Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SBUX stock under the Base Case scenario is 89.54 USD. Compared to the current market price of 98.26 USD, Starbucks Corp is Overvalued by 9%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Starbucks Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Starbucks Corp., founded in 1971 in Seattle, Washington, has transformed from a humble coffee bean retailer into a globally recognized coffeehouse chain, synonymous with quality and culture. With over 35,000 locations in more than 80 countries, Starbucks serves millions of customers daily. Its success can be attributed to a strong brand identity, innovative product offerings, and a commitment to customer experience. The company's emphasis on ethical sourcing and environmental sustainability, through initiatives like its C.A.F.E. Practices, appeals to a growing base of socially conscious consumers. By creating a "third place" between home and work, Starbucks has transformed the coffee-drinkin...
Starbucks Corp., founded in 1971 in Seattle, Washington, has transformed from a humble coffee bean retailer into a globally recognized coffeehouse chain, synonymous with quality and culture. With over 35,000 locations in more than 80 countries, Starbucks serves millions of customers daily. Its success can be attributed to a strong brand identity, innovative product offerings, and a commitment to customer experience. The company's emphasis on ethical sourcing and environmental sustainability, through initiatives like its C.A.F.E. Practices, appeals to a growing base of socially conscious consumers. By creating a "third place" between home and work, Starbucks has transformed the coffee-drinking experience into a social ritual, thereby cultivating customer loyalty that drives consistent revenue growth.
For investors, Starbucks represents a solid opportunity characterized by robust financial performance and a strong growth trajectory. The company has consistently delivered impressive earnings, driven by expansion in new markets, menu diversification, and the increasing popularity of digital ordering and loyalty programs. Recent investments in technology and delivery partnerships highlight Starbucks' adaptability to changing consumer behaviors, ensuring it stays ahead of competitors in a dynamic retail environment. Despite potential challenges, such as fluctuating coffee prices and evolving consumer preferences, the company continues to leverage its scale and brand equity to create shareholder value. With a commitment to innovation and responsible business practices, Starbucks Corp. stands as a compelling choice for investors seeking long-term growth in the consumer sector.
Starbucks Corporation operates through several core business segments, which are designed to drive growth and steadily expand the brand's reach. The main segments of Starbucks include:
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Company-operated Stores: This segment encompasses Starbucks retail operations in various locations globally. It includes company-owned cafes, kiosks, and other retail formats. Revenue from this segment comes from the sale of beverages, food items, merchandise, and packaged coffees.
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Licensed Stores: Starbucks licenses its brand to third-party operators, allowing them to run Starbucks cafes in various locations. This model helps expand Starbucks' reach without the capital intensity associated with company-operated stores. Revenue from licensed stores comes from licensing fees and sales of products to licensees.
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Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG): This segment involves the sale of Starbucks-branded products through grocery stores, mass merchants, and other retail outlets. Products include packaged coffees, iced coffees, ready-to-drink beverages, and other food items. This division allows Starbucks to tap into a broader market beyond its coffee shops.
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Channel Development: This includes sales to various wholesale partners, such as supermarkets, restaurants, and hotels. Starbucks sells its packaged coffees and other products through these channels, offering a diversified revenue stream.
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Food and Beverage Innovation: Within both the company-operated and licensed store segments, Starbucks continuously innovates its menu offerings, introducing new beverages and food items to attract a diverse customer base and adapt to changing consumer preferences.
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Digital Services: This encompasses Starbucks’ mobile app, loyalty programs, and e-commerce initiatives that enhance customer engagement and drive sales. The digital segment has become increasingly important as consumer habits shift towards online ordering and delivery.
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International Operations: Starbucks’ global presence enables it to tap into diverse markets and cultures, each with unique preferences and consumption behaviors, further enhancing its growth potential.
By focusing on these core business segments, Starbucks has been able to create a strong brand identity, foster customer loyalty, and maintain a competitive edge in the global coffee market.
Starbucks Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the coffee and beverage industry. These advantages contribute to its strong brand, customer loyalty, and overall business success. Here are some key competitive advantages of Starbucks:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Starbucks has established a globally recognized brand synonymous with high-quality coffee and a premium experience. The brand's logo and storefront design are iconic and evoke a sense of quality and consistency.
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Premium Product Offering: Starbucks offers a wide range of high-quality beverages, including specialty coffee, tea, and food items. Its commitment to using high-quality ingredients and offering seasonal and limited-time products helps differentiate it from competitors.
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Customer Experience: The company focuses on creating a unique and inviting in-store experience. Its cozy ambiance, knowledgeable baristas, and personalized service enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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Loyalty Program: Starbucks Rewards has successfully built a loyal customer base by incentivizing repeat visits. Customers can earn points (Stars) for purchases, leading to free items and exclusive offers. This loyalty program fosters repeat business.
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Global Presence: Starbucks has an extensive global footprint with thousands of stores in various countries. This scale allows for operating efficiencies and brand recognition, making it difficult for smaller competitors to match.
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Innovation: Starbucks is known for its ability to innovate with new product offerings, including seasonal drinks and food choices. This keeps the menu fresh and appealing to customers.
