Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
NASDAQ:SHEN
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Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
Earnings Call Analysis
Q3-2023 Analysis
Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
In the realm of expanding broadband access, the company has made considerable progress by extending almost 20,000 new Glo Fiber passings in the third quarter, a significant bump that resulted in a 55% year-over-year growth. By crossing a significant milestone, their Glo Fiber passings are now almost equivalent to their Cable Market Passing. Looking ahead, the company is on track to double the size of its broadband business, forecasted to double the broadband passings once more by the end of 2026, backed by the Horizon Telcom acquisition expected to close in 2024 and accelerated construction.
The company's focus on high-speed internet has paid off, evidenced by the expansion of Glo Fiber's customer base by 77% over the past year. Subscribers for broadband data have surged by 78% since the third quarter of 2019, a clear indication of a soaring demand for better internet services, paving the way for prospective subscriber growth in the following years. The subscriber increase has sizably contributed to the uplift in broadband revenue, which grew 8.1% to $67.4 million, and the adjusted EBITDA for broadband which rose by an impressive 19.4% to $26.6 million in the third quarter. High-speed data continues to be a bedrock of profitability with gross margins over 80%.
While the Tower segment revenue remained consistent with 2022, adjusted EBITDA experienced a $400,000 decrease, attributed mainly to accounting adjustments. The company remains resilient in the face of T-Mobile's plan to decommission leases as part of the Sprint network rationalization, with expectations for tower lease terminations to extend over the next two years for some sites.
The third quarter saw a 7.3% boost in consolidated revenue, riding at $71.8 million, thanks to the robust performance of the broadband sector. However, alongside this growth, the company experienced a more pronounced free cash flow deficit, which deepened by $23 million compared to the previous year. This financial outcome reflects the simultaneous investment in capital-intensive expansion projects while pursuing top-line growth.
Debt levels stood at $150 million as of September 30, with no significant maturities looming until 2026. In preparation for future expansions, the company anticipates drawing the remaining $150 million of delayed draw term loans during the fourth quarter, maintaining a proactive approach to liquidity management and growth funding.
A notable trend is the increase in the average revenue per user (ARPU) for broadband data, which climbed by 5.8% year-over-year to reach $77. Contributing to this rise were additional equipment revenue and a shift towards higher speed tier subscriptions. Compelling offerings like Glo TV Video Service, which are now available to over 99% of homes passed, are contributing to customer upgrades, with around 11% of Glo Fiber customers subscribing to the service.
The company has poured significant investment into government subsidized projects with the expectation of recovering about half of the $18 million spent as they complete construction. The overall capital spending guidance has been scaled down to $243 million to $258 million for the full year, primarily due to fewer fiber passings than initially projected, which allowed for the deferral of some cable system capacity upgrades while still delivering customer broadband speed enhancements.
New services installation added almost $98,000 in monthly revenue, 10% above the average of the past four quarters. Simultaneously, the third quarter saw the removal of 289 T-Mobile backhaul circuits, in addition to the decommissioning of two non-revenue towers, taking the total tower count down to 220. These structural adjustments are prudent steps to streamline operations and focus on revenue-generating assets.
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Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Shenandoah Telecommunications' Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded.
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Kirk Andrews, Director of Financial Planning and Analysis for Shentel.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. The purpose of today's call is to review Shentel's results for the third quarter of 2023. Our results were announced in our press release distributed this morning, and the presentation we'll be reviewing is included on the Investor page at our website www.shentel.com. Please note that an audio replay of this call will be made available later today. The details are set forth in the press release announcing this call.
With us on the call today are Chris French, President and Chief Executive Officer; Ed McKay, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Jim Volk, Senior Vice President of Finance and CFO. After our prepared remarks, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.
As always, let me refer you to Slide 2 of the presentation, which contains our safe harbor disclaimer and remind you that this conference call may include forward-looking statements subject to certain risks and uncertainties. These may cause our actual results to differ materially from the statements. Therefore, we have provided a detailed discussion of various risk factors in our SEC filings, which you are encouraged to review. You're cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
With that, I'll now turn the call over to Chris. Go ahead, Chris.
