Super Micro Computer Inc
NASDAQ:SMCI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SMCI stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.43 USD. Compared to the current market price of 33.15 USD, Super Micro Computer Inc is Undervalued by 33%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Super Micro Computer Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Super Micro Computer Inc
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Super Micro Computer Inc. is a formidable player in the global technology landscape, specializing in high-performance, high-efficiency server solutions and innovative computing technologies. Established in 1993, the company has cultivated a robust reputation for delivering cutting-edge products that cater to the rapidly evolving demands of data centers, cloud computing, and enterprise IT. With a diversified portfolio that includes servers, storage solutions, and networking products, Super Micro is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth of big data and artificial intelligence. Backed by a commitment to sustainability, the company’s Green Computing initiative underlines it...
Super Micro Computer Inc. is a formidable player in the global technology landscape, specializing in high-performance, high-efficiency server solutions and innovative computing technologies. Established in 1993, the company has cultivated a robust reputation for delivering cutting-edge products that cater to the rapidly evolving demands of data centers, cloud computing, and enterprise IT. With a diversified portfolio that includes servers, storage solutions, and networking products, Super Micro is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the exponential growth of big data and artificial intelligence. Backed by a commitment to sustainability, the company’s Green Computing initiative underlines its focus on energy efficiency and environmental responsibility, which resonates well with today’s conscientious investors.
From an investment perspective, Super Micro showcases a solid business model driven by a strong emphasis on research and development, which facilitates the continuous enhancement of its product line. The company's extensive global reach allows it to serve a diverse clientele, from tech giants to emerging enterprises, which mitigates the risks associated with dependency on a single market. Moreover, recent partnerships and strategic expansions into international markets highlight its growth trajectory, making it an attractive prospect for investors looking for exposure to the burgeoning technology sector. With a management team experienced in navigating economic fluctuations and a clear vision for future scalability, Super Micro presents a compelling narrative for those seeking to invest in a company poised for long-term success.
Super Micro Computer, Inc., commonly referred to as Supermicro, operates in several core business segments that cater to diverse computing needs across various industries. These segments include:
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Server and Storage Solutions: Supermicro is best known for its high-performance server solutions, which include a wide range of products such as rackmount servers, blade servers, and storage systems. This segment targets data centers, cloud computing, and enterprise customers, focusing on efficiency, scalability, and energy savings.
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Networking Solutions: Supermicro provides networking hardware and software solutions that enhance the connectivity and performance of their server products. This includes network switches and advanced networking solutions tailored for high-performance computing environments.
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Motherboards and Accessories: The company designs and manufactures high-quality motherboards and various peripheral accessories that support its server and storage products. Their motherboards are optimized for various workloads and power configurations.
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Data Center Solutions: This segment encompasses integrated solutions for data center operations, including management software, rack systems, and other infrastructure components. Supermicro aims to provide comprehensive solutions that optimize data processing and storage capabilities.
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Cloud Computing Solutions: Supermicro offers solutions specifically tailored for cloud service providers. This includes optimized server systems designed to handle virtualization and large-scale data processing required in cloud environments.
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AI and HPC Solutions: With the rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC), Supermicro has developed specialized products to support these applications. This includes systems designed for machine learning, data analytics, and scientific computing.
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OEM and ODM Services: Supermicro also serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and original design manufacturers (ODMs) by providing customized server and storage systems that meet specific customer requirements.
These core segments position Supermicro as a competitive player in the IT infrastructure market, catering to a wide range of customers from small businesses to large enterprises and cloud service providers. Their focus on innovation, high performance, and efficiency is instrumental in securing a strong foothold in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.
Super Micro Computer Inc. (often referred to as Supermicro) competes in the high-performance computing, server, and storage systems market. Several unique competitive advantages set Supermicro apart from its rivals:
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Customization and Flexibility: Supermicro offers a high level of customization in its products, allowing customers to tailor server configurations according to specific needs. This adaptability can appeal to niche markets and specialized applications, providing an advantage over competitors that offer more standardized solutions.
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Product Range and Innovation: The company provides a wide array of products, including servers, workstations, storage systems, and networking solutions. Their focus on high-efficiency and performance-oriented products resonates well with sectors such as cloud computing, AI, and big data, enabling them to innovate continually to meet emerging market demands.
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Green Computing: Supermicro emphasizes eco-friendly solutions with its commitment to energy-efficient products. Their "We Keep IT Green" initiative focuses on reducing energy consumption in data centers, which can attract environmentally conscious customers and help organizations lower their operational costs.
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Strong Supply Chain Management: Supermicro has established a robust supply chain that enables quick design and delivery of custom solutions. This agility helps them respond promptly to changing market demands and customer needs, giving them a competitive edge over companies with longer lead times.
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Quality and Reliability: The company prides itself on high product quality and reliability. Their rigorous testing and quality assurance processes ensure that customers are receiving dependable and durable products, which can lead to repeat business and strong customer loyalty.
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Global Reach with Local Support: Supermicro operates across multiple countries, allowing them to serve a diverse global customer base while providing localized support. This combination of global resources and localized service enhances customer satisfaction and can differentiate them from competitors.
