Phillips Edison & Co Inc

NASDAQ:PECO

Earnings Call Analysis

Solid Growth and Strategic Acquisitions Bolster PECO’s Future Prospects

Phillips Edison & Company (PECO) reported second-quarter 2024 financials showcasing a strong performance with a 3.3% increase in Nareit FFO to $78.4 million and a 2.9% rise in core FFO to $80 million. With high occupancy rates at 97.5%, including 95.1% for in-line spaces, and record renewal rent spreads, PECO reaffirms its guidance of $200 million to $300 million in acquisitions. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth, expecting core FFO growth in the mid- to high single digits. The partnership with Cohen & Steers and strategic AI advancements further position PECO for sustainable growth.

Strong Operating Performance and Growth Strategy

Phillips Edison & Company's (PECO) second quarter showcased its robust operational performance. Anchored in a grocery-centered strategy, PECO has attained high occupancy levels, reaching a record in-line occupancy of 95.1%. This achievement stems from focusing on centers anchored by top grocers, enhancing foot traffic and neighbor retention rates. This supermarket-centric model is reflected in impressive growth metrics, such as a 2.9% year-over-year increase in core funds from operations (FFO) to $80 million【6:2†source】.

Impressive Leasing Activity and Acquisition Strategy

The firm's leasing strategy is bolstered by strong new lease and renewal spreads, reported at 34.4% for new leases and 20.5% for renewals. This solidifies PECO's pricing power in a highly competitive market. On the acquisition front, PECO acquired two shopping centers and one land parcel during the quarter for a total cost of $60 million, further enriching its portfolio with high-quality assets【6:2†source】【6:6†source】.

Balance Sheet Strength and Bond Offering

PECO maintains a robust balance sheet with $743 million in liquidity and no significant debt maturing until 2027. The company's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio stands at 5.1x, while a recent bond offering of $350 million at 5.75%, maturing in 2034, positions it well for future growth opportunities【6:2†source】【6:15†source】.

Positive Guidance for 2024

PECO reaffirmed its 2024 guidance, expecting core FFO growth of 3% and same-center net operating income (NOI) growth in the range of 3.25% to 4.25%. The company's acquisition target remains between $200 million and $300 million, with an eye toward further expansion, depending on market conditions【6:2†source】.

Joint Venture with Cohen & Steers

A notable highlight is PECO’s new joint venture with Cohen & Steers, owning 80% of the venture. The JV focuses on acquiring grocery-anchored centers, leveraging PECO’s expertise and widening its acquisition net. This strategic partnership aims to deploy $600 million to $700 million in total investments, promising robust growth【6:6†source】【6:12†source】.

Technological Advancements and Recognition

PECO continues to innovate, leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance operations. This dedication was recognized with the 2024 Digital Innovation Award at the RealComm Conference. The company's commitment to technology underscores its forward-thinking approach and positions it as a leader in the retail sector【6:0†source】.

Macro Trends and Future Outlook

PECO benefits from positive macroeconomic trends, including a resilient consumer base and favorable trade area demographics. With grocery-anchored centers showing strong foot traffic, PECO remains optimistic about sustaining its growth trajectory. The company anticipates continued strength in leasing demand and less downtime due to high retention rates【6:3†source】【6:4†source】.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Good day, and welcome to Phillips Edison & Company's Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. Please note that this call is being recorded.

I will now turn the call over to Kimberly Green, Head of Investor Relations. Kimberly, you may begin.

[Kimberly Green, executive]

Thank you, operator. I'm joined on this call by our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Jeff Edison; President, Bob Myers; and Chief Financial Officer, John Caulfield. Once we conclude our prepared remarks, we will open the call to Q&A. After today's call, an archived version will be published on our website.

As a reminder, today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements about the company's view of future business and financial performance, including forward earnings guidance and future market conditions. These are based on management's current beliefs and expectations, and are subject to various risks and uncertainties as described in our SEC filings, specifically in our most recent Form 10-K and 10-Q. And our discussion today will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information regarding our use of these measures, and reconciliations of these measures to our GAAP results are available in our earnings press release and supplemental information packet, which is posted on our website. Please note that we have also posted a presentation with additional information. Our caution on forward-looking statements also applies to these materials.

Now I'd like to turn the call over to Jeff Edison, our Chief Executive Officer. Jeff?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Thank you, Kim, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. The PECO team continued to deliver solid growth in the quarter. The ongoing strength of our operating performance is attributable to our differentiated and focused strategy of owning rightsized, grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers anchored by the #1 or #2 grocer by sales in the market. Our strategy has yielded outstanding results. Over 30 years, we built a fully integrated operating platform, and become one of the nation's largest owners and operators of grocery-anchored shopping centers. Our management team owns 8% of the company. We have meaningful skin in the game, and are committed to driving long-term shareholder value. Our operational and investment decisions continue to position PECO for growth.

Format drives results. And not all space is created equal. 97% of our shopping centers are anchored by higher foot traffic producing grocery stores, which is the highest concentration in the sector. We have over 30 years' experience merchandising these centers around the grocer, and 70% of our rents come from neighbors offering necessity-based goods and services. This compares to the peer average of 54%. Our strategy and team have produced market-leading results over time.

