Insight Enterprises Inc

NASDAQ:NSIT

Earnings Call Analysis

Insight Enterprises Faces Challenges but Sees Growth Potential Ahead

Insight Enterprises reported disappointing Q3 results, with revenue dropping 8% to $2.1 billion, primarily due to decreasing product sales. However, gross profit rose 6%, driven by strong growth in cloud and core services, translating to improved gross margins of 20.7%. Looking forward, the company has adjusted its 2024 guidance, projecting mid-single-digit gross profit growth and adjusted diluted EPS between $9.40 and $9.70. Despite current challenges in the enterprise segment, especially with hardware sales, management remains optimistic about growth in cloud services and plans to reduce operating expenses by $20-$25 million, aiming for improved performance by 2025.

A Disappointing Third Quarter Amid Strategic Realignments

In the third quarter of 2024, Insight Enterprises reported a net revenue of $2.1 billion, marking an 8% decline year-over-year. This downturn is attributed primarily to an 11% decline in product revenues, particularly from large enterprise and corporate clients in North America. Hardware sales fell 13%, and on-prem software revenues decreased by 9%. This decline was impacted by a significant shift in revenue classification—from products to services—due to partner consolidation.

Strength in Services and Cloud Profits

Despite the drop in revenue, gross profit increased by 6%, mainly driven by strong performance in Cloud and Insight Core Services. Cloud services gross profit surged by 33% to $129 million, benefiting from a rise in Infrastructure as a Service and Software as a Service. The gross margin expanded by 270 basis points to 20.7% due to a favorable mix of cloud services and successful acquisitions, demonstrating the firm's capability to pivot towards higher-margin offerings.

Financial Metrics and Future Guidance

The adjusted EBITDA remained flat at $129 million, resulting in an EBITDA margin increase of 50 basis points to 6.2%. However, adjusted diluted earnings per share fell by 8% to $2.19, influenced by higher interest expenses from increased debt levels due to share buybacks and recent acquisitions. Looking forward, the company anticipates adjusted diluted earnings per share for the full year to be between $9.40 and $9.70, considering ongoing market conditions.

Restructuring and Cost Management Initiatives

To navigate the current challenging environment, Insight is implementing strategic changes, including a planned reduction in operating expenses by $20 million to $25 million annually, effective in 2025. Additionally, they are focusing on enhancing service capabilities through acquisitions and refining cost structures, leveraging offshore resources for efficiency.

Navigating Market Changes and Client Demand

The company described the current IT spending environment as cautious, predicting continued sluggish demand from larger enterprise clients into early 2025. Factors such as aging tech infrastructures, the end of Windows 10, and growing interest in generative AI are expected to influence future demand positively. However, the delay in hardware recovery remains a concern, as it impacts revenues from traditional product sales.

Opportunities in Emerging Markets and Innovations

Amidst the challenges, opportunities persist. The company is expanding its service offerings in key growth areas such as hybrid cloud, data and AI, and cyber security. Recent successes include strategic partnerships for significant projects in the Middle East, demonstrating Insight's capability to deliver complex solutions integrating multiple technologies.

Outlook and Summary

In conclusion, while Insight Enterprises faces short-term headwinds with a cautious outlook for hardware demand and ongoing restructuring efforts, its strategic pivot towards cloud and service-centric offerings positions it for potential rebound growth. With an established operational framework and new leadership taking charge, Insight is keen on executing its long-term vision of becoming a leading solutions integrator, ready to capitalize on market recoveries when they occur.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q3

[Operator]

Hello, everyone, and welcome to today's Insight Enterprises Third Quarter 2024 Operating Results Call. My name is Seb, and I'll be the operator for your call today. [Operator Instructions].

I will now hand you over to James Morgado, Senior Vice President of Finance and CFO of Insight North America.