Thanks, Kirk. We appreciate everyone joining us this morning and hope everyone is well. Today, we're planning to discuss our third quarter financial and operating results, excluding the results and impact of the Horizon Telcom transaction we announced last week unless it's expressly noted. Our respective teams are very excited about this transformative combination and have already started work on obtaining the necessary approvals and doing early-stage planning for the upcoming integration. We will have more to share in future earnings calls.
I'll now turn to the highlights of our third quarter results. We continue to make solid progress in executing our Glo Fiber growth plan. As noted on Slide 4, we added almost 20,000 new Glo Fiber passings in the third quarter. We increased passing 55% year-over-year and crossed the 200,000 milestone during the quarter. Our Glo Fiber passings are now almost the size of our Cable Market Passing.
As we approach our fourth quarter of launching our first Glo Fiber market in November, we will have doubled the size of our broadband business in terms of passing. With Horizon Telcom acquisition expected to close in 2024 and accelerated construction anticipated across all of our markets, we expect to double the broadband passings again by the end of 2026.
Moving to Slide 5. Our sales team added over 4,500 Glo Fiber data subscribers in the third quarter and has grown the Glo Fiber customer base by 77% over the past year. Similar to the high growth in broadband passing, we've grown total broadband data subscribers by 78% since the third quarter of 2019. Our track record over the past 4 years provides confidence for us to grow our broadband data subscriber base at similar growth rates in the next 3 to 4 years as we expand our Glo Fiber network.
As reflected on Slide 6, the growth in broadband data subscribers has driven a steady expansion of our consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin year-over-year since 2019 when we launched Glo Fiber. The key catalysts for the margin improvement are the combination of extremely scalable fiber networks, which are driving incremental high-speed data gross margins of more than 80% and our ability to gain scale in our selling, general and administrative expenses. We expect margins to continue to expand as we execute our Glo Fiber growth plan and close on our acquisition of Horizon.
With that, I'll now turn the call over to Jim to review the details of our financial results.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. I will start with our broadband financial results for the third quarter of 2023 on Slide 8.
Broadband revenue grew $5.1 million or 8.1% to $67.4 million. Glo Fiber revenue was the primary catalyst, growing $4.4 million or 90% from the prior year period with strong customer growth and a 5.8% increase in data subscriber ARPU. Cable Market revenues, excluding the impact of our discontinued Beam service, grew $300,000 or 0.7% due primarily to a 1% growth in data subscriber ARPU. Commercial Fiber revenue grew $900,000 or 9.4% to $10.4 million due to $500,000 in recurring revenue from circuit growth and $400,000 in nonrecurring early termination fees related to backhaul disconnects in the quarter.
As previously announced, T-Mobile is planning to shut down portions of the former Sprint network and disconnected 71 backhaul circuits during the third quarter. We expect approximately 80 additional backhaul disconnects as part of this network rationalization. Broadband adjusted EBITDA grew 19.4% to $26.6 million in the third quarter when compared to the same period in 2022 due to revenue growth of $5.1 million, partially offset by $700,000 in higher advertising expenses to support the Glo Fiber expansion. As Chris mentioned earlier, we continue to see the benefits of operating leverage of our Glo Fiber business as broadband cost of service increased only $100,000 despite adding 15,000 customers over the past 12 months.
On Slide 9, Tower segment revenue was in line with the same period 2022. We have not recognized any churn from T-Mobile year-to-date, though we have received notices that they plan to terminate 53 leases as part of the previously announced decommissioning of the former Sprint network. The [ pay and walk ] agreement with T-Mobile that allows T-Mobile to terminate leases with only a $10,000 termination fee ended on September 1. These 53 leases will continue to generate rental revenue until all required equipment is renewed from the leased property and the inspection notice is issued.
We expect the rental revenues could continue for up to two more years for a portion of these leases. Most of the remaining T-Mobile tower leases have an initial term ending in 2029 with optional lease extensions to 2049. Tower adjusted EBITDA declined $400,000 due primarily to the accounting associated with the transfer of a cable-only tower to the Broadband segment and termination of a related intercompany ground lease.