Let me share a few examples. At 98% leased, PECO has the highest occupancy among our peers. During the second quarter, PECO's in-line leased occupancy increased 30 basis points sequentially to a record high 95.1%. PECO's comparable leasing spreads, the renewal rent spreads are among the highest in the sector. PECO has delivered a track record of outperformance in same-center NOI growth. Since the IPO, we have continued to deliver same-center NOI growth above 3%, while outperforming the peer average.

We have the highest volume of acquisitions compared to our peers when excluding company M&A activity. This ensures that each and every asset we buy is PECO quality. In addition, we're among the lowest leverage shopping center REITs. We have added some new slides to our investor presentation, which highlight PECO's sector-leading performance. Be sure to take a look. The PECO team is focused on maintaining our market-leading position. We believe PECO's position will drive solid FFO per share growth going forward.

We remain committed to successfully executing our growth strategy to deliver long-term value to our shareholders. Our high-quality portfolio anchored by top grocers in favorable suburban markets provides a long-term steady earnings growth profile. PECO is positioned to continue to grow and excel as we look ahead. We believe we will provide our investors more alpha with less beta given our focused and differentiated strategy.

During the second quarter, we acquired 2 shopping centers and 1 land parcel for a total of $60 million. Subsequent to quarter end, we acquired 1 property and 1 land parcel for $11 million. We continue to find attractive acquisition opportunities. Activity in the third quarter remains strong. Given the current environment, we are reaffirming our guidance of $200 million to $300 million of net acquisitions for the year. We have the capabilities and leverage capacity to acquire more if attractive opportunities materialize. We continue to target an unlevered IRR of over 9% for our acquisitions. If we look at everything we have acquired over the past 3 years, we are currently exceeding our underwritten returns by approximately 130 basis points. We will maintain our disciplined approach and focus on accretively growing our portfolio. We're hopeful that volumes will continue to increase throughout the remainder of the year.

Earlier this week, we announced the acquisition of Des Peres Corners, a grocery-anchored shopping center in St. Louis, Missouri suburb. The acquisition was made through a new joint venture with Cohen & Steers. The joint venture is owned 80% by Cohen & Steers and 20% by PECO. The venture has committed equity of $300 million with a total investment target between $600 million and $700 million. The venture will focus on acquiring open-air grocery-anchored shopping centers, and will leverage PECO's deep shopping center expertise. We are pleased to partner with Cohen & Steers on this measure and its first acquisition. This increases PECO's access to growth capital. It also increases the acquisition universe available to us. Stabilized yield on investment is a primary focus of this bond.

This venture brings together one of the best real estate fund investors and one of the best operators in the country. We are excited about this partnership. We believe this venture will generate attractive returns for both partners.

Now moving to the Kroger, Albertsons merger. Kroger recently disclosed a list of locations on its proposed sale of assets to C&S Wholesale Grocers. PECO has 2 Kroger locations and 10 Albertsons locations included in the proposal. Importantly, Kroger's divestiture plan continues to ensure no stores will close as a result of the merger. These 12 stores are well performing locations with average sales per square foot of $630 and an average health ratio of 2.1%. Sales growth from 2019 has averaged 34%, the majority of these locations are anchored by the #1 or #2 grocer by sales in their respective markets. Notably, these stores have been grocery store locations serving their communities for 25 years on average. These stores represent approximately 1% of PECO's ABR.

C&S has been operating for over 100 years. They're one of the biggest wholesale operators with demonstrated experience in retail operations. In addition, it was recently announced that Albertsons' Chief Operating Officer would move to C&S to become President and CEO of its retail business if the merger closes. While the market still gives the merger a low probability of occurring, should it close, we believe the impact on PECO is a net positive for our centers and to the overall value of our portfolio. Our remaining 20 Albertsons stores would be operated by Kroger, which reinvests regularly in their stores and produces higher sales volumes on average.

If the merger does not occur, our Albertsons-anchored centers will continue the strong performance that they have produced to date. With that, I will now turn it over to Bob to provide more color on the operating environment. Bob?

[Robert Myers, executive]

Thank you, Jeff. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We had another quarter of strong operating results and leasing momentum. We continue to see high retailer demand with no current signs of slowing down. PECO's leasing team continues to convert retailer demand into high occupancy with higher rents at our centers. Portfolio occupancy remained high and ended the quarter at 97.5% leased, a sequential increase of 30 basis points. Anchor occupancy of 98.8% increased 40 basis points sequentially, as we executed 8 anchor leases, including Planet Fitness, ACE Hardware, Dollar Tree and Kula Sport Performance. In-line occupancy ended the quarter at a record high of 95.1%. New neighbors added in the second quarter included quick-service restaurants such as Mountain Mike's Pizza, Dave's Hot Chicken, Wingstop, and Chipotle, along with several [ medtail ] uses, health and beauty retailers, and other necessity-based goods and services.

In terms of new lease activity, we continue to have success in driving higher rents, comparable new rent spreads for the second quarter we're 34.4%. Our in-line new rent spreads remained strong at 31.9% in the quarter, which compares to our trailing 12-month average of 29%. We continue to capitalize on strong renewal demand and are making the most of the opportunity to improve lease language at renewal and drive rents higher. In the second quarter, we achieved a 20.5% increase in comparable renewal rent spreads. Our in-line renewal spreads remained high at 19.7% in the second quarter, which compares to our trailing 12-month average of 18.5%.