[James Morgado, executive]

Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining the Insight Enterprises earnings conference call. Today, we will be discussing the company's operating results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. The I'm James Morgado, Senior Vice President of Finance and CFO of Insight North America. Joining me is Joyce Mullen, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Glynis Bryan, Chief Financial Officer.

If you do not have a copy of the earnings release or the accompanying slide presentation that was posted this morning and filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 8-K, you will find it on our website at insight.com under the Investor Relations section. Today's call, including the question-and-answer period, is being webcast live and can also be accessed via the Investor Relations page of our website at insight.com. An archived copy of the conference call will be available approximately 2 hours after completion of the call and will remain on our website for a limited time. This conference call and the associated webcast contain time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of today, October 31, 2024. This call is the property of Insight Enterprises. Any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call in any form without the expressed written consent of Insight Enterprises is strictly prohibited.

In today's conference call, we will be referring to non-GAAP financial measures as we discuss the third quarter 2024 financial results. When discussing non-GAAP measures, we will refer to them as adjusted. You'll find a reconciliation of these adjusted measures to our actual GAAP results included in both the press release and the accompanying slide presentation issued earlier today.

Please note that all growth comparisons we make on the call today relate to the corresponding period of last year, unless otherwise noted. Also, unless highlighted as constant currency, all amounts and growth rates discussed are in U.S. dollar terms. As a reminder, all forward-looking statements that are made during this conference call are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially. These risks are discussed in today's press release and in greater detail in our most recently filed periodic reports and subsequent filings with the SEC. All forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this call, and except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made on this call, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

With that, I will now turn the call over to Joyce. And if you're following along with the presentation, we will begin on Slide 4. Joyce?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Thank you very much, James. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. While we're optimistic about the business's long-term health, Q3 didn't meet our expectations, and we anticipate the IT spending environment will remain cautious in the near term. As a result, we are reducing our gross profit and adjusted earnings per share guidance for 2024.

As we navigate these IT market challenges, we continue to execute well on our solutions integrator strategy, delivering strong cloud growth and solid Insight Core services results fueled by our acquisitions.

There are 2 key drivers of our revised outlook for the year. First, a delayed hardware recovery that is the result of industry-wide factors and most pronounced across our North American enterprise and corporate clients, which is our largest client group. We anticipated a hardware refresh in the second half of the year that has not materialized. Hardware will improve, and we are encouraged by growth 2 quarters in a row with our commercial clients which traditionally precedes a broader market recovery. We now expect the broader market recovery to be delayed until next year. The same demand drivers we have previously discussed will drive this improvement, namely the aged installed base, end-of-life of Windows 10 and Gen AI demand. Our investments in technical expertise and integration capacity position us well for this rebound, and we are ready for it.

The second area is SADA. Cash flow associated with consumption was the basis of our valuation of SADA and has met our expectations. The pivot to growth in SADA services and the progress of our alignment with Google to focus on corporate and mid-market customers is ramping but not yet at scale. These benefits are offset by accelerated reductions in the enterprise retail market. The impact from these changes is exacerbated in the second half of the year because of the seasonality of SADA's business, which is heavily weighted in the fourth quarter. This is now reflected in our guidance for 2024 and will impact our cloud growth in 2025.

To mitigate the impact on overall performance, we have identified actions to drive growth and further improve our cost structure. From a growth perspective, we have enhanced our global services capabilities through our recent acquisitions. Amdaris and InfoCenter services are performing well and meeting our expectations. We are pleased with the access to talent pools in Eastern Europe and India, and we are encouraged by our accelerating cross-sell opportunities and increased relevance to our clients. In North America, we launched a program to drive share gains in our key focus areas of hybrid cloud, data and AI, security and edge, including Workspace solutions. We are confident in the efficacy of this program, which is modeled after the successful effort we implemented over the past 18 months to drive services profitability improvement.

