Nutanix Inc

NASDAQ:NTNX

Earnings Call Analysis

Strong Fiscal Year, Positive Guidance for Next Year

Nutanix finished fiscal year 2024 robustly, with Q4 revenue up 11% year-over-year to $548 million, surpassing all guided metrics. Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 22% to $1.91 billion. Free cash flow reached $598 million, almost triple the previous year. For fiscal year 2025, Nutanix expects revenues between $2.435 billion and $2.465 billion, reflecting a 14% growth. The guidance for non-GAAP operating margin is 15.5% to 17%, and free cash flow is projected to be $540 million to $600 million.

Strong Financial Performance in Q4 and Fiscal Year 2024

Nutanix closed its fiscal year 2024 on a high note, exceeding its own guidance across all key financial metrics. In Q4, the company achieved revenue of $548 million, an 11% year-over-year increase. This strong performance was complemented by a robust annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.908 billion, marking a 22% annual growth. Additionally, Nutanix reported a free cash flow of $224 million in Q4, translating to an impressive free cash flow margin of 41%. For the entire fiscal year, revenue reached $2.149 billion, a 15% increase from the previous year, while ARR grew by 22%.

Operational Improvements and Margin Expansion

The company has made significant strides in its operational efficiency. Non-GAAP operating margins in Q4 stood at 12.9%, above the guided range of 9% to 10%, thanks to lower operating expenses and slightly higher gross margins. For the fiscal year 2024, Nutanix delivered a non-GAAP operating margin of 16%, an improvement of over 700 basis points year-over-year. This was the company's first year with a positive GAAP operating income of $8 million. Non-GAAP net income was robust at $384 million, equating to a diluted EPS of $1.31 per share.

Strategic Wins and Partnerships

Nutanix's Q4 highlights include significant wins across various sectors. Notable deals include a multimillion-dollar ACV agreement with a North American Fortune 100 financial services company, a major win with an EMEA-based global research services provider, and a new contract with a top North American university. These wins reflect the growing traction of Nutanix's cloud platform, which offers seamless and efficient application portability across both private and public clouds. Moreover, partnerships with major industry players like Cisco, Dell, and NVIDIA have expanded Nutanix's market reach and go-to-market leverage.

Guidance for Fiscal Year 2025

Looking ahead, Nutanix has set optimistic targets for fiscal year 2025. The company projects revenue in the range of $2.435 billion to $2.465 billion, which represents a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Non-GAAP operating margins are expected to be between 15.5% and 17%, while free cash flow is anticipated to range from $540 million to $600 million, reflecting a free cash flow margin of approximately 23% at the midpoint. Key factors influencing this guidance include continued growth in renewals, prudent investments in sales, marketing, and R&D, and expected lower interest income due to a reduced cash balance.

Market Dynamics and Long-Term Opportunities

Nutanix is witnessing a higher mix of larger deals in its pipeline, often requiring longer sales cycles and strategic customer decisions. Despite these challenges, the company remains focused on capturing market share, especially in the face of industry disruptions like the Broadcom-VMware merger. Nutanix has also shifted its focus upmarket to target larger enterprise clients, reflecting substantial TAM (Total Addressable Market) opportunities. The company's long-term goal is to sustain durable top-line growth while expanding operating margins, aiming to operate sustainably at a rule of 40-plus over time.

Investor Relations and Final Remarks

Nutanix expressed gratitude to its investors, customers, and partners for their continued trust and support. The company's leadership affirmed its commitment to driving sustainable, profitable growth through a combination of innovative solutions, strategic partnerships, and operational excellence. Nutanix sees itself well-positioned to capitalize on evolving market opportunities and remains focused on increasing shareholder value over the long term.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q4

[Operator]

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Nutanix Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's program is being recorded.

And now I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Rich Valera, Vice President of Investor Relations.

[Richard Valera, executive]

Good afternoon, and welcome to today's conference call to discuss Nutanix' fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 financial results. Joining me today are Rajiv Ramaswami, Nutanix' President and CEO; and Rukmini Sivaraman, Nutanix's CFO. After we closed today, Nutanix issued a press release announcing fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 financial results. If you'd like to read the release, please visit the Press Releases section of our IR website.

During today's call, management will make forward-looking statements, including financial guidance. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results to differ materially and adversely from those anticipated by these statements. For a more detailed description of these and other risk certainties, please refer to our SEC filings, including our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and our subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q as well as our earnings press release issued today.

These forward-looking statements apply as of today, and we undertake no obligation to revise these statements after this call. As a result, you should not rely on them as predictions of future events. Please note unless otherwise specifically referenced, all financial measures we use on today except for revenue, are expressed on a non-GAAP basis and have been adjusted to exclude certain charges. We have provided, to the extent available, reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures on our IR website and in our earnings press release.

Nutanix will be participating in the Goldman Sachs [indiscernible] Technology Conference in San Francisco on September 9 and the Piper Sandler Growth Printers Conference in Nashville on September 10. We hope to see you at these events. Finally, our first quarter fiscal [ '25 ] quiet period will begin on Friday, October 18.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to Rajiv. Rajiv?

