Microstrategy Inc
NASDAQ:MSTR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MSTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.07 USD. Compared to the current market price of 421.88 USD, Microstrategy Inc is Overvalued by 97%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Microstrategy Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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MicroStrategy Inc., founded in 1989 by Michael Saylor and Sanju Bansal, has emerged as a pioneer in the business intelligence and analytics sector. Initially focused on providing software solutions that empower organizations to analyze large volumes of data effectively, MicroStrategy has evolved into a leader in the field of enterprise analytics. Its user-friendly platform allows businesses to make data-driven decisions, enhancing operational efficiencies and unlocking new revenue opportunities. With a strong commitment to innovation, MicroStrategy continues to invest in cutting-edge technologies, enabling organizations to harness the power of data in an increasingly complex digital landscap...
MicroStrategy Inc., founded in 1989 by Michael Saylor and Sanju Bansal, has emerged as a pioneer in the business intelligence and analytics sector. Initially focused on providing software solutions that empower organizations to analyze large volumes of data effectively, MicroStrategy has evolved into a leader in the field of enterprise analytics. Its user-friendly platform allows businesses to make data-driven decisions, enhancing operational efficiencies and unlocking new revenue opportunities. With a strong commitment to innovation, MicroStrategy continues to invest in cutting-edge technologies, enabling organizations to harness the power of data in an increasingly complex digital landscape.
In recent years, MicroStrategy has gained significant attention for its bold strategy of acquiring Bitcoin as part of its corporate treasury. This move, championed by CEO Michael Saylor, has positioned the company at the intersection of technology and cryptocurrency investment, drawing interest from both traditional investors and the tech community. As it navigates the growing demand for cloud-based analytics solutions and the evolving cryptocurrency market, MicroStrategy stands poised for growth. For investors, the company represents an intriguing opportunity that blends the potential for strong revenue generation through its software products with the high-risk, high-reward nature of Bitcoin investment, creating a unique investment narrative shaped by innovation and vision.
MicroStrategy Inc. is a leading provider of business intelligence (BI) software, primarily focused on helping organizations make data-driven decisions. The core business segments of MicroStrategy can be summarized as follows:
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Business Intelligence and Analytics:
- Software Products: MicroStrategy offers a range of BI tools that allow companies to analyze complex data sets and generate actionable insights. Their analytics platform facilitates data visualization, dashboard creation, and reporting capabilities.
- Mobile Analytics: The company provides solutions that enable mobile access to BI tools, allowing users to engage with data on the go.
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Cloud Services:
- MicroStrategy Cloud: They offer a cloud-based platform that allows organizations to deploy their analytics solutions in a cost-effective manner. This includes the ability to scale resources and streamline management while ensuring data security.
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Enterprise Integration:
- MicroStrategy focuses on integrating its tools with a variety of enterprise systems, enabling organizations to harness data from disparate sources. This integration enhances the effectiveness of their analytics solutions.
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Consulting and Support Services:
- The company provides consulting services to help organizations implement and optimize their BI strategies. This includes training, support, and advisory services to ensure customers can derive maximum value from their investments.
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Data and Analytics Strategy:
- In addition to software and support services, MicroStrategy also assists organizations in developing comprehensive data strategies to leverage analytics effectively across their operations.
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Bitcoin Investment:
- In recent years, MicroStrategy has gained attention for its significant investments in Bitcoin as part of its corporate treasury strategy. This initiative has led to a distinct segment within the company focused on digital assets, particularly as it relates to their overall strategy and investment philosophy.
Overall, MicroStrategy's core business segments are tied together by a common goal of improving data accessibility and analytics capabilities for organizations, alongside their unique pivot towards cryptocurrencies.
MicroStrategy Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the business intelligence and analytics market:
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Pioneering in Analytics and BI: MicroStrategy was one of the early entrants into the business intelligence space, giving it a significant brand recognition and reputation built over decades. This established credibility often attracts customers looking for reliable and experienced partners.
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Robust Data Analytics Platform: The company's platform provides comprehensive analytics capabilities, including advanced visualization, powerful processing, and the ability to handle large volumes of data. Their tools are designed for scalability, catering to businesses of various sizes and needs.
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Cloud and Hybrid Solutions: MicroStrategy offers strong cloud services, alongside on-premise solutions. This flexibility allows organizations to choose deployment options that best fit their operational needs while maintaining essential analytics and business intelligence capabilities.
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Focus on Enterprise Customers: The company's solutions are particularly tailored for enterprise-level organizations, providing deep insights and robust capabilities that meet the complex requirements of large institutions, unlike some competitors who may cater more toward small to medium-sized businesses.
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Strategic Partnerships: MicroStrategy has formed strategic partnerships with major tech companies, enhancing its product offerings and integrating more profoundly with existing solutions in the market. These collaborations can lead to enhanced functionality and market reach.
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Strong Commitment to Innovation: The company consistently invests in R&D to stay ahead of emerging trends in data analytics and AI. This innovation helps them introduce new features and capabilities that keep their platform relevant and valuable to users.
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Focused on Bitcoin and Digital Assets: MicroStrategy has made headlines for its significant investment in Bitcoin, positioning itself as a thought leader in the intersection of enterprise software and digital asset strategy. This differentiation appeals to crypto-savvy organizations and those exploring crypto integrations.