Moving to Slide 10. Consolidated revenue grew 7.3% to $71.8 million in the third quarter due to the pre -- broadband. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA grew 20.5% to $22.9 million, also due to growth in broadband.
We have $286 million of liquidity as of September 30, as displayed on Slide 11. This liquidity position does not include the incremental committed financings related to the Horizon transaction. Negative free cash flow for the first 9 months of 2023 was $23 million more than prior year due primarily to increased investments in expanding Glo Fiber and government subsidized construction to [ unserved ] -- partially offset by $29 million in income tax and sales tax refunds received 2023. Please also note, we received $17 million in proceeds for the closing of the 2.5 gigahertz spectrum sale in July that is reported separately from capital expenditures in the cash flow from investing activities.
As reflected on Slide 12, our outstanding debt was $150 million as of September 30. We have no significant debt maturities until 2026. We expect to draw the remaining $150 million of delayed draw term loans in the fourth quarter for the terms of our credit agreement.
And now I'll turn the call over to Ed.
Thank you, Jim, and good morning. I'll start on Slide 14 with an update on our rapidly expanding integrated broadband network to now consist of over 9,300 route miles of fiber.
In the third quarter, we launched two new Glo Fiber markets in Hanover County, Virginia, and Greekcastle, Pennsylvania, and we now offer Glo Fiber multi-gigabit service in 21 markets with engineering and construction underway in four additional markets. We also added five new franchise agreements in the third quarter to bring Glo Fiber to over 40,000 additional homes and businesses, including the city of Lancaster and additional boroughs and townships adjacent to our existing markets in Pennsylvania.
Turning to Slide 15. Our total number of approved Glo Fiber passings has grown to 519,000 with 70 franchise agreements in 23 markets across five states. In addition, we continue to have success with government grant awards. In the third quarter, we were awarded $2.6 million in grants to bring broadband to approximately 1,000 additional unserved homes adjacent to our cable systems in West Virginia. We've now been awarded a total of approximately $90 million in grants that will enable us to extend broadband to over 28,000 unserved locations, primarily through fiber-to-the-home technology.
Our engineering and construction teams continue to deliver in the third quarter with the addition of over 20,000 new fiber passings, bringing our total to over 203,000 including approximately 1,000 that are part of government-subsidized projects. In addition, our construction backlog remains very robust with 340,000 incremental passings approved for construction.
Our construction pace is dependent on other utilities to process pole attachment permits and locate existing underground facilities. In some cases, the industry-wide high volume of broadband deployment is causing delays for both permitting and locates. This is a risk we're monitoring closely and actively working with our utility partners to mitigate and we expect to finish the year with approximately 235,000 total fiber passes.
As we ramp up Glo Fiber construction, we continue to see strong customer growth as shown on Slide 16. As Chris mentioned, we saw Glo Fiber data customers increased 77% year-over-year, ending the quarter with over 37,000. We've added over 16,000 broadband data customers in the past year, our penetration rate climbed to 18.5% in the third quarter, up from 16.1% a year ago. Our total number of data, video and voice revenue-generating units has reached 46,000, up approximately 68% year-over-year.
Our broadband data average revenue per user increased by 5.8% year-over-year and reached $77 for the quarter. This was driven by a combination of additional equipment revenue and customers selecting higher speed tiers. For the quarter, 47% of our new residential subscribers adopted speed tiers of 1 gig or higher, including approximately 4% that took speed tiers of 2 gig or higher. Glo TV Video Service is now available to over 99% of the homes that we pass. At the end of the third quarter, approximately 11% of our total Glo Fiber customers subscribe to video service and approximately 12% subscribe to voice service.
And finally, our churn continues to remain very low at 1.1%, an improvement of 10 basis points over the third quarter of 2022. We continue to focus on providing the fastest speeds in our markets, outstanding local customer service and fair straightforward pricing. We recently surveyed almost 3,000 Glo Fiber customers, and we were very pleased with our Net Promoter Score of 61. As comparison, many broadband providers are in the single digits or even in the negative range. In addition, over 82% of our customers indicated that they have already recommended Glo Fiber to a friend or family.