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Thank you, Rich, and good afternoon, everyone. Our fourth quarter was a solid finish to our 2024 fiscal year. We continue to see steady demand for our solutions driven by businesses prioritizing infrastructure modernization initiatives while looking to adopt hybrid multi-cloud operating models and optimize their total cost of ownership. In the fourth quarter, we are happy to have exceeded all our guided metrics. We delivered quarterly revenue of $548 million, up 11% on year-over-year and saw another quarter of strong free cash flow generation. We also saw the highest number of new logos we've seen in 3 years, an encouraging sign of building traction with some of our go-to-market partnerships and initiatives.

Our full year 2024 results demonstrated progress on a number of fronts. Financially, we delivered solid top line performance driven by continued strong performance from our renewals business. We saw good growth in our pipeline of larger deals as we shifted our focus upmarket and saw increased engagement from prospects looking for alternatives to their existing infrastructure solutions. Even as our land and expand business underperformed related to our internal expectations due to the longer-than-expected sales cycles we see, we delivered revenue of $2.15 billion, up 15% year-over-year and ARR of [ $1.91 ] billion, up 22% year-over-year.

Our bottom line performance was even stronger. We generated free cash flow of $598 million, almost 3x higher than last year, resulting in a free cash flow margin of 28% and a Rule of 40 score of 43. In FY '24, we also saw [indiscernible] progress on the partnership front with significant new or enhanced partnerships with Cisco, Dell and NVIDIA. And I'm pleased that Dell X, our new turnkey HCI-based appliance offering with Dell is now generally available. We see these partnerships is both expanding our addressable market and providing us with meaningful go-to-market leverage. Finally, we continue to innovate in FY '24, with important new product releases and enhancements to our Nutanix cloud platform.

These included the launch of GPT-in-a-Box, our solution for streamlining the adoption of generative AI by enterprises. We made meaningful progress towards our goal of becoming the best platform for modern applications, including the launch of Nutanix data services for Kubernetes or NDK, which offers consistent data services across both virtual machines and container stats, as well as the recent release of Nutanix Kubernetes platform or NKP, to simplify management of modern applications, on-premises and in any native public cloud service.

Our most significant wins in the quarter demonstrated the appeal of the Nutanix cloud platform to organizations that are looking to modernize their IT footprints and adopt hybrid cloud operating models as well as those looking for alternatives in the wake of recent industry M&A. Our largest win in Q4 was a multimillion-dollar ACV deal with a North American-based Fortune 100 financial services company. Following a roughly 1.5 years engagement with us, they chose to replace their existing solution [indiscernible] Nutanix Cloud platform, including our A3 hypervisor as well as Nutanix cloud manager.

This customer, who had been using a competing HCI solution in much of the footprint was able to utilize their existing hardware for their Nutanix software deployment, obviating the need for a hardware refresh. We also had a number of significant wins that included our Nutanix cloud clusters or NC2 capability, which enables workloads to be seamlessly and efficiently run in both private and public clouds. One of these was with an existing customer, an EMEA-based provider of global research services. This customer was looking to accelerate the migration of their workloads to the public cloud, while ensuring the workloads once migrated, will run as efficiently and cost effectively as possible.

Having already made a commitment to Microsoft Azure, they purchased licenses for Nutanix cloud platform through the Azure marketplace with the intent of utilizing its NC2 capability to shift their on-prem workloads to Azure. Another good example was a significant new customer win with a top North American university. Most of our customers start with our platform on prem. However, this customer was motivated by their decision to migrate away from a competing platform they were using to run their virtual machine workloads at scale in the public cloud on AWS due to dissatisfaction with recent changes at their existing supplier.

They chose Nutanix cloud platform to migrate their applications running in the public cloud to our NC2 on AWS, while also adopting our cloud platform to run their on-prem workloads. We also plan on [indiscernible] Nutanix cloud manager for consistent health service and automation across their private and public cloud state. A final notable example is a win with an Asia-based Global 2000 semiconductor provider. This full stack win, which is also a displacement of our primary competitor, enables the customer to streamline their operations, increase their level of automation, and reduce their dependence on more expensive proprietary storage solutions.

It included adoption of Nutanix database service, or NDD to enable them to move off of their expensive commercial databases to open source databases managed by NDD. This customer also plans to adopt our unified storage solutions, replacing multiple third-party storage options. Finally, we also plan on utilizing NC2 on Azure to enable them to shift applications to the public cloud, including performing lift and shifts of IT workloads of acquired companies. We see these wins as reflecting the value customers see in our platform as they look for seamless and efficient application portability while adopting hybrid multi-cloud operating models as well as the value of our partnerships with Azure and AWS. In closing, I am pleased with our solid Q4 and fiscal 2024 results and the progress we continue to make on multiple fronts, including our financial model, our partnerships and our ongoing innovation in our cloud platform towards our goal of becoming the leading platform for running applications and managing data anywhere.

We also remain focused on capitalizing on what we view as a long-term opportunity to gain share in face of recent industry disruption and are encouraged by our early successes, including some of the wins I just highlighted. Finally, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to our investors, customers and partners for their trust in us and to our employees for their hard work that led to these results.

And with that, I'll hand it over to Rukmini Sivaraman. Rukmini?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Thank you, Rajiv, and thank you, everyone, for joining us. I will first discuss our Q4 fiscal '24 and full fiscal year 2024 results followed by our guidance for Q1 fiscal '25 and for the full fiscal year 2025. Results in Q4 '24 came in above the high end of our range across all guided metrics. ACV billings in Q4 were $338 million, above the guided range of $295 million to $305 million, representing year-over-year growth of 21%. Revenue in Q4 was $548 million, higher than the guided range of $530 million to $540 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 11%.

