Light & Wonder Inc
NASDAQ:LNW
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one LNW stock under the Base Case scenario is 132.98 USD. Compared to the current market price of 96.42 USD, Light & Wonder Inc is Undervalued by 27%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Light & Wonder Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Light & Wonder Inc. is a dynamic and innovative gaming and entertainment company that has made a significant mark in the world of casino gaming and digital gaming solutions. Born from the merger of Scientific Games and multiple acquisitions, it has transitioned into a powerhouse that offers everything from traditional slot machines to cutting-edge mobile gaming technologies. The company's commitment to delivering engaging, high-quality gaming experiences has positioned it as a frontrunner in the expanding global gaming market. With a strong focus on technology and a diverse portfolio of intellectual property, Light & Wonder has the capacity to capture consumer interest and adapt to changing...
Light & Wonder Inc. is a dynamic and innovative gaming and entertainment company that has made a significant mark in the world of casino gaming and digital gaming solutions. Born from the merger of Scientific Games and multiple acquisitions, it has transitioned into a powerhouse that offers everything from traditional slot machines to cutting-edge mobile gaming technologies. The company's commitment to delivering engaging, high-quality gaming experiences has positioned it as a frontrunner in the expanding global gaming market. With a strong focus on technology and a diverse portfolio of intellectual property, Light & Wonder has the capacity to capture consumer interest and adapt to changing market trends, making it an attractive option for investors seeking growth in a thriving industry.
At the heart of Light & Wonder's strategy is a dedication to harnessing data and analytics for better consumer insights and product development. This data-driven approach not only enhances player experiences but also drives revenue growth by optimizing game performance across different platforms. With its sizeable global footprint and partnerships with various casinos and online gaming platforms, Light & Wonder is well-equipped to leverage burgeoning trends in digital entertainment. As the gaming landscape evolves, investors are presented with an enticing opportunity to engage with a company poised for long-term growth and sustainability, underpinned by a robust innovation pipeline and a clear vision for the future of gaming.
Light & Wonder Inc. is a prominent player in the gaming and entertainment industry, primarily focusing on the development and provision of products and services for gaming and gambling. The company has several core business segments, which typically include:
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Gaming: This segment encompasses the design, manufacturing, and sale of gaming machines and systems. It includes traditional slot machines, video lottery terminals, and interactive gaming products. The gaming segment plays a crucial role in driving revenues through the sale of new machines and the provision of ongoing services.
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Digital Gaming: Light & Wonder has a significant presence in the online gaming and iGaming markets. This segment includes online casino games, sports betting, and other interactive digital gaming solutions. The focus on digital platforms has increased in response to the growing trend of online gambling and gaming entertainment.
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Lottery: Light & Wonder provides integrated lottery solutions, including the development and deployment of lottery systems, instant ticket services, and management and operational support for state and national lotteries. This segment is essential for generating consistent revenue through contracts with government entities.
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Table Games: This segment focuses on the development and supply of table games and related systems, including electronic table games and solutions that enhance the gaming experience at physical casinos. This includes products like card shufflers and automated gaming solutions.
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Analytics and Technology Solutions: Although not always highlighted as a standalone segment, this area involves offering technology-driven tools and analytics that help operators optimize gaming operations, enhance player engagement, and improve overall profitability.
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Recurring Revenue: Light & Wonder often emphasizes its recurring revenue model, particularly from ongoing service agreements, software licenses, and gaming content subscriptions. This is crucial for financial stability and long-term growth.
Overall, Light & Wonder Inc. aims to leverage its diverse product offerings and strong market position to capitalize on growth opportunities in both physical and digital gaming sectors while adapting to emerging market trends.
Light & Wonder Inc. (formerly known as Scientific Games Corporation) operates primarily in the gaming and entertainment industry. The company holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Diversified Product Portfolio: Light & Wonder offers a comprehensive range of gaming products, from slot machines and table games to digital gaming solutions and lottery systems. This diversity allows the company to cater to various segments of the gaming market, increasing its market reach.
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Strong Intellectual Property: The company has developed a robust portfolio of patents and proprietary technologies, which can provide a significant barrier to entry for competitors. This includes unique game designs, gaming systems, and player management technologies.
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Established Relationships with Casinos and Lotteries: Light & Wonder has built long-term partnerships with a wide array of casinos and lottery organizations, giving it a solid foothold in the industry. These relationships enhance customer loyalty and retention.
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Innovative Technology: The company has invested heavily in advancing its digital and online gaming solutions, leveraging technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance user experiences. Their focus on innovation positions them favorably in an increasingly competitive digital landscape.
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Strong Global Presence: With operations in multiple international markets, Light & Wonder is well-positioned to capitalize on global gaming trends and diversified revenue streams. This geographic diversification helps mitigate risks associated with localized market downturns.
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Emphasis on Responsible Gaming: As gaming regulations evolve globally, Light & Wonder's commitment to responsible gaming initiatives can enhance its brand reputation and compliance standing compared to competitors that may not prioritize these aspects as effectively.
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Robust Marketing and Brand Recognition: Light & Wonder has established a strong brand within the industry, known for both its quality products and influential presence at major gaming expos. This brand recognition can lead to a competitive edge when marketing new products.