These increases in spreads reflect the continued strength of the leasing and retention environment. We expect new and renewal spreads to continue to be strong throughout the balance of this year and into the foreseeable future.

Our neighbor retention remained high at 89%, while growing rents at attractive rates. Our in-line retention rate remained strong at 85%, well ahead of the historical 5-year average of 78%. Higher retention means less downtime and lower [ TI ] spend. In the second quarter, we spent only $0.30 per square foot on [ TI ] for renewals. We also remain successful at driving higher contractual rent increases. Our new and renewal in-line leases executed in the second quarter had average annual contractual rent bumps of 2% and 3%, respectively, another important contributor to our long-term growth.

The leasing spreads that we are achieving and the strength of our leasing pipeline are clear evidence of the continued high demand for space in our grocery-anchored shopping centers. PECO's pricing power is a reflection of the strength of our focused strategy and the quality of our portfolio. Today, we believe the consumer remains resilient. Our grocers continue to drive strong recurring foot traffic to our centers. Consumers continue to visit grocery stores 1.6x per week. There are approximately 33,000 average total trips per week to each PECO center. This equates to nearly 500 million total trips to PECO centers in the last 12 months. Strong foot traffic benefits in-line neighbor sales, and enhances our ability to drive rents higher.

PECO's 3-mile trade area demographics include an average population of 67,000 people and an average median household income of $87,000, which is 12% higher than the U.S. media. These demographics are in line with the store demographics of Kroger and Publix, which are PECO's top 2 neighbors. Our centers are situated in trade areas where our top grocers are profitable and our neighbors are successful.

According to Placer.ai, the majority of visits to PECO centers are from customers in the middle or upper class. Our markets have less poverty, higher household incomes and better expected population growth than the national averages. Unemployment in PECO markets is also 20% lower than the national average at 3.2%. PECO continues to benefit from a number of positive macroeconomic trends that create strong tailwinds and drive robust neighbor demand. These trends include a resilient consumer, hybrid work, migration to the Sunbelt, population ships that favor suburban neighborhoods and the importance of physical locations and last-mile delivery.

Leasing demand remained at historically high levels for in-line spaces as these macro tailwinds have retailers more focused on having stores in our centers. The impact of these demand factors is further amplified due to limited new supply over the last 10 years. And going forward, given that current economic returns do not justify new construction of shopping centers.

In addition to our strong rental growth trends, we continue to expand our pipeline, a ground-up outparcel development and repositioning projects. We continue to expect to invest $40 million to $50 million annually in ground-up development and repositioning opportunities with weighted average cash-on-cash yield between 9% and 12%. This activity remains a great use of free cash flow and produces attractive returns with less risk. Our team continues to stay focused on growing this pipeline as the returns are accretive to the portfolio.

As we shared during our December Investor Day, PECO is leveraging artificial intelligence to creatively and efficiently improve how we operate our business. PECO was recently honored at the 2024 RealComm Conference with the Digital Innovation Award, known as the Digie Awards, an inaugural award was given for best use of AI and PECO won top honors from a field of finalists. This is PECO's third Digie Award. PECO continues to pioneer AI advancements that foster cross-functional collaboration. We're cultivating a culture where AI is a catalyst for long-term growth. This award is a meaningful and well recognition for the PECO team as we continue to stay on the cutting edge of technological advancements that help propel new initiatives, and reinforce our position as a leader in the shopping center sector.

In summary, the PECO team remains optimistic given the current strong operating environment and our continued positive momentum. Our healthy neighbor mix and grocery-anchored strategy positions PECO well for continued growth. The overall demand environment, the stability of our centers, the strength of our grocers, the health of our in-line neighbors, and the capabilities of our team give us confidence in our ability to deliver solid operating results.

I will now turn the call over to John. John?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Thank you, Bob, and good morning, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll start by addressing second quarter results, and provide an update on balance sheet, and finally speak to our reaffirmed 2024 guidance. Second quarter 2024 Nareit FFO increased 3.3% to $78.4 million or $0.57 per diluted share, driven by an increase in rental income from our strong property operations. Results were partially impacted by higher year-over-year interest expense from higher interest rates.

Second quarter core FFO increased 2.9% to $80 million or $0.59 per diluted share driven by increased revenue in our properties from higher occupancy levels and strong leasing spreads, partially offset by the aforementioned higher interest expense. Our same-center NOI growth in the quarter was 1.9%, driven by rental income growth of 4.3% year-over-year, partially offset by lower tenant recovery income and higher property level expenses.

As in previous quarters, recoveries can be impacted by the mix and timing of spend, which we believe will smooth out over the year. I will note that our reserves for uncollectbility improved in the quarter as we indicated on the last call. Given the strong operating environment that Bob discussed, we continue to be aggressive with wavering neighbors. We expect this will keep us at the high end of our guidance range for this expense, and we believe this will meaningfully improve the rent and merchandising at our centers.

Regarding acquisitions during the second quarter, we acquired 2 shopping centers and 1 land parcel for a total of $60 million. Subsequent to quarter end, we acquired 1 shopping center and 1 land parcel. Year-to-date, acquisitions have totaled $127 million. We have no dispositions during the quarter. We will continue to explore opportunities for dispositions where they make sense.

