Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX

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Netflix Inc Logo
Netflix Inc
NASDAQ:NFLX
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Price: 897.79 USD 0.03% Market Closed
Market Cap: 383.8B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one NFLX stock under the Base Case scenario is 393.24 USD. Compared to the current market price of 897.79 USD, Netflix Inc is Overvalued by 56%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

NFLX Intrinsic Value
393.24 USD
Overvaluation 56%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Netflix Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Netflix Inc

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Business Breakdown

Netflix Inc., the pioneering streaming service that transformed how we consume entertainment, offers a captivating narrative of innovation and growth. Founded in 1997 by Reed Hastings and Marc Randolph, the company started as a DVD rental service by mail before pivoting to streaming in 2007, leading the charge in redefining media consumption. With over 230 million subscribers worldwide, Netflix's expansive library features a mix of original content, critically acclaimed films, and popular television series. Its deep investment in original programming, such as "Stranger Things" and "The Crown," not only solidifies its brand but also attracts diverse audiences, placing Netflix at the center of...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Netflix Inc

Current Assets 12.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 9.2B
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 1.7B
Non-Current Assets 40.2B
PP&E 3.8B
Intangibles 32.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 4.2B
Current Liabilities 10.7B
Accounts Payable 5.1B
Accrued Liabilities 2.2B
Other Current Liabilities 3.3B
Non-Current Liabilities 18.9B
Long-Term Debt 14.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 4.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Netflix Inc

Revenue
37.6B USD
Cost of Revenue
-20.6B USD
Gross Profit
17B USD
Operating Expenses
-7.4B USD
Operating Income
9.6B USD
Other Expenses
-1.9B USD
Net Income
7.8B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Netflix Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Netflix projects $43 to $44 billion in revenue for 2025, reflecting an 11% to 13% growth, driven primarily by membership increases. Operating margins are expected to improve by 6 percentage points due to strategic investments and pricing adjustments. While ads revenue is currently secondary, it’s anticipated to double year-over-year by 2025, contributing to a balanced growth approach. The company also sees a major opportunity in Latin America, with an expanding content slate aimed at re-engaging memberships in the region.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

NFLX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Netflix Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
64/100
Profitability
Score

Netflix Inc's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

NFLX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Netflix Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
65/100
Solvency
Score

Netflix Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

NFLX Price Targets Summary
Netflix Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast NFLX stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NFLX is 797.86 USD with a low forecast of 555.5 USD and a high forecast of 1 155 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
555.5 USD
38% Downside
Average
Price Target
797.86 USD
11% Downside
Highest
Price Target
1 155 USD
29% Upside
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Dividends

Netflix Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for NFLX is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
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Ownership

NFLX Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Netflix Inc Logo
Netflix Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Media

Market Cap

383.8B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Netflix, Inc. operates as a streaming entertainment service company. The company is headquartered in Los Gatos, California and currently employs 11,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-05-23. The firm has paid streaming memberships in over 190 countries, and it allows members to watch a variety of television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films and mobile games across a variety of genres and languages. Its members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on any Internet-connected screen. Members can play, pause and resume watching, without commercials. Additionally, the Company offers its digital versatile disk (DVD) -by-mail service in the United States. The company offers a variety of streaming membership plans, the price of which varies by country and the features of the plan. The pricing of its plans ranges from U.S. dollar equivalent of approximately $2 to $27 per month. The company members can watch streaming content through a host of Internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes and mobile devices. The company acquires, licenses and produces content, including original programming.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
Los Gatos
100 Winchester Cir
+14085403700.0
www.netflix.com

IPO

2002-05-23

Employees

11 300

Officers

Co-Founder & Executive Chairman
Mr. Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr.
Co-CEO, President & Director
Mr. Gregory K. Peters
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Spencer Adam Neumann
Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Mr. David Hyman
Chief Communications Officer
Ms. Rachel Whetstone
Chief Talent Officer
Mr. Meabe Sergio Ezama
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Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Jeffrey William Karbowski
Chief Technology Officer
Ms. Elizabeth Stone
Vice President of Finance, Corporate Development & Investor Relations
Mr. Spencer Wang
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one NFLX stock?

The intrinsic value of one NFLX stock under the Base Case scenario is 393.24 USD.

Is NFLX stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 897.79 USD, Netflix Inc is Overvalued by 56%.

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