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Comprehensive Customer Support: MicroStrategy offers extensive support and training programs for its customers, ensuring they can make the most out of the platform. Strong customer support boosts user satisfaction and retention.
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Data Governance and Security: Their platform provides advanced features for data governance, security, and compliance, which are critical for enterprises managing sensitive information, distinguishing MicroStrategy from others that may not emphasize these areas as strongly.
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User-Friendly Interface: MicroStrategy has focused on creating a user-friendly experience for both technical and non-technical users, allowing organizations to democratize data access and foster a culture of data-driven decision-making across all levels.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, MicroStrategy can maintain its position in the crowded business intelligence and analytics market, attracting and retaining customers in a manner that some of its rivals may struggle to match.
MicroStrategy Inc. faces several risks and challenges that could impact its business and performance in the near future:
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Bitcoin Volatility: As a company heavily invested in Bitcoin, MicroStrategy's financial performance is closely tied to the fluctuating value of cryptocurrency. Significant price downturns can affect its balance sheet and market perception.
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Regulatory Risks: The cryptocurrency industry is facing increasing scrutiny from regulators around the world. Changes in cryptocurrency regulation or unfavorable policies could adversely affect MicroStrategy's operations and strategic plans.
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Market Competition: The business intelligence and analytics market is highly competitive. New entrants and existing competitors may offer superior products or services, putting pressure on MicroStrategy to continuously innovate.
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Dependence on Key Personnel: MicroStrategy's strategic direction is heavily influenced by its CEO, Michael Saylor. Changes in leadership or key personnel could disrupt operations or change company strategy.
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Technological Risks: Rapid advancements in technology could render MicroStrategy's products obsolete. The company must continually innovate and adapt to maintain its competitive advantage.
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Investment Strategy Risks: MicroStrategy's strategy of using its cash reserves to purchase Bitcoin could be viewed as risky by some investors. A downturn in Bitcoin prices could lead to investor dissatisfaction or loss of confidence.
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Operational Risks: As a tech company that relies on complex software solutions, MicroStrategy faces risks associated with software development, such as bugs, cybersecurity threats, and maintaining system integrity.
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Economic Downturns: A global economic downturn could lead to decreased demand for business intelligence services, impacting MicroStrategy's revenue and growth prospects.
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Debt and Financial Leverage: If MicroStrategy has taken on debt to finance its Bitcoin acquisitions, fluctuations in Bitcoin prices could impact its ability to service that debt, affecting financial stability.
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Strategic Execution: The successful implementation of strategic initiatives is critical. Execution failures, whether in product development or market penetration, can hinder growth.
Addressing these challenges effectively will be crucial for MicroStrategy’s long-term success and sustainability in the evolving market landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Microstrategy Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Microstrategy Inc
Current Assets | 186m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 46.3m |
Receivables | 109.2m |
Other Current Assets | 30.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 8.2B |
PP&E | 82.8m |
Intangibles | 6.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.2B |
Current Liabilities | 288.1m |
Accounts Payable | 45.7m |
Accrued Liabilities | 57.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 184.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 69.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Microstrategy Inc
Revenue
|
467.2m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-123.5m
USD
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Gross Profit
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343.7m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-400m
USD
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Operating Income
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-56.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-350.4m
USD
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Net Income
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-406.7m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Microstrategy Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
MicroStrategy continues its strategic transition, reporting Q3 software revenues of $116 million, a 10% year-over-year decline. This reflects their shift from on-premise to cloud services, aimed at boosting recurring revenues, which grew 32% year-over-year to represent 24% of total revenues. They acquired 25,889 bitcoins, totaling 252,220 at an average cost of $39,000. Although product license revenues are expected to decline further, future subscription service growth should ultimately offset this dip. The firm anticipates a long-term revenue recovery post-transition, while expenses rose, primarily due to increased cloud costs. Next year, staffing costs are expected to decrease by 13%.
What is Earnings Call?
MSTR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Microstrategy Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Microstrategy Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MSTR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Microstrategy Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Microstrategy Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MSTR Price Targets Summary
Microstrategy Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSTR is 273.88 USD with a low forecast of 189.38 USD and a high forecast of 411.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MSTR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
MSTR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
MicroStrategy, Inc. engages in the provision of enterprise analytics and mobility software. The company is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia and currently employs 2,121 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of its software platform through licensing arrangements and cloud subscriptions and related services. The Company’s core product offering is its software platform. The MicroStrategy Platform provides customers with the features, such as Pervasive, Modern Analytics; Open, Federated Architecture, and Enterprise Platform. The firm provides a range of MicroStrategy Services, which includes MicroStrategy Support, MicroStrategy Consulting, and MicroStrategy Education. The company also provides analytics software and services strategy. Its Pervasive, Modern Analytics includes data visualization and reporting, transformational mobility, hyperintelligence, and custom applications. Its Open, Federated Architecture includes Federated Analytics and Multiple Deployment Options. Its Enterprise Platform includes Enterprise Semantic Graph and Security.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MSTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.07 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 421.88 USD, Microstrategy Inc is Overvalued by 97%.