Turning to the balance sheet. We have approximately $743 million of liquidity to support our acquisition plan and no meaningful maturities until 2027. Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA remained at 5.1x. Our debt had a weighted average interest rate of 4.2% and a weighted average maturity of 4.9 years when including all extension options. During the quarter, we completed a bond offering of $350 million at 5.75% due in 2034. This offering was the next step in our long-term strategy of becoming a regular issuer in the unsecured bond market, which improves our fixed rate percentage of debt and extend our maturity ladder.

As of June 30, 2024, 91% of PECO's total debt was fixed rate. We continue to have one of the best balance sheets in the sector, although we believe the rating agencies do not give us the credit that we deserve. Our balance sheet has us well positioned for accretive acquisitions.

Turning to our guidance for 2024. We've updated the net income per share range to $0.49 to $0.54. We have reaffirmed our guidance for Nareit and core FFO, which reflects 6% and 3% growth over 2023 at the midpoints, respectively. In addition, we have reaffirmed our range for same-center NOI growth of 3.25% to 4.25%, given the continued strong operating environment.

We currently have several acquisitions in our pipeline, either under contract or in contract negotiation. This activity provides a strong start to the year, and we are reaffirming our acquisition guidance, and expect net volume to be in the range of $200 million to $300 million. If the transaction and capital markets improve, we have the capacity to meaningfully increase this number, but we are comfortable with this guidance range in the current environment.

Looking beyond 2024, we believe our internal and external growth opportunities give us a long-term growth outlook in the mid- to high single-digits for core FFO per share growth. We expect a comparable or faster growth rate for AFFO per share growth because there should be less tenant improvement dollars invested as we continue to increase same-center occupancy.

In the near term, we continue to be impacted by interest rate increases as all borrowers are, which impacts our earnings growth. That said, we are pleased to guide to positive per share growth. If we added back the per share impact of interest rate increases to our 2024 guidance, this would reflect 7% core FFO per share growth at the midpoint. 2024 is continuing to present challenges with high inflation, high interest rates, and global conflict. However, the strength of our integrated operating platform positions PECO well for long-term steady earnings growth. We're excited for the additional growth opportunities ahead this year, both internal and through acquisitions.

With that, we will open the line for questions. Operator?

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho.

[Haendel St. Juste, analyst]

Congrats on a strong quarter. My first question is on the new joint venture with Cohen & Steers. I guess, help us understand why now? You have low leverage, as you indicated, you have an attractive cost of capital, attractive spreads and you're achieving IRRs above your underwriting doing so on your own balance sheet. So why put the economics here in center that you keep willing to own?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Thanks for the question. I'm sure we'll probably get a couple of those today on that issue. The reason is, I think it's simple. We've been in the fund business for a long time. I mean this is -- this will be our 9th JV that we've got. And we see it as additive to our growth. I mean we -- as you know, we've got a very strong and aggressive growth strategy. This allows us to cast our net wider and in casting the net wider hopefully be able to grow at an additional pace. And if you look at our first acquisition as an example, it was a project that didn't meet our underwriting for the balance sheet. But it worked very well for the Cohen & Steers JV. So it allowed us to buy an additional project that we wouldn't have bought otherwise. And so as we look at that, that will increase our growth, and it does underwrite to our numbers in the JV where it didn't as a balance sheet item.

[Haendel St. Juste, analyst]

Great. Great, thanks for that lead to my next question. Maybe a bit more color on the type of assets that you're targeting and anything you could tell us about the return hurdles. It sounds like they're a bit lower for on balance sheet. So maybe a bit on, is there anything geographically, type of asset size, profile? And then maybe some more color on the targeted returns you're going after here?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

So in terms of the details of the -- what we're buying, we're going to leave that to Cohen & Steers to talk about that it is there process. They've got 80% of the investment. For us, the key thing for us is that, we won't be in conflict with our balance sheet stuff. We're expanding our net so that we can buy more and these are things that would not fit in our underwriting on the balance sheet. And that's how we are thinking about it.

[Haendel St. Juste, analyst]

Just a follow-up, the time line for deploying the capital. Any color on that front you could provide?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Sure. We anticipate right now the number is $300 million of equity, and we think that we're using about $100 million of equity a year as a 3-year program, and we hopefully can do it much more quickly than that, but that's our plan.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs.

[Caitlin Burrows, analyst]

Bob, I think that leasing interest is as high as ever. I don't know if you quite used that term, but high. So I guess when you say that, what stats are you looking at to make that statement? Is it a number of deals in the active discussions? Is it square footage based? And it actually feels like those number of deals would have to be lower than in the past given your high occupancy, but maybe not. So just wondering if you can talk about what types of stats could support the statement that leasing is not showing signs of slowdown?

[Robert Myers, executive]

Yes. I really think. Three key points. And I think it's on the retention. So our retention at 89% and our in-line retention above 85% is very solid. I'm not seeing any slowdown in that. And really, it comes through with our new leasing spreads of 34%, our renewal spreads of 20.5%, health ratios for our neighbors continue to be right around 9.5%. And coming out of Las Vegas and our national account program, the demand is at all-time high and retailers are still looking for sites in 2025, '26 and '27. So even though our occupancy in line 95.1%, we still feel there's another 100, 150 basis points there of growth and in line because there's just no new supply out there. And the demand for being in the #1, #2 grocery-anchored shopping centers where they want to be. So I don't see any slowdown.

