Shoe Carnival Inc
NASDAQ:SCVL

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Shoe Carnival Inc
NASDAQ:SCVL
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Price: 37.86 USD 0.05%
Market Cap: 1B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.79 USD. Compared to the current market price of 37.86 USD, Shoe Carnival Inc is Overvalued by 19%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

SCVL Intrinsic Value
30.79 USD
Overvaluation 19%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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Shoe Carnival Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Shoe Carnival Inc

Current Assets 537.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 84.5m
Receivables 5.5m
Other Current Assets 447.1m
Non-Current Assets 577.9m
PP&E 508.6m
Intangibles 56.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 12.9m
Current Liabilities 160m
Accounts Payable 73.9m
Accrued Liabilities 86.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 336.5m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 336.5m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Shoe Carnival Inc

Revenue
1.2B USD
Cost of Revenue
-789m USD
Gross Profit
444.2m USD
Operating Expenses
-343.6m USD
Operating Income
100.6m USD
Other Expenses
-23.3m USD
Net Income
77.3m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Shoe Carnival Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Shoe Carnival reported an impressive 12.9% increase in net sales for Q2 2024, reaching $332.7 million, driven by a strong back-to-school season and a successful digital-first marketing strategy. The company raised its annual guidance for net sales to $1.23-$1.25 billion and adjusted EPS to $2.60-$2.75, reflecting growth of 5%-6%. Comparable store sales are expected to range from a 1.5% decrease to a 1% increase. The recent acquisition of Rogan's Shoes is on track, contributing to future growth, and the integration is progressing smoothly【4:0†source】【4:1†source】【4:6†source】【4:9†source】.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

SCVL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Shoe Carnival Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
53/100
Profitability
Score

Shoe Carnival Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

SCVL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Shoe Carnival Inc's solvency score is 83/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
83/100
Solvency
Score

Shoe Carnival Inc's solvency score is 83/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

SCVL Price Targets Summary
Shoe Carnival Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast SCVL stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SCVL is 51.51 USD with a low forecast of 50.5 USD and a high forecast of 53.55 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
50.5 USD
33% Upside
Average
Price Target
51.51 USD
36% Upside
Highest
Price Target
53.55 USD
41% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Unsafe
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Safe
0
25
50
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100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for SCVL is .

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Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Shoe Carnival Inc Logo
Shoe Carnival Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

1B USD

Dividend Yield

1.39%

Description

Shoe Carnival, Inc. engages in the retail of footwear products. The company is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana and currently employs 2,600 full-time employees. The firm offers customers an assortment of dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children. The firm provides customers to shop at any of its physical stores or shop online through its e-commerce platform. The company operates a single approximately 410,000 square foot distribution center located in Evansville, Indiana. The firm owns trademarks and service marks, including Shoe Carnival and associated trade dress and related logos, Y-NOT?, UNR8ED, Solanz, Shoe Perks, SC Work Wear, When You Want To 2, A Surprise In Store, Shoes 2U, Laces for Learning, Princess Lacey’s Laces, Shoe Station, Shoe Station Super Store and Shoe Station Select. The Company’s facility supports the processing and distribution needs of over 460 stores. The company has the right to expand the facility by 200,000 square feet, which provides the processing capacity to support approximately 650 stores.

Contact

INDIANA
Evansville
7500 E Columbia St
+18128676471.0
www.shoecarnival.com

IPO

1993-03-16

Employees

2 600

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Mark J. Worden
Senior VP, CFO, Secretary & Treasurer
Mr. Patrick C. Edwards
Executive VP & COO
Mr. Marc A. Chilton
Senior EVP & Chief Merchandising Officer
Mr. Carl N. Scibetta
Executive Chairman of the Board
Mr. J. Wayne Weaver
Chief Information Officer & Senior VP
Terry L. Clements
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Investor Relations
Steve R. Alexander
Senior Vice President of Supply Chain
Mr. David M. Groff
Vice President of Human Resources
Angela J. Brawdy
Senior Vice President of Store Operations
John W. Dodson
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one SCVL stock?

The intrinsic value of one SCVL stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.79 USD.

Is SCVL stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 37.86 USD, Shoe Carnival Inc is Overvalued by 19%.

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