ARR at the end of Q4 was $1.908 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 22%. In Q4, we continue to see modestly elongated average sales cycles compared to historical levels. Average contract duration in Q4 was 3.1 years, 0.1 year higher than Q3. Non-GAAP gross margin in Q4 was 86.9%, higher than our guided range of 85% to 86%. Non-GAAP operating margin in Q4 was 12.9% higher than our guided range of 9% to 10%, largely due to one, lower operating expenses as a result of higher-than-expected nonrecurring payments related to one of our partnership agreements and a few other items; and two, slightly higher gross margin and revenue.

Non-GAAP net income in Q4 was $76 million or fully diluted EPS of $0.27 per share based on fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 285 million shares. DSOs based on revenue and ending accounts receivable were 39 days in Q4. Free cash flow in Q4 was $224 million, representing free cash flow margin of 41%. Free cash flow in Q4 benefited from the collection on the 8-figure [ AC ] transaction that was booked in fiscal Q3.

Moving to the balance sheet. We ended Q4 with cash, cash equivalence and short-term investments of $994 million, down from $1.651 billion at the end of Q3. The primary reason for the reduction in our cash balance was Bain Capital's conversion of the 26 notes, which we announced in June. We settled the conversion in Q4 by paying $817.6 million in cash and delivering approximately 16.9 million shares of common stock. Please note that the entire conversion value had previously already been included in our fully diluted weighted average share count on an if-converted basis. The actual settlement included a portion settled in cash rather than exclusively in shares, resulting in the issuance of approximately 17 million shares, which is $12 million lower than the $29 million that we had previously included on an if-converted basis.

Moving to capital allocation. we repurchased about $25 million worth of shares in Q4 and $131 million worth of shares in all of fiscal year '24 under the share repurchase program previously authorized by our Board of Directors. Looking at our full year financial results, we exceeded the high end of all guided metrics for fiscal year '24. ACV billings in fiscal year '24 were $1.162 billion, higher than our guidance of $1.12 billion to $1.13 billion, and representing a year-over-year growth of 21%.

A reminder that the annual ACV billings is slightly lower than the sum of the ACV billings from the 4 quarters due to adjustments for deals with duration of less than a year. Revenue in fiscal year '24 was $2.149 billion, higher than our guidance of $2.13 billion to $2.14 billion and representing a year-over-year growth of 15%. We are pleased to have exceeded the $2 billion revenue threshold in fiscal year '24. We ended fiscal year '24 with an ARR of $1.908 billion, as mentioned earlier, a year-over-year growth of 22%.

Net dollar-based retention rate, or NRR, at the end of fiscal year '24 was 114%. As the fiscal year progressed, we saw a higher mix of larger deals in our pipeline. These larger opportunities often involve strategic decisions and C-suite approvals causing them to take longer to close and to have greater variability in timing, outcome and deal structure. And as we mentioned previously, we have continued to see a modest elongation of average sales cycles relative to historical levels.

Largely due to these dynamics, our fiscal year '24 land and expand ACV and ARR performance were below our initial expectations at the beginning of the fiscal year, and we expect these dynamics to continue. Our renewals performance continues to be good through the fiscal year and a reminder that renewals tend to be at a lower aggregate average contract duration compared to land and expand. Average contract duration in fiscal year '24 was 2.95 years, flattish to fiscal year '23 and slightly higher than expected, partly due to some larger deals with greater than average duration.

Non-GAAP gross margin in fiscal year '24 was 86.7%. Non-GAAP operating expenses in fiscal year '24 were $1.515 billion, an increase of 7% year-over-year as we began to make additional investments primarily in research and development and sales and marketing. Non-GAAP operating margin in fiscal year '24 was 16%, representing an improvement of over 700 basis points year-over-year.

We also delivered our first full year of positive GAAP operating income of $8 million in fiscal year '24. Non-GAAP net income was $384 million, or diluted EPS of $1.31 per share based on fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 294 million shares. Free cash flow in fiscal year '24 was $598 million, higher than our guidance of $520 million to $540 million and almost 3x higher than last year's free cash flow.

Free cash flow margin in fiscal year '24 was 28%, implying free cash flow margin expansion of 17 percentage points year-over-year. Free cash flow in fiscal year '24 benefited from approximately $30 million in nonrecurring payments related to a partnership agreement, as previously referenced. Overall, fiscal year '24 was a significant year, marking our first year with positive GAAP operating income, Significant free cash flow generation of $598 million and free cash flow margin of 28%, while growing ARR at 22% and revenue at 15% year-over-year.

We also delivered a Rule of 40 score defined as the sum of revenue growth and free cash flow margin of 43 for fiscal year '24, an improvement of 14 percentage points year-over-year and 28 percentage points higher compared to 2 years ago.

Moving to fiscal year '25. The guidance for the full year is as follows: revenue of $2.435 billion to $2.465 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 14% at the midpoint. Non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 15.5% to 17%, free cash flow of $540 million to $600 million representing a free cash flow margin of approximately 23% at the midpoint. I will now provide some commentary regarding our fiscal year '25 guidance. First, as previously mentioned at our 2023 Investor Day, we are signing our metrics by not reporting or guiding ACV billings starting in fiscal year '25.

