Triumph Financial Inc
NASDAQ:TFIN
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Earnings Call Analysis
Q4-2023 Analysis
Triumph Financial Inc
The company faces a challenging market environment, revealing that 7% of carriers who were active before the year's end have not been active in January, although it remains unclear how many have exited the industry or are temporarily inactive due to market conditions.
The company highlighted a strategic target of processing over 50% of all brokered freight transactions and currently handles 33%. Maintaining EBITDA profitability and achieving $100 million in revenue are prominent near-term goals, with a longer-term vision of a 50% EBITDA margin within the next 5 years.
With a robust investment of over $110 million into technology planned for 2024, which is a significant portion of noninterest expenses, the company is signaling a serious commitment to innovation, particularly for LoadPay, which they anticipate will start generating revenue in 2025.
By serving as its own bank sponsor for LoadPay, the company reaps economic advantages such as capturing float benefits and fees while reducing incremental costs.
The company is recalibrating credit terms in response to challenging economic conditions, with around $125 million in loan modifications, adjusting interest rates to better reflect borrowers' cash flow.
In a strategic partnership move, the company chose not to increase fees for factoring clients in 2023, prioritizing long-term relationships over short-term fee revenue, with plans to revisit fees in a more favorable market.
The company reported $200 million in excess capital and outlined prudent plans for its use, focusing on strategies that add long-term value without diluting shareholder interests, such as selective mergers and acquisitions (M&A).
Early discussions with power users about LoadPay confirm interest and potentially set the stage for successful distribution and adoption.
Adopting a cautious stance in equipment finance and liquid credit markets in response to a downturn, the company intends to monitor these areas for risk-adjusted opportunities, while preparedness for a prolonged transportation recession has been emphasized.
With active development for international payments expansion underway, aiming for execution in 2024, the company underscores the potential of data monetization—offering a new revenue stream and scalable business enhancements.
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Good morning. It's 9:30 in Dallas, and we're looking forward to our time with you this morning. I'd like to start by thanking you for your interest in Triumph Financial. I speak with enough of you to know what a busy time of year this is, and we sincerely appreciate you taking a moment to discuss our Fourth Quarter results with us.
With that, let's get to business. We had some great developments this quarter, and we're carrying a lot of momentum despite a persistently challenging freight environment. As you read in the letter last evening, we are also working on some interesting opportunities and seeing positive results from our efforts and investments. We remain encouraged and optimistic.
Last evening, we published our quarterly shareholder letter. That letter and our quarterly results will form the basis of our call today. However, before we get started, I would like to remind you that this conversation may include forward-looking statements. Those statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual and anticipated results to differ. The company undertakes no obligation to publicly revise any forward-looking statements. For details, please refer to the safe harbor statement in our shareholder letter published last evening. All comments made during today's call are subject to that safe harbor statement. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Aaron for a welcome and to kick off our Q&A. Aaron?
Thank you, Luke. Good morning, everyone, and welcome. I, too, hope that you found the shareholder letter, informative and even thought provoking. Before turning it over to questions, I do want to reiterate the four things that I think investors should know. First, TriumphPay hit the much anticipated target of being breakeven 1 year ahead of schedule. We're not calling this a mission accomplished moment but it is encouraging to see this performance in the face of a very soft transportation market. Second, we used this letter to announce LoadPay as a natural extension of the payments network. This wallet is targeted towards smaller truckers, which make up 95% of the entire trucking universe. And we believe that the total addressable market for LoadPay will be very large.
We further believe that our unique positioning for distribution will set LoadPay apart from any others who've come before, and we hope and expect we will see widespread adoption. Third, we did recognize some credit expense during the quarter that was outside our normal performance. The majority of that was tied to the rate and freight environment. And while we don't ever love having that happen. I would say overall, I'm pleased with how our credit performed through one of the most challenging years in recent memory.
And finally, the year ahead could continue to be difficult from a short-term or near-term earnings perspective, especially if interest rates fall as projected and transportation remains weak. And we have the ability to adjust our strategy at the margins to offset some of those headwinds, but we will not deviate from the plan. If you own our stock or considering owning our stock, you need to be prepared to accept the revenue volatility that we talk about associated with our business. It would also be helpful if you're considering investing to understand, we think in longer windows of time, 5-year increments generally. We are not distracted by 1 or 2 or even 3 years of headwinds, if we are seeing progress on the long-term vision. And there is no question in my mind we are seeing progress on the long-term vision.
