O'Reilly Automotive Inc
NASDAQ:ORLY
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
ORLY
stock under the Base Case scenario is
690.93
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 1 227.37 USD,
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
is
Overvalued by 44%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc. has emerged as a key player in the auto parts retail industry, showcasing a compelling growth narrative that makes it an attractive investment option. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Springfield, Missouri, O'Reilly has grown from a single store to over 5,600 locations across the United States. The company operates in a highly fragmented market, primarily serving do-it-yourself (DIY) car owners and professional service providers with a broad array of automotive parts, tools, and accessories. By maintaining high levels of inventory, providing exceptional customer service, and leveraging advanced technology for inventory management and e-commerce, O'Reilly has carv...
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. has emerged as a key player in the auto parts retail industry, showcasing a compelling growth narrative that makes it an attractive investment option. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Springfield, Missouri, O'Reilly has grown from a single store to over 5,600 locations across the United States. The company operates in a highly fragmented market, primarily serving do-it-yourself (DIY) car owners and professional service providers with a broad array of automotive parts, tools, and accessories. By maintaining high levels of inventory, providing exceptional customer service, and leveraging advanced technology for inventory management and e-commerce, O'Reilly has carved a niche for itself, capitalizing on the burgeoning demand for auto maintenance and repair.
Investors will appreciate O'Reilly’s robust financial performance, which reflects a consistent track record of revenue growth and strong profit margins. The company has not only shown resilience in navigating market fluctuations but has also expanded its footprint through strategic acquisitions and new store openings. The automotive aftermarket is projected to grow steadily, driven by aging vehicles and increased consumer spending on car maintenance. With a seasoned management team and a disciplined approach to capital allocation, O'Reilly is well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, making it a compelling option for those seeking a solid investment within the retail sector.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. operates mainly in the automotive aftermarket sector, and its core business segments can be broadly categorized into the following:
-
Retail Segment:
- This segment consists of O'Reilly's network of retail stores, which offer a wide variety of aftermarket auto parts, tools, and supplies directly to consumers. The stores provide both fundamental replacement parts and performance products, servicing do-it-yourself (DIY) customers as well as professional installers.
-
Wholesale Segment:
- The wholesale segment focuses on selling automotive parts to professional customers, including repair shops and service centers. O'Reilly serves these customers through a dedicated sales force and distribution network, ensuring fast delivery and a broad range of product offerings.
-
Commercial Segment:
- This segment is tailored for commercial entities, including fleet operators, repair shops, and specialty garages. O'Reilly provides tailored services and products to meet the specific needs of businesses managing multiple vehicles.
-
E-Commerce Segment:
- O'Reilly has increasingly developed its e-commerce capabilities to reach more customers through online sales. This segment complements the retail operations by allowing customers to purchase parts online for delivery or in-store pickup, enhancing convenience and accessibility.
-
Distribution & Logistics:
- O'Reilly manages a sophisticated supply chain and logistics operation, which supports both retail and wholesale segments. This includes distribution centers that supply stores and professional accounts with the necessary inventory to meet demand.
These core segments enable O'Reilly Automotive to maintain a strong market position in the automotive aftermarket, catering to a wide range of customers and ensuring continuous growth in its operations.
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the automotive aftermarket retail sector. Here are some notable competitive advantages:
-
Extensive Store Network: O'Reilly has a large footprint with thousands of stores across the United States. This extensive network allows for better customer accessibility, faster delivery, and the potential for lower shipping costs for parts.
-
Strong Brand Recognition: Over the years, O'Reilly has built a trusted brand recognized for quality and customer service. This reputation fosters customer loyalty, which is critical in a competitive retail market.
-
Comprehensive Product Selection: The company offers a wide range of automotive parts, tools, and accessories. Their ability to provide both quality and variety gives customers a one-stop shopping experience.
-
Knowledgeable Staff: O'Reilly prides itself on having well-trained employees who can provide expert advice and assistance. This skilled workforce enhances the customer experience and can lead to increased sales through recommendations.
-
Technology and eCommerce: O'Reilly has invested significantly in technology, including a robust eCommerce platform that complements its physical locations. This omnichannel presence allows customers to shop online and pick up in-store or have products delivered, improving convenience and customer satisfaction.
-
Distribution and Logistics Efficiency: O'Reilly has developed an efficient distribution system, including multiple distribution centers that facilitate timely replenishment of store inventory and support rapid fulfillment of customer orders.
-
Private Label Products: The company offers its own private label products, which can provide higher margins compared to name-brand items. This strategy helps differentiate O'Reilly from competitors while allowing for competitive pricing.