ACV billings was intended as a transitional metric during our subscription evolution, and we believe that now is the time to evolve away from that metric. We are also no longer guiding to GAAP gross margin which was previously useful as we navigated our business model changes, leading to significant improvements in non-GAAP gross margin. We will continue to guide to revenue, non-GAAP operating margin and free cash flow on an annual basis and to guide to revenue and non-GAAP operating margin for the subsequent quarter. Second, and moving on to assumptions in our guidance, we are seeing continued and significant land and expand opportunities and a growing pipeline for our solution.

However, we continue to see a higher mix of larger deals in our pipeline, which is driving greater variability in our land and expand bookings. These larger opportunities often involve strategic decisions and C-suite approvals at the customer or prospect, causing them to take longer to close and to have greater variability in timing, outcome and deal structure. And as we mentioned previously, we continue to see a modest elongation of average sales cycles relative to historical levels, which we expect to continue; third, the guidance assumes that renewals will continue to perform well in fiscal year '25; fourth, the full year guidance assumes that average contract duration would be flat to slightly lower compared to fiscal year '24 as renewals continue to grow as a percentage of our billings; fifth, the non-GAAP operating margin guidance assumes incremental prudent investments in sales and marketing and R&D, targeted towards addressing our large market opportunity.

It also factors in the annualized run rate of the incremental investments we made in fiscal year '24. It also assumes a $20 million to $25 million headwind in operating expenses relative to fiscal year '24 from payments related to one of our partnership agreement.

Specifically, there was about $44 million of this benefit to the R&D operating expense line in fiscal year '24, and we anticipate it to be $20 million to $25 million in fiscal year '25; and sixth, the free cash flow guidance reflects an approximately $30 million headwind relative to fiscal year '24, from lower interest income as a result of our lower invested cash due to the cash payment on the conversion of FY [ '26 ] convertible notes. We expect free cash flow in fiscal year '25 to also benefit from the approximately $30 million in nonrecurring payments related to a partnership agreement, similar to the benefit we saw in fiscal year '24. It is expected to tail off towards the end of fiscal year '25.

Moving to Q1 '25. Our guidance for Q1 is as follows: revenue of $565 million to $575 million, non-GAAP operating margin of 14.5% to 15.5%. Fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately [ 287 ] million shares. In closing, we are pleased that Q4 and fiscal year '24 performance exceeded guidance across all metrics. We are excited about the long-term market opportunity and Nutanix' ability to deliver compelling outcomes for customers and prospects.

We remain committed to continued progress aligned with our stated philosophy of sustainable, profitable growth booked through durable top line growth and expanding margins. With that, operator, please open the line for questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]

Our first question comes from the line of George Wang from Barclays.

[Dong Wang, analyst]

Firstly, just curious if you have any update on the Broadcom kind of churn, especially in the last couple of quarters, you just talked about that after the initial wave of strong engagement, the activity slowed just because of Broadcom working back some of the initial initiatives to be now more in favor of retaining some of the priority customers. Just curious if the dynamic has changed.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes, we are -- it's largely an unchanged multiyear opportunity to gain share, like we said last quarter. While the sales side has been a bit longer than we had initially anticipated. Thus far, we haven't really seen any meaningful changes in our win or loss rates on these opportunities. As we talked about in our prepared remarks, we are seeing some of these larger opportunities close. We gave you a few examples in the prepared remarks. And I do expect that we'll continue to see more of these over time. Now in the midsize and smaller customer segments, we're seeing significant increased engagement and opportunity as many of these smaller companies look for alternatives and generally less competitive engagements related to the larger customer opportunities.

Along with our increased leverage from our go-to-market partnerships that we've talked about as well as our programs and incentives that we have in place. This dynamic has also been one of our drivers for our larger -- our stronger new logo performance.

[Dong Wang, analyst]

Great. Just if I can squeeze in quickly it's nice to see we [indiscernible] International Services, you guys mentioned without changing the underlying hardware, previously, the dating sites are one of the gaming sector has been so the upgrading the underlying hardware to wait for the hardware refresh I guess, can you talk about sort of a better path going forward kind of now seems especially after [indiscernible] partnership, maybe you're kind of removing some of the constraints related to the underlying hardware refresh -- maybe you can give a little bit more color on that.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

No, that's a very good question, George. I think if you look at the installed base out there in data centers, a vast majority of it, I don't have the exact number, but roughly around 80% of it is what we call 3-tier infrastructure. Separate storage, compute and networking. And as you know, we have a HCI solution today in the market.

And if we want to replace the 3 tier with HCI, it's a better architecture, more cost-effective long term, but it does require a hardware refresh. Now the remaining [ 20% ] is HCI, of which we are a market leader and our competition has some of the rest. Now in this particular case, an example that we talked about, the customer was already on with a competing product. And when you're already on HCI, we've been quite successful having our software to be able to run on existing hardware because it's already hit CI hardware.

And that's what happened in this particular account. And so for that subset or customers that are already on HCI, the migration path is easier in some subset of those cases, we don't need a hardware refreshes. That's what happened here. On the 3-tier, it does require a hardware refresh. Now we're also addressing the 3-tier market, to your point, one aspect of our partnership with Dell is that we said we would -- they would be the first that we would support at external storage, Dell PowerFlex.

And now the whole idea of doing that is now we can find an easier insertion to feature deployments without having to change out the hardware. Now that solution is not available in the market today. It's only going to be available sometime next year. And over time, we anticipate being able to offer that support to a broader set of third-party storage ways.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Jim Fish from Piper Sandler.