2023 was not a great year for earnings, but it was a great year for Triumph Financial. We are far better as a company and far further on our journey than we were when we began the year. The plan is the same for 2024. And with that, I will turn the call over for questions.
We will now go to Q&A. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Joe Yanchunis from Raymond James.
So I appreciate the color on noninterest expenses that you gave in the shareholder letter, but can you give a range of outcomes of how noninterest expenses would fare, including some of the special initiatives you're working on? And then additionally, based on your shareholder letter, it sounds like the launch of LoadPay as well as what you just said is a given at this point. How much incremental expenses will that program add to 2024 and 2025?
Brad, why don't you take the LoadPay question, and then I'll follow up.
Sure. So we have guided to kind of a core expense growth for the year of about 5%, and we continue to think that is a good number, not considering initiatives like LoadPay. It would be a fair modeling assumption for today to think in terms of mid- to high single digits for overall expense growth, including the things like LoadPay.
And I don't know, Joe, if I totally understood the first part of the question about the variability around expenses. We have a strategy that is built, as you well know, in and around creating the payments network for trucking and the ways in which we continue to add value and monetize that. I really don't think you're going to see anything happen in the year 2024 that will make us deviate from the investments in and around that strategy.
So there are things like I said in the opening, we can do with the margins, but there's not going to be material changes in how we think about investing or not investing as long as we're seeing progress towards the long-term goals.
Understood. And then on the 3Q call, you noted you had $9 billion in annualized payment volume that was scheduled to come online in the coming quarters. Looks like in this past quarter, you added $1.3 billion in annualized payment volume. I understand there's fluctuations in average invoice prices can move this amount. But can you provide us an update on how much contracted volume you expect to come online in the coming quarters?
Yes, I can take that one. So Joe, when we onboarded the clients from last quarter, we have seen the majority of that volume come onboard. There's about another 2 billion gap that is not there as a result of the continued pressures on the market that we had initially anticipated, but just their shrinkage. And so that exists. It looks -- it could continue into this year, but that's where the miss is. Additionally, there were shippers that are in our integration pipeline of another $2 billion, $2 billion to $3 billion that we're expected to be able to go live in the last quarter of last year, but they remain in the pipeline, and we expect them to come on this first half.
Got it. So that $4 billion to $5 billion in annualized payment volume that's coming online that you have line of sight into?
Yeah.
A couple more for me here. In the shareholder letter, you noted that 4 factoring companies joined TPay, which on a percentage basis is pretty meaningful. Is there any way to quantify the aggregate size of these factoring companies? And what does the typical volume ramp look like for a factoring company joining the payment network?
Yes. So that -- so one of them was what we would consider a Tier 1, which is over $100 million in NFE, net funds employed and the others were smaller factors in the network that would be classified as a Tier 3. So in terms of volumes are not -- it's not huge what they received from the network that was different. You can't think of a factor the same way you do as a broker. The value to them is different in how they leverage the network. And so a $100 million broker is very different than a $100 million factor. So that's how they're classified.
Okay. I appreciate that. And then the last one for me is, we saw last night, Covenant Logistics called out severe weather as a potential headwind to 1Q earnings along with normal seasonal declines, understand quarter-to-date average trend transportation invoice sizes are up, but they do appear to be trending down. Do you have a sense for how 1Q volumes will shake out for the industry?
Yes. Joe, I think it's interesting because what has happened is we are 7 weeks into positive indication of average invoice amount and margin improvement for our carriers. I think the challenge that we have is we've had a head fake in this space before due to seasonality, due to weather, due to a variety of small carriers parking their capacity. And so it's a little bit too early to tell what direction we're going. But we have built our business around surviving whatever direction that is.
Yes. I think to add on to that, Joe, the -- like in our factoring business, 7% of our carriers who were active before the end of the year have not been active in January. We don't know whether that means they've left the industry, I doubt that all of them have done so. And some of them have chosen to park their trucks because they knew the market was soft. And the weather would -- if you're going to clear a spot load in this weather, a carrier is going to get -- expect to be paid more because it's more difficult and time-consuming. So it's hard to create a trend line, as Tim was saying, over what you've seen some 3 weeks into the year.
