longer environment it gives you the opportunity once the Fed does begin to cut to re-price those down more rapidly.

So although we remain asset sensitive, that out of the gate in a Fed easing cycle say for the first 100 basis points or so that can actually be helpful. That can be a tailwind that offset some of that natural asset sensitivity.

C
Catherine Mealor
KBW

Great. Okay. That is very helpful just to put it into context. Okay. Thank you so much. Appreciate it.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Catherine.

Operator

Our next question comes from Kevin Fitzsimmons of D.A. Davidson. Go ahead.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Hey guys. Good morning.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Kevin.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Maybe -- I appreciate all the color and the outlook looking further out. I guess what I want to drill into a little more is, what happened in second quarter. It seems like Tom, that the -- you guys had guided to more margin pressure and then stabilizing in the back half of the year.

So the -- it seems like the margin definitely held up better than you, and we expected. And I guess it's on the cost of deposits. So what -- if you can point to what happened was it an easing of the pricing pressure, the competition, the mix shift over the course of the quarter? What kind of came in better than expected this quarter for the margin? Thanks.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

So, great question, Kevin, a couple -- several thoughts to share with you on that. First of all, so the guidance on the full year NIM to point about maybe stabilizing in, the second half the guidance for the full year NIM does suggest more decline on a linked-quarter basis in the third quarter and the fourth quarter, right? That's where the math takes you in terms of ongoing increase in deposit cost with only one more Fed hike. Having said that…

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Right.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

…in terms of the fundamentals what happened in a positive way in the second quarter a couple of things. One is that, through the course of the year so to characterize it as you posed it easing of competitive pressures or something like that, I would say that is not the case at all. Not the case at all. I mean, it continues to be a very competitive environment for deposits. We see it everywhere we turn.

I think there's, a couple of things though. One is, through this process we have continued to experiment with combinations of product, price, promotion. We've continued to leverage -- are continually improving capabilities in digital delivery and digital promotion. We've had some success there in getting more targeted overtime.

If you look at our promotional practices today versus where they were coming into the year in January they are more targeted. That's given us the opportunity to reduce somewhat the repricing of the back book, as we go through this.

And then the other is, I'm getting all the questions so far this morning. Barry, will get some I'm sure but on the other side of the balance sheet as it relates to loans as we've said on previous calls, we have taken steps to increase the return requirements on the loans that we're making at the margin that has reduced loan growth, right?

So it's not just the deposit side. It's the calibration of the relationship between loan growth and deposit growth. And because we have dialed that back a bit on the loan growth side that gives us the opportunity to dial back a little bit less our promotional and competitive profile on the deposit side.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

So, Kevin, this is Duane. I'd just add if you recall coming out of 2022 where we experienced particularly in the second half virtually 20% loan growth for 2022 coming into the first quarter that moderated slightly, but was still very significant $290 million in the first quarter.

Then now we're seeing and as Tom noted, we're backing off. We're tightening a little bit on our ROE hurdles and that sort of thing, but we're seeing it moderate just a little bit across the system. Therefore, as Tom noted, it allows us a little flexibility on the other side of the balance sheet.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Got it. And I see the guidance on loan -- so I'm seeing that now. So you intend for loan growth and deposit growth to really be linked right at that mid single-digit pace right? So I take…

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

That's the goal.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

You'll probably won't change all that dramatically. You're comfortable with where it is now?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Yes, we are.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Okay. And let me get Barry involved since you pointed that out Tom. So, how do you feel -- I know you're subject to the CECL model, but looking further out how -- when you're stressing and when you're sitting down with your customers what kind of sense are you getting for the potential for problems down the line meaning commercial real estate maturities over the next few years that are going to see a big increase in rate? I recognize office is not a big part of your portfolio, but just trying to judge the numbers are what they are today, but like what you're concerned about or what you're not concerned about on credit? Thanks.

B
Barry Harvey
Chief Credit & Operations Officer

Hey, Kevin, this is Barry. I guess, a few things. One, as far as the maturing process, it's -- our CRE book the maturing process, we're about 14% for 2023, 34% for 2024, 32% for 2025 and then it drops off dramatically there. So our CRE book is predominantly going to be construction and in mini-perm financing.