[James Fish, analyst]

Rajiv, do you want to ask around essentially -- you alluded a little bit of GPT-in-a-Box here. I don't think we've got a conference call anymore without talking about AI, but are you seeing any sort of trend of repatriation of workloads back to private cloud or just a core workload as well as for AI, I guess, any update on the GPT-in-a-Box?

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes. So Jim, good question. I'll give you a 2-point answer to that. First, in general purpose work clouds and then second on GPT. For general purpose locates to your point, for steady-state workloads, I think people are getting to the conclusion that it's much more cost effective to run those on-prem in a private cloud environment. We've seen some repatriation. We've also seen much more deliberation in terms of whether that workload goes to the public cloud in the first place because a lot of the deployment is still on-prem of enterprise workloads.

So we're certainly seeing the trend and realization of customers to see steady-state workloads, we can run them more cost effectively in private labs. Now on GPT specifically, I think a lot of visual interest in Gen AI has been in creation and training of LLM large language models and a lot of that is being done in the public cloud and massive farms, and we don't have -- we don't play there fully. But on the other hand, we think the bulk of the enterprise opportunity in terms of how companies are actually going to use it is potentially going to be on-prem because at the end of the day, the Gen AI workloads, applications have we run wherever the customer data is. And in a lot of cases, sensitive customer data is either inside data centers or at the edges, and so a platform like our GPT-in-a-Box provides a very simple, easy-to-use, secure, way [indiscernible] Gen AI applications.

And so the use cases that we've seen so far have been around co-piloting, around document [indiscernible] analysis, around customer support and our enhanced fraud detection. We are seeing certainly continued traction. It's still early days for us. But across multiple verticals, health care, financial services, government. So early days for DPT adoption in the private cloud enterprise -- but I think that's going to be a growing market for finding [indiscernible] augmented generation and for inferencing in terms of running these AI workloads, close to the data in a private and secure way.

[James Fish, analyst]

And Rukmini I'm sure you're anticipating this question already. But I guess how much -- as we think about that [ '25 ] guide, how much incremental contribution are you expecting either from a growth dollar perspective, however you want to put it between the VMware opportunity, the Cisco and Dell partnerships versus the expansion within your existing installed base that if memory certainly right should be accelerating a little bit in terms of the renewals of grabs this year. And is there a way to think about where ARR actually exits this year?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Thank you, Jim, for that question. So in terms of contribution from the various buckets that you called out, Jim, so I'll give you some qualitative color on that, right? So we've talked about -- in general, we are happy with our pipeline generation overall. We have talked about the growing pipeline and the fact that the pipeline from larger deals is growing faster. And that can lead to variability, right, with respect to timing or outcome or more complex deal structures and so on. And so some of those dynamics we expect to continue next year. Similarly, with just modestly elongated sales cycles across the board, not just large deals, right, but across the board, and we expect that to continue next year as well.

In terms of the contribution from Cisco, we do expect the Cisco contribution to grow in fiscal year '25 relative to last year. And we do expect a small initial contribution from Dell XC Plus, which is the new offering that's generally available now.

And we expect small initial contribution from that in '25 and expect that to grow as well over time. And so all of that is taken into account when you think about the fiscal year '25 top line guide that we provided. Jim, the other thing you alluded to is renewal -- so yes, our renewables business continues to grow nicely year-over-year. So that's factored in there as well. And I think the last part of your question was around ARR. So -- we will, of course, continue to report ARR on a quarterly basis. And while we noted that ARR underperformed for fiscal year '24 relative to our internal expectations, we're not providing guidance for ARR.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes. The only thing I'll add to that, Rukmini, would be -- I think, Jim, you also had a question on the Broadcom opportunity. And like I said, that's largely using, but it's also very difficult to explicitly pass that out because every 1 of our deals, historically, we've been we have been competing against VMware in the past and continue. So there's some level of influence. I only -- these are the only reason why people come to us. It's a little hard for us to piece it out separately.

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Yes. Thank you, Rajiv. That attribution is certainly nuanced. So we do expect it to continue to contribute some, but we wouldn't be overly precise on that. So thank you, Rajiv, and thank you, Jim, for the question.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Meta Marshall from Morgan Stanley.

[Meta Marshall, analyst]

Wanted to get a sense of maybe kind of circling back to the question that's been asked a couple of times. Just in terms of -- do you feel like you've kind of figured out where Broadcom [indiscernible] where kind of the definition of your customer is or are you kind of refining where you think the most actionable opportunities are? Or are you still kind of in that discovery mode of figuring out what are the most actionable opportunities. And then Rukmini, I know Jim just asked about it, but just kind of any of the timing of renewals or co-terming just given that we've had some kind of early renewal dynamics and kind of co-terming issues over the past couple of years, we should just be mindful of as we go into fiscal '25.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

I'll start and then Rukmini can answer the second part. Independent of the Broadcom situation, as we look at our addressable market, historically, Nutanix has been quite strong in what I would call the smaller side of enterprises and the higher end of commercial mid-market. But over the last few years, we have deliberately made a [indiscernible] further upmarket towards larger enterprises because that's where we are underpenetrated and the biggest TAM opportunity sits. So we have realigned our segmentation over the past few years to focus more on that market. Now the products are ready. We have done a lot of work on the product side. The [indiscernible] right now we're ready. We've got some good partnerships. Now we also clearly understand that when you get to the large customers, the G2K accounts, for example, or the Fortune 100-type accounts, those are going to be more competitive.