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Acquisitions and Strategic Partnerships: The company has pursued strategic acquisitions to bolster its technological capabilities and expand its market offerings. This ability to integrate new businesses can provide a competitive edge in terms of resource availability and product breadth.
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Focus on Emerging Markets: Light & Wonder has strategically targeted emerging markets with growth potential in online and mobile gaming. This proactive approach allows the company to capitalize on increasing consumer demand in various regions.
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Strong Financial Position: A solid financial base allows Light & Wonder to invest in R&D, marketing, and technology upgrades, sustaining its competitive advantage over firms with weaker financial resources.
These competitive advantages collectively enhance Light & Wonder's position in the gaming industry, enabling it to adapt to market changes and maintain its status as a leader in the sector.
Light & Wonder Inc, as a player in the gaming and entertainment industry, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth prospects in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
1. Regulatory Risks
- Gaming Regulations: Changes in gaming laws and regulations can significantly impact operations. Shifts towards stricter regulations in key markets can create uncertainties.
- Licensing Requirements: The need for various licenses can pose hurdles, and non-compliance can lead to penalties or loss of business.
2. Market Competition
- Intense Rivalry: The gaming industry is highly competitive, with both established companies and new entrants vying for market share. This pressure can affect pricing strategies and profitability.
- Innovation Demand: The constant need to innovate to meet consumer preferences can strain resources and lead to increased research and development costs.
3. Economic Fluctuations
- Cyclical Nature of Gaming: Economic downturns can lead to reduced discretionary spending, impacting the demand for gaming products and services.
- Inflation and Recession Risks: Increased costs associated with inflation can reduce profit margins. Economic recessions can severely reduce consumer spending.
4. Technological Changes
- Rapid Technological Advancements: Keeping pace with rapid technological advancements and consumer expectations is crucial. Failure to innovate could result in loss of market relevance.
- Cybersecurity Threats: As the company incorporates more digital solutions, the risk of cyber-attacks increases, potentially leading to data breaches and loss of consumer trust.
5. Supply Chain Disruptions
- Global Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions can affect the availability of materials needed for product development, leading to delays and increased costs.
- Dependency on Third-Party Suppliers: Reliance on external suppliers for key components can introduce vulnerabilities.
6. Consumer Trends
- Changing Consumer Preferences: Trends in consumer behavior, especially towards mobile and online gaming, can impact traditional gaming revenues if not addressed timely.
- Demographic Changes: A shift in demographics can influence gaming preferences and spending habits.
7. Financial Management
- Debt Levels: High debt can pose risks, particularly if interest rates rise or if the company faces cash flow issues.
- Global Expansion Costs: Entering new markets involves significant costs and risks which may not yield immediate returns.
8. Reputation and Brand Image
- Public Perception and Responsibility: Issues related to responsible gaming, such as addiction and gambling-related harm, can impact the company's reputation and regulatory scrutiny.
- Brand Longevity and Relevance: Ensuring the brand remains relevant in a fast-evolving landscape is crucial for maintaining consumer loyalty.
Conclusion
Light & Wonder Inc must navigate these challenges through strategic planning, innovation, and effective risk management. Keeping a close watch on regulatory developments, technological advancements, and consumer trends will be critical for sustaining growth and competitive advantage in the gaming industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Light & Wonder Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Light & Wonder Inc
Current Assets | 1.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 347m |
Receivables | 615m |
Other Current Assets | 317m |
Non-Current Assets | 4.3B |
PP&E | 328m |
Intangibles | 3.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 373m |
Current Liabilities | 680m |
Accounts Payable | 200m |
Accrued Liabilities | 429m |
Other Current Liabilities | 51m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 208m |
Earnings Waterfall
Light & Wonder Inc
Revenue
|
3.2B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-935m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
2.2B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.5B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
761m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-466m
USD
|
Net Income
|
295m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Light & Wonder Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
LNW Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Light & Wonder Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Light & Wonder Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LNW Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Light & Wonder Inc's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Light & Wonder Inc's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LNW Price Targets Summary
Light & Wonder Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LNW is 112.74 USD with a low forecast of 76.76 USD and a high forecast of 151.2 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for LNW is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Scientific Games Corp. engages in the development of technology-based products and services and associated content. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada and currently employs 9,500 full-time employees. The firm is a developer of technology based products and services and associated content for the worldwide gaming, social and digital gaming industries. Its segments include Gaming, SciPlay, and iGaming. Its Gaming business segment designs, develops, manufactures, markets and distributes a diverse portfolio of gaming content, products and services to commercial casinos, Native American casinos and wide-area gaming operators. Its SciPlay business segment is a developer and publisher of digital games on mobile and web platforms. SciPlay offers a range of social casino games, including Jackpot Party Casino, Gold Fish Casino Slots, Quick Hit Slots, Hot Shot Casino, 88 Fortunes, and Monopoly Slots. Its iGaming business segment provides a range of digital gaming content, including digital real-money gaming (RMG), distribution platforms, content, products and services.
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The intrinsic value of one LNW stock under the Base Case scenario is 132.98 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 96.42 USD, Light & Wonder Inc is Undervalued by 27%.