And so there's a -- when we're looking at the various books, we're looking to see as those loans continue to reprice, then bearing in mind that all of those construction mini-perms are variable rate across the board. So, they are absorbing those higher interest rates and have been all the way along with the rate bumps. But we're continuing to look to see, as they have to hurdle from a net service standpoint, how they're going to perform, given where they were when they were underwritten, and the reserves established and the valuations versus the environment they'll need to either go to the permanent market in, or possibly sell to a third-party.

So, we're continuously evaluating those. We're not seeing a lot of cracks at this point in going through these evaluations. And we're feeling very comfortable with our book, primary source of repayment, secondary source repayment. So, we're comfortable with that aspect of it.

From a provisioning standpoint, this quarter, during the provisioning process, it was -- we were driven primarily by three factors. One was loan growth, and where the loan growth came from, and the provisioning required there. And then we did have the slight weakening in the macroeconomic forecast. That was probably about a third of our provision driver.

And then from there we did have the lengthening it out from a life of loan in our mortgage book. And since our mortgage book is $2.3 billion, when it does lengthen out from 21 quarters to 25 quarters in a given quarter, it does require some meaningful provisioning. Both -- we had provisioning both from a quantitative standpoint and we had some provisioning from a qualitative standpoint as well.

So, clearly that was the driver of the $8.2 million provision, and how much of that begins to slow from an average life expansion, we'll have to wait and see. And then from a forecasting perspective, things have been pretty good from an unemployment standpoint. Remember, sudden unemployment is one of the key, a loss driver characteristics, pretty much in every one of our books. So, if we did see a substantial weakening in the sudden unemployment, then obviously that would drive our provisioning going forward. Thus far, we've seen ever so slight changes in the fourth quarter forecast. We do have a straight-line four-quarter reversion to the mean. And then from there, the mean drives the provisioning, as it relates to the sudden unemployment attribute or national unemployment attributes.

So, I mean at this point, we feel comfortable with the guidance we provided on provisioning. And at one point probably before the year started, we thought it might be a little higher than 2022. I think at this point, we don't believe that to be the case. It may be in line or slightly less, but we don't see it being higher than what we had in 2022 based on what we know today.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Okay, thanks, Barry. One last one for me. I saw a fellow one of your Mississippi bank peers or competitors announced or executed a bond transaction where they cut down the bond portfolio by about one-third, took an upfront loss, but used it to pay down higher cost borrowings. Is that something -- I know you're already using cash flows to form [indiscernible] loan growth but is that something that's even on your radar? Thanks.

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

So Kevin, this is Tom Owens. That is not something that we have actively contemplated. We certainly are aware of those types of transactions and the one to which you're referring. And I think every balance sheet is different. Every set of circumstances is different. I can see the merit from an economic standpoint potentially in doing that type of transaction, but that is not something that we have actively contemplated at this time, no.

K
Kevin Fitzsimmons
D.A. Davidson

Got it. Understood. Thank you, everyone.

J
Joey Rein
Director, Corporate Strategy

Thank you, Kevin.

Operator

Our next question comes from Joe Yanchunis of Raymond James. Go ahead.

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

Good morning

B
Barry Harvey
Chief Credit & Operations Officer

Good morning, Joe.

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

I appreciate all the color you gave on the margin, but I was hoping to slip in one more. Given your second half outlook in conjunction with some of that deposit beta commentary you provided, when do you expect the NIM to kind of trough and inflect higher?

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

So Joe, this is Tom Owens. Again, I would not expect the NIM to traject higher in all likelihood until the pressure comes off on the deposit side, right? So, as I said in my earlier comments, I think the mirror image of the -- of what we're living through now, right? Let's say we get the Fed hike today. Let's say the market implied forwards are correct and the Fed is on hold for six or nine months. I do think that, it also depends on the nature of the Fed ease, right? If we get into a situation where the Fed has overdone it and the economy softens, we wind up in recession and you get the onset, let's say mid next year of a meaningful Fed easing cycle, a couple of hundred basis points and it just becomes apparent to the market that's what's going to happen.

