Mercadolibre Inc
NASDAQ:MELI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one MELI stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 310.73 USD. Compared to the current market price of 1 880 USD, Mercadolibre Inc is Overvalued by 30%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Mercadolibre Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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MercadoLibre Inc. has emerged as the dominant e-commerce platform in Latin America, often referred to as the "Amazon of Latin America." Founded in 1999, the company operates in 18 countries, providing a comprehensive range of services that include online marketplace operations, payment solutions through Mercado Pago, and logistics networks. The firm has successfully tapped into the growing digital economy in the region, driven by increased internet penetration and a burgeoning middle class eager for online shopping options. With a user-friendly mobile app and a robust marketplace, MercadoLibre has configured itself not only as a retailer but as a facilitator of commerce, addressing the uniqu...
MercadoLibre Inc. has emerged as the dominant e-commerce platform in Latin America, often referred to as the "Amazon of Latin America." Founded in 1999, the company operates in 18 countries, providing a comprehensive range of services that include online marketplace operations, payment solutions through Mercado Pago, and logistics networks. The firm has successfully tapped into the growing digital economy in the region, driven by increased internet penetration and a burgeoning middle class eager for online shopping options. With a user-friendly mobile app and a robust marketplace, MercadoLibre has configured itself not only as a retailer but as a facilitator of commerce, addressing the unique preferences of Latin American consumers in a culturally diverse landscape.
For investors, MercadoLibre represents a compelling opportunity due to its strong growth trajectory and market leadership. The company's impressive revenue growth is underpinned by its ability to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and invest in technology to optimize its platform. Its payment ecosystem, Mercado Pago, is gaining traction, serving millions of users and fostering loyalty while capturing transaction fees in a rapidly digitalizing economy. As e-commerce continues to gain momentum in Latin America, MercadoLibre stands at the forefront, offering a well-rounded business model that encompasses not just online retail but also fintech solutions. These attributes combine to position MercadoLibre as a potentially lucrative investment for those looking to capitalize on the digital transformation unfolding across the region.
MercadoLibre, Inc. is a prominent e-commerce and technology company based in Latin America, often referred to as the "Amazon of Latin America." Its core business segments can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Marketplace:
- E-commerce Platform: MercadoLibre’s primary business segment is its marketplace, where users can buy and sell a diverse range of products. Sellers can list items for sale, and buyers have access to a wide array of goods, ranging from electronics to clothing.
- Fee-Based Revenue: MercadoLibre generates revenue by charging sellers a fee based on the value of their sold goods. This includes fixed fees and variable commissions depending on the category of the products.
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Mercado Pago:
- Payment Processing: Mercado Pago is the company’s payment processing platform, allowing users to make secure transactions on the marketplace, as well as across various online and offline merchants.
- Financial Services: In addition to processing payments, Mercado Pago provides services such as mobile wallets, payment links, and financing options (credit and loans) for consumers and businesses, enhancing its value proposition.
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Mercado Envios:
- Logistics: Mercado Envios is the logistics arm of MercadoLibre, which facilitates shipping and delivery of products purchased on the marketplace. This segment focuses on enhancing delivery times and optimizing logistics solutions in the region.
- Fulfillment Services: Mercado Envios provides warehousing and fulfillment services to sellers, ensuring efficient inventory management and order fulfillment.
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Advertising Services:
- Marketing Solutions: This segment offers various advertising services to sellers looking to promote their products on the MercadoLibre platform. Companies can use targeted advertising to increase visibility and drive sales on the marketplace.
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Other Services:
- Financial Technology: Beyond payment processing, MercadoLibre is also exploring broader financial technology services, potentially including investment platforms, insurance, and other banking features tailored to the local markets.
MercadoLibre benefits from the growth of e-commerce in Latin America, leveraging its platforms to serve both consumers and businesses, and enhancing its ecosystem through integrated services such as payment processing and logistics. This holistic approach positions the company well for scalability and continued growth in the region.
MercadoLibre Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the Latin American e-commerce and fintech sectors. These advantages include:
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Strong Brand Recognition and Market Position: As one of the largest e-commerce platforms in Latin America, MercadoLibre has established a robust brand presence and trust among consumers and sellers, which can be difficult for competitors to replicate.
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Comprehensive Ecosystem: MercadoLibre operates a multifaceted ecosystem that includes its e-commerce platform, payment solution (MercadoPago), logistics services (MercadoEnvios), and credit offerings. This integrated approach enhances the customer experience and fosters loyalty, as users can navigate different services seamlessly.
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Extensive User Base and Network Effects: With millions of active users and sellers, MercadoLibre benefits from network effects. More buyers attract more sellers, which in turn increases product variety and enhances the platform's value to consumers. This cycle increases market share and solidifies its position.
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Localized Expertise: MercadoLibre understands the unique cultural and economic dynamics of various Latin American markets. Its ability to tailor its offerings to meet local preferences and needs gives it an edge over global competitors that may lack this understanding.
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Innovative Fintech Solutions: MercadoPago, its fintech arm, offers a range of digital payment solutions, including e-wallets and QR code payments, which cater to the growing demand for cashless transactions. The integration of these services within the e-commerce platform enhances user engagement and retention.
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Robust Logistics Infrastructure: MercadoLibre has invested significantly in its logistics and fulfillment capabilities, enabling efficient delivery options across vast and diverse geographic areas in Latin America. This commitment to improving logistics can be a critical differentiator in meeting customer expectations for timely delivery.
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Data-Driven Decision Making: The company leverages vast amounts of data to understand consumer behavior, optimize operations, and tailor marketing strategies. This data-centric approach aids in creating personalized experiences and enhances operational efficiency.
