Moderna Inc
NASDAQ:MRNA

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Moderna Inc
NASDAQ:MRNA
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Price: 32.99 USD 3.35% Market Closed
Market Cap: 12.7B USD

Intrinsic Value

MRNA's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one MRNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 41.45 USD. Compared to the current market price of 32.99 USD, Moderna Inc is Undervalued by 20%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

MRNA Intrinsic Value
41.45 USD
Undervaluation 20%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Moderna Inc

Intrinsic Value History
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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
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Fundamental Analysis

Moderna Inc
US
Biotechnology
Market Cap
12.7B USD
IPO
Dec 7, 2018
Employees
2 700
United States of America
Market Cap
12.7B USD
Industry
Biotechnology
IPO
Dec 7, 2018
Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Moderna Inc

Current Assets 9.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 6.9B
Receivables 1.8B
Other Current Assets 963m
Non-Current Assets 6.1B
Long-Term Investments 2.4B
PP&E 3.2B
Intangibles 93m
Other Non-Current Assets 521m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Moderna Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Moderna Inc

Revenue
5.1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.1B USD
Gross Profit
4B USD
Operating Expenses
-6.1B USD
Operating Income
-2.1B USD
Other Expenses
-89m USD
Net Income
-2.2B USD
Fundamental Scores

MRNA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Moderna Inc's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Gross Profit
Negative Operating Income
44/100
Profitability
Score

Moderna Inc's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MRNA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Moderna Inc's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
87/100
Solvency
Score

Moderna Inc's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MRNA Price Targets Summary
Moderna Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast MRNA stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MRNA is 70.73 USD with a low forecast of 27.27 USD and a high forecast of 222.6 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
27.27 USD
17% Downside
Average
Price Target
70.73 USD
114% Upside
Highest
Price Target
222.6 USD
575% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Moderna Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for MRNA is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

MRNA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

MRNA News

Other Videos
What is the Intrinsic Value of one MRNA stock?

The intrinsic value of one MRNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 41.45 USD.

Is MRNA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 32.99 USD, Moderna Inc is Undervalued by 20%.

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