Specifically, we are expanding our go-to-market team to include sales leaders and technical sales talent aligned to solutions practices. This will drive tighter alignment with our expanding partner ecosystem and our solution specialists, delivering higher technology adoption and improved outcomes. We believe this will elevate our go-to-market effectiveness and accelerate growth as the market recovers and our program ramps.

From a cost perspective, we are selectively accelerating the integration of recent acquisitions and leveraging our nearshore and offshore sites to deliver a lower cost structure. We anticipate annualized operating expense reductions in the range of $20 million to $25 million, which will be fully realized in 2025. Despite these near-term challenges, we are confident in our strategy to become the leading solutions integrator. A perfect example of our execution and efficacy of this strategy is a hybrid solution we recently built for a client in the Middle East.

As part of their 2030 vision for economic diversification, the Royal Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is creating a world-class luxury cruise line AROYA cruises. AROYA partnered with Insight to transform their inaugural ship into a floating smart city. We designed and implemented an integrated private cloud by tapping into our extensive partner ecosystem and activating our client fulfillment centers across EMEA. AROYA chose Insight because we manage the entire process for procurement and strategy to hardware, software and services integration to create a seamless and secure solution. By orchestrating numerous partners and managing every aspect of this transformative IT project, we've demonstrated our ability to deliver scalable solutions that drive long-term value in a market saturated with fragmented services.

We also guided a U.S. health care giant with over 150 hospitals across the U.S. and U.K. that was lagging in cloud adoption, a common challenge in the health care sector. They turn to Insight for our infrastructure expertise. We help our clients architect and build a new approach to provisioning their cloud infrastructure, using new tools and gift house repositories to effectively manage their Azure and Google Cloud environment. We reduced the provisioning time, the time to create the underlying infrastructure for their cloud environment from 1 month to 10 minutes, enabling the client to deploy innovative technologies almost instantly and freeing them up to focus on patient care.

And speaking of infrastructure, we are now offering AI infrastructure as a service. Along with our deep data and AI expertise, we rely on our best-in-class technology partnerships to combine compute, networking and storage requirements under a single as-a-service umbrella. Our solution provides flexibility for our clients as they invest in AI by offering a consumption model as well as managed services to operate the infrastructure.

In the last quarter, Insight has received several important recognitions. AWS premier tier service partner, NetApp's 2024 Keystone Partner of the Year; several Cisco Partner of the Year Awards, including U.S. Partner of the Year, Dell 2024 Acquisition Partner of the Year, numerous Lenovo Partner recognition and we've also been included in a 2024 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Software Asset Management managed services. And from the workplace culture perspective, Insight has been recognized among Forbes World's Best Employers in 2024, and Newsweek America's greatest workplaces for 2024 and Insight India was granted Great Place to Work certification.

As you know, earlier this year, Glynis announced her upcoming retirement, and I want to thank her for almost 2 decades of commitment to insight. We are grateful for her leadership and dedication to the company, our teammates, partners and clients. And we're delighted that James Morgado will assume the role as CFO in January.

James, I'll turn it back over to you.

[James Morgado, executive]

Thank you, Joyce, and good morning, everyone. I'm deeply honored to be selected as Insight's next CFO. During the last 3 years, I've worked closely with the leadership team to drive our business model and operational efficiencies. I'm confident in our strategy and our ability to drive profitable growth, particularly as the market recovers. Our solutions and technical capabilities position us well to attack the fastest-growing areas of the market. And the strength of our balance sheet and cash flow provides us with the opportunity to continue expanding our solutions capabilities in the future.

I'm excited to be part of Insight's journey and to help us realize our ambition to become the leading solutions integrator. I look forward to continuing the dialogue with all of you in the coming months.

I'll now turn the call over to Glynis to share key details of our financial and operating performance in Q3 as well as our outlook for 2024. Glynis?

