Rivian Automotive Inc
NASDAQ:RIVN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one RIVN stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.3 USD. Compared to the current market price of 10.58 USD, Rivian Automotive Inc is Undervalued by 67%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Rivian Automotive Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Rivian Automotive Inc. is an American electric vehicle manufacturer that has captured attention for its ambitious vision to redefine sustainable transportation. Founded in 2009, Rivian focuses on producing all-electric trucks and SUVs, with its flagship models being the R1T pickup and the R1S SUV. The company distinguishes itself not only through its impressive technology—featuring innovative battery systems and advanced driver assistance—but also by tapping into the growing demand for outdoor adventure and rugged vehicles. Rivian's commitment to sustainability is reflected in its use of eco-friendly materials and a plan to establish a sprawling network of charging stations, known as the Riv...
Rivian Automotive Inc. is an American electric vehicle manufacturer that has captured attention for its ambitious vision to redefine sustainable transportation. Founded in 2009, Rivian focuses on producing all-electric trucks and SUVs, with its flagship models being the R1T pickup and the R1S SUV. The company distinguishes itself not only through its impressive technology—featuring innovative battery systems and advanced driver assistance—but also by tapping into the growing demand for outdoor adventure and rugged vehicles. Rivian's commitment to sustainability is reflected in its use of eco-friendly materials and a plan to establish a sprawling network of charging stations, known as the Rivian Adventure Network, designed to support outdoor enthusiasts across the United States.
As Rivian prepares to scale its production capabilities, the company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the booming electric vehicle market, which is expected to see exponential growth in the coming years. Despite facing challenges typical for new automakers, such as production delays and supply chain constraints, Rivian's robust funding from high-profile investors—including Amazon and Ford—has bolstered its financial standing and increased its visibility in the competitive EV landscape. With ambitious plans for expansion, including upcoming models and potential for partnerships, Rivian stands as a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the electric vehicle revolution, combining the thrill of innovation with a strong commitment to environmental stewardship.
Rivian Automotive Inc. operates in the electric vehicle (EV) market, focusing primarily on several core business segments:
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Electric Vehicles: Rivian's primary business segment is the design, manufacturing, and sale of electric vehicles. Their flagship models include the R1T, an electric pickup truck, and the R1S, an electric SUV. These vehicles are built for performance, utility, and adventure, targeting outdoor and adventure enthusiasts.
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Commercial Vehicles: Rivian has a significant focus on commercial electric vehicles, particularly through their partnership with Amazon. They are developing and manufacturing electric delivery vans that are expected to play a critical role in Amazon's sustainability goals.
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Technology and Software: Rivian also invests in proprietary technology and software for vehicle operation and user experience. This includes features such as advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), over-the-air software updates, and a robust infotainment system.
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Charging Infrastructure: Rivian is establishing its own network of charging stations, known as the Rivian Adventure Network. This infrastructure is designed to support its customers and promote the adoption of electric vehicles by easing range anxiety.
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Outdoor and Adventure Ecosystem: The company positions itself within an adventure lifestyle brand, promoting outdoor activities and sustainability. This segment involves marketing efforts, community engagement, and potential partnerships that align with outdoor and environmentally conscious activities.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Rivian is committed to sustainability in its production processes and corporate practices. This segment includes efforts to reduce the environmental impact of manufacturing and promote sustainable practices in the automotive industry.
By focusing on these core segments, Rivian aims to carve out a distinct identity in the competitive EV market, differentiating itself through innovative technology, strong branding, and a commitment to sustainability.
Rivian Automotive Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from rivals in the electric vehicle (EV) market:
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First-Mover Advantage in the Electric Truck Segment: Rivian has positioned itself as a pioneer in the electric pickup and SUV market, focusing on rugged utility—key segments that are popular in the U.S. This positioning allows it to capture a niche market early, especially with its R1T pickup and R1S SUV.
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Adventure-Oriented Brand and Target Audience: Rivian markets itself as a lifestyle brand for outdoor enthusiasts, focusing on adventure and sustainability. This emotional connection with a specific target demographic can foster strong customer loyalty and brand attachment.
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Innovative Technology and Features: Rivian's vehicles are equipped with cutting-edge technology, including adjustable air suspension, a large battery range, a robust suite of driver-assistance features, and unique in-vehicle connectivity options. Such innovations can enhance user experience and set its vehicles apart from competitors.
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Investment and Partnerships: Rivian has secured substantial investments from notable companies, including Amazon and Ford. Amazon's commitment to purchase electric delivery vans from Rivian bolsters its business model and provides a steady revenue stream, allowing for further investment in technology and production.
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Manufacturing Footprint: Rivian's manufacturing facility in Normal, Illinois, is designed for flexibility, allowing it to efficiently scale up production in response to demand. Investments in automation and sustainable practices can enhance production efficiency and reduce costs.
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Direct-to-Consumer Sales Model: Rivian’s use of a direct-to-consumer sales model allows it to establish a deeper relationship with customers, bypassing traditional dealership networks. This approach can enhance customer service, streamline sales processes, and increase profit margins.