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Cost-Effective Solutions: By utilizing a vertically integrated business model, Supermicro can often offer competitive pricing while maintaining quality. Their ability to control costs throughout the supply chain can be a significant advantage in price-sensitive market segments.
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Strategic Partnerships: Supermicro maintains strong relationships with leading technology companies and suppliers, enhancing its ability to offer cutting-edge solutions. Collaborating with prominent players in the industry enables them to integrate the latest technologies into their offerings effectively.
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Comprehensive Service and Support: The company provides extensive post-sale support, including warranty, maintenance, and services, which can create additional value for customers and enhance client relationships.
In summary, Supermicro's competitive advantages arise from its flexibility and customization capabilities, focus on innovation and sustainability, strong supply chain management, commitment to quality, global reach with localized support, cost-effective solutions, strategic partnerships, and comprehensive customer service. These factors enable Supermicro to differentiate itself in a highly competitive marketplace.
Super Micro Computer Inc. (often referred to as Supermicro) operates in a dynamic environment and faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The semiconductor and electronics industries have faced significant supply chain challenges due to factors like the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and shortages of crucial components. Supermicro relies on an efficient supply chain to deliver its products on time, and any disruptions could impact its ability to fulfill orders and maintain customer relationships.
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Competition and Market Saturation: The server and data center market is highly competitive, with several established players (e.g., Dell, HPE, Lenovo) and emerging companies vying for market share. Supermicro needs to continuously innovate and differentiate its products to maintain its competitive edge. Market saturation in some segments may also pressure pricing and margins.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes can make existing products obsolete quickly. Supermicro must invest in research and development to stay ahead of the curve and meet customer demands for advanced solutions, such as AI, edge computing, and cloud services.
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Regulatory Compliance: As a global supplier, Supermicro must navigate various regulatory environments concerning data privacy, export controls, and environmental standards. Non-compliance can result in legal issues, fines, and damage to brand reputation.
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Cybersecurity Threats: With increasing concerns over cybersecurity, especially in data centers and enterprise solutions, Supermicro faces risks related to product vulnerabilities. A significant data breach or security flaw within its systems could severely damage its reputation and result in financial losses.
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International Trade Tensions: Geopolitical issues, especially U.S.-China relations, can impact Supermicro’s operations. Tariffs and trade restrictions could increase costs and limit access to materials and markets.
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Economic Factors: Economic fluctuations, such as recessionary pressures or changes in IT spending by companies, can affect demand for Supermicro's products. A slowdown in capital expenditures by enterprises could lead to reduced sales.
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Customer Concentration: If Supermicro relies heavily on a small number of key customers, losing one or more of them could have a disproportionate negative impact on revenue. Diversifying the customer base is essential to mitigate this risk.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Increasing emphasis on sustainability and reducing carbon footprints may require Supermicro to adapt its products and practices, potentially incurring additional costs and operational changes.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry is facing a talent shortage, and Supermicro must continue to attract and retain skilled professionals to drive innovation and support its business operations.
Understanding and proactively addressing these risks and challenges will be crucial for Supermicro's growth and stability in the near future.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Super Micro Computer Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Super Micro Computer Inc
Current Assets | 9.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.7B |
Receivables | 2.7B |
Other Current Assets | 4.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 888.6m |
PP&E | 414m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 474.6m |
Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Accounts Payable | 1.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 237.9m |
Other Current Liabilities | 621m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 298m |
Earnings Waterfall
Super Micro Computer Inc
Revenue
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14.9B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-12.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-846m
USD
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Operating Income
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1.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-57.5m
USD
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Net Income
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1.2B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Super Micro Computer Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In its latest earnings call, Supermicro reported Q1 fiscal 2025 revenues of $5.9 billion to $6 billion, up 181% year-over-year, reflecting the rising demand for AI solutions. Gross margins improved to approximately 13.3%, while operating margins reached about 9.9%. However, guidance for Q2 anticipates revenue between $5.5 billion and $6.1 billion, with expected gross margins down 100 basis points due to product mix. Supermicro is also addressing auditor delays but expects continued strong growth as new GPU chips become available. With robust cash flows and inventory levels, the company remains well-positioned for future growth.
What is Earnings Call?
SMCI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Super Micro Computer Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Super Micro Computer Inc's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SMCI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Super Micro Computer Inc's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Super Micro Computer Inc's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SMCI Price Targets Summary
Super Micro Computer Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMCI is 48.23 USD with a low forecast of 15.15 USD and a high forecast of 105 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SMCI is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SMCI Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Super Micro Computer, Inc. manufactures servers and other computer products. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California and currently employs 4,155 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-03-29. The Company’s solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, blades, workstations, complete rack scale plug and play solutions delivering pre-defined and pre-tested full rack solutions, networking devices, system management software, and server sub-systems. The company also provides global support and services to help its customers install, upgrade and maintain their computing infrastructure. The firm offer provides array of server models and configurations from which customers chooses solutions according to their computing needs. Its products include SuperBlade, MicroBlade, SuperStorage, Twin, Ultra Server, GPU or Accelerated, Data Center Optimized, Embedded and MicroCloud.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SMCI stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.43 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 33.15 USD, Super Micro Computer Inc is Undervalued by 33%.