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

Thank you, James. At a high level, our results in Q3 are disappointing. On high single-digit revenue decline, gross profit grew mid-single digits and gross margin expanded significantly. However, EBITDA was flat and adjusted diluted earnings per share declined year-to-year. Our acquisitions performed as expected in Q3. Q3 did not meet our expectations and also did not provide the foundation that we need to achieve our prior 2024 guidance.

I'll now walk you through the details of Q3 and the [indiscernible] for Q4. In Q3, net revenue was $2.1 billion, a decrease of 8% in U.S. dollars and also in constant currency. The decrease was driven by an 11% decline in products. This decline in product was driven primarily by weakness in our large enterprise and corporate clients in North America. Within this decline, Hardware was down 13% and on-prem software was down 9%. The decline in on-prem software is primarily related to a partner consolidation and subsequent program change that shifted revenue from product to services.

Getting a little deeper in Hardware in Q3, devices were down low single digits and Infrastructure was down double digits year-to-year. Sequentially, devices were flat and Infrastructure declined high single digits. Gross profit increased 6%, reflecting strong Cloud and Insight Core services growth, partially offset by product declines. Insight Core Services gross profit was $81 million an increase of 14% and reflects the benefits of our acquisitions. Cloud gross profit was $129 million, an increase of 33% reflecting higher growth in Infrastructure as a Service and Software as a Service and also the benefit of the partner consolidation and program change I mentioned earlier. The cloud results are partially offset by the decline in legacy enterprise agreements.

Gross margin was 20.7%, an increase of 270 basis points and reflects a higher mix of cloud and Insight Core services, primarily related to the acquisitions we have completed successfully that drive higher services gross margin. Adjusted SG&A grew 8% due to the acquisitions. Organic adjusted SG&A is down year-to-year based on the operating expense actions we took last year, as we continue to prudently manage spending in the current environment. Our philosophy is that gross profit growth should outpace SG&A growth. And with our performance this quarter, and as Joyce mentioned, we're taking further steps to align our cost structure with the current environment. This resulted in adjusted EBITDA of $129 million, flat year-over-year, while margin expanded 50 basis points to 6.2%. And adjusted diluted earnings per share were $2.19, down 8% in U.S. dollar terms and also in constant currency. The decline was due to an increase in interest expense from higher debt primarily related to the recent acquisitions and our share buybacks.

Moving on to cash flow. In the quarter, we generated $125 million of cash flow from operations. Through the first 3 quarters of 2024, we have generated $418 million in cash flow from operations, essentially flat year-over-year. We expect that cash flow from operations will be over $500 million this year above the top end of our typical $300 million to $400 million range. In Q3, we repurchased approximately $165 million of shares. Year-to-date through the end of Q3, we spent $200 million to repurchase shares compared to $270 million spent in the same period last year. In September, our Board authorized a new $300 million share repurchase program, all of which remains outstanding.

Our adjusted return on invested capital for the trailing 12 months ended September 30, 2024, was 16.3% compared to 16.8% a year ago. We exited Q3 with total debt of $1.1 billion compared to $673 million a year ago. Over the last year, we spent approximately $890 million of acquisitions and share buybacks partially funded through $480 million of cash flow from operations with the remainder in debt. The associated interest expense is adversely impacting adjusted diluted earnings per share. As of the end of Q3, we had access to the full $1.8 billion capacity under the ABL facility, of which $1.5 billion was available. We have ample liquidity to [indiscernible].

Our presentation shows our trailing 12-month performance through Q3 2024 relative to the metrics that we described in our Investor Day in October 2022. Here is the status. Cloud gross profit growth of 32%; Core Services gross profit growth of 14%, adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.3%, adjusted diluted EPS growth of 8% and adjusted ROIC of 16.3% and adjusted free cash flow as a percentage of adjusted net income of 166%. I would characterize the market year-to-date as difficult. While we had an encouraging start to the year, our large enterprise and corporate clients have not returned to growth. Our clients continue to exercise heightened caution in their spending decisions and investment priorities. Given the duration of ongoing uncertainty, and lack of demand momentum, we believe this pattern could continue into the first half of 2025.