Our next question comes from Frank Schiraldi from Piper Sandler.
Just wondering on the targets you give in the near-term. Now obviously you got the EBITDA positive ahead of schedule. You talked about getting the target of processing more than 50% of all transactions in that segment of the market. What does that imply? Or what are your thoughts on timing there? What does that imply maybe for any sort of guide you can give on near-term profitability on TriumphPay. And finally on that front, any targets, you saw really nice growth in network transactions. Any sort of targets you can share or thoughts you can share on continuing to ramp that up?
I think overall, we look at, as Aaron said, in the opening at 5-year time spans. And so when you think about the milestones that we laid out for TriumphPay of, #1, we just want to maintain EBITDA profitability throughout the year and beyond. But the second of having -- touching 50% of all brokered freight transactions, we still have a ways to go. We're at 1 of 3 transactions there, 33%. And so we'll continue to move forward on those. How quickly that happens is certainly going to depend on the market and our organic growth that we've been able to demonstrate, we're continuously doing and we have very strong pipelines. The last one that is important, and again, would be further out into that 5-year plan is to be able to hit that 50% EBITDA margin on our core business. And so there at what date we plan on doing that. We won't be able to give you that kind of direction right now, but within the next 5-year term.
And I have one more to add. And I just want to also pause at this moment and say what the TriumphPay team did, and it's always the entire team. The TriumphPay team doesn't operate in isolation from the rest of the enterprise during this past year was exceptional, absolutely exceptional. But the overall enterprise, what everyone did to pull together in the face of a very difficult environment was exceptional. But there's one other thing I want to add to Melissa's, what she said. And at the stage we are in with TriumphPay, we think this is still a revenue growth story, not just an EBITDA margin story.
So if you look at revenue growth in 2023 in the face of a falling market, pretty impressive. I also think about achieving that goal we laid out several years ago of $100 million in total revenue. We're at about 50% of that goal. We originally thought we would need to get to $100 million of revenue on $75 billion of transactions in order to breakeven. What we have learned in this journey is there's other ways to deliver value with the network that we've been able to monetize that we didn't foresee and that is a most welcome sign. So we think about full year EBITDA margin profitability for 2024. There will be volatility quarter-to-quarter with these investments we're making with the freight markets we can't make any predictions related to that. Number two, we were after 50% of all brokered freight as Melissa alluded to, and we're within a couple of large names of achieving that goal. And that's a great -- it'd be a tremendous thing to touch 1 out of every 2 transactions.
Number three, getting to $100 million in revenue, roughly doubling the revenue from where it is currently. And then long-term, we believe, just like other card networks that this business should operate at a 50% EBITDA margin or better. And all of that, as Melissa said, in the next 5 years is the vision to go and deliver. And that's about as specific on timing as we can be at this point.
I appreciate that. And just on LoadPay, I just want to make sure I understand, generally, when a traditional bank is getting into -- and you guys sort of lay out the different partners and what they generally do in these relations or in these build-outs. But so are you -- generally, I think about a more traditional bank partnering with the FinTech to build out the more customer-facing side of things. In this case, is it Triumph that's sort of doing the whole performing the entire from customer-facing side of things down to the more traditional banking as a service piece? Is that fair? And then generally, I've seen expenses upfront and revenue sort of 12 to 18 months out. Is that a reasonable kind of timeframe for LoadPay?
Yes, indeed, so we certainly use vendors, but we are doing to develop. And that's a great question, Frank, and something I want to point out. We will, in the year 2024, spend or I think of it as invest over $110 million in technology. Now that includes our people, and that includes just tech spend away from people. That is over 25% and almost 30% of all of our noninterest expenses. I don't think that there is another bank that I'm aware of that invest that much in technology. We're not just here using other people to build the tech and then marketing it under our name. Like this is built from the ground up by us for truckers because we know that there is no other bank who cares about truckers the way we care about truckers.
So it is being built by us. We certainly use vendors as any technology provider would. To the second point, as we think that in the year 2024, you're going to see roughly $5 million of investment in the LoadPay initiative. Some of that will be capitalized, some of that will be expensed. It would be reasonable to expect revenue to start showing up in 2025. There may be some that shows up in 2024, but we're not counting on it. We think of this as a 2025 and beyond opportunity.
