Alliant Energy Corp

NASDAQ:LNT

Earnings Call Analysis

Alliant Energy's Strategic Investment and Growth

Alliant Energy has revised its capital expenditure plan, up by $600 million over four years, underpinning a solid 8% rate-based growth through 2027. This includes investments in generation resources, especially wind repowering and enhanced grid resiliency. Approximately 55% of capital will funnel into generation, indicating a strong commitment to renewable energy and resource diversification. In Iowa, the IUB granted a 10.25% minimum ROE for solar projects over 30 years, supporting Alliant's cost-effective energy mix. The company anticipates new tariffs effective January 1st pending PSCW decision. Earnings guidance for 2023 is narrowed to $2.85-$2.93 per share, reflective of strategic investments and operational efficiency.

Alliant Energy: A Robust Quarter with Forward-Looking Investments

Focusing on the core of the Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call, Alliant Energy heralded its consistent financial and operational strength, setting the stage for the company's continued prosperity. The pivotal points for investors include the narrowing of the 2023 earnings guidance, signaling precision in performance expectations, and a 2024 earnings guidance implying a 6% increase over the projected adjusted earnings of 2023. Alliant Energy pledges a corresponding dividend boost to $1.92 per share, aligning with the earnings uptick and showcasing confidence in the company’s financial health. The distilled essence of the call reflects a strategic reinforcement with an updated capital investment forecast featuring an additional $600 million outlay, primed to underwrite the utility's commitment to clean, reliable energy through substantial solar and wind projects, as well as pioneering energy storage systems.

Strategic Expansions and Insightful Investments

The narrative of investment carried through with Alliant Energy's approvals for innovative battery storage projects in Wisconsin. Exemplifying strategic foresight, these projects are components of a sizable commitment to a $600 million refreshed capital expenditure plan over the next four years, culminating in an expected 8% rate-based growth through 2027. The company is hence poised on a trajectory of deliberate expansion, weaving in approximately 55% of its future investments in generation, diverging into renewables and complementary natural gas resources to fortify grid resiliency.

Embracing the Inflation Reduction Act and Optimizing Tax Credit Monetization

In light of the Inflation Reduction Act, Alliant Energy glimpses an opportunity to capitalize on enhanced tax benefits and fervently moves to finalize contracts that realize tax credit gains. This strategic action is designed to minimize financial needs while delivering substantial customer savings, powered by zero-cost renewable resources. Looking ahead, they forecast an average of approximately $300 million per year in tax credit monetization. Emphasizing customer and shareholder interests, the company portrays a thoughtful approach to finance its ambitious investment plan, balancing cash flows from operations with measured equity issuances.

Fiscal Planning and Regulatory Outlook

Alliant Energy's financial prudence emerged as a key theme, with plans for up to $1.9 billion in financing. Entering a crucial phase, decisions in Wisconsin and Iowa regulatory proceedings stand to influence the company's equity strategies moving forward. Tactical decisions such as these, combined with robust regulatory engagement and transparent investor communication, provide a glimpse into the significant planning that underpins Alliant Energy’s vision for enhanced, diversified, and sustainable energy solutions.

Earnings Call Transcript 2023-Q3

[Operator]

Thank you for holding, and welcome to Alliant Energy's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Susan Gille, Investor Relations Manager at Alliant Energy.

[Susan Gille, executive]

Good morning. I would like to thank all of you on the call and the webcast for joining us today. We appreciate your participation. With me here today are John Larsen, Chair and CEO; Lisa Barton, President and COO; and Robert Durian, Executive Vice President and CFO. Following prepared remarks by John, Lisa and Robert, we will have time to take questions from the investment community.

We issued a news release last night announcing Alliant Energy's third quarter and year-to-date financial results, narrowed our 2023 earnings guidance range, provided 2024 earnings and dividend guidance and provided our annual capital expenditure plan through 2027. This release as well as earnings presentation will be referenced during today's call and is available on the Investor page of our website at www.alliantenergy.com.