As we think about the remainder of the year, we have considered the following factors in our guidance. We're not expecting the typical hardware budget flush at year-end, particularly in the large enterprise and Corporate Client Group. SADA will dilutive in Q4 as we continue to pivot on selling cloud solutions to corporate and mid-market clients and away from enterprise resale. Given the SADA effect, cloud gross profit growth will moderate in Q4. On-prem software revenue has been affected by partner consolidation and the new program and revenues now netted and reflected in services. We plan to reduce our operating expenses and deliver $20 million to $25 million in annualized savings. Note, the impact in 2024 will be minimal, but we should see the full benefit in 2025.

Concerning these factors for the full year, our guidance is as follows: we expect to deliver gross profit growth in the mid-single-digit range and that our gross margin will still be in the 19% to 20% range and we now anticipate adjusted diluted earnings per share will be between $9.40 and $9.70. This guidance includes interest expense between $58 million to $60 million and effective tax rate of approximately 25.5% for the full year, capital expenditures of $35 million to $40 million and an average share count for the full year of 35.1 million shares. This outlook excludes acquisition-related intangible amortization expense of approximately $70 million assumes no acquisition-related or severance and restructuring and transformation expenses and assume no meaningful change in our debt instruments or the macroeconomic outlook.

Before I pass the call back to Joyce, I would like to once again congratulate James and [indiscernible] thank you. I'm thrilled that he was a successful CFO candidate. He's had a tremendous impact on the business over the past 3 years and will be an excellent partner to Joyce and our executive leadership team as we continue our journey to become the leading solutions integrator. I'm also grateful to Joyce for her leadership and support and for her bold vision for Insight. I'm confident that under her leadership, Insight will be well positioned to become the leading solutions integrator. And also a big thank you to our partners, clients and the investment community for your partnership over the years. We would not be successful without our dedicated teammates who truly make our company exceptional. I'm honored to have been a part of the Insight journey over the last 18 years.

Thank you. I will now turn the call back to Joyce.

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Thank you, Glynis. We are really going to miss your leadership, advice and wise counsel, and I am grateful for all that you have contributed to Insight and each one of us personally over so many years.

To recap, year-to-date, we delivered positive results in strategic areas of the business in a challenging environment. Cloud and Insight Core Services gross profit grew double digits. Gross margin expanded, reflecting a favorable mix of Cloud and Insight Core Services and benefits from our pricing and profitability initiatives and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded. When we launched our solutions integrator strategy, we knew there would be twists and turns along the way. We've experienced some of those challenges and are taking the appropriate action to address them. We're confident we have developed a strong plan to help offset ongoing industry pressures. We remain laser focused on delivering exceptional value where our clients need us most, cloud, data and AI, cyber and edge. Those areas have not changed, and we have expanded our capabilities in these areas over the past year and are well positioned.

In addition, we are leveraging technology and offshoring options to structurally improve our costs. We are confident that growth will resume in the $5 trillion market, and we are actively focused on improving our execution to be ready for the eventual upturn. I'd like to thank our teammates for their unwavering commitment to our clients, partners and each other, especially in this difficult environment, our clients for trusting Insight to help them with their transformational journeys and our partners for their continued collaboration and support in delivering innovative solutions to our clients.

This concludes my comments, and we will now open the line for your questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Joseph Cardoso from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

[Joseph Cardoso, analyst]

I guess just first one for me. Not super surprising the trends that you're seeing relative to [indiscernible], particularly following one of your peers reporting yesterday. Curious, can you just flesh out the trends that you're seeing between large enterprise customers versus smaller ones? And then any areas from a product or services portfolio that is tracking better or worse than anticipated previously? Just curious if you can flesh out if there's any bright spots that you're seeing that gives you confidence around the recovery going into next year? And then I have a follow-up.