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Focus on Financial Inclusion: MercadoLibre aims to drive financial inclusion through its payment solutions and credit offerings. By catering to underbanked populations, the company can tap into new user segments and expand its market potential.
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Adaptability and Innovation: The company has demonstrated a willingness to innovate and adapt in response to market trends and customer feedback, which allows it to remain competitive and relevant in a rapidly evolving industry.
Overall, these competitive advantages position MercadoLibre as a leader in the Latin American e-commerce and fintech landscape, providing it with a strong foundation to fend off competition and foster continued growth.
MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) operates in a rapidly evolving e-commerce landscape in Latin America. Here are some of the risks and challenges the company may face in the near future:
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Intensifying Competition:
- Local and Global Players: MercadoLibre faces stiff competition from other e-commerce platforms, both local (like B2W and Magazine Luiza) and international (like Amazon), which could impact market share and pricing strategies.
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Regulatory Risks:
- Changes in Legislation: E-commerce regulations, taxes, and data privacy laws can vary significantly between countries in Latin America, leading to compliance challenges.
- Import Tariffs and Trade Policies: Tariff changes and trade policies can affect the cost structure and profitability of cross-border transactions.
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Economic Volatility:
- Currency Fluctuations: Operating in multiple countries exposes MercadoLibre to currency risks, especially with fluctuations in local currencies against the US dollar.
- Inflation and Economic Downturns: Economic instability in key markets can lead to decreased consumer spending, impacting sales growth.
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Logistical Challenges:
- Infrastructure Limitations: In certain regions, inadequate logistics and transportation infrastructure can pose challenges in fulfilling orders efficiently.
- Last-Mile Delivery: Scaling up logistics to ensure prompt and reliable last-mile delivery is crucial for customer satisfaction but can be complex and costly.
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Technological Disruptions:
- Cybersecurity Risks: As a digital platform, MercadoLibre is susceptible to data breaches and cyberattacks, which can damage reputation and lead to financial losses.
- Need for Continuous Innovation: Rapid technological changes require constant upgrades to platforms and services to stay competitive.
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Changing Consumer Preferences:
- Shift in Shopping Habits: With the rise of omnichannel retailing, consumers may prefer different shopping experiences (like social commerce), requiring MercadoLibre to adapt quickly.
- Trust and Safety Concerns: Ensuring safe transactions and protecting consumers from fraud are paramount; failures in this area can hurt customer confidence.
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Financial Sustainability:
- Profitability Pressure: While growth is essential, achieving sustainable profitability is crucial; any delays or challenges in this regard could impact investor confidence.
- Debt Levels: Managing any existing debt, especially in a rising interest rate environment, could strain financial performance.
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Market Saturation:
- Growth Limitations: In certain mature markets, growth may slow down as the market becomes saturated, leading to intensified competition for existing customers.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- Political Instability: Political changes or instability in Latin American countries can lead to uncertainties that impact business operations and consumer confidence.
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Global Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions in global supply chains, whether due to pandemics, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions, can affect product availability and delivery times.
Addressing these risks will be essential for MercadoLibre to maintain its leadership position and ensure sustainable growth in the competitive e-commerce landscape of Latin America.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Mercadolibre Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Mercadolibre Inc
Current Assets | 17.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 6.7B |
Receivables | 9B |
Other Current Assets | 2.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 4.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.2B |
PP&E | 2.3B |
Intangibles | 195m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.1B |
Current Liabilities | 14.3B |
Accounts Payable | 4.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 866m |
Other Current Liabilities | 8.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Mercadolibre Inc
Revenue
|
19B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-10.2B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
8.8B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-6.8B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
2B
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-565m
USD
|
Net Income
|
1.4B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Mercadolibre Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, MercadoLibre's revenue surged by 35% despite foreign exchange challenges, with a notable growth in the credit card portfolio, expanding by 166%. The company issued 1.5 million new cards, and e-commerce improved significantly, particularly in Argentina where item sales rose by 16%. Despite minor margin pressures due to strategic investments, EBIT reached $557 million, yielding a 10.5% margin. The company plans to increase fulfillment centers by 11 by 2025, enhancing delivery services. Looking ahead, they aim for continued profitability, driven by increased e-commerce penetration and fintech innovations.
What is Earnings Call?
MELI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Mercadolibre Inc's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Mercadolibre Inc's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
MELI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Mercadolibre Inc's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Mercadolibre Inc's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
MELI Price Targets Summary
Mercadolibre Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MELI is 2 397.11 USD with a low forecast of 2 020 USD and a high forecast of 2 940 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for MELI is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the development of an online commerce platform with a focus on e-commerce and related services. The company is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires and currently employs 29,957 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-08-10. The firm enables commerce through its marketplace platform in Latin America, which is designed to provide users with a portfolio of services to facilitate commercial transactions. Its geographic segments are Brazil, Argentina, Mexico Venezuela and Other Countries (which includes Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Portugal, Guatemala, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay and the United States of America). The company also operates online commerce platforms in the Dominican Republic, Honduras, Nicaragua, Salvador, Panama, Bolivia, Guatemala, Paraguay and Portugal. The company offers an ecosystem of six integrated e-commerce services: the MercadoLibre Marketplace, the MercadoLibre Classifieds Service, the MercadoPago payments solution, the MercadoLibre advertising program, the MercadoShops online Webstores solution and the MercadoEnvios shipping service.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one MELI stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 310.73 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 1 880 USD, Mercadolibre Inc is Overvalued by 30%.