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Sustainable Practices: Rivian focuses on sustainability not just in their vehicles but in their entire operation, including carbon-neutral manufacturing processes. This commitment appeals to environmentally conscious consumers and enhances brand reputation.
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Adventure Network Charging Infrastructure: Rivian is building its own network of fast-charging stations, known as the Rivian Adventure Network, which is strategically located in outdoor adventure areas. This infrastructure supports the lifestyle brand consumer, providing convenience that rivals may not offer.
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Strong Vision for Autonomous Driving: Rivian is actively investing in autonomous vehicle technology, positioning itself to be at the forefront of the future of both EVs and self-driving vehicles. As regulations and infrastructure evolve, this may offer a strategic advantage.
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Robust Community and Engagement Initiatives: Rivian has cultivated an active community of enthusiasts through events, social media, and early customer engagement programs. This community-centric approach can enhance customer loyalty and advocacy.
While the competition in the EV market is intensifying, Rivian's combination of differentiated product offerings, innovative technologies, and strong brand identity positions it favorably against established automakers and new entrants alike. However, the sustainability of these advantages will depend on effective execution and the ability to adapt to a rapidly changing market.
Rivian Automotive Inc. faces several risks and challenges that could impact its growth and profitability in the near future:
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Production and Supply Chain Issues: Like many automotive manufacturers, Rivian may encounter difficulties in scaling production to meet demand. Supply chain disruptions, particularly related to semiconductor shortages and critical components, can hamper manufacturing processes.
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Competition: The electric vehicle (EV) market is rapidly growing with strong competition from established automakers like Tesla, Ford, and GM, as well as new entrants. Rivian will need to differentiate its products to capture market share.
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Funding and Financial Viability: While Rivian has secured significant investments, ongoing cash burn during the production scaling phase raises questions about long-term financial sustainability. The need for additional capital could be a risk if market conditions change.
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Consumer Demand and Market Adoption: The success of Rivian's vehicles depends on consumer adoption of EVs. Factors influencing this include consumer sentiment, economic conditions, and fuel prices, as well as government policies and incentives for EV purchases.
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Regulatory Challenges: Rivian must navigate complex regulations related to vehicle safety, emissions, and autonomous driving technologies. Changes in government policies or environmental regulations could impact operations and product offerings.
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Technological Development: As an EV manufacturer, continuous investment in technology and innovation is crucial. Rivian must stay ahead in battery technology, charging infrastructure, and software to remain competitive.
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Brand Recognition and Loyalty: As a newer player in the automotive sector, Rivian must build brand loyalty and consumer trust amidst established brands that have long histories with consumers.
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Sustainability Practices: Increasing scrutiny on environmental sustainability practices could pose challenges. Rivian will need to maintain transparency and uphold sustainability standards in manufacturing and supply chain management.
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Market Volatility: Economic factors, including inflation, interest rates, and supply chain disruptions, can create a volatile market environment that may affect Rivian's sales and operational costs.
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Global Expansion Risks: Rivian's plans for international expansion could expose it to geopolitical risks and varying market dynamics, which may affect its strategy and operational execution.
Navigating these challenges effectively will be critical for Rivian’s long-term success and ability to achieve its growth objectives in the competitive EV landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Rivian Automotive Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rivian Automotive Inc
Current Assets | 11B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 7.9B |
Receivables | 249m |
Other Current Assets | 2.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 4.4B |
PP&E | 4.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 209m |
Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Accounts Payable | 769m |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 6.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 5.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 924m |
Earnings Waterfall
Rivian Automotive Inc
Revenue
|
5B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-6.9B
USD
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Gross Profit
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-1.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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-5.7B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-63m
USD
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Net Income
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-5.8B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rivian Automotive Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
RIVN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Rivian Automotive Inc's profitability score is 17/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Rivian Automotive Inc's profitability score is 17/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
RIVN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Rivian Automotive Inc's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Rivian Automotive Inc's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
RIVN Price Targets Summary
Rivian Automotive Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RIVN is 17.17 USD with a low forecast of 11.11 USD and a high forecast of 29.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for RIVN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
RIVN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Rivian Automotive, Inc. engages in the design, development, and manufacture of category-defining electric vehicles and accessories. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California and currently employs 10,422 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-11-10. The firm is engaged in designing, developing, and manufacturing EVs and accessories. The company sells vehicles directly to customers in the consumer and commercial markets. The firm launched its R1 platform, a two-row five-passenger pickup truck. The R1 technology systems includes vehicle electronics, battery, electric drive, chassis, Driver+, its advanced driver assistance system (ADAS), and digital user experience management. The company also developed a portfolio of vehicle accessories, including all-weather floormats, camp kitchen, camp speaker, three-person rooftop tent, at-home Rivian wall charger, and rooftop racks. The Company’s services include digitally enabled financing, telematics-based insurance, proactive vehicle membership and software services, charging solutions, and a data-driven vehicle resale program. The company also offers FleetOS, a centralized fleet management subscription platform.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one RIVN stock under the Base Case scenario is 32.3 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.58 USD, Rivian Automotive Inc is Undervalued by 67%.