And that's where clearly Broadcom is more focused on. And those engagements tend to be long, they tend to be bigger, but to very fruitful if and when we do win it. And as you can see here, we are starting to win some of those. We talked about an 8-figure ACV win last quarter. This quarter, we had a multimillion dollar ACV win. So those tend to take time but are well worth it when they do happen. So we've got a focus there, for sure.

The mid-market or the smaller side of the enterprises [indiscernible]. And it's also less of a focus for Broadcom, given their explicit focus on the bigger accounts. It also tends to be less competitive and easier migrations as well. So that used to be our historical sweet spot continues to be a sweet spot. But the bigger opportunity for us is growth is also now sitting at the top end of the pyramid.

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

And I'll take the question, Meta, on renewals and expectations for renewals in fiscal year '25. So far as we did have in fiscal '24, just overall good performance in renewals. And I think to your point, it did include really good discipline from the team around economics for the renewals in terms of pricing. It did include some early and core term renewals. And as we said, for those are good in our mind as long as they come in at good economics because the customer is willing to renew with us and renew their commitment to us earlier and often give us the cash earlier as well.

And then core terms, of course, the simplification of their real estate, right? So that's both the customer and us well in terms of managing their footprint. So we did have some of that. Now when we look at fiscal year '25, our available to renew pool, you can think about it as effectively a pipeline for renewals continues to be -- continues to grow. It's a strong year-over-year growth. And it's roughly similar year-over-year growth similar to what we saw in fiscal year '24.

And then in terms of timing, I think perhaps your question was around sort of seasonality of that, Meta. It does move around a little bit. But in general, our fiscal Q2 and Q4 tend to be sort of higher quarters for us, given Q2 has the calendar year-end and budget flush and things like that. And of course, fiscal year Q4 is end of our fiscal year and there are incentives around that. So Q2 and Q4 started to have higher in general, available to the new pools relative to Q1 and Q3. But that's sort of how we think about the renewal opportunity in fiscal year '25.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Wamsi Mohan from Bank of America.

[Ruplu Bhattacharya, analyst]

It's Ruplu filling in for Wamsi today. I have one for Rajiv and one for Rukmini. Rajiv, is the demand environment materially different from 90 days ago? And can you talk about the pricing environment? Specifically, I think you've said in the past that some customers may wait for their hardware to be depreciated. Is pricing a lever you can use to maybe drive faster share gains for example, can a smaller customer be induced more to go with Nutanix. And as a management team, how do you trade off share gain versus margins? And I have a follow-up for Rukmini.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes, those are all very good questions. At a top level, the demand environment has not changed, and it's been fairly stable. As we said over the last several quarters, we are seeing some of elongated sales cycles, people getting more approvals and more awareness of TCO before they make the purchasing decision. So that part has not changed. Now in terms of how we look at the opportunity. Now hardware refresh, as you can see, right, I mean when we do need a hardware refresh, that tends to be a significant factor in terms of customers' timing on a deal.

Now the key things to keep in mind is that the hardware refresh is not just at one point in time, hardware refreshes happen depending on the size of the state at various points. And we can use those points to secure an insertion. It may not be a full insertion because hardware orders gets replaced over time and multiple cycle, we may be able to insert for [indiscernible] one workload where a portion of the hardware is getting replaced, say, this year and maybe other portions of the hardware we get refreshed in 2, 3 years from now. So that's sort of normal engagement. Now we have offered some promotions to customers in terms of providing them sort of some overlapping windows where we can give them discounted licenses for a period of time.

Now I will say that hardware costs tend to be quite significant. So it's not that we are able to necessarily subsidize hardware costs ourselves, okay? But sometimes we may be able to work with partners, hardware [indiscernible] are more interested in doing that themselves. So that can be a possibility as well when it comes to the hardware costs. And then, look, I think when it comes to landing new customers, especially significant ones, we are willing to be quite aggressive in terms of -- we already have aggressive promotions out there and the incentives for customers. And we will do what is needed within reasonable bounds to go win these deals, while at the same time protecting our margins.

So that's probably a broad answer. I would say [indiscernible], we are being aggressive wherever needed. We are working with hardware partners to see if we can mitigate some better refresh opportunities. And at the same time, keep in mind, Ruplu, we are also working to broaden the set of places where we can insert without requiring a hardware refresh, existing [indiscernible] environments or the ability to reuse servers that customers may already invested in. And then over time, as we get our third-party storage support, we'll be able to do more -- even more of that.

[Ruplu Bhattacharya, analyst]

Rukmini, I wanted to ask you, your free cash flow guidance for fiscal '25 is very strong, above the prior 2023 Investor Day guidance. How should we think about the cadence of that in the first half versus the second half of fiscal '25. And then when we look at the remaining metrics, for example, revenue is now at the lower end of what you had thought, what you had guided in the Analyst Day, is it given that, is it reasonable for investors to expect that the outer year, say, fiscal '27 expectations should also be lower? Or could there be a material acceleration over the next 2 years, given the dynamics of renewables and available to renew as well as logos that you're winning?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Thank you for that question. So first, I think your first question was around free cash flow. And so we are pleased with our free cash flow performance in fiscal year '24 and happy to guide to free cash flow where we did, which, as you noted, the midpoint is above the high end of the range of what we had put out last year at our Investor Day. Now in terms of the quarterly cadence there, Ruplu, we don't, of course, guide quarterly to free cash flow so there can be some variation there, including, as pointed out in the last couple of quarters where -- because we collect cash for multiple years upfront, generally, meaningful deals, right, if there are larger deals that we collect cash for upfront or if it's a longer duration transaction, then that those can cost swings, Ruplu.