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Yes. Thanks, Joe. So yes, as we noted, we're happy with our cloud growth, Cloud GP growth, and we're happy with our Core Services GP growth, which are both really critical and highly strategic to our strategy, as you know. So those have been really, really helpful, and we're really pleased, by the way, with our with our acquisitions and their performance overall. They've really helped us round out our services capabilities and are growing -- of course, they're growing for us because they're new to us, in many cases, but they're also growing organically kind of if you compare their previous performance. So all of that seems is really good.

From a customer sector point of view, we are -- we're seeing some 2 quarters in a row of commercial performance, and that's very good growth, and that's very important because generally, we see earlier improvements in the commercial sector before we see those translate into enterprise and corporate. And that's so we're happy with that. APAC and EMEA were also strong performers for the quarter.

[Joseph Cardoso, analyst]

Got it. And then maybe just following up on some of the SADA commentary. Like it does seem like that acquisition is somewhat underperforming your expectations when you first acquired at least in terms of the revenue and profit projections. And some of this may be tied to some of the ship and strategic priorities that you highlighted on the last earnings call.

I'm just curious, is there any way that you can help us kind of baseline the acquisition of SADA from what you talked about historically, like I think there was like a 250 revenue number, maybe that was a 22, 23 number, 80% of our gross margin like any way that you can help us think about what the run rate of that business is today, given the shift in strategic priorities that you guys are doing there? And then the second part of that question is, with the shift in strategic priorities, has there been any structural change in the seasonality of that business?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Okay. Yes. So first of all, let me just back up for one second and I'll talk about how happy we are that we have the capability, especially around services and Google. So Google is obviously a platform that is becoming increasingly important to many of our clients. We're really happy to have it in our portfolio. We highlighted a customer today actually that where we saw a really good cross-selling capability because we have a strong relationship and we have Google capabilities to that relationship. So we love what it does for our multi-cloud strategy, and it is consistent with our strategy to invest in the fastest-growing areas of the market and the areas where our customers need the most help. We also valued that acquisition based on cash flow.

And from a cash flow perspective, I thought that it's performing to expectations. But you are absolutely right. We expected to see growth in SADA primarily through both services expansion, which we are seeing, but also resale expansion, which we are not seeing. And that was the pivot that we talked about in our earnings call last quarter, and that is really getting -- driving more alignment with Google's priorities, and we've now made that pivot.

The impact is really on Enterprise, large customer resale. We have now focused solely from a retail point of view on the corporate and mid-market. It's still in -- that business is still ramping. So we're happy about services. We're happy about cash flow. The [indiscernible] -- we delivered a very different year. And in fact, a very different Q4 because of the seasonality associated with sad because of the decline in Enterprise resale.

Now if you think about the structure we have taken because of that change, we have made some significant improvements starting in late Q2, early Q3. I guess it was Q3 to adjust the OpEx associated with that business and to -- and so we've been working through that process now and that's going to help us make sure that SADA turns the corner and contributes positively next year.

I answer all the elements of that, Joe. I might have missed something.

[Joseph Cardoso, analyst]

Maybe just the last part was just on the seasonality, whether the shift in strategic priorities from Google in terms of the focus on the mid-market, does that change any of the seasonality that was assumed when you guys first acquired it in terms of it being 4Q loaded?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

It should. We don't look at Q4 seasonality thing. And we've been working to try to flatten that. Obviously, we'd like to flatten it in a different way than just but having such a large gap in Q4.

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

And Joe part is guidance ranges specifically related to a view that SADA will miss their Q4. I think in my section, I said Q4 is going to be dilutive ultimately. And that is related to not having the large enterprise, the large, large enterprise deals that they typically have in Q4. We're not expecting to see those this Q4.

[Joseph Cardoso, analyst]

And is there any -- sorry, not to -- and I guess that was kind of the root of my first question. Is there any way to kind of triangulate how much of the headwind that is in terms of the business relative to the metrics that you gave historically, like how much of large enterprise used to contribute to that revenue number that you gave at least when you first talked about the acquisition being in the $250 million range.