I'm just going to confirm that yes, we are serving as the bank sponsor behind LoadPay as well. which is important from an economic perspective because it allows us to capture the float benefit, the fees, leverage our existing systems without as much incremental cost as we might, otherwise, we had rely on another bank sponsor.
Okay. And if I could sneak in just one more on the -- you mentioned in the letter on loan modifications -- and just wanted to get a sense -- I assume, generally, those are -- continue to be on the rate side, primarily. If you can share what those modifications generally look like from a rate standpoint in terms of reduction in rate? And then do those -- and then if you can just share total modifications end of period or growth in the quarter in the various segments.
I can take that one. So to your question about the modifications, yes, they are primarily around rate. They deal with credits that had variable rates and those variable rates had risen to over 10% in most cases. We're having to realign the rate to reflect the realities of the cash flow of the underlying borrower. So that means we're taking the rates down to typically between 6% and 6.5%, which you'll see in our disclosures. The total amount of the modifications we've made so far is around $125 million.
Our next question comes from Gary Tenner from D.A. Davidson.
Wanted to ask about one of your comments in the investor letter or a shareholder letter regarding the renewal of contracts with factors on the TPay network. Was there a particularly kind of large slug of renewals that came in the Fourth Quarter based on when folks came onboard and joined the network? And can you talk about kind of in general about changes, if any, of the contracts that are more financially beneficial to TPay now that, that value proposition is a bit more proven out?
I think those renewals are important just to speak to you in terms of the entire year. But as we built out the payments that were for factors, they came on later in 2022 and into 2023. Our pricing structure associated with those contracts contemplate the growth of the payments network and renegotiating the pricing to include the new brokers that have onboarded within the year for the following year. We made a conscious decision given the state of the market right now and the pain that factors are feeling with the compressed margins and rates to not increase their fees going into 2023. And we wanted to be good partners for our factoring clients, but what we did, we're able to determine is that every one of them wanted to re-up their contract and continue leveraging the network, understanding that the value is there and continuing to grow for them.
I mean is your sense then -- so you chose not to increase the fee component -- is there a sense that you will in a better environment, be able to effectively have pricing power to do so even though you kind of...?
And those are the conversations that we had with -- I'm sorry, I'm sorry, Gary...
No, go ahead.
I would say, yes, that's exactly the conversation that we had with our clients is that we wanted to make sure that as the environment in the market recovers, that we would be going back and having those conversations again in 2024.
Great. Appreciate that. And then just a quick follow-up. I don't think that I saw and I'm sorry if I missed it, but the average float at TriumphPay for the quarter. Can you provide that?
I think it was roughly $300 million.
$300 million, yes. I think we're sitting right around $300 million in average float.
And Gary, the -- how that gets accounted for, I think we've laid out in the letter before, one of the great things about where float sits now because you're generating that float on roughly $24 billion-ish in payments is we are self-funding. So any supply chain finance we are doing, where we are injecting liquidity into transactions in order to make them easier for network participants is being funded out of that float and then the excess float, of course, we just treat as if we sell overnight to the Fed at current Fed funds rates.
And just one quick point, if I do. The average was $340 million.
Our next question comes from Michael Perito from KBW.
I just had a couple. I mean, there -- I still see a few hands up, so I don't want to take away everyone's ammo here. But just to follow up on Frank's questions around LoadPay. Two questions. One, I was wondering if you could kind of just give us a really basic example of how you hope the technology to kind of work in the field and what the value proposition is for the consumers itself? And then secondly, behind that, just I believe this is really the first time you guys are going to be doing a kind of "Banking as a service" type setup. Are there any kind of bank regulatory considerations, capital required? Anything that we should be thinking about, just especially if LoadPay really starts to ramp in '25-'26 that should be on our radar?
