Simply Good Foods Co
NASDAQ:SMPL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SMPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 39.01 USD, Simply Good Foods Co is Overvalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Simply Good Foods Co
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Simply Good Foods Co
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Simply Good Foods Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Simply Good Foods Co
Current Assets | 440.3m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 132.5m |
Receivables | 150.7m |
Other Current Assets | 157m |
Non-Current Assets | 2B |
PP&E | 59.9m |
Intangibles | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 7.8m |
Current Liabilities | 108.6m |
Accounts Payable | 58.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 50.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 600m |
Long-Term Debt | 397.5m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 202.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Simply Good Foods Co
Revenue
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1.3B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-819.8m
USD
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Gross Profit
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511.6m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-290.5m
USD
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Operating Income
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221m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-81.7m
USD
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Net Income
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139.3m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Simply Good Foods Co
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Free Cash Flow | USD |
Simply Good Foods Company experienced a robust 17.2% increase in net sales, reaching $375.7 million, largely driven by the OWYN acquisition and an additional week of sales. The company anticipates net sales growth of 8.5% to 10.5% for FY 2025, with adjusted EBITDA growth forecasted between 4% and 6%. Quest and OWYN brands are expected to contribute positively, while Atkins may see a decline of high single digits due to marketing optimizations. Despite inflationary pressures expected to compress gross margins, the firm remains optimistic about its long-term strategies, aiming for revenue growth and shareholder value enhancement.
What is Earnings Call?
SMPL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Simply Good Foods Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Simply Good Foods Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SMPL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Simply Good Foods Co's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Simply Good Foods Co's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SMPL Price Targets Summary
Simply Good Foods Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMPL is 38.76 USD with a low forecast of 31.31 USD and a high forecast of 46.2 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SMPL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SMPL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Description
The Simply Good Foods Co. is a consumer packaged food and beverage company, which engages in the development, marketing, and sale of nutritional food and snacking products. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado and currently employs 263 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-07-10. The Company’s product portfolio consists primarily of nutrition bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) shakes, snacks and confectionery products. The company offers its products under various brands, such as Atkins, Quest and Atkins Endulge brand. The company offers two types of nutrition bars: Atkins Meal Bars and Atkins Snack Bars. Atkins Meal Bars contain 13 to 17 grams of protein and are available in 11 different flavors. With 2 to 4 grams of net carbs, Atkins Snack Bars contain 7 to 13 grams of protein. Atkins offers 15 varieties of Atkins Snack Bars. Its Atkins RTD shakes contain 10 to 15 grams of protein. Its shakes are available in a variety of flavors, including cookies and creme, cafe caramel and creamy chocolate. Its Plus RTD shakes contain 30 grams of protein. Its Atkins Endulge line consists of desserts without added sugar.
Contact
IPO
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one SMPL stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.89 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 39.01 USD, Simply Good Foods Co is Overvalued by 13%.