[Caitlin Burrows, analyst]

Got it. Okay. And then, John, on the bad debt side, I think you mentioned something along the lines suggesting you're being maybe less flexible with wavering tenants. Can you give some more detail on how that process maybe normally works, for example, when someone isn't paying on time, and how PECO is handling it differently today given the high occupancy and new rent spreads potential?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Sure. Thanks, Caitlin. So it did improve sequentially as we anticipated that it would really from our position, given the strength of the environment that Bob has talked about, and the opportunity to improve the merchandising and ultimately, the rents in our centers, we're not in a position where we're talking about payment plans or things. So what we're actually trying to do is move more quickly to recapturing that space. And then that takes a little bit of time depending upon their willingness to do so. But we do think that, that ultimately is the right decision given the demand the rates that Bob is referencing.

Ultimately, from an uncollectible standpoint, we feel really good about our neighbors. Actually, our latest review says that our neighbors have a FICO score of 745. So we feel very positive. We're at least cautiously positive on our neighbors. And we are very diversified, again, outside of our largest individual, outside the grocer, the largest individual neighbor is T.J. Maxx at 1.3%. And our watch list is actually just inside of 2% now, I'd say it's closer to 1.5%. So we're feeling really positive and continue to improve the portfolio.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Spector with Bank of America.

[Jeffrey Spector, analyst]

I guess my first question is focused on the same-store NOI guidance. I think year-to-date is 2.8%. The guidance is 3.25% to 4.25% which would mean there's meaningful acceleration in the back half of the year. Can you talk about the drivers of that acceleration? And is this correct?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Thanks, Jeff, for the question. John, do you want to take that?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Sure. Thanks, Jeff. So in the quarter, we grew by 1.9%. I think you're right, 2.8%, and it was really impacted by lighter recovery income, which is -- it's just a timing variance based on kind of the mix of spend in both the quarter and year-to-date. So we do anticipate based on the timing of those recoveries for an acceleration in the latter half of this year. And ultimately, we will continue to grow minimum rent. I mentioned that reserves for uncollectibles have improved. And so and we were able to exceed 95% in-line occupancy for the first time ever, just highlighting that continued strength of our neighbors. So ultimately, we are seeing that. But I think it's we're kind of talking about small numbers here. And the more important piece is we feel good about our reaffirmed guidance range.

[Jeffrey Spector, analyst]

Great. And then 1 follow-up on the JV to confirm are you leveraging the existing platform? Do you need to hire new teams, or open any new offices for these different markets? And can you discuss the fees?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

On the fee, we're going to leave that up to Cohen & Steers to talk about. In terms of resources, we will not be adding any additional resources to put this into work. So it is obviously a profitable from a fee perspective for us because we are utilizing the existing infrastructure.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Mike Mueller with JPMorgan.

[Michael Mueller, analyst]

I'm curious, the difference between the $200 million to $300 million of acquisitions that you're comfortable that's bake in to guidance versus where you said you could surpass it if the environment changes. Is it just conversations on product that you're close to, but just not close enough on pricing? Or what could cause you to go above the $200 million to $300 million?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Good. Well, thanks for the question, Mike. What I think we're trying to say -- what we're trying to say there is that we do have a balance sheet that allows us to grow beyond the $200 million to $300 million if we can unfind product that meets our pretty strict underwriting criteria, and that is #1 or 2 grocer, above a 9% unlevered IRR. And if we can find that product, we would grow beyond that amount. But we think that in the -- given the current market environment, we think that's a real assumption.

[Michael Mueller, analyst]

Got it. Okay. And then, I guess, as it relates to the land parcels that you've been acquiring, are they adjacent to existing centers? And generally, what's the time frame to start activating some sort of activity on the site?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Bob, do you want to take that one?

[Robert Myers, executive]

Yes, absolutely. So yes, the answer is yes, and they're anywhere from 1.9 to 3 acres in size. They are either adjacent or across the street from publix-anchored assets, Kroger-anchored assets, and part of the strategy there is to add fuel for maybe a Harris Teeter down in Chapel Hill when we purchased that. When I look at these sites down in Riverview, Florida, there's strong demand from national retailers that we plan to do $40 million to $50 million of ground-up in value-add redevelopment per year. We're generating 9% to 12% returns on that. And we have a great national platform that's looking to grow with us. So yes, the answer is yes, they're adjacent to our properties, and we already have most of them pre-leased. So hopefully, when we close, we're under lease within 60 days and then out of the ground and open and paying rent within 12 months.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley.