Before we begin, I need to remind you the remarks we make on this call and our answers to your questions include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be materially different. Those risks include, among others, matters discussed in Alliant Energy's news release issued last night and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements.

In addition, this presentation contains references to non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation between non-GAAP and GAAP measures are provided in the earnings release and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q, which is available on our website.

At this point, I'll turn the call over to John.

[John Larsen, executive]

Thank you, Susan. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'm pleased to report that we are firmly on track for delivering another year of solid financial and operating results. Consequently, we are narrowing our 2023 earnings guidance range and I am affirming our long-term earnings growth range of 5% to 7%. We take great satisfaction in consistently achieving our earnings growth objectives.

Continuing that momentum, turning to 2024, I'm pleased to share our earnings guidance and dividend target. Our 2024 earnings guidance midpoint represents a 6% increase to our forecasted 2023 adjusted earnings and our 2024 annual common stock dividend target is $1.92 per share, which is a 6% increase from this year's dividends. We are focused on delivering steady and predictable results.

We have several key headlines and highlights this quarter, but before I get to them, I'd like to touch on the news you likely saw last week. I'm incredibly honored to have been with Alliant Energy for the past 35 years and I'm excited to be continuing that journey and moving into the role of Executive Chairman of our company as Lisa Barton assumes the role of CEO. Lisa's an exceptional leader with a well-established track record of success.

Together with the Board of Directors, I have complete confidence that she is well positioned to further Alliant Energy's ability to deliver consistent results as we continue to focus on our purpose of serving customers and building stronger communities. Speaking of that purpose, let me take a few minutes to share a few headlines from quarter 3 that I'm particularly proud of. Then I'll pass it over to Lisa and Robert to provide more details.

The first headline centers on our strong core investment thesis, that is why you choose to invest in our company. Simply put, we consistently deliver strong results. The well-executed forward-thinking actions our team took to mitigate rising financing costs positions our company to deliver on investor expectations. Coupled with our exceptional project execution and unwavering commitment to cost management and efficiency makes us well positioned to achieve our long-term earnings guidance objective for the 14th consecutive year.

Our second headline highlights our updated customer-centric capital investment forecast through 2027, which increases our CapEx by almost $600 million, compared to the 4-year plan we announced last year. Lisa will cover the details of these exciting investments later in the call.

To build on my earlier comments, I continue to take immense pride in the work of our dedicated teams who've diligently navigated through challenging financial, procurement and economic conditions. I'm especially pleased with our team's efforts in taking advantage of the enhanced benefits from the Inflation Reduction Act. We are nearing completion of executing our contracts to monetize tax credits generated by our wind, solar and energy storage investments. This helps us reduce our financing needs, create substantial cost savings for our customers, all while taking advantage of zero fuel cost resources and reducing our greenhouse gas emissions.

Now let me highlight two innovative projects we are excited about. First, we celebrated our first Iowa customer-hosted solar project, which is nearing completion near Ames, Iowa and is expected to be operational in the first half of 2024. This solar farm at Iowa State University will serve as a one-of-a-kind setting to advance the concept of Agrivoltaics. We are partnering with both Iowa State and the University of Wisconsin in this innovative area of research. Agrivoltaics' research is intended to uncover how solar, agricultural land and farming can harmoniously coexist for mutual benefit.

The second project is our long-duration storage project at the Columbia Energy Center near Portage, Wisconsin; a first-of-a-kind energy project in the United States. The 200-megawatt hour energy storage system will be built to deliver 10 hours of energy storage capacity by compressing carbon dioxide gas into liquid. We are particularly excited this project will be built in the same community that has hosted our Columbia Energy Center for the last 40-plus years. Citing this project at an existing generating facility enables us to take advantage of the existing grid interconnection. Our company was selected for a $30 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Clean Energy to support this project. Importantly, both projects exemplify our purpose and showcases how our forward-thinking efforts, partnerships and innovation are helping us build stronger communities.

Our investments are made in our backyard in the communities we serve where our customers live and where we partner with local suppliers, contractors and vendors.