Again, I would say that that book of higher beta deposits represents the opportunity to reprice down very quickly. I give you the example of March of 2020, the pandemic, the Fed, 150 basis points of emergency cuts there over the course of a couple of weeks, we had from memory $1.5 billion, $1.7 billion at that point of higher beta deposits that we were able to reprice down substantially basically immediately. So it just depends on the set of circumstances. It's virtually impossible to answer your question other than to sort of paint examples of where that could occur. But to me that would be the opportunity. The same thing that's squeezing net interest margin here this intensely competitive environment for deposit costs -- the deposits that basically is the Fed is engineered right by creating competition for bank deposits, the ability for a depositor to pick up a 5% yield on a treasury bill ETF as frictionless as that is in today's world unless and until that pressure comes off.

I think for the industry, we're going to continue to grind here with higher deposit costs and fresh on net interest margin. It will be the onset of the net using cycle that reduces that competition for deposits and alleviate some of that pressure and gives us the opportunity to reprice down our deposit book.

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

Understood. And I appreciate the thorough answer and thoughts there. Kind of switching over. So in the release and in some of your commentary you laid out your -- including your sales through service process. Can you provide some more detail on that project and maybe impact some of the potential financial impacts of some of these initiatives that you're implementing?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

I'll take a stab at that quickly. I mean, basically that is a comprehensive bank wide particularly in the retail bank organization, customer-focused sales program that is currently underway and will be implemented over the next several months. It is a sales and service focused approach. It's using an external source for that training and we're very excited about it. It's very positive.

Through the FIT2GROW process we implemented some changes in structure and relationship banker arrangements and things like that out in the retail system and this is designed to really take advantage of that. But I'd stop short of making a real financial uptick projection on what that might generate. We think in the long run, we already have an extremely strong customer base. We have a very loyal customer base. We have a very solid core deposit base et cetera throughout the system and we believe this will help us further capitalize on that strength.

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

Okay. I appreciate it. And then if I could just follow up with one last question here. So with capital levels continuing to build and the buyback in place what will it take for you to have a stronger appetite for share repurchases?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

I'm sorry, I missed part of that question. Could you repeat that?

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

Sorry. So with capital levels continuing to build and you have the buyback in place what will it take for you to have a stronger appetite for share repurchases?

T
Tom Owens
Chief Financial Officer

So this is Tom Owens. I would say as we've said on prior calls at the moment our focus with respect to deployment of capital is supporting loan growth. And we accreted capital pretty nicely during the quarter. We expect for that to continue to be the case. So we think our capital levels will build. We have not been actively engaged in buyback as you said you could absolutely see a scenario sort of building on the discussion about NIM right?

You can see a scenario where the economy softens, where loan demand declined substantially, where bank stock prices become depressed. I mean at the same time in the meantime we have been accreting capital right as we've always said that that's our preferred form of deployment is organic lending.

But as we've demonstrated in the past when circumstances arise where we don't have the opportunity to deploy the retained earnings that we're accumulating right? We certainly don't hesitate to deploy via share repurchase. So you can envision a scenario. It's hard for me to envision a scenario frankly here in the second half of this year where that would be the case. But I think depending on how 2024 plays out you could certainly imagine a scenario getting into mid to late 2024 where that could become the case.

J
Joe Yanchunis
Raymond James

All right. Well, thank you for taking my questions. Appreciate it.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Graham Dick of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

G
Graham Dick
Piper Sandler

Hey, good morning, guys.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Hey, good morning, Graham.

G
Graham Dick
Piper Sandler

So, most of my questions have been answered. I just had a couple of follow-ups. I guess starting with the loan yield, you mentioned that part of the reason that the growth guide is coming down is because you're asking for a little more on the rate side of things with your borrowers? And then I guess obviously the other part of that is generally slower economic growth in your all markets in the country as a whole. But I just wanted to get maybe some specifics on like, what the differences you're asking for from clients? I mean, is it like a 50 basis point difference versus the last time you updated this guidance, or is it something else? Are you starting to include deposit relationships into the actual I guess underwriting criteria for loans, or any color you can give there would be helpful.

B
Barry Harvey
Chief Credit & Operations Officer

Hey, Graham, this is Barry and I'll start. As it relates to the deals flowing in, I think most of our growth and I'll speak just to that, most of our growth and production opportunity is coming through -- still coming through the CRE side. We're very actively looking at other opportunities within C&I public finance consumer lending. But as far as actual strong production of viable deals that can get on the books, we're still seeing most of that production coming from CRE. And within that category, we're very, very mindful depending on the type of task it is, depending on the type of project it is, what the market is willing to enable to bear at this point. So from a structure standpoint and from a pricing standpoint, we are able to continue to improve our position from a pricing standpoint specifically whereas we might use to be able to achieve a 50 basis point origination fee on some of our CRE projects and it is project dependent and category dependent. But we're seeing 75 basis points being available to us routinely.