[Ronald Kamdem, analyst]

Just 2 quick ones. So just going back to the acquisitions for the guidance, can you talk about -- is it for the second half of the year? Or is there anything in the pipeline or under contract? Or is it all sort of speculative at this point? And then the follow-up to that is just on the Cohen & Steers announcement. Is there thinking to do sort of more of these types of structures going forward? How are you guys sort of thinking through that?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Ron, thanks for the question. On the acquisition side, I think the way we've sort of put it in the prepared remarks was that we're seeing acquisitions that we are either in price negotiation with or in a contract status that give us a pretty high level of confidence that we will get to the numbers that we're talking about. And importantly, we're seeing a fair amount of product in the market. It certainly is a much more liquid market than it was last year. Still, there is increased competition from what we were seeing last year. But there's also quite a bit more product. So that I think that's what gives us the confidence both in terms of what we are actively negotiating under, and/or have under contract plus the liquidity in the market and the new product that's coming on. So I think we feel -- that's our rationale for feeling pretty comfortable with our $200 million to $300 million guidance.

On the Cohen & Steers JV, the reason we're really excited about it is, it expands our ability to buy product, and buy product at underwriting returns that fit with our criteria. So that's the part that we're excited about. If we were to find other alternatives like that, that we're -- we could explore parts of the market that where we've been successful at, but they don't underwrite to our current requirements. That would be an opportunity that would allow us to continue strong growth and additional growth. So that, we will look for those. But at this point, other than the one smaller JV that we have underway. We don't see a lot, we see that as a strong potential at this time.

[Ronald Kamdem, analyst]

Okay. Great. Just my second one, I think you talked about the leasing environment a bit in the spreads, but those initiatives also on the rent bumps to try to get sort of higher ramp-ups on tenant. Just maybe can you remind us where we are with that and what -- how that's been received by the tenants?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Bob, do you want to take that one?

[Robert Myers, executive]

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. So on the new leasing side of things, on our new leases, we're getting annual rent bumps between 2% and 3%. And then on the renewals when we delivered 20.5% on a renewal spread, our CAGR was right around 3%. So we're continuing to be able to get that. We continue to see that given the retailer demands. And I really don't see any pullback from that.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBanc.

[Todd Thomas, analyst]

First question, I just wanted to follow up on the joint venture, and asset management platform a little bit more broadly. I think at the December Investor Day, it sounded like you were working towards 2 funds you discussed one being a core fund, I think, with a two-pronged strategy. So lower-yielding smaller-format strips. And then also you discussed, I believe, higher-yielding power centers or larger format centers. Is this joint venture with Cohen & Steers, what you were referencing in December? And can you just clarify if this fund will also be looking at some larger format centers as well as the smaller grocery-anchored centers, which is similar to what you acquired outside of St. Louis so far?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Yes. Todd, yes, you're right on. I mean, that is the -- we will be buying potentially larger centers in this pool. As well as sort of product that can underwrite to the needs of that fund, but that would not meet our balance sheet requirements. So that is how we're thinking about it and looking at it. We did mention, I think, the social impact fund that we have that we're working on. And we're going to talk -- we'll talk about that more once we have our first acquisition, similar to what we did here with the Cohen & Steers deal.

[Todd Thomas, analyst]

Okay. And in terms of capitalizing the fund, so roughly 50-50 debt and equity Will the venture be looking for secured debt? Is this property level financing that will be targeted? And what does that look like today in the market?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

I would assume that is the -- that's how this first deal happened, and that is a good assumption going forward. In terms of the structure and the pricing, John, do you want to give any, again, we're trying to let Cohen & Steers sort of lead this discussion in terms of what they would like to have released. But John, if you can give any additional color?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Sure. Yes. So as Jeff said, this asset was done that way. I mean, we'll continue to evaluate different capital opportunities. So rather than this asset, maybe I'll just speak a little more broadly, I mean the capital markets are the secured markets and that this venture is definitely open for grocery-anchored real estate. And I would say that that's probably looking at for 10-year money, you're probably still in that $175 million over range kind of that's what has been the case, and I think that's still available out there, but we're more focused on the balance sheet at the unsecured markets, but we will evaluate the finance increased opportunities as we move along.

[Todd Thomas, analyst]

All right. Great. And John, just one last one for you. Can you provide an update as we make our way further through the year here regarding the swap expirations, and any potential debt capital raising activity in the back half of the year, just given the current capital markets environment today?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Todd, I really appreciate that question. You heard me kind of leaning that way with my last answer. You gave me an opportunity to talk about it. So yes. So we have swaps that are due to expire in September, October on $375 million. We have $150 million swap that will take us back at the same time to help mitigate some of that impact.

But at the end of this quarter, we are 91% of our debt is fixed rate, which is a meaningful improvement from the first quarter as we execute on our long-term strategy. And again, a reminder of that is we want to be a repeat issuer in the unsecured bond market with a target of approximately 10% of our debt expiring each year. So in May, we issued the $350 million bond with great support from the bond market investors and it is putting us towards that goal.

So as we look to manage this fixed floating ratio and again, our target for that is to be 90% to fixed, 10% to floating. We want to do that really through future debt issuances. But the most important element for us is that we no longer have any meaningful maturities until really 2026, which gives us time to be patient and access to the market opportunistically. So we will look to utilize our fully replenished revolver. I think there's a little bit outstanding here currently, but we have the ability to buy our acquisition plan. And so in terms of future, we will look to access it opportunistically, but the guide would say that we're just going to fund it kind of the way that we have and look to the market as they become available. And there's no just -- also there is no equity issuance assumed in the guide?

[Todd Thomas, analyst]

Okay. So no new swaps or [indiscernible].