Moving to Slide 17, we highlight our data penetration rates as our markets age. All of our cohorts continue to see steady increases quarter-over-quarter. Our third quarter 2022 cohort has already reached 18% penetration after one year, and we are seeing penetration rates above 30% after three years. Our oldest cohort launched in late 2019 is now quickly approaching our target average terminal penetration rate of 38%.
Let's move on to our operating results for our Cable Markets on Slide 18. Broadband data subscribers had a slight increase year-over-year, remained flat quarter-over-quarter and ended the third quarter at about 109,000. Our total revenue-generating units decreased by about 3% year-over-year as we continue to see declines in video service and residential voice service due to [ quarter churn. ] Our data penetration decreased slightly year-over-year from 51.5% to 51.3% at the end of the third quarter. Although we saw a slight increase in the number of broadband data subscribers year-over-year, we've also added almost 1,500 new passings over the past year.
Broadband data churn was 1.74% for the quarter and fairly consistent year-over-year despite overbuilder activity in some markets that we previously disclosed. We've increased broadband speeds in all of our markets, giving customers higher speeds and more value for the same price. As we have proactively moved customers to higher speeds, we've been able to maintain our ARPU, which is up 1% year-over-year to approximately $82 in the third quarter of 2023.
Turning to Slide 19, we highlight our Broadband Enterprise and Wholesale Commercial Fiber business. During the third quarter, we booked new sales with monthly revenue totaling approximately $75,000. This is a decline versus third quarter of 2022. However, our year-to-date 2023 new sales bookings are in line with 2022. We also installed new services totaling almost [ $98,000 ] in incremental monthly revenue in the third quarter, which is about 10% higher than our average over the past 4 quarters. Third quarter 2022 was elevated primarily due to the installation of a major E-Rate customer generating over $27,000 in monthly revenue.
For cell site backhaul connections, T-Mobile continues to reduce the number of circuits as part of their Sprint network rationalization project. Over the past year, they removed 289 connections. And as Jim mentioned, we expect approximately 80 additional disconnects. The remaining cell sites are under long-term contracts. Our engineering and operations team continues to provide a quality network experience for our customers and excluding T-Mobile network rationalization, churn and revenue compression for the Commercial Fiber business decreased year-over-year to 0.3% in the third quarter.
Turning to Slide 20, our Tower segment. We ended the third quarter with 446 total tower tenants and approximately two tenants per tower. Our third-party tower tenants remained constant at 436. However, our intercompany tower leases decreased from 21 to 10 as we turned down Beam fixed wireless sites in 2022. As Jim mentioned, we do expect T-Mobile to eventually reduce the number of tower leases as they complete their Sprint network rationalization project. And finally, our total number of towers decreased to 220 as we decommissioned two nonrevenue towers.
Our capital spending and guidance for the year is reflected on Slide 21. We've invested approximately $190 million in capital projects year-to-date. The significant increase year-over-year was driven by the ramp-up of construction in our Glo Fiber markets and the unserved markets where we win government grants. We've invested approximately $18 million in government subsidized projects year-to-date, and we expect to be reimbursed for approximately 50% of these costs as we complete construction.
For Glo Fiber, we've invested almost $140 million year-to-date, including approximately $127 million for engineering and construction and $13 million to connect new customers. For the full year, we have lowered our capital spending guidance to a range of $243 million to $258 million, primarily due to fewer new fiber passings in government subsidized projects and Glo Fiber markets than originally planned for the year. In addition, we were able to postpone some planned cable system capacity upgrades while still increasing customer broadband speeds in our cable markets.
Thank you very much. And operator, we're now ready for questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Frank Louthan of Raymond James.
Can you kind of sum up sort of the Tower outlook. It seems like you're getting a little bit more fees on the shutdowns and so forth and things taking a little longer. Where does that get us kind of from a quarterly run rate going forward? What's the expectation there?