So let me take the first part of that, and then Todd can answer the banking as a service piece. So if you think about the use case, and we've seen this in multiple fronts, and Tim has certainly seen this in our factoring business. When you think about the end of the day at a factoring company, when you're starting to bump up against the ACH deadline, right, in different banks time that a different time, but call it roughly 4:00 p.m. Central. There starts to be desperation to get dollars out the door because those truckers need that money to either fill up or whatever they need to do. And so you get really pressured towards the end of the day and certainly coming on holidays and other seasons. And so the ability to not have that deadline, but to be able to push money 24/7 through just what is essentially a journal entry on the books of TBK Bank. It allows you to smooth out funding.
And Tim could speak about that with a lot of particularity. How I think about the application in TriumphPay is, we have almost 30,000 select carriers, for example, people who are not doing business with a factoring company but are being paid directly by TriumphPay and in some cases being QuickPay by TriumphPay on behalf of the freight brokers we serve, the ability to smooth out funding to them and get it to them when they need it is a really big thing. And Tim, any other thoughts around where the value prop like even from our own factoring clients as we roll out LoadPay to them, what else would you consider?
I think you hit on the biggest part is the ability to fund 24 hours a day, 7 days a week without any sort of time constraints, the operational efficiencies within the factoring group is really important. The ability for having visibility quickly and easily for our clients is also an added benefit from that program. So LoadPay, in general, just creates a portal for us outside of the Fed, it gives us flexibility across the entire enterprise.
And when you think about a trucking company or carrier owner operator on the road, they may have an emergency on a Saturday or on the fourth of July, they have a breakdown, a blowout. Today's solutions don't afford them the ability to get paid quickly without having to do some sort of money code type transaction. LoadPay is going to allow them the opportunity to see what their pending payments are within TriumphPay, and then select that they want to be paid now and not have to wait until the next business day to receive those funds. They'll receive it instantly and can solve whatever problem is that they're trying to address. And that's huge for a trucking company for a carrier and a driver, not being stuck on the side of the road, waiting for funds to be able to fix their problems and they can get back on the road and be on time is a big deal.
And one final thing, and then we'll turn it to Todd to speak about banking as a service. Just there's far more to this than just the timing. Like the way the whole wallet is designed, the way we allow carriers to offload into a variety of products. You think about who are we competing with? I mean, that's where -- you're competing -- I mean, 97% of the payments we push out the door are well over 90% are being ACH to a bank account. I have met no banks that really care that much about their truckers who have 1 to 5 trucks. I mean, they give them okay service, but they never -- they would never build a banking or wallet experience on behalf of a small trucker.
And so there's things we're doing in the way you can move money in, the way you can move money out, the way things you can see in the user interface that no one's ever done before, and we're competing against banks who probably aren't that invested in staying the bank for a small trucking company. Of course, if it's a large fleet and publicly traded, of course, they're going to have sophisticated treasury management services, and we would not pretend that LoadPay is particularly valuable in that scenario, although we can see some things perhaps way down the road where we can be valuable with that. But we're competing against just standard bank accounts, which were never built and are not tweaked with the trucker in mind, and that's how we do everything.
How do we help truckers thrive? That's part of our mission because if they thrive, we thrive and so there's a lot more to this than just the timing but maybe just to finish up, make sure we hit your question, Todd, you can speak about banking as a service and what we're thinking of.
Yes, your question about regulatory considerations is a good one. The biggest difference between providing banking as a service capabilities and doing regular traditional banking is the involvement of these third-party vendors. And what is crystal clear is that you cannot lay off any of your compliance responsibility to any of those third parties. So that means that from a compliance perspective, we have to invest a lot of time and energy in making sure that we've got everything covered ourselves or anything that is being done on behalf of a third party keeps us in compliance with the requirements. So yes, that is a significant thing for us, but we think we've got it under control.
So just one quick clarification question. So for LoadPay, it's going to be a LoadPay mobile app that these truckers will download and then they will have VIN numbers with TBK Bank accounts with you guys -- that the money will flow in and out of correct? Is that the right general?
That's correct.
Okay. All right. Great. And then just -- really appreciate all that. Thanks for spending a few minutes on it.