[John Caulfield, executive]

Other than the one we currently have. Yes, correct.

[Todd Thomas, analyst]

Okay. Got it. So I guess you're saying you'll take down or you'll put additional funding on the line for now and then look to be in the market issuing notes again similar to what you did a couple of months ago?

[John Caulfield, executive]

That's the playbook.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Floris Van Dijkum with Compass Point Research and Trading.

[Floris Gerbrand van Dijkum, analyst]

Jeff, I had a question on the Cohen & Steers JV. Are there any restrictions on Cohen & Steers owning PECO stock as a result of this JV that you've just entered into?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Yes. I mean, no. They have no, and we -- they are very different areas that work on that. So there is no conflict there, and there is no restrictions there.

[Floris Gerbrand van Dijkum, analyst]

Great. Great. Next question I had was, maybe it's more on the leasing side. But you've talked about the, obviously, the improved terms you're getting renewal rates, by the way, are near 90% are just off the charts. It's great. But maybe talk about one of the things that sort of impeded some of your growth over the last quarters has been the fact that you still have a fair amount of option from tenants where they can obviously renew at below-market rents. Can you talk about some of the new terms that you're negotiating with tenants on options going forward as well? And is that going to slow down your growth going forward? Or are you getting more favorable terms on your options with free market rent sets or fewer options from a tenant perspective?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Why don't I just take it first, Bob, and then you can cover and do it better than I do. Floris, we are always pushing for less options, obviously. And in this environment, we have some more strength there. To get the right merchandising in your centers, you're making, you've got to make sure you're bringing in the right people. They tend to want to control the space over a longer period of time and options are their preferred method. We're extending leases a little bit a year or 2 to try and reduce the option side of it, but it is a, as you're looking at a shopping center, it's very important that you have the right merchandising mix for each center that you have. And so your compromises are not on a macro level. They're on a very specific property. And if we need to bring that neighbor in to get the merchandising mix that we want, will we give them options or not. And that is where -- that's where the really hard decisions are made. We obviously can do. We've got more strength than we've had in an awfully long time, but it still is a property-by-property decision. Bob, any other add to that?

[Robert Myers, executive]

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. The only other thing I would add on that is we are seeing improved deal terms when it comes to options. Certainly, the national tenants that are investing a lot of capital in the space is want to have options. And they're typically 5 years on average. But we are seeing options increase anywhere between 15% and 25%. So we've made it known internally that options aren't something that we think about lightly. Obviously, we don't want to give them. But if we do, then we want to make sure that we're getting somewhere between 15% and 25% on the options. And we are having success in that strategy. So you'll continue to see that number improve.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Omotayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank.

[Omotayo Okusanya, analyst]

Yes. Good afternoon, everyone. Going back to Floris' question around the Cohen & Steers JV. Could you also talk a little bit about how, again, decisions are made in regards to assets you're looking at and what could potentially go into the JV versus what can stay on your balance sheet? Like how is that potential conflict of interest going to be managed?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Thanks for the question. What we have -- as I said earlier, we -- this is our 9th JV over the last 30 years that we've had. Picking your partner in these things is really important. And which partner you have and making sure that you're both aligned with what you're trying to do is critical. And it's one of the reasons it takes so long to get these things in place. We have a very strong alignment with Cohen & Steers in terms of what is going to go into their portfolio and what's going to be on our balance sheet. And that is what -- that gives us a high level of confidence that like we've done in our other JVs, we're going to successfully place this capital, and it's not going to be -- there's not going to be a lot of confusion about that.

And so if you -- that's the way we're thinking about it. We're very comfortable that we are expanding the net, not taking stuff off of balance sheet. And as we reaffirmed our guidance on the balance sheet, we're going to continue to have a strong growth on the balance sheet. And this will expand our growth, but it will not conflict with our balance sheet.

[Omotayo Okusanya, analyst]

That's helpful. And then going back to some of the earlier commentary around the same-store NOI and some of the kind of timing-related issues on OpEx. Again, John, could you again clarify that a little bit for us of how we kind of think about what that means for the back half of 2024, and kind of same-store OpEx growth and same-store NOI growth?

[John Caulfield, executive]

Sure. Sure, Tayo. So as we look at it, a little bit of some of the more recoverable spend that we would have in the second quarter is delayed this year. And it's just -- it is a mix piece. And ultimately, you can see our same-store margin was about 50 basis points earned well, yes, 50 basis points less. So it was 72% compared to 72.5% last year. And actually, based on what we're seeing in our kind of like currently, what our property managers are doing, we believe that spend will kind of improve. So you'll have a sequential increase, you'll have it improved over last year because last year, it was more Q2 than Q3. So ultimately, we're just seeing a better recovery rate.

But even though on a consistent spend, I mean -- and I think this is also kind of underscores why we don't provide quarterly guidance. We try to have a really stable projection period. We would like to just have constant study. But ultimately, we very much don't want to get in the way of running these centers and operating in the best way that we can. So we do feel good about recovery, improving uncollectibles holding or improving, and then ultimately continuing to grow minimum rent growth that is going to get us to that 3.25% to 4.25%.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets.

[Juan Sanabria, analyst]

Just wanted to follow up on Omotayo's question there. Can you give us any sense of is the comfort level still fully at the midpoint or maybe more at the low end just given the implied second half acceleration in your same-store NOI guidance.