Same is going to be true with a little higher spread on one month SOFR we're able to see a little better consistent higher spread available to us as well. Then from the standpoint of how we approach the deposit side of the equation, our folks are laser-focused on asking for deposits. They have been continuing to ask for deposits, not just when we have an ask from the customer, but definitely when we have an ask and we're opening up our balance sheet we are requiring deposits from the customer.

Now as a condition of the loan closing, sometimes it may be most of the time is not, but we are getting those deposits. We are following up to make sure we get them and our borrowers are being very responsive. We may not be the lead bank in every single transaction. But even as the second bank and a two-bank deal, we are able to get deposits from them and our people are being very successful and very persistent about doing that. And so we've been very pleased with the results of what we've seen from that effort.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I would add real quick Graham on that question. One category Barry did not mention that we're very excited about very pleased with is and as you know in December of 2022, we announced an equipment finance division that's based in Atlanta and we're very excited about that group. We have a very high-quality team there. And as noted in the release, we're up to about $127 million outstanding in that group. We're expecting continued growth there and we're doing that in a very measured way that is mid- to large ticket equipment finance business with high-quality borrowers the lessors that we think we can continue to grow significantly.

And as you know that's part of the C&I book and prevents -- or provides some diversification to the overall portfolio. So that would be an added note. And that would be one category maybe where the ROEs are in the midrange. They're not the top end as Barry noted in some of the CRE projects, but again very high quality and we're very excited about where that business we think can head over time.

G
Graham Dick
Piper Sandler

Okay. That's helpful. And I guess just following up on that equipment division. Did you guys -- when you initially opened that, did you lay out a path to the level or to the proportion of total loans you would like that to get to in time?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yes, we did. We're nowhere near it. So, we have ways to grow, I think in that business, I think probably as an overall portfolio -- from an overall portfolio perspective, you would never see us much over the 10% range probably significantly below that for the future here, for the next several years.

B
Barry Harvey
Chief Credit & Operations Officer

Do bear in mind, this is typically going to be a five- to seven-year paper that is fully amortizing, so there will be -- it will take a while to get to the level that Duane referenced, because there will be amortization that will be -- they'll need to have to overcome that headwind as well. So, we've got plenty of runway in front of us to grow at a very nice pace, with high-quality credits before we have any concerns about concentrations or things of that nature.

G
Graham Dick
Piper Sandler

Okay. That's helpful. And I guess just I wanted to hit on expenses really quickly. I know you guys have done a lot, on this front over the last couple of years, and trimming down and as part of the FIT2GROW initiative. But I just wanted to, get any color from you guys on areas that you're looking at that you think you can improve upon or make more efficient? And then conversely other areas, where you see opportunities to invest?

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

So, we -- as we talked about in the FIT2GROW discussion, we have invested over the last several years and particularly in 2022 2023 in technology, across the system both the core loan system in our core soup-to-nuts [ph] loan processing system. We expect significant efficiencies as those things as the marketplace gets comfortable with those systems, and as we reduce any kind of headwind, the implementation of a new system creates. And so we think, efficiency can be gained there. We have invested significantly in our digital applications and digital account acquisition, and digital products and services across the system, we think that over time will also generate some efficiencies.

In some of these projects, third-party services are part of the equation. We expect that to decline over time here especially into the 2024 time period. So, those are some areas. I would note in some of the expense guidance like, mentioning equipment finance, loan production personnel throughout our system, we've been taking advantage of every opportunity to have skill sets into our production side of the company. We're very excited about that as we talk about equipment finance, as well as some commercial and corporate CRE areas, et cetera. So, we think all of those things ultimately contribute to better revenue growth, and we could see into 2024 some -- maybe lightening up some of those third-party spends, et cetera, across the system.

G
Graham Dick
Piper Sandler

Okay. That’s very helpful. Thank you, guys.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Duane Dewey, for any closing remarks.

D
Duane Dewey
President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you again, for joining us today for today's second quarter conference call. We look forward to being back together at the end of the third quarter, and appreciate the questions and look forward to continuing discussions. Thank you, and have a great day.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.