S

Simply Good Foods Co
NASDAQ:SMPL

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Simply Good Foods Co
NASDAQ:SMPL
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Price: 39.01 USD -0.28% Market Closed
Market Cap: 3.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SMPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 39.01 USD, Simply Good Foods Co is Overvalued by 13%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SMPL Intrinsic Value
33.89 USD
Overvaluation 13%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Simply Good Foods Co

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Simply Good Foods Co

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for Simply Good Foods Co with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

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of Simply Good Foods Co and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

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of Simply Good Foods Co against its competitors.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Simply Good Foods Co

Current Assets 440.3m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 132.5m
Receivables 150.7m
Other Current Assets 157m
Non-Current Assets 2B
PP&E 59.9m
Intangibles 1.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 7.8m
Current Liabilities 108.6m
Accounts Payable 58.6m
Accrued Liabilities 50.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 600m
Long-Term Debt 397.5m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 202.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Simply Good Foods Co

Revenue
1.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-819.8m USD
Gross Profit
511.6m USD
Operating Expenses
-290.5m USD
Operating Income
221m USD
Other Expenses
-81.7m USD
Net Income
139.3m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Simply Good Foods Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Simply Good Foods Company experienced a robust 17.2% increase in net sales, reaching $375.7 million, largely driven by the OWYN acquisition and an additional week of sales. The company anticipates net sales growth of 8.5% to 10.5% for FY 2025, with adjusted EBITDA growth forecasted between 4% and 6%. Quest and OWYN brands are expected to contribute positively, while Atkins may see a decline of high single digits due to marketing optimizations. Despite inflationary pressures expected to compress gross margins, the firm remains optimistic about its long-term strategies, aiming for revenue growth and shareholder value enhancement.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

SMPL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Simply Good Foods Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Operating Income
55/100
Profitability
Score

Simply Good Foods Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SMPL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Simply Good Foods Co's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
68/100
Solvency
Score

Simply Good Foods Co's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SMPL Price Targets Summary
Simply Good Foods Co

Wall Street analysts forecast SMPL stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMPL is 38.76 USD with a low forecast of 31.31 USD and a high forecast of 46.2 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
31.31 USD
20% Downside
Average
Price Target
38.76 USD
1% Downside
Highest
Price Target
46.2 USD
18% Upside
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Dividends

Simply Good Foods Co
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SMPL is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Dividend Yield
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Ownership

SMPL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
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Profile

Simply Good Foods Co

Country

United States of America

Industry

Food Products

Market Cap

3.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

The Simply Good Foods Co. is a consumer packaged food and beverage company, which engages in the development, marketing, and sale of nutritional food and snacking products. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado and currently employs 263 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-07-10. The Company’s product portfolio consists primarily of nutrition bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) shakes, snacks and confectionery products. The company offers its products under various brands, such as Atkins, Quest and Atkins Endulge brand. The company offers two types of nutrition bars: Atkins Meal Bars and Atkins Snack Bars. Atkins Meal Bars contain 13 to 17 grams of protein and are available in 11 different flavors. With 2 to 4 grams of net carbs, Atkins Snack Bars contain 7 to 13 grams of protein. Atkins offers 15 varieties of Atkins Snack Bars. Its Atkins RTD shakes contain 10 to 15 grams of protein. Its shakes are available in a variety of flavors, including cookies and creme, cafe caramel and creamy chocolate. Its Plus RTD shakes contain 30 grams of protein. Its Atkins Endulge line consists of desserts without added sugar.

Contact

COLORADO
Denver
1225 17th St Ste 1000
+13036332840.0
www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com

IPO

2017-07-10

Employees

263

Officers

Executive Vice Chair
Mr. Joseph E. Scalzo
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Shaun P. Mara
Chief Legal & Corporate Affairs Officer
Mr. Timothy Richard Kraft
Advisor
Ms. Jill Short Clark
Senior Vice President of Operations
Mr. Jason Bendure
VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Timothy A. Matthews
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Vice President of Investor Relations, Treasury & Business Development
Mark Pogharian
Senior Vice President of eCommerce
Mr. Stamati Arakas
Chief Product Technology Officer
Mr. Jeremy Ivie
Senior VP & GM of Quest
Mr. Stuart E. Heflin Jr.
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one SMPL stock?

The intrinsic value of one SMPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.89 USD.

Is SMPL stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 39.01 USD, Simply Good Foods Co is Overvalued by 13%.

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