Now before I turn the call over to Lisa, I'd like to recognize that the farmers in our service territory are in the later stages of harvest season. And I'd like to extend my appreciation to all farmers and farm families for your commitment and partnership. Together, we are using the earth's natural resources to provide vital services. Please be safe, as you wrap up your harvest.

And I'd also like to take a moment to reflect on the achievements of our dedicated employees as we conclude another strong quarter. They have done a tremendous job of serving our customers and positioning us for success. Their efforts to keep the lights on and the gas flowing irrespective of weather conditions underscores our unwavering commitment to our purpose.

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Thank you, John. It is an honor to be entrusted with the future growth and stewardship of this industry-leading company. Since joining Alliant Energy, it has been abundantly clear that our organization lives and delivers on its purpose day in and day out. In fact, the organization's commitment and alignment with its purpose is what drew me to Alliant Energy.

I recently had the opportunity to meet with our team in Janesville, Wisconsin and was struck by the level of engagement and ideas our frontline teams brought to the table to better serve our customers. As you know, we are actively undergrounding our lines to provide greater reliability and system resiliency. In this conversation, our employees were offering suggestions to prioritize the undergrounding of overhead facilities located in backyards. They were sharing how these facilities can be difficult to get to, require specialized equipment, and due to the nature of the terrain, restoration can be time-consuming, factors that can be avoided by undergrounding.

I appreciated their ideas and focus on our customers with the goal to reduce outages and restoration times, a notable example of the level of engagement and the connection with our purpose to serve our customers and build stronger communities.

Our team's passion for innovation and dedication to serving our customers and communities is consistent across the company in both Iowa and Wisconsin. And it's precisely why it is a true privilege to take on the role of CEO and to serve as a member of our Board of Directors.

Before going into the CapEx plan, I would like to underscore our organization's ongoing role of being at the forefront of the clean energy transition by providing our customers with access to a cleaner and more diverse energy mix.

In 2022, approximately 40% of the energy we supply to retail customers was generated by zero fuel cost renewable resources. This number will quickly grow with the addition of 1.2 gigawatts of solar set to be in service by the end of 2024.

Across our portfolio of new generation, we are successfully bringing projects online, investing in energy security, creating local jobs and providing valuable tax revenues for the communities we serve.

In Wisconsin, we expect to bring approximately 600 megawatts of solar online by year-end. In Iowa, with an advanced ratemaking ruling in hand for our planned 400 megawatts of solar, we will continue to expand our investments in resilient, clean energy resources for our customers and communities by bringing this new generation online.

In addition to solar, we made great strides in our energy storage plans during the third quarter. We commissioned our first microgrid project in Richland County. We secured regulatory approval in Wisconsin for 175 megawatts of battery storage projects in Wood and Grant counties, which will be paired with our solar investments.

In addition, we secured approval for 99 megawatts of battery storage at our Edgewater generating facility site to take advantage of our existing interconnection and additional tax credits associated with repurposing a brownfield site. These storage projects strengthen the performance of our generation portfolio, increase grid resiliency and improve reliability. These investments tied to the capital expenditures John mentioned, which are essential to deliver a diverse mix of energy with the enhanced reliability our customers depend on.

Looking forward, we have refreshed our capital expenditures plan over the next 4 years by $600 million. These investments expand our dispatchable generation resources include wind repowering for approximately 500 megawatts of our legacy wind fleet, bringing efficiency savings to our customers and additional tax benefits through the Inflation Reduction Act.

This plan reflects increased investments in American Transmission Company to support expansion of transmission within the state of Wisconsin and underscores our commitment to enhancing grid resiliency and undergrounding.

Our updated customer-centric capital investment forecast through 2027 contributes to a solid 8% rate base growth through 2027. Approximately 55% of our investments over the next 4 years will be in generation, a strong demonstration of our commitment to a diverse clean, reliable and resilient energy future for our customers.

We take considerable pride in the balance of resources in our generation portfolio. We will continue to invest in renewables over the 5-year planning period. We also recognize our resource plans need to address MISO's resource adequacy needs. This is why you see greater additional capital expenditures for gas projects when compared to prior plans.