And then just lastly for me and then I'll step back. Just I'm sure someone else will maybe ask a couple of more specifics about some of the credit migration you guys saw, but I have kind of a bigger picture question, Aaron. I think the balance sheet obviously hasn't grown for a while. I mean you guys talk about kind of your 5-year plan here. What's the 5-year plan for the balance sheet? How should we start -- as we start to -- we're obviously probably were not doing it today, but in the near future, we'll start thinking about 26% and start going out further, like how should we continue to think about the bank balance sheet does it continue to shrink? Do you think it continues to hold flat? I mean it feels like as the EBITDA gets better at TPay, the earnings of the bank -- I don't want to say it becomes less valuable, but it doesn't -- it's not serving the same purpose as it was kind of historically when you were just building that up from the ground up. Just would love some updated thoughts there, if you're willing.
Tremendous question, very fair question. So remember that as we go out and we seek to be a counterparty for freight brokers, over 25 of which do over $1 billion of transactions and some much larger than that. They're outsourcing payments to us, which makes them a very -- makes us a very large financial counterparty to them. So I don't see any time in the near-term where we're willing to just go it alone on fees in transportation because we could not stand face-to-face with a publicly traded freight broker and say, we can weather a downturn, right? Because we're not going to go out and raise equity from private equity or venture capital. We don't need that. We don't want to dilute our investors.
So it's important for us to be able to weather the storm, like we weathered the storm in 2023. I mean, like I said, it wasn't a great year for earnings, but we still made $1.68 a share. And so what, almost $30 million after tax in the face of a very difficult environment even while dealing with some credit issues. So that's important. Number 1 is just to be a strong financial counterparty to your constituents who are very large players and need to make sure that you can handle their business well. How I think about the bank beyond that is like that -- the value -- look at our total cost of funds is roughly 1.4%. That measures up against -- I mean, there's very few banks that can outperform that. That's a benefit of not just relentlessly pursuing balance sheet growth. And that liquidity and that low cost of funds allows us to inject liquidity into the network.
Now [indiscernible] that's different than Visa doesn't do that. Mastercard doesn't do that. But at this stage, the ability to inject and use our balance sheet to facilitate transactions to empower the network is really valuable. And I don't see that changing in the next few years. So what I can say with certainty is you're not going to see any new lines of business for us. The lines we serve are the ones we serve and we want to do that with excellence. You're not going to see balance sheet growth. You're going to see us continue to really focus on the right-hand side of the balance sheet and a very strong liquidity position and deposit base and try to be conservative and thoughtful on credit because we need to maintain a revenue base. I mean there is a reason we can invest $110 million in technology next year. It's because we have a very strong and durable revenue base to do that and to do that and still make profits as an enterprise.
And so I'm not willing to put us in a position where we put any of that at risk in the near-term. And so I think you should expect a static balance sheet. You should expect us to compound capital as a result of not growing our balance sheet, and you should expect us to be very focused on the right-hand side of the balance sheet and making sure that we're doing things that protect the deposit franchise and then make smart loans. And we generally do. There were some things this quarter, and I'm not even distracted in the equipment finance part of the business, like the provisions we made there, when you look at that in the context of that whole portfolio and that team, that's not distracting to me. That's just going to ebb and flow.
But every time we take a credit loss, we need to turn that into tuition, and it is not lost on us. I'll just end with this, that when you trade at the PE multiple at which we trade, we need to not be on this call talking about credit, right? The people -- what the investors are looking for is to see the payments network grow and for the way we generate the rest of our revenue to be done in a safe and sound manner, and that's how we think about it.
Yes. No, that's all totally fair really thorough, Aaron. So I mean, just to kind of put some numbers and summarize it, I mean so the balance sheet will stay in this $5-plus billion range for the foreseeable future, and you guys would hope to be compounding capital and continuing to invest in all your initiatives for the next handful of years minimum.
Absolutely. Yes. And right now, we have about $200 million in excess capital over -- we have internal buffers over regulatory minimums. So that number should go up absent the use of capital for M&A or to repurchase shares. And at our current valuation, I don't see that being something that we will act upon. And so M&A for us would be using that capital to do that without diluting our shareholders will be done if we think we can do it in a way that's valuable for the long-term to the payments network. That's how we think about the use of our excess capital.
[Operator Instructions]
Our next question comes from Thomas Wendler from Stephens.
I just want to go back to LoadPay here for a second. Distribution seems to be a pretty big focus for you guys and a bit of an edge you have. Have you reached out to any of these power users and gotten any preliminary feedback on the distribution of LoadPay?