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Digital Engagement: The company has invested significantly in digital technology, including a robust mobile app that facilitates ordering, payment, and engagement. This tech-savvy approach enhances convenience and further drives customer loyalty.
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Supply Chain Control: Starbucks maintains a strong supply chain relationship by directly sourcing coffee through its Coffee and Farmer Equity (C.A.F.E.) Practices program. This ensures quality control and aligns with ethical sourcing principles, appealing to socially conscious consumers.
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Community and Sustainability Initiatives: The company actively engages in sustainability initiatives, such as ethical sourcing, waste reduction, and community support. This commitment resonates with consumers who prioritize corporate social responsibility.
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Diverse Offerings: In addition to coffee, Starbucks provides a variety of beverages, food items, and merchandise. This diversification caters to different customer preferences and enhances customer traffic throughout the day.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Starbucks continues to strengthen its position in the marketplace and withstand challenges from competitors.
Starbucks Corp, like many large corporations, faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The coffee industry is vulnerable to fluctuations in supply due to climate change, weather events, and geopolitical issues. These disruptions can affect coffee bean supply and pricing, impacting overall costs.
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Inflation and Rising Costs: As inflation continues to affect economies globally, Starbucks is likely to face increased costs for labor, raw materials, and logistics. This can pressure profit margins and may lead to higher prices for consumers.
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Labor Relations: Starbucks has seen increased unionization efforts among its employees. Labor disputes or strikes could disrupt operations and lead to increased costs associated with wage negotiations and employee benefits.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: As consumer preferences evolve, especially towards healthier options or sustainability, Starbucks must continuously adapt its menu and business practices. Failing to meet changing expectations could lead to a loss of market share.
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Intense Competition: The beverage and coffee market remains highly competitive. Competitors from specialty coffee shops to convenience store offerings and other chains continually challenge Starbucks' market position.
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Global Expansion Risks: International operations expose Starbucks to various risks, including political instability, regulatory changes, and cultural differences in consumer behavior. These factors can complicate expansion strategies.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological change can present both opportunities and risks. Starbucks must stay ahead in digital innovation, particularly in mobile ordering and payment systems, while also being vigilant against cybersecurity threats.
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Sustainability and Ethical Sourcing: There is increasing pressure on companies to adopt sustainable practices. Starbucks has commitments related to sourcing, waste management, and environmental impact. Failing to meet these obligations could damage its reputation.
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Economic Downturns: Economic instability, including potential recessions, can affect consumer discretionary spending. Starbucks may see reduced sales as customers forgo premium coffee purchases during tougher economic times.
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Health and Safety Regulations: The ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic may continue to influence how Starbucks operates, including health and safety protocols in stores and concerns over potential future public health crises.
Addressing these risks effectively will require strategic planning, adaptability, and a focus on maintaining strong stakeholder relationships to ensure Starbucks continues to thrive in the competitive coffee landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Starbucks Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Starbucks Corp
Current Assets | 6.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.5B |
Receivables | 1.2B |
Other Current Assets | 2.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 24.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 739.9m |
PP&E | 18B |
Intangibles | 3.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.4B |
Current Liabilities | 9.1B |
Accounts Payable | 1.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 29.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 14.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 15.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Starbucks Corp
Revenue
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36.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-26.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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9.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-4.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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5.1B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
USD
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Net Income
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3.8B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Starbucks Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Starbucks is committed to regaining its identity by refocusing on its core values: quality coffee and a welcoming atmosphere. The new leadership acknowledges customer concerns regarding service and menu complexity, promising to simplify offerings and enhance barista support. Management aims to revitalize growth in the U.S., where it plans to improve customer experience with faster, high-quality service. Additionally, the company is focusing on re-engaging all customers through improved marketing strategies while seeking to regain momentum in international markets like China. Starbucks aims to strengthen its operations with disciplined innovation and better-staffed stores to ensure attractive, community-centric locations.
What is Earnings Call?
SBUX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Starbucks Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Starbucks Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SBUX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Starbucks Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Starbucks Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SBUX Price Targets Summary
Starbucks Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SBUX is 103.58 USD with a low forecast of 76.76 USD and a high forecast of 126 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SBUX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SBUX Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Starbucks Corp. engages in the production, marketing, and retailing of specialty coffee. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 383,000 full-time employees. The firm has over 34,300 Company-operated and licensed stores. The company operates through three segments: North America, which includes the United States and Canada; International, which includes China, Japan, Asia Pacific, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean; and Channel Development. North America and International operations sell coffee and other beverages, complementary food, packaged coffees, single-serve coffee products and a focused selection of merchandise through Company-operated stores and licensed stores. Channel Development segment is engaged in sale of packaged coffee, tea and ready-to-drink beverages to customers outside of its Company-operated and licensed stores. The firm also sells goods and services under various brands, including Teavana, Seattle’s Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve and Princi.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SBUX stock under the Base Case scenario is 89.54 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 98.26 USD, Starbucks Corp is Overvalued by 9%.