In 2024, we will continue our transparent process to engage with regulators and stakeholders as we update and revise our resource plans to adapt to changing reliability needs. Our plans include new dispatchable natural gas resources, capacity and efficiency improvements and investments to ensure resiliency and availability of fuels during extreme weather and other disruptions.

Specifically, our focus will be on improving the capacity and efficiency of our existing units in both Iowa and Wisconsin as well as repurposing sites, where coal units will be retiring in the next 5 years. We will be investing in new, flexible natural gas resources to complement our investments in battery storage and renewables.

We will also invest in reliability of natural gas supply in both Iowa and Wisconsin to address concerns about reliability and resiliency during extreme weather. This includes exploring opportunities to enhance resiliency through gas LNG and electric storage technologies.

Now switching to regulatory matters. First, we appreciate the certainty the IUB's advanced ratemaking decision provides. Last month, the IUB approved a minimum ROE of 10.25% over the 30-year life of 400 megawatts of solar. We remain confident in the advanced ratemaking process and look forward to submitting additional filings following our stakeholder and regulatory engagement process next year.

Staying in Iowa, we recently filed our forward test year rate review. Our forward-looking electric and gas rate review focuses on our plans to strategically invest in a cost-effective and diverse energy mix, coupled with grid modernization to deliver a more reliable, sustainable, resilient and secure energy future for our Iowa customers and communities.

With our steadfast focus on keeping customer value top of mind, we continuously strategize to take proactive measures to manage costs and to meet customers' ever-changing energy needs. This is the reason why we have asked for a two-step increase. The investments we are making in the state are expected to reduce the number and duration of outages, improve safety, lower operating maintenance and fuel expenses, while reducing the impact of fuel price volatility. Shifting gears to our rate review in Wisconsin. The procedural schedule is now complete, and we await the decision from the PSCW to place new rates into effect on January 1. We believe the PSCW staff testimony was constructive and gave the commission a good starting point for their decision.

I will now turn the call over to Robert to provide insights regarding our financial results, guidance and a few additional regulatory matters.

[Robert Durian, executive]

Thanks, Lisa. Good morning, everyone. Yesterday, we announced third quarter non-GAAP earnings of $1.05 per share compared to $0.93 per share in the third quarter of 2022. Our quarterly earnings change year-over-year was primarily due to higher revenue requirements and AFUDC from WPL capital investments and lower operating and maintenance expenses. These positive drivers were partially offset by higher interest expense.

The non-GAAP adjustment recorded in the third quarter of $0.03 per share related to Iowa state tax reform. In September, the Iowa Department of Revenue announced a corporate state tax rate of 7.1% for 2024, which is down from the current rate of 8.4%. This change resulted in a current year charge at our nonutility and parent operations related to lower deferred tax asset values.

This change will also enable us to pass millions of dollars of annual savings from lower state taxes on to our customers in Iowa for decades into the future. A similar non-GAAP adjustment was recognized in the third quarter last year related to Iowa's corporate tax rate change effective for 2023.

Through September of this year, our net temperature impacts decreased Alliant Energy's earnings by approximately $0.02 per share. In comparison, net temperatures increased Alliant Energy's earnings for the first 3 quarters of 2022 by $0.07 per share.

Our temperature-normalized electric sales through the first 3 quarters are tracking in line with sales for the same period in 2022, including no material changes across the customer classes or our two states.

Looking forward to the fourth quarter and our full year 2023 results, we expect strong earnings growth from investments in Wisconsin and Iowa solar projects and lower O&M, partially offset by higher interest expense. As a result of solid earnings through September and our projected fourth quarter results, we have narrowed our 2023 earnings guidance to a range of $2.85 per share to $2.93 per share.

During 2023, our team has continued to advance our purpose-driven strategy to ensure that we not only accomplish our current year goals, but also enable the achievement of our financial and operational objectives over the long term. We strategically invest in the best interest of our customers, aiming to enhance customer value while controlling customer costs.