So yes, so we don't guide to quarterly, but that's sort of the quality of color. I will say that when you think about -- the operating expense increase over time. We've talked about you can sort of see the implied OpEx growth year-over-year on our margin guide. And that would be more gradual over time, right, because we're going to invest in sales and marketing and in R&D -- and some of that will be over time. The OpEx does include, for example, all of the annualized run rate from investments in '24, all those are annualized into '25, plus it includes salary raises for our employees that became effective. So some of those are more run rate and others will be more gradual as we ramp into the spend over time. So that's the first part of your question.

And I think the second part was more around the sort of medium- to longer-term financial targets that we put out at our last Investor Day. So while we don't plan on commenting on those medium-term financial targets on an interim basis, we are happy to note as you just said, Ruplu, that the fiscal year '25 free cash flow guidance at the midpoint is above the range of what we have put out at Investor Day. And our initial fiscal year '25 revenue guide is within the range that we have provided at that time. We continue to focus on driving durable top line growth and expanding free cash flow and operating margin and driving to operating sustainably at a rule of 40 plus over time. So that's sort of been our philosophy, and we continue to drive that philosophy, and we're not commenting specifically on those numbers at this point.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Jason Ader from William Blair.

[Jason Ader, analyst]

One quick one is on the 8-figure deal that you announced last quarter. Did you recognize any revenue this quarter from that deal? And then what's the kind of schedule look like on rev rec for that particular transaction?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Yes. Thank you, Jason. So as we said, I think last quarter, we did collect the cash for that transaction, the entire sort of PCV value of that transaction. But all of the revenue recognition is over multiple years starting in fiscal year '25. So no, we didn't -- I think there was a small professional services portion that began in Q4, Jason, but all the license revenue is in fiscal year '25 and beyond.

[Jason Ader, analyst]

And then, Rajiv, for you, just I think a bunch of people have asked this question around the VMware displacement opportunity. But I wanted to kind of frame it like this, which is -- do you think you have a little bit of misalignment from a go-to-market standpoint right now just because you're moving up market over the last couple of years in terms of the types of customers that you're targeting and yet it seems like most of the low-hanging fruit from VMware disruption is coming more in the low end of -- lower end of the market and kind of low end of the enterprise.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

So to be clear, Jason, I don't miss a line because we are targeting our GTM resources on where we see the maximum dollar opportunity lies, right? And the more of the dollar opportunity is sitting higher up in the pyramid, better which is the same reason by Broadcom and equally focused on those customers, right? So for us to grow, I mean, we already have -- we are well penetrated in the lower end of the market, and we will continue to -- we still have very much focused there, right? We haven't moved away from that. That's our sweet spot, that's our installed base, and that's where we can go in and capture more customers. We are talking about everything ready from cool restricts to retailers to those types of public sector. These are all types, very much a sweet spot.

But the bigger SAM opportunities for us, certainly sitting in the top of the pyramid. And so we have to, as a company, to be successful. We have to go after those, right? And we have the products, we have the DTM. Yes, we know those are going to be harder for. But when we do win them, like you saw with the rate figure opportunity that we won last quarter, those can be pretty significant.

[Jason Ader, analyst]

Got you. But I thought the 8-figure one that you won last quarter was like a 3-year or 2.5 year sales cycle -- that wasn't really related to the Broadcom.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Well, I think it's partly related to the Broadcom thing, very much so. I mean, like, again, it's hard to attribute everything 100% to Broadcom. Yes, we were engaged with them for 2 years, but a lot of the big customers at the very top of the pyramid are very sensitive and aware as soon as the Broadcom deal was announced, they started thinking about what they're going to do. It didn't wait for the deal to close, unlike many of the smaller customers to see what is going to happen.

So this customer -- we had certainly a unique value proposition in our use cases that the in thinking and then the Broadcom piece, of course, was an added boost. So it's one of these things where it's hard to attribute how much of it with Broadcom, how much is something else? But that's a good example. Similarly, the example from this quarter's call also is very much the same, right, this Fortune 100 financial services customer very much driven by the Broadcom situation.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold from Raymond James.

[W. Chiu, analyst]

This is Victor Chiu in for Simon. I wanted to follow up on that last question kind of regarding customer migrations. Within VMware's footprint -- the 3-tier infrastructure customers that you described. Can you help us think about what percentage of those would be able to fairly easily adapt their existing application forms to HP and kind of what initially for better or worse kind of married to VMware because of their dependency on some of the more advanced kind of virtualization functionalities on that.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes. So that's a good question, Victor. I would say the vast majority of applications running on a VMware high provider on 3-tier can run very well on HP and HCI environment. There are perhaps things at the edges where it's not technical gaps, it's really more ecosystem certification gaps that might hinder some of them. There might be an application that's certified on ESX, but not certified on AHV. And over the last few years, we've built that out as well. So there are going to be some conditions that are not certified. But for the most part, we can address pretty much anything that is running on a 3-tier infrastructure on VMware and run that effectively on Nutanix HCI on AHV. But there's the other barriers that we talked about, right, in terms of hardware refresh cycles and then the timing of the renewal. Those are some of the other things that we still have to factor in, but it's not a technical barrier.

