Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
NASDAQ:NBIX
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one NBIX stock under the Base Case scenario is 143.54 USD. Compared to the current market price of 124.34 USD, Neurocrine Biosciences Inc is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company committed to improving the lives of those suffering from neurological and endocrine disorders. Founded in 1992 and based in San Diego, California, Neurocrine has carved out a niche in developing innovative therapies that target complex medical conditions. Its flagship product, Ingrezza (valbenazine), has rapidly gained traction as a leading treatment for tardive dyskinesia, a movement disorder often caused by long-term antipsychotic medication use. This success has propelled the company into the limelight and established it as a key player in the CNS (central nervous system) market. Investors are captivated by Neurocrine’s strong cli...
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company committed to improving the lives of those suffering from neurological and endocrine disorders. Founded in 1992 and based in San Diego, California, Neurocrine has carved out a niche in developing innovative therapies that target complex medical conditions. Its flagship product, Ingrezza (valbenazine), has rapidly gained traction as a leading treatment for tardive dyskinesia, a movement disorder often caused by long-term antipsychotic medication use. This success has propelled the company into the limelight and established it as a key player in the CNS (central nervous system) market. Investors are captivated by Neurocrine’s strong clinical pipeline, promising research partnerships, and an agile operational approach that enable it to adapt swiftly to the evolving landscape of biopharma.
The company’s growth story is further enhanced by its commitment to expanding its product portfolio. With therapies in development for conditions such as endometriosis and other hormonal disorders, Neurocrine is not just a one-hit wonder; it is poised to become a powerhouse in the biotech domain. Boasting a robust financial position, the company leverages its research capabilities to identify and bring forward transformative treatments. For investors, Neurocrine represents an opportunity at the intersection of science and compassion, as it continually strives to address unmet medical needs with its innovative solutions. With strong leadership and a dedication to breakthrough therapies, the company stands ready to capitalize on the growing demand for specialized medications within the healthcare landscape.
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative treatments for neurological and endocrine disorders. The core business segments of Neurocrine typically include:
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Neurology: This segment includes the development and commercialization of treatments for neurological disorders. Key products have included therapies for conditions like tardive dyskinesia (e.g., Ingrezza) and other movement disorders.
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Endocrinology: Neurocrine also focuses on endocrine disorders, particularly in areas such as hormone regulation and reproductive health. This includes drugs for conditions related to hormonal imbalances, like endometriosis or polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS).
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Research and Development: A significant part of Neurocrine's business model is centered around R&D initiatives. The company invests heavily in discovering new drug candidates and advancing them through clinical trials. This includes collaborations and partnerships with other biotech and pharmaceutical companies.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Neurocrine often engages in collaborations with other firms to enhance its pipeline and expand its market reach. These partnerships can include co-development arrangements or licensing agreements for specific therapeutic areas.
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Commercialization of Products: Once products are approved, Neurocrine focuses on their commercialization, which includes marketing, sales strategies, pricing, and distribution. This segment is crucial for driving revenue growth and maintaining market presence.
Overall, Neurocrine Biosciences is dedicated to addressing unmet medical needs in the neurological and endocrine space through innovation and strategic operations.
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. (NBIX) has carved out a niche in the biopharmaceutical industry focusing on neurological and endocrine diseases. Here are some unique competitive advantages it holds over its rivals:
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Specialized Drug Portfolio: Neurocrine has developed and commercialized drugs targeting specific neurological and endocrine disorders. Their portfolio includes treatments for rare conditions, which often come with less competition and higher pricing power.
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Strong R&D Capabilities: The company invests significantly in research and development, allowing it to innovate and expand its pipeline. This focus on R&D can lead to the discovery of new therapies that address unmet medical needs, providing a first-mover advantage.
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Strategic Partnerships: Neurocrine has established collaborations and strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies and research institutions. These alliances can enhance its research capabilities and broaden its market reach without incurring the full risks of development.
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Regulatory Experience: The company has navigated complex regulatory landscapes successfully, gaining approvals for its drugs. This experience can speed up future development projects and inspire confidence among investors and stakeholders.
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Market Focus: With a focus on niche therapeutic areas like endocrine diseases (e.g., congenital adrenal hyperplasia) and neurological diseases (e.g., tardive dyskinesia), Neurocrine can tailor its marketing and sales strategies to specific segments, enhancing efficiency and effectiveness.