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

I can't triangulate it to at. What I think we can say is that side is about 1/3 of the revised guidance. Sort of the changing items.

[Operator]

Our next question is from Matt Sheerin at Stifel.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Yes. Congratulations to both James and Glynis. My first question, just regarding the guidance for the year. You guided to gross profit and EPS and sort of backing into the top line and gross margin, it looks like you will grow sequentially on the top line. And last year, I think you were down slightly. So it looks like there's a little bit of seasonality and maybe you could talk to that and where you may be seeing that. And then on the gross margin, it looks like again backing into that number, it looks like gross margin will be below 19%. And is that mostly because of that SADA issues that you talked about? Or is there a mix issue where client devices are up and infrastructure is a weak?

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

Hi, Matt. I don't want to be bold here, but we do not believe that gross margin will be below 19%. We think gross margin will be in the range of 19% to 20%. So I think that.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Well, I'm talking about -- that was your guide for the year. I was kind of backing into the December number [indiscernible].

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

Yes, the Q4 number will be lower than 20%. Yes. That's correct. Sorry, I misunderstood. I thought you're talking about for the full year. Q4 will be...

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Yes. Yes. I was trying to figure the dynamics. Last year, it was up in -- is that because of SADA or because of product mix?

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

It's SADA and product mix.

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Both but primarily SADA because they're 100% gross margin on the [indiscernible]. And then last year [indiscernible] SADA in Q4.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Okay. And so do you expect to grow sequentially then in terms of revenue?

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

Sequentially, a little -- very little bit. Very low single-digit growth.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Okay. Great. And then second question, just regarding the issues you talked about with on-prem software, the consolidation of vendors and the enterprise agreements. Could you dig down a little bit more exactly what you're seeing there, the impact and how many quarters will you have tough comps with that?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

So the partner consolidation was affected some on-prem software, and it basically moved us from -- to a netted environment. So from software to services. So that's a reclassification and it was a onetime benefit in Q3.

So I would say that we are definitely seeing more and more trends towards consumption models and away from enterprise agreements. We expect that trend to continue. By the way, we like that because consumption generally -- consumption agreements are generally stickier and provide more value to our customers and to us. So we would expect that trend to continue.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Okay. And is that why the software sales in EMEA were down so much year-over-year and quarter-on-quarter?

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

That is, that is why. So the same partner consolidation we had the you probably know who it is by the -- that partner consolidation, we used to record the revenue as growth with COGS, going to GP. As if the consolidation occurred, the new -- our new partner now has taken most of the enterprise business direct. We're doing the mid-market business, and that is now structured as the agent relationship, and we own a fee on it, and that's been recorded in services. But that is the driver for EMEA's revenue decline in software.

[Matthew Sheerin, analyst]

Understood.

[Glynis Bryan, executive]

Ours as well yes.

[Operator]

Our next question is from Adam Tindle of Raymond James.

[Adam Tindle, analyst]

Okay. Joyce, I wanted to start, when you were describing this quarter, it was the delayed hardware recovery in North America that was a particular issue. I wonder if you can double click on that, which categories are you seeing the most impact or deviation from expectations. We hear a lot about networking, for example, with difficult comparisons. But theoretically, we would have known that entering this year. I'm just trying to square where -- or what categories are seeing the most significant deviations from expectations.

And the second part of that would be you described expecting this to kind of continue into the first half of 2025. And I have a similar question there. What categories are seeing the most pressure? And what are you looking at to draw that conclusion into the first half of '25?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Yes. So let me just say, obviously, the [indiscernible] is really challenging. That is much more acute in for us in the corporate and enterprise customer groups. That's where we have a higher concentration of our revenue. The Hardware, the Hardware market has been really, really difficult to predict and the forecast. We started the quarter off well in July. We saw a very strong month, but the patterns of sort of how hardware normally has grown throughout the quarter did not materialize. So -- and then I think it's important to note that, that momentum, the lack of momentum there in Q3 made sort of made it obvious that Q4 would be a gap. And we expected -- by the way, we had expected improved momentum in Q3 and even more momentum in Q4 for the hardware category overall.