As we continue our transition to renewables, while preparing to retire our fossil fuel generating resources, we will continue to reduce our operating costs. Additionally, with the implementation of our planned solar projects and the repowering of our wind facilities, we anticipate the production tax credits and reduced fuel expenses will help offset the impact of increased renewable rate base rendering these new investments highly cost effective for our customers. This commitment will result in long-term benefits for our customers and long-term value for our shareowners.

With our success thus far in advancing and executing on our renewable capital projects, we continue to be well positioned to capture additional benefits of the Inflation Reduction Act. Expected benefits include applying for federal funding, maximizing tax benefits by meeting tax credit added requirements and leveraging new and enhanced opportunities to monetize tax credits, which materially improved our cash flows and credit metrics as well as reduce future financing needs.

Moving to our financing plans. In September, we successfully completed a $300 million debt issuance at IPL to finance our solar generation projects. And so far, this year, we have issued approximately $200 million of new common equity. Thus, we are well on our way to raising our planned $250 million in equity for 2023.

As we look to future financings, our robust capital investment plan is expected to be financed through a combination of cash from operations, including significant proceeds from tax credit monetizations and new long-term debt.

We also have modest levels of common equity anticipated in our finance plans through 2027, including approximately $25 million of new common equity planned each year from our Shareowner Direct plan and up to $350 million of new common equity in aggregate through future ATM programs. The new common equity through future ATM programs is largely dependent upon whether the PSCW and IUB grant authority of our request to increase the equity layers in WPL's and IPL's capital structures in their respective pending rate reviews.

More near term, our plans over the next 14 months include up to $1.9 billion of financing, including up to $1 billion of long-term debt at Alliant Energy Finance, up to $700 million of debt at IPL, approximately $25 million of new common equity through our Shareowner Direct plan, and up to $200 million of new common equity only to supporting the increase authorized by the PSCW for WPL's equity layer. We also have two debt maturities in 2024, including $450 million at Alliant Energy Finance and $500 million at IPL.

Finally, I'll highlight our regulatory initiatives in progress as well as those regulatory filings we plan to initiate in 2024. Currently, in progress, we have electric and gas rate reviews in each state. In Wisconsin, we anticipate an oral decision before Thanksgiving and a written order by the end of December. And in Iowa, we expect a decision by the third quarter of next year.

We also have two additional pending proceedings in Wisconsin. We are anticipating a decision on our request for improvements aimed to increase the efficiency, capacity and reliability of our Neenah and Sheboygan Falls gas generating units by the end of Q2 2024.

In this quarter, we filed a joint application to sell an additional 125 megawatts of the West Riverside facility to WEC Energy and Madison Gas & Electric. We are also anticipating a decision on this application by Q2 of 2024.

Turning to our planned regulatory filings in 2024. In conjunction with our updated capital expenditure plan, we expect to make regulatory filings in both Iowa and Wisconsin for additional renewables and dispatchable resources to enhance reliability, further diversify our energy resources and meet customer energy needs. These filings will also include construction authority requests for the innovative new long-duration energy storage in Wisconsin mentioned by John.

We very much appreciate the continued support of our company and look forward to meeting with many of you at the EEI Finance Conference. Next week, we plan to post on our website the updated materials in advance of EEI.

At this time, I'll turn the call back over to the operator to facilitate the question-and-answer session.

[Operator]

Thank you, Mr. Durian. At this time, the company will open up the call to questions from the members of the investment community. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Nicholas Campanella with Barclays.

[Nathan Richardson, analyst]

It's actually Nathan Richardson on for Nick. I just had a couple of questions here. You touched on the tax credit opportunity a little bit, and I appreciate the '23 and '24 guidance, but I was wondering if you could give any more color into '25 and '26 and then maybe the full contribution over the 5-year plan?

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes, Nathan, I'll probably paid a little bit of a picture here for our financing plans. When we think about the capital expenditure refresh that we've done through 2027, and as we look at the kind of financing needs for that, we actually think that we'll be able to fund all of that through cash flows from operations, including the monetization of tax credits as well as some new long-term debt. And as we look at the opportunities to be able to monetize those tax credits, given the volume of tax credits we're generating currently with the wind projects and the solar projects as well as those will be added into our portfolio over the next few years along with battery storage.

