Lucid Group Inc
NASDAQ:LCID
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one LCID stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.36 USD. Compared to the current market price of 2.03 USD, Lucid Group Inc is Undervalued by 14%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Lucid Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Lucid Group Inc., a pioneer in the electric vehicle (EV) market, is making waves with its luxurious and innovative approach to sustainable transportation. Founded in 2007, this California-based manufacturer has carved a niche for itself by blending cutting-edge technology with high-end design. The company’s flagship model, the Lucid Air, has garnered widespread acclaim for its impressive range, rapid charging capabilities, and unparalleled performance, positioning itself as a direct competitor to established luxury automakers as well as other EV manufacturers. Lucid's commitment to sustainability is evident in its ambitious plans to produce vehicles that are not only eco-friendly but also re...
Lucid Group Inc., a pioneer in the electric vehicle (EV) market, is making waves with its luxurious and innovative approach to sustainable transportation. Founded in 2007, this California-based manufacturer has carved a niche for itself by blending cutting-edge technology with high-end design. The company’s flagship model, the Lucid Air, has garnered widespread acclaim for its impressive range, rapid charging capabilities, and unparalleled performance, positioning itself as a direct competitor to established luxury automakers as well as other EV manufacturers. Lucid's commitment to sustainability is evident in its ambitious plans to produce vehicles that are not only eco-friendly but also redefine the driving experience, attracting a diverse clientele from eco-conscious consumers to tech enthusiasts seeking premium automotive solutions.
As an investment opportunity, Lucid Group represents a compelling blend of promise and challenges in a rapidly evolving industry. With strong backing from institutional investors and significant partnerships within the tech and automotive sectors, Lucid is poised for growth as it expands its manufacturing capabilities and product offerings. However, the company operates in a competitive landscape, facing hurdles such as scaling production and navigating supply chain disruptions. Investors should consider the potential upside of being part of Lucid’s journey to lead the luxury electric vehicle market while remaining cognizant of the volatility characteristic of emerging tech-driven industries. With a robust vision for the future of transportation and a commitment to innovation, Lucid Group Inc. stands at the forefront of a significant shift in the automotive paradigm, promising to reshape how we think about electric vehicles.
Lucid Group Inc., a notable player in the electric vehicle (EV) market, primarily focuses on a few core business segments:
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Electric Vehicle Manufacturing: Lucid specializes in the design, manufacturing, and sale of luxury electric vehicles. Their flagship model, the Lucid Air, showcases advanced technology, performance, and luxury, catering to high-end consumers looking for premium EV options.
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Energy Solutions: Lucid is exploring energy storage solutions, including battery technology, to enhance the EV experience and support the broader adoption of renewable energy. This segment aims to develop integrated systems that can store energy for vehicles and potentially serve home energy needs.
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Software Development: The company places a strong emphasis on technology and software, which includes vehicle software integration, user interface design, and over-the-air updates. They aim to provide an advanced user experience and continuously improve vehicle performance through software.
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Renewable Energy Integration: Lucid is involved in developing systems that work with renewable energy sources. This includes partnerships and projects that support the adoption of solar and other renewable technologies.
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Charging Infrastructure: Lucid is looking into establishing a network of fast-charging stations to support its vehicles, enhancing the overall customer experience and addressing range anxiety associated with electric vehicles.
Overall, Lucid Group Inc. positions itself as a leader in the luxury electric vehicle sector, combining innovation, sustainability, and performance to appeal to modern consumers seeking high-quality electric transportation solutions.
Lucid Group Inc., primarily known for its luxury electric vehicles (EVs) such as the Lucid Air, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, including:
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Superior Technology and Performance: Lucid has focused on offering high-performance EVs with impressive specifications, such as extended range and faster charging capabilities. The Lucid Air, for instance, boasts a range of over 500 miles on a single charge, which is among the highest in the industry.
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Luxury Positioning: The company targets the luxury segment of the EV market, competing with established high-end brands rather than mass-market EV producers. This positioning allows Lucid to differentiate itself based on quality, craftsmanship, and advanced technology.
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Innovative Battery Technology: Lucid has developed its own battery technology, which enhances efficiency and performance. Their in-house battery design and manufacturing processes can provide a competitive edge by optimizing performance and cost.
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Sustainable Manufacturing Practices: Lucid emphasizes sustainable vehicle manufacturing, including a focus on environmentally friendly materials and processes, which appeals to eco-conscious consumers. This commitment aligns with broader market trends toward sustainability.
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Efficient Production Facilities: Lucid has invested significantly in its manufacturing capabilities, including its factory in Casa Grande, Arizona. This facility is designed to scale production while maintaining high-quality standards, which can lead to cost efficiencies and faster time-to-market for new models.
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Highly Skilled Team: The leadership team at Lucid includes individuals with substantial experience in the automotive and tech industries, including former executives from Tesla and other major automotive manufacturers. This expertise can drive innovation and strategic growth.
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Strong Customer Experience Focus: Lucid places a strong emphasis on customer experience, from the purchasing process to post-sale support. This focus can help build strong brand loyalty and a premium customer base.