And then on the Horizon deal, I think you need about $250 million or so to finish the funding. You're looking at from possibly a tower sale. What are your options for financing that if you don't get the tower sale or it comes up short, would you look at the [ ABS ] market or anything like that?
Yes, Frank, I can jump in on both those. We haven't seen any churn yet from T-Mobile on the tower leases. They had given us proper notice under this pay and walk agreement that ended September 1 for 53 leases that they plan to terminate. The timing is uncertain exactly when those leases will be terminated. But based upon recent conversations that our teams had with them, it sounds like this could be a more of a gradual churn or disconnects than what we're seeing on the backhaul side.
So my expectation is we'll probably see some of these leases continue for up to maybe two more years based upon some of these conversations. And as you can see in our quarterly results, we're doing about $3 million of adjusted EBITDA a quarter, about $12 million annually. The 53 leases translate to about $2.2 million in revenue term when they're all fully terminated. So I hope that answers your first question.
And then as far as for the additional capital -- growth capital that we need to fund our business plan post acquisition of Horizon, we have multiple sources that we can look at. Towers is one of the sources we're going to explore. But the ABS market, as you mentioned, is another source that would be appealing to us, especially as our Glo Fiber markets, we're now getting some markets kind of go above that 20%, 25% penetration level, which would make them attractive candidates for the ABS financing.
Lastly also mentioned our current credit facility, the first maturities occur in June of '26, so by early '25, we're likely to be in conversations to refinance that facility, and that could also provide some additional capital. So we have several sources of how we can achieve our growth capital funding gap.
All right. That's great. Last question. So the CapEx blurring this year, is that just kind of deferred into next year? How should we think about that?
Yes, you are correct. We ran into some delays, as Ed mentioned, on -- especially on the subsidize builds and getting access to some of the poles and just getting some of the locates done to locate facilities before we do underground construction. And that has had a cumulative effect here that we're not likely to get as many [ testing ] done in that area this year, but we hope to catch up in '24.
Anything on those items going to -- is that going to continue? Was that a temporary slowdown? Or is there something about the co-ops or whatever that own the polls of the locate guys that's going to make that an ongoing problem? Or has that been addressed?
Yes. This is Ed. It's really a volume issue for these folks. I think we will continue to see some short-term challenges. But even with this, we're projecting roughly a 25% increase in our number of fiber passings between 2022 and 2023. We think we can continue to scale, particularly as we ramp up construction in some additional markets. So we're continuing to have some challenges there, but we think we can still grow the number of passings even with those.
And can you mitigate that with some of your vendors by giving them some commitments or something ahead of time to divert some resources? Or is it just life in small town America?
So in our case, we have the materials. We have our own construction crews ready to do the work. That's not where the issue is. It's with the actual -- the other utility companies, they're having trouble getting resources to do their permitting work for the poles and then their locates for the underground facilities. So in some cases, we're able to mitigate that by paying overtime work for -- or over time for the locators that are located underground facilities, for example.
We're also working, in some cases, to do what's called self remedy where we're able to adjust the other telecommunication facilities on the poles. So we're working on ways to mitigate that, but that's something we're going to be dealing with for the next year plus.
And our next question comes from Hamed Khorsand of BWS Financial.
Just on the topic about this CapEx shift and the permitting and so forth. Would you be putting in more investment into getting penetration rates up into the markets that you've already established and connected? Or are you just really focused on the CapEx moving forward maybe next year?
Hamed, this is Ed. So we're very focused on increasing the penetration in our existing markets. That's the primary goal of our sales and marketing teams and definitely focus in that area.
How does Horizon fit into this -- I guess, your planning scope for next year, given that you're doing everything Glo, the marketing involved, is there any form of distractions I'm trying to get to?
So we'll be using a separate engineering and construction team in the Horizon market. So we don't feel that, that will be a distraction from the current construction we're doing in the Glo markets.
I'm showing no further questions. At this time, I would like to turn it back to Jim Volk for closing remarks.
Thanks, everyone, for joining us today, and have a great day. Thank you.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.