We actually think we'll be averaging probably close to $300 million a year in tax credit monetization proceeds, provides us a lot of flexibility with our financing plans and therefore, does not require any material common equity to be able to finance those capital expenditure plans.

Where we do see potentially some need for new common equity is largely related to the regulatory constructs, specifically the capital structure for our two utilities that is dependent upon the outcomes of the pending rate cases. So that's to be determined. We should be seeing hopefully our WPL rate case decision here in the next couple of weeks. And as I indicated before, the Iowa decision sometime probably by the second quarter, third quarter of next year.

And so that will give us more insights as to any potential equity needs, but it's really tied into those additional equity layers at the two utilities.

[Nathan Richardson, analyst]

Got it. That's super helpful. And then my last question is, some of your Midwest peers have been showing some decline in load in fiscal year '23. And I just wanted to see how we could think about what you've embedded in the fiscal year '24 outlook from a sales perspective and then maybe any longer-term sales growth assumptions?

[John Larsen, executive]

Nathan, this is John here. '23 has been largely in line with our expectations from a temperature normalized load, and we're planning for that similarly going forward. But I would say, we do have some pretty strong economic development interest. We've kept our forecast pretty conservative, pretty steady as we've seen. But we've seen some great interest here. And when we see that materialize a bit more, we'll provide updates if or as needed.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Bank of America.

[Dariusz Lozny, analyst]

This is Dariusz on for Julien. Just wanted to start off on the narrowed 2023 guidance. Thank you for providing that update. Just wondering if now that we're in November, and there's probably a good line of sight to the end of the year, if you can make any commentary as far as where you might be tracking within that range for the balance of the year.

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes, Dariusz, this is Robert. Yes, I would characterize that we're tracking towards the midpoint. We have seen, what I'd characterize, some milder weather temperatures in the first quarter this year that really cut our earnings down about $0.04 per share, but we actually picked up $0.02 back in the third quarter given some warmer temperatures. And so far, here in the fourth quarter, we've actually started out with some favorable weather temperature. So we're actually think we'll land pretty close to the midpoint and so that's what we've been guiding to you.

[Dariusz Lozny, analyst]

Okay. Excellent. Appreciate that. And then just looking ahead to 2024 and the guidance and the drivers that you provided, certainly appreciate that the WPL process is still ongoing. In the event that you did receive and improved equity layer there, could you see any upside to -- or perhaps tracking to the upper end of the range that you provided for 2024?

[John Larsen, executive]

Yes. Dariusz, it's John here. I'd say there's really four factors for our guidance with sales, great execution of capital and, you mentioned, constructive decisions from regulatory filings and cost management. I would say, right now, we feel very comfortable with the guidance range that we put out there. And as we get into '24, we would certainly update that if we're tracking a different part of that range, but think of it as pretty solid for our range in '24.

[Dariusz Lozny, analyst]

Okay. Excellent. If I could sneak in one more. Obviously, certainly appreciate the IPL rate case as recently filed, but you've had some fairly constructive processes and outcomes, especially with the advanced rate making this year. Curious if you can make any comments on efforts towards our prospects for settling that rate case?

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Yes, Dariusz, it's Lisa here. I'll handle that question. So as you know, we always have a very transparent process with respect to our rate reviews. Our Clean Energy Blueprint provides a high level of transparency. We had a balanced ask with this two-step request, both in the single digits. Obviously, we've had a strong track record of settlements in Iowa. And we continue to think that that's going to be possible in the future. But as always, we're going to [ assess ] the pros and cons of settlement along the way.

[Dariusz Lozny, analyst]

Okay. Excellent. I'll pass it along, and we'll see you guys at EEI in about a week.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from Ross Fowler with UBS.

[Ross Fowler, analyst]

And congratulations on the appointments.

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Thank you.