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Diverse Product Pipeline: Neurocrine's pipeline includes potential treatments across various indications, reducing dependence on any single product's performance. This diversification protects against market volatility and competitive threats.
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Financial Stability and Growth: With successful product launches, Neurocrine has demonstrated revenue growth, allowing for reinvestment in R&D and other strategic initiatives. Financial stability is crucial for ongoing innovation and market competitiveness.
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Patient-centric Approach: The company emphasizes understanding patient needs and outcomes, which can lead to better product adherence and customer loyalty. A strong reputation in patient care can also differentiate Neurocrine from its rivals.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Neurocrine Biosciences is well-positioned to continue its growth and reduce vulnerabilities in an increasingly competitive market.
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. faces several potential risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future:
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Regulatory Risks: As a biotechnology company, Neurocrine is subject to stringent regulations by entities like the FDA. Delays in approvals or unforeseen complications during clinical trials can stall product launches.
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Market Competition: The biotech and pharmaceutical sectors are highly competitive. Neurocrine competes with both large pharmaceutical companies and smaller biotech firms, which can impact market share and pricing strategies.
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R&D Failure: The company's reliance on its research and development efforts means that any failures in clinical trials or issues with drug efficacy and safety could lead to significant financial losses and a decline in investor confidence.
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Patent Expirations and Litigation: Patent expirations can lead to generic competition, which may reduce revenue from key products. Furthermore, potential litigation over intellectual property can be costly and divert resources.
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Commercialization Risks: Successfully bringing a product to market involves various challenges, including marketing, distribution, and gaining physician acceptance. Poor commercialization strategies could hinder growth.
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Financial Health: Dependence on external funding and maintaining favorable cash flow is critical. Economic downturns or market volatility could affect capital availability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events, such as pandemics or geopolitical tensions, may disrupt supply chains, impacting the ability to conduct research and manufacture products in a timely manner.
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Reputation Risks: Negative publicity, whether from product recalls, adverse effects reported by patients, or unethical practices, can significantly harm brand reputation and sales.
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Market Dynamics and Pricing Pressure: Increasing pressure on drug pricing from policymakers and payers may impact profit margins, particularly as discussions on healthcare costs continue to evolve.
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Investment in New Ventures: While expansion into new therapeutic areas may offer growth opportunities, they also carry risks associated with entering unfamiliar markets or therapeutic domains.
Given these challenges, careful strategic planning and risk management will be crucial for Neurocrine Biosciences to navigate the evolving landscape of the biotech industry effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
Current Assets | 1.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 481.1m |
Other Current Assets | 167.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 770.6m |
PP&E | 337.3m |
Intangibles | 34.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 516m |
Current Liabilities | 429.7m |
Accounts Payable | 277.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 150.2m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 386.4m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 386.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
Revenue
|
2.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-33.2m
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.6B
USD
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Operating Income
|
588.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-202.4m
USD
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Net Income
|
385.9m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
NBIX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NBIX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc's solvency score is 93/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc's solvency score is 93/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NBIX Price Targets Summary
Neurocrine Biosciences Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NBIX is 165.76 USD with a low forecast of 115.14 USD and a high forecast of 201.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for NBIX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
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Description
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. is a neuroscience-focused, biopharmaceutical company. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California and currently employs 900 full-time employees. The firm is focused on discovering, developing and marketing of pharmaceuticals for the treatment of neurological, endocrine and psychiatric-based diseases and disorders. Its portfolio includes treatments for tardive dyskinesia, Parkinson’s disease, endometriosis and uterine fibroids. Its product pipeline includes INGREZZA (valbenazine), which provides a once-daily dosing treatment option for tardive dyskinesia and has three dosing options (40 milligram (mg), 60 mg and 80 mg capsules); ONGENTYS (opicapone) is an adjunctive therapy to levodopa/carbidopa in patients with Parkinson’s disease; ORILISSA (elagolix) is used for the management of moderate to severe endometriosis pain in women, and ORIAHNN (elagolix, estradiol, and norethindrone acetate and elagolix capsules) is a non-surgical, oral medication option for the management of heavy menstrual bleeding associated with uterine fibroids in women.
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The intrinsic value of one NBIX stock under the Base Case scenario is 143.54 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 124.34 USD, Neurocrine Biosciences Inc is Undervalued by 13%.