Microstrategy Inc
NASDAQ:MSTR

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Microstrategy Inc
NASDAQ:MSTR
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Price: 421.88 USD 6.19% Market Closed
Market Cap: 85.5B USD
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Intrinsic Value

MSTR's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one MSTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.07 USD. Compared to the current market price of 421.88 USD, Microstrategy Inc is Overvalued by 97%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MSTR Intrinsic Value
12.07 USD
Overvaluation 97%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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Microstrategy Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

MicroStrategy Inc., founded in 1989 by Michael Saylor and Sanju Bansal, has emerged as a pioneer in the business intelligence and analytics sector. Initially focused on providing software solutions that empower organizations to analyze large volumes of data effectively, MicroStrategy has evolved into a leader in the field of enterprise analytics. Its user-friendly platform allows businesses to make data-driven decisions, enhancing operational efficiencies and unlocking new revenue opportunities. With a strong commitment to innovation, MicroStrategy continues to invest in cutting-edge technologies, enabling organizations to harness the power of data in an increasingly complex digital landscap...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Microstrategy Inc

Current Assets 186m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 46.3m
Receivables 109.2m
Other Current Assets 30.5m
Non-Current Assets 8.2B
PP&E 82.8m
Intangibles 6.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.2B
Current Liabilities 288.1m
Accounts Payable 45.7m
Accrued Liabilities 57.5m
Other Current Liabilities 184.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.3B
Long-Term Debt 4.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 69.9m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Microstrategy Inc

Revenue
467.2m USD
Cost of Revenue
-123.5m USD
Gross Profit
343.7m USD
Operating Expenses
-400m USD
Operating Income
-56.3m USD
Other Expenses
-350.4m USD
Net Income
-406.7m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Microstrategy Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

MicroStrategy continues its strategic transition, reporting Q3 software revenues of $116 million, a 10% year-over-year decline. This reflects their shift from on-premise to cloud services, aimed at boosting recurring revenues, which grew 32% year-over-year to represent 24% of total revenues. They acquired 25,889 bitcoins, totaling 252,220 at an average cost of $39,000. Although product license revenues are expected to decline further, future subscription service growth should ultimately offset this dip. The firm anticipates a long-term revenue recovery post-transition, while expenses rose, primarily due to increased cloud costs. Next year, staffing costs are expected to decrease by 13%.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

MSTR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Microstrategy Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
ROE is Increasing
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
47/100
Profitability
Score

Microstrategy Inc's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MSTR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Microstrategy Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Short-Term Solvency
49/100
Solvency
Score

Microstrategy Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MSTR Price Targets Summary
Microstrategy Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSTR is 273.88 USD with a low forecast of 189.38 USD and a high forecast of 411.6 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
189.38 USD
55% Downside
Average
Price Target
273.88 USD
35% Downside
Highest
Price Target
411.6 USD
2% Downside
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Dividends

Microstrategy Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MSTR is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Ownership

MSTR Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Microstrategy Inc Logo
Microstrategy Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

85.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

MicroStrategy, Inc. engages in the provision of enterprise analytics and mobility software. The company is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia and currently employs 2,121 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of its software platform through licensing arrangements and cloud subscriptions and related services. The Company’s core product offering is its software platform. The MicroStrategy Platform provides customers with the features, such as Pervasive, Modern Analytics; Open, Federated Architecture, and Enterprise Platform. The firm provides a range of MicroStrategy Services, which includes MicroStrategy Support, MicroStrategy Consulting, and MicroStrategy Education. The company also provides analytics software and services strategy. Its Pervasive, Modern Analytics includes data visualization and reporting, transformational mobility, hyperintelligence, and custom applications. Its Open, Federated Architecture includes Federated Analytics and Multiple Deployment Options. Its Enterprise Platform includes Enterprise Semantic Graph and Security.

Contact

VIRGINIA
Tysons Corner
1850 Towers Crescent Plz
+17038488600.0
www.microstrategy.com

IPO

1986-09-16

Employees

2 121

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Michael J. Saylor
President, CEO & Director
Mr. Phong Q. Le
Senior EVP & CFO
Mr. Andrew Kang
Senior EVP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Wei-Ming Shao
Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Jeanine J. Montgomery
Senior Executive VP & Chief Information Officer
Ponna Arumugam
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Senior Director of Treasury & Head of Investor Relations
Shirish Jajodia
Executive VP & Chief Marketing Officer
Ms. Carla Fitzgerald
Executive VP & Chief Human Resource Officer
Ms. Joty Paparello
Executive VP & Chief Product Officer
Mr. Saurabh Abhyankar
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one MSTR stock?

The intrinsic value of one MSTR stock under the Base Case scenario is 12.07 USD.

Is MSTR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 421.88 USD, Microstrategy Inc is Overvalued by 97%.

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