[John Larsen, executive]

Thanks, Ross.

[Ross Fowler, analyst]

So -- and I apologize, I'm bouncing between sort of three calls this morning. So if this has already been asked and answered, I do apologize. But I was just looking through your CapEx refresh and Lisa, I think I heard you say that the lower sort of renewables CapEx here is really being driven by the shift to gas projects to be responsive to MISO and not driven by sort of some of the consternation we've seen over the last 18 months around renewable investments, right? You're still -- supply chain is okay. Like it's not about it. It's more being responsive than adding this gas project into the plant?

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Yes, Ross, you're correct. I mean, we're constantly reviewing our resource plans, taking into account changing conditions such as the MISO capacity construct. Again, it's always a very transparent process that we use, and we'll be talking with regulators and stakeholders here in the earlier part of '24.

[Ross Fowler, analyst]

Okay. And then given that renewable spending is a little bit lower in the plan, Robert, I think I heard you say that despite that, you still expect pretty good tax transferability, tax credit transferability generation here that the only equity need is around if you get a higher equity ratio at the regulated utilities from your regulated rate cases that are currently underway.

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes, that's correct, Ross. As a reminder, so we've got 2019 and 2020 vintage wind projects that will be continuing to provide PTCs for us. We'll be building out the full 1,500 megawatts of new solar projects. We've added to our recent CapEx plans, 500 megawatts of repowering of wind projects that will produce new PTCs for us to be able to monetize. And we also have battery projects that we've put into the planned 275 megawatts, of which have already been approved by the PSCW that will all be generating tax credits. And so still a very robust set of tax credits for us to monetize over the next 4, 5 years.

[Ross Fowler, analyst]

And then one last one for me. If I heard correctly, there's still some go-forward filings here that could raise your CapEx profile around some renewable projects and some clean energy initiatives in your state. So if I think about sort of looking forward, there's still an opportunity to add more renewables to the plant.

[John Larsen, executive]

Ross, John here. I think what I'd say, we've got a lot of future CapEx opportunities. So we'll be sharing more of the details of how we're thinking about the latter part of, not only this 4 years, but kind of where we would see our future CapEx going. But we're continuing to advance development for future renewables but as Robert, Lisa noted, right now, we're -- it just makes sense for us to add some capacity resources while we continue to look for future renewable developments.

[Ross Fowler, analyst]

That's perfect, John. And that's it for me. Congratulations once again, and we'll see you soon in Arizona.

[John Larsen, executive]

Thanks, Ross.

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Thanks, Ross.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank.

[Andrew Weisel, analyst]

Agrivoltaics, that's a new one. First, I just want to say congrats to John and Lisa. Great to see for both of you. Next -- my first question -- my first question is on O&M. You've talked about a 3% to 4% reduction. I know a lot of the year-over-year swing was supposed to come in the fourth quarter. Now that we're here, can you maybe refine or reaffirm that estimate? And maybe some thoughts on how much might be sustainable versus one-time?

[John Larsen, executive]

This is John here. I'm going to let Robert talk about that, and it's really good news in the timing, but I want to -- I appreciate you listening and picking up on Agrivoltaics. We can talk more about that when I see you at EEI. So Robert over to you.

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes, Andrew, I would say, as we've kind of evaluated 2023 and 2024, we are looking for opportunities to continue to kind of time the spend to be able to achieve all of our financial adjectives over the 2 years.

You're correct in thinking that when we announced our plans for O&M spend for 2023, there is a fair amount of reduction that we were expecting as a result of some of the strategic spend we had in 2022, including focuses on resource planning, economic development and advancing some of our technology projects. And we continue to find opportunities to be able to reduce costs through the efficiencies of a lot of the folks out in our field organization.

I think Lisa had a nice story that she started out with her script talking about the efforts under way with our undergrounding program that are providing some benefits for us. We're also seeing some reductions on the generation side as a result of our Lansing retirement.

So I would say it's a mix, maybe half sustainable half, what I would characterize as strategic spend in 2022 that we see for reductions. But we're continuing to anticipate we'll see some further O&M reductions in the fourth quarter and probably end up lower than we expected from 2022.