[W. Chiu, analyst]

That's very helpful. And then maybe can you help us think about how the economics compare with Nutanix having an AHV, having a head of a hypervisor included in the platform, the economics, does that make the economic materially different? Or is it just kind of margin will differ into more of a capabilities kind of thing.

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Yes, I think -- so Victor on that again, so clearly, historically, this has been the case when a customer migrates from a 3-tier deployment over to Health deployment. They save a lot, right? They say 30%, 40%, at least as of TCO costs. We factor in everything, including the hardware cost, the operating cost, all of it is a pretty substantial savings. And so that continues to be the case today, right? I think the battery, of course, is you've got -- you've invested in the hardware, you want to depreciate it before you actually go buy new hardware. But those savings and the value of HCI related to [ 3-tier ] is very established and that continues.

[W. Chiu, analyst]

And is the transition for an existing VMware HCS to Nutanix much easier?

[Rajiv Ramaswami, executive]

Much easier. Yes, this Fortune 100 win that we talked about was exactly that situation. The customer had a lot of competitive HCI offerings deployed. It was an easier migration because for them, they didn't have to change out their hardware. We could just replace the other software without software.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Matt Hedberg from RBC Capital Markets.

[Unknown Analyst]

This is Simon on for Matt Hedberg. Congrats on the quarter. may just have one. Can you touch more on the linearity of large deals within the quarter? And did you see any deals being pushed out or pulled in this quarter? And then looking ahead, what early trends have you been seeing so far in August? And then maybe just general linearity for 2025, given some of the uncertainty of these large deal timing.

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

I'll take that, Rajiv, you should proceed to add in. So for linearity in Q4 I would say it was more or less as we expected. I think your question specifically was on linearity with respect to large deals. And those we've talked about can be more unpredictable than other portions of the business is given they tend to be often more strategic, involved C-suite approvals, things like that. It can be more unpredictable. But overall, I would say linearity in Q4 was largely as expected. In terms of push out or pull in, I think at the next part of the question as we think about last Q4 coming into this year. Nothing unusual there, I would note.

I think it was sort of what we think would expect for that time of year. So nothing unusual there. And then again, on [indiscernible], the only thing to call out in Q1 is it's U.S. federal end of fiscal year in September, of course. But again, that's all factored into how we think about our guidance and ability to collect free cash flow and things like that. But as I said earlier, I think the overall linearity can become a little unpredictable because of the mix of the large deals as that grows over time, and it is something that we're continuing to watch closely.

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Mike Cikos from Needham.

[Michael Cikos, analyst]

I just wanted to ask, I know last quarter, the company gave some great color on the number of million dollar plus ACV opportunities in the pipeline, growing 30% year-on-year, growing more than 50% if we look at it on a dollar basis. Did these statistics still hold in Q4? And do we have a sizable enough cohort to start really understanding how much longer these sales cycles are for these deals?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Yes, good question. So we're not going to provide that metric necessarily quarterly, Mike. But as we said, I think we are happy overall with pipe creation and are seeing meaningful opportunities with those larger deal segments. So that continues to be good in terms of pipe creation. And I think your second question around do we have enough data points [indiscernible] relatively early.

The pipeline has grown nicely. But as we've talked about here, some of these larger deals can take a really long time, I would give one example where it was 2 years, another 1 this quarter where it was 1.5 years. And so it is variable and it can take long. And so I'd say -- I don't think we have a lot of that data or enough data points right under our belt to sort of draw too many conclusions from that. And that's what -- even the previous question here that was asked in terms of it is something we watch closely, right, in terms of tracking those deals, but also thinking about do we have multiple ways to get to the number, right? If deals X and Y close or don't close, do we have other deals A&B that could get us there. So that's definitely a discussion that we have internally and factor that into our guidance.

[Michael Cikos, analyst]

Got it. And I guess just for a quick follow-up. I appreciate all the color on the assumptions here. Can you help us understand that call it, $30 million benefit to free cash flow we're expecting from the partner payments this year. Again, just because we're -- this is essentially the second back-to-back year we're now receiving this kind of payment. Is it the same quarter -- any other color would be benefit?

[Rukmini Sivaraman, executive]

Yes. Thank you, Mike, for that question because I think it's -- I would be happy to clarify that. So this -- there are these nonrecurring payments from this partner, and there is a timing difference between OpEx and free cash flow. And so the commentary that we had provided was we had about a $44 million benefit in fiscal year '24 over the course of the year to the R&D OpEx line in fiscal year -- and we expect that same $44 million benefit, right, it becomes more like $20 million to $25 million in fiscal year '25. So that's the [ $25 ] million headwind that I was referring to in OpEx, [ '25 ] relative to fiscal year '24. So all of that is operating expense commentary. Now when you look at free cash flow, there's a bit of a delay in when the cash comes in relative to that payment. So we got about $30 million of cash benefit from that in fiscal year '24. We expect another $30 million in '25 and then it would taper off, there may be a small portion in '26, but it will then taper off as we end this fiscal year in '25. And it's nonrecurring because we don't expect this to be an ongoing thing. It is continuing into this year, which we didn't fully anticipate about 3 months ago. But we do think that over time, it will taper off.

[Operator]

This does conclude the question-and-answer session as well as today's program. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation. You may now disconnect. Good day.