[John Caulfield, executive]

Sure. We are looking to the midpoint on these. There are ranges. Ultimately, things that would go above that would be kind of continue strong retention, although it's quite high already. And then I would say, to go to the lower end would be the same thing, weaker retention or weaker weakness around collectibility. But right now, to that point, we are definitely looking at, I would say, the middle of that range.

[Juan Sanabria, analyst]

And then not to belabor the point on the Cohen & Steers JV, but just curious what the -- you said there's clearly siloed boxes of where assets that you're underwriting would go to the balance sheet of the JV. But just curious, are the -- is it more of the initial yield, not meeting your 9% unlevered IRR target? Or is there maybe not the same higher level of standards on #1 or 2 grocer. I guess, would you want to ultimately own those assets on balance sheet whenever the fund decides to exit? And do you have ROFOs or any other rights to buy those assets over time?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

So the -- I would assume these assets will generally be larger. They will be open-air grocery-anchored, that's a critical part for the JV. But I would assume that they will be larger in terms of square footage than our typical store. Our center that we purchased and -- I mean, that would probably be the only thing that I would say will be a big deviation from our current balance sheet buys.

And again, the balance sheet is underwriting to a 9% unlevered IRR. The fund has different return requirements than that. So that is -- I think I pointed out earlier, we wouldn't have bought the project in St. Louis because it didn't meet our underwriting requirements when we underwrote it. So with the fees, we were able to exceed our underwriting return requirements, and meet the requirements of the Cohen & Steers JV. So this is an additive as we had expected, this is an additive growth vehicle for PECO, where we can get very strong returns, and we're excited about that.

[Juan Sanabria, analyst]

And do you have rights to acquire those assets built into the partnership?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Again, that's a Cohen & Steers issue that we will let them answer the question. We have a really good relationship with them and anything that would be resolved -- will be resolved in a -- at the right time in a way that every -- that's good for everybody. And so if it's us buying it, it's them buying it, we're a long way from that. We want to get to $300 million of equity out, and then we can talk about some of the other things. And we are comfortable that, that will happen over time.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Dori Kesten with Wells Fargo.

[Dori Kesten, analyst]

If you were to put out a '25 early look today, would you assume a higher bad debt as a percentage of revenue as compared to this year? Or is there a reason to believe you may be a bit less aggressive with your space than you're currently.

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Hey, Dori, I didn't -- I'm sorry, I didn't quite hear what was it. Can you just repeat it for me?

[Dori Kesten, analyst]

Yes. I just said if you're looking out to next year, would you assume a higher bad debt as a percentage of revenue as compared to this year? Or would you imagine kind of in line or lower? I know you commented earlier that you've been a little bit more aggressive this year?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Yes. I would assume we're -- as we've talked about, we'll be at the higher end of our range on bad debt this year. And next year, assuming that we're in the similar environment, we're able to take a very aggressive role of getting properties back and growing rents that it would be at the higher end of that of the range that we've targeted as well. But again, that is to be seen, and still in a really good -- I mean, at 80 basis points is still a really good place to be.

[Operator]

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the conference back to Jeff Edison for some closing remarks. Jeff?

[Jeffrey Edison, executive]

Yes. Thank you, operator. So in closing, the PECO team continued our strong operating performance in the first half of 2024. We delivered record high in-line leasing occupancy. We executed high -- record high renewal rent spreads, and our new leasing spreads are among the highest in the peer group. We have among the highest retention in the space. We're on track to acquire $200 million to $300 million of net acquisitions for the year. Our targeted unlevered IRRs are exceeding 9% for our acquisitions. We completed a $350 million bond offering. We continue to have one of the lowest levered balance sheets in the shopping center space. And despite meaningful interest rate expense headwinds, we delivered strong earnings growth.

At PECO, we cultivate a culture and our associates think and act like owners every day in every decision. Since our founding, PECO has focused on developing the best culture and team in the business. You can see that reflected in our associate engagement results and in the average number of years that our leaders and associates have been part of the PECO team.

PECO associates are focused on operational excellence and innovation. A few recent examples include the following: the Cincinnati Enquirer, each year ranks companies further in their work environment. PECO has been voted a top place to work in Cincinnati for 8 years in a row.

As Bob highlighted, this year, PECO won the Digie Award for the best use of AI at the RealComm Conference, again, getting recognition for the innovation that we do. DashComm, a communication software system developed by the PECO IT team has been one of PECO's greatest innovations. DashComm continues to deliver best-in-class customer experiences and communications to our more than 5,800 neighbors. This technology is now being used by ID Plans in their tenant portal.

And PECO's internship program was recently recognized by the ICSC. We posted that article on our IR website and hope you will check it out. Our differentiated and focused strategy, and our talented and innovative team combined to create a market leader in the shopping center business. We're confident that the PECO team will continue to deliver market-leading results for the remainder of the year.

Looking beyond 2024, PECO is well positioned to continue to successfully grow as we look forward. We believe we provide our investors more alpha and less beta. On behalf of the management team, I'd like to thank our shareholders, PECO associates and our neighbors for their continued support. Thank you all for your time today, and enjoy your weekend.

[Operator]

This concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.