[Andrew Weisel, analyst]

Very good. Next, on the 400 megawatts of solar in Iowa. The settlement, I believe, called for 10.75% ROE under the advanced rate making, but the IUB approved 10.25%. Can you talk about why that was reduced? And do you see any kind of read through to the rate case as a result of this?

[Lisa Barton, executive]

Yes, Andrew. So basically, what the IUB did is they said that 10.25% would be, in essence, the base. And we have the opportunity to go up from there. So we're going to use our rate review process to be pushing for that 10.25%. As you know, the settlement that we had in place in Iowa was with one party and was not with all of the parties. We do not think that anything that was decided as part of this RPU is indicative of anything for -- with respect to the rate review filing. So we continue to think that there are opportunities to settle in Iowa, similar to the history and the strong history we've had for settlements in the past.

[Andrew Weisel, analyst]

Okay. Very good. Then on equity, two-part questions. So first of all, the $200 million that you might need. Robert, did you say that was for IPL and WPL? Or is that just WPL? And how much -- looks like a sensitivity, every 10 basis points of equity ratio be some amount of equity. Can you provide that?

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes. So think of that, Andrew, as just the WPL decision that will hopefully be seen here in the next few weeks. And so, guys, as we've stated in some of our previous remarks, what we requested is about a 250 basis point increase in our equity layer in Wisconsin. So that equates to about $200 million. So it's about $40 million for every 50 basis points.

[Andrew Weisel, analyst]

Okay. Very helpful. And then just to clarify, other than that "onetime step up", are you suggesting about $25 million of equity per year in '25 and beyond? Or am I reading too far into that?

[Robert Durian, executive]

Yes, we would plan to continue to utilize our share in our direct plan to be able to issue approximately $25 million a year in new common equity. That's dependent upon the decisions of our shareowners as to how much they want to leverage that program. But that's just a continuation of what we've had historically, and we plan to keep that going into the future.

[Andrew Weisel, analyst]

Perfect. Looking forward to seeing you soon.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from Alex Mortimer with Mizuho Securities.

[Alexander Mortimer, analyst]

So while you highlight transferability benefit helping to keep financing costs manageable in the future. Given a higher for longer rate environment and your increased capital plan announced today, how should we think of the magnitude of rate requests in future cases going forward as compared to historical levels?

[John Larsen, executive]

Yes. Thanks for your question, Alan. We continue to push for what I'd say general rate increases that kind of keep the increases very similar to kind of like cost of living increases, if you will, at or below. So we've been very, very consistent with that over the past few years, and we would see that continuing going forward.

[Lisa Barton, executive]

And the one thing that I would add, Alan is that we continue to add zero fuel cost resources as part of the plan, and that very much plays into affordability. Affordability has been and will continue to be top of mind for us going forward.

[Alexander Mortimer, analyst]

Understood. And then we've seen some other states where parties with maybe a larger priority on policy-related goals as opposed to economic ones are playing a larger role in rate case proceedings and are making it slightly more challenging to settle cases. How do you view the future of the settlement process in Wisconsin?

[John Larsen, executive]

I think we view it as continuing to be a very constructive opportunity as both Lisa and Robert have noted. As we file these, we'll continue to monitor. We always look forward to being very, very transparent in bringing parties to the table, but we don't see any material change in our ability to settle going forward.

[Lisa Barton, executive]

And the 1 thing that I would add is, again, our Clean Energy Blueprint provides that high level of transparency and an opportunity for stakeholders to really engage ahead of time. This year was a little bit unique in the sense, we have five IOUs were before the commission at 1 time. So that made it a little bit challenging this year.

[Alexander Mortimer, analyst]

Understood. Look forward to seeing you all soon.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Ms. Gille, there are no further questions at this time.

[Susan Gille, executive]

With no more questions, this concludes our call. A replay will be available on our investor website. We thank you for your continued support of Alliant Energy, and feel free to contact me with any follow-up questions.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.