-
Focused Market Strategy: Unlike some competitors, O'Reilly primarily focuses on the automotive parts and accessories market, allowing for deep expertise and specialization that benefits both the retailer and the customer.
-
Customer Loyalty Programs: O'Reilly employs customer loyalty programs that incentivize repeat purchases and strengthen customer relationships. Effective loyalty strategies can enhance customer retention rates.
-
Strong Financial Position: O'Reilly’s strong balance sheet and cash flow generation provide the company with the necessary resources to invest in expansion, employee training, and technology advancements, differentiating it from less financially stable competitors.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. continues to thrive in a challenging market landscape, enabling it to capture market share and foster long-term growth.
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its operations and overall business performance. Here are some of the key factors to consider:
-
Economic Environment: Economic downturns or fluctuations can affect consumer spending and vehicle maintenance budgets. A recession could lead consumers to delay or forgo repairs, adversely affecting sales.
-
Supply Chain Disruptions: O'Reilly relies on a complex supply chain for parts and inventory. Any disruptions, whether due to geopolitical issues, natural disasters, or ongoing impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic, could impact product availability and lead to increased costs.
-
Competition: The automotive parts retail market is highly competitive, with players like AutoZone, Advance Auto Parts, and online retailers like Amazon. This competition can pressure pricing and margins.
-
Technological Changes: With the increasing prevalence of electric vehicles (EVs) and advanced automotive technologies, O'Reilly must adapt its inventory and services to meet new demands. Failure to effectively address these changes could lead to obsolescence.
-
Labor Shortages: The automotive repair industry faces an ongoing labor shortage, which could hinder O'Reilly's ability to fill positions in stores and warehouses, impacting customer service and operational efficiency.
-
Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, such as emissions standards or environmental laws, could necessitate changes in inventory or operational practices, potentially resulting in increased costs.
-
E-commerce Growth: The shift towards online shopping can pose both a challenge and an opportunity. O'Reilly must successfully enhance its online presence and logistics capabilities to compete with e-commerce giants.
-
Market Saturation: In certain geographic markets, O'Reilly may face saturation, making it difficult to achieve growth through new store openings. They may need to rely more heavily on sales growth in existing stores.
-
Consumer Behavior Changes: Shifts in consumer preferences, such as increased interest in sustainability or changes in car ownership trends (e.g., more people using rideshare services), could impact demand for automotive parts and services.
-
Financial Risks: Interest rate fluctuations and changes in the credit environment can impact O'Reilly’s borrowing capacity and cost structure, affecting financial health.
To navigate these challenges, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. will need to focus on strategic planning, investment in technology, and potentially diversifying its product offerings while enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
| Current Assets | 5.7B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 115.6m |
| Receivables | 556.3m |
| Other Current Assets | 5B |
| Non-Current Assets | 8.9B |
| PP&E | 7.7B |
| Intangibles | 997.2m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 175.7m |
| Current Liabilities | 8.2B |
| Accounts Payable | 6.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 751.3m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 7.8B |
| Long-Term Debt | 5.4B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
|
Revenue
|
16.4B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-8B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
8.4B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-5.2B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
3.2B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-843.2m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
2.4B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter of 2024, O'Reilly Automotive reported a $161 million sales increase, driven by a 1.5% rise in comparable store sales. Guidance for total revenues is now set at $16.6 billion to $16.8 billion. Although gross margins improved to 51.6%, the company anticipates full-year operating margins between 19.4% and 19.9%, lower from previous expectations. For the year, free cash flow is expected to be $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion. The company is also planning to open 190 to 200 new stores in 2024, reaffirming its growth strategy despite economic uncertainties.
What is Earnings Call?
ORLY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
O'Reilly Automotive Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
O'Reilly Automotive Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ORLY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
O'Reilly Automotive Inc's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
O'Reilly Automotive Inc's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ORLY Price Targets Summary
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ORLY
is 1 322.95 USD
with a low forecast of 1 090.91 USD and a high forecast of 1 470 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ORLY is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ORLY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. owns and operates retail outlets in the United States. The company is headquartered in Springfield, Missouri and currently employs 68,679 full-time employees. The firm sells its products to both do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider customers. Its product line includes new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting, oil and wiper blades, and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers and truck accessories. The firm's stores offer various services and programs to its customers, such as battery diagnostic testing; battery, wiper and bulb replacement; custom hydraulic hoses; drum and rotor resurfacing; electrical and module testing; loaner tool program, and used oil, oil filter and battery recycling.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
ORLY
stock under the Base Case scenario is
690.93
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 1 227.37 USD,
O'Reilly Automotive Inc
is
Overvalued by 44%.
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