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Vertical Integration: Lucid has pursued a degree of vertical integration by controlling key aspects of its supply chain, including battery production. This strategy can enhance supply chain resilience and reduce dependency on external suppliers.
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Strategic Partnerships: Lucid has formed strategic partnerships with various technology and automotive companies, which can enhance its R&D capabilities and expand its market reach.
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Brand Differentiation: The Lucid brand is associated with innovation and luxury, which can create a strong emotional connection with customers, particularly in the tech-savvy and environmentally conscious sectors of the market.
These competitive advantages position Lucid Group Inc. as a strong player in the growing EV market, particularly in the luxury segment, where it can compete effectively against both traditional luxury automakers and emerging EV manufacturers.
Lucid Group Inc., an electric vehicle manufacturer, faces several risks and challenges as it seeks to establish itself in the competitive automotive market. Here are some key considerations:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The automotive industry has faced significant supply chain challenges, especially concerning semiconductor shortages and raw materials like lithium for batteries. Any continued disruptions could impact Lucid's ability to manufacture and deliver vehicles.
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Production Scaling: As Lucid ramps up production, it will face challenges related to achieving efficient scale. Production issues, quality control, and meeting delivery timelines are critical for maintaining consumer trust and investor confidence.
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Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming increasingly crowded, with established automakers (like Tesla, Ford, and GM) and new entrants (Rivian, Fisker, etc.) vying for market share. Lucid needs to differentiate its products and maintain a competitive edge in technology, design, and pricing.
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Consumer Demand: The level of consumer demand for luxury electric vehicles is uncertain, especially as economic conditions fluctuate. Changes in consumer preferences or economic downturns could impact sales.
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Regulatory Changes: The automotive industry is subject to strict environmental regulations and potential changes in subsidies or incentives for electric vehicles. Any adverse regulatory changes could hinder Lucid's market potential.
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Financial Viability: Lucid has substantial financial commitments and will need to manage its cash flow effectively to avoid liquidity issues. The company’s long-term profitability is still uncertain, and investor expectations can heighten pressure to perform.
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Technological Development: The pace of innovation in the EV sector is rapid. Lucid must continually invest in R&D to enhance battery and vehicle technology to remain competitive and meet evolving consumer expectations.
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Public Perception and Brand Reputation: Any issues related to vehicle performance, safety recalls, or other public relations challenges could significantly impact brand perception and consumer trust.
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Charging Infrastructure: The availability and efficiency of charging infrastructure can influence consumer adoption of electric vehicles. If Lucid's customers face challenges in accessing charging stations, it could impact sales.
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Global Economic Factors: Economic conditions, such as interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, can influence consumer spending and investment in high-ticket items like electric vehicles.
Lucid Group's ability to navigate these risks and challenges will be crucial for its success in the near future. Establishing a strong market presence while managing these variables will require strategic planning and execution.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Lucid Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lucid Group Inc
Current Assets | 4.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.5B |
Receivables | 98.2m |
Other Current Assets | 676.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 4.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 601.2m |
PP&E | 3.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 198.3m |
Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
Accounts Payable | 139.2m |
Accrued Liabilities | 245.4m |
Short-Term Debt | 46.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 714.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Lucid Group Inc
Revenue
|
730.5m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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-967.2m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2B
USD
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Operating Income
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-3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-74m
USD
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Net Income
|
-3.1B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Lucid Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter, Lucid Group delivered 2,781 vehicles, marking a 91% increase year-over-year. Revenue rose to approximately $200 million, up 45.2%. Gross margins improved substantially by 28 percentage points sequentially, attributed to cost reduction initiatives. The company raised $1.75 billion, securing its financial future into 2026. Looking ahead, Lucid aims to produce around 9,000 vehicles for the year, with the Lucid Gravity SUV set for production late in 2024. Despite a loss of $0.41 per share, the management expressed confidence in long-term growth and significant market opportunities ahead.
What is Earnings Call?
LCID Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Lucid Group Inc's profitability score is 28/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Lucid Group Inc's profitability score is 28/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
LCID Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Lucid Group Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Lucid Group Inc's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
LCID Price Targets Summary
Lucid Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LCID is 2.99 USD with a low forecast of 1.26 USD and a high forecast of 4.39 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for LCID is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
LCID Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Lucid Group, Inc. manufactures electric vehicles. The company is headquartered in Newark California, California and currently employs 3,900 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-07-29. The firm offers at its own geographically distributed retail and service locations and through direct-to-consumer online and retail sales. The company also boasts a product roadmap of future vehicle programs and technologies. The firm's focus on in-house technological innovation, vertical integration, and a clean-sheet approach to engineering and design has led to the development of its groundbreaking electric vehicle, the Lucid Air. The Lucid Air is a fully electric sedan that targets post-luxury consumers. The Lucid Air is manufactured at its greenfield electric vehicle manufacturing facility in Casa Grande, Arizona, Advanced Manufacturing Plant-1. The company sells vehicles directly to consumers through its retail sales network and through direct online sales.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one LCID stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.36 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 2.03 USD, Lucid Group Inc is Undervalued by 14%.