Yes, we have. We wouldn't talk about it with investors unless we had talked about it with customers first.
Okay. And then just going back to credit, I know you guys not terribly a big focus here, but the equipment finance and liquid credit balances both saw a decrease last quarter just due to tighter credit box. Can you give us an idea of how you're thinking of how these loan categories moving forward?
Yes. So on the liquid credit front, we shared that we have taken the lessons learned from the loss that we experienced in the Fourth Quarter there, and we're applying those lessons. So yes, we're going to be looking at new credit opportunities and liquid credit very carefully. But we continue to feel that when the right market conditions exist and when we see the right credits, we have to be prepared to act. So you could see a time when we step back into that space, if that were to occur.
Do we see that coming right now? No, there are no indications that we'd move into that kind of environment right now, but you never know. When it comes to equipment finance, we feel that we're at really the depth of the transportation equipment cycle at this point. And so we're dealing with the fact that we're at that depth. And we've prepared ourselves to make sure that in the event that the transportation recession lasts significant period longer, we're ready for that. Our appetite to lend into the equipment finance space is still there, but we've got to have the right risk-adjusted returns there, and you've got to have strong borrowers. And so the production that we expect in equipment finance is lower for the next quarter or 2 than it's been historically, but we hope eventually it returns to normal.
And our next question will come from Joe Yanchunis.
Thank you for taking my follow-up here. Several quarters ago, I believe you discussed taking TPay International to either Canada or Mexico. Is that something you're still considering? And if so, should we expect that to occur in the next couple of years? And then Additionally, are there any updates you could provide about your plans to monetize some of the transportation data that you aggregate?
Great questions. I'll take the first one. In terms of international payments, we are making payments in Canada and in Mexico. And we are in active development on being able to take that to other regions of the world. And so you would expect to see that happen this year in 2024 as we support our growth and the shipper strategy.
And it's important to understand that I think in the next -- it may be in the next 12 months, it might be slightly longer than that. I firmly believe TriumphPay will be touching 1 out of every 2 transactions in brokered freight. And so you could look at that and you could say, well, man, that's a large penetration of the market, how big is your total addressable market? The other thing I would want you to remember is we touch 1% of transactions in the shipper market, and it is a far larger market than the brokered market. And we cannot serve the shipper market at scale, unless we do international payments.
And so Todd, and our team is -- in addition to banking as a service, there's a large workflow tied to that. We've got to be able to do North America and ultimately, international. The second thing you asked about is data. And so let's talk about that and just kind of how we look at the world. I look at -- there are 4 buckets of revenue in and around our enterprise as it now sits and then where we want to go. Number 1 is financing revenue, right? And that's easy enough to understand. That's just loans and factored receivables on our balance sheet, and that gets a certain multiple. Number 2 is float revenue. And you can see that in TriumphPay. To the extent we have excess funding, we're able to monetize that float depending upon what the interest rate environment is.
The third bucket of fees would be what we call fees, network fees, and this would be very much like interchange fees in a Visa and MasterCard network, and you see the growth that we've called out there. The one thing we haven't talked about, but I promise you we will be talking about in the future is the final bucket of fees, which is data. So if you touch 1 out of every 2 transactions in brokered freight. The question you have to ask yourself is, how can you make that valuable for your network constituents? How can we be valuable? Because it's got to start there. If we just talk about monetizing it without thinking about the value proposition, you don't have a great business.
And so we really want to think about how can we be valuable to the people who use our network to the freight brokers to the carriers, one way in which that's happening is the licensing of our payments data in our partnership with Highway, which is generating, I believe, over $1 million in run rate revenue to help fair it out fraud, to fair it out those carriers who never intended to haul the load that they bid on, on a load board but instead intended to double broker it or steal it. So we're already doing that, but not at scale. And so if you think about data. Obviously, that commands probably the highest multiple of any of those 4 buckets of fees because it's the most scalable. And we think there is an enormous market for delivering data to our constituents to help them reduce friction to help them identify capacity that's helpful to them and to mitigate fraud. And so it's in the longer-term roadmap, but it is definitely something, Joe, that we are working on.
At this time. Thank you.
So I believe what we just heard there are no further questions. We thank you for joining us. We wish you all a prosperous 2024, and we'll talk to you soon. Thank you.