And frankly, we've missed on both it's really both devices and infrastructure that are both falling significantly short of our expectations. Again, in large enterprise and corporate -- corporate client segment. So -- and we're just trying to figure out how to be, I would say, a bit more pragmatic about our expectations for hardware just because it's been difficult to predict. And so that's why we're expecting that sort of slower momentum or sluggish improvement to continue into the early part of 2025.

[James Morgado, executive]

Adam, it's James. The only other thing I would add to that is as you start thinking about 2025, I would just -- I would remind you that in 2024, Q1 of 2024, we had a very strong quarter. So the compares as we start next year will be challenging for us as well.

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

And as I said, we're excited to see hardware improvement -- sorry, I'm going to add one more thing. We exited to see hardware improvement in commercial we're seeing it for 2 quarters in a row. We hope that indicates that we're going to see some improvement overall in our results. We started out the quarter from a booking point of view on hardware, but we're no longer banking on those patterns that we used to see in this guidance.

[Adam Tindle, analyst]

Yes. That's helpful. James, and that kind of dovetails into my second question. In the spirit of trying to be more pragmatic, joist, it doesn't look like us here on this call from an analyst perspective are currently doing that in 2025. Don't want to put you guys on the spot. I know you're not prepared to guide 2025 at this point. But as we try to think about the moving parts next year, right? We've got a data point here with your Q4 guidance that suggests gross profit dollars are going to be down low single digits year-over-year. As our starting point, we can make our own assumptions on market and stuff like that.

But there's two more specific factors that you called out. One would be accelerated reduction in SADA resale will impact cloud growth in 2025. You said that in the prepared remarks. And the second thing we're all thinking about is one of your largest software partner is very publicly reducing resale. And I'm wondering, between those two, as we think about 2025 gross profit dollar growth, is there a way for us to maybe think about the headwind from SADA resale and Microsoft changes in 2025 as we try to calibrate our models to gross profit dollars?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Well, as we talked about, we are pivoting our SADA focus to corporate and mid-market customers, consistent with the priorities for Google from a resale point of view and expect and are growing our services business, we expect SADA to be a positive contributor next year. But you're right, we do -- we are not going to get -- we will not see -- we will not see any improvement in enterprise resales from a SADA point of view.

We are also from a -- I think you're talking about Microsoft. And certainly, we are very, very well aware of the persistent changes that we see from our many of our partners, it happens all the time. Those -- and we are not exactly 100% clear of what those changes look like. Our job is to focus and adjust our strategy so that we're working with Microsoft where they want us to add the most value. And we're certainly concerned about some of the early quarters of those Microsoft changes just because it usually takes us a while to adjust. So we'll know more when we guided 2025.

[Adam Tindle, analyst]

Well, I guess you're going to offset some with the $20 million to $25 million OpEx reduction. Can you maybe just speak to the timing of that, when do you think that will be at kind of a full run rate in the quarter and then that decision's expected impact on growth?

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

So Glynis mentioned that we will see a small benefit on Q4, and we will fully realize that benefit in 2025.

[Operator]

Thank you. We have no further questions on the call. So I'll hand the floor back to Joyce for concluding remarks.

[Joyce Mullen, executive]

Thank you very much for all of your questions, and thanks for your interest. While we can navigate through this choppy demand period. We remain very confident in our -- and excited about the opportunities ahead of us, and I look forward to sharing our continued progress on our journey to become a leading solutions integrator. We can now close the call. Thank you very much, operator.

[Operator]

Thank you all for joining today's call. You may now disconnect.