Kraft Heinz Co
NASDAQ:KHC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one KHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 44.81 USD. Compared to the current market price of 33.73 USD, Kraft Heinz Co is Undervalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Kraft Heinz Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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The Kraft Heinz Company, born from the merger of Kraft Foods Group and H.J. Heinz Company in 2015, has rapidly established itself as a global powerhouse in the consumer packaged goods sector. With a portfolio of over 200 iconic brands, including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia, the company caters to a diverse array of consumer tastes, making it a staple in households worldwide. Despite facing challenges such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier eating and increased competition in the food industry, Kraft Heinz continues to leverage its substantial scale and strong distribution network. Investors are drawn to its commitment to innovation, as the company strives to ev...
The Kraft Heinz Company, born from the merger of Kraft Foods Group and H.J. Heinz Company in 2015, has rapidly established itself as a global powerhouse in the consumer packaged goods sector. With a portfolio of over 200 iconic brands, including Kraft, Heinz, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia, the company caters to a diverse array of consumer tastes, making it a staple in households worldwide. Despite facing challenges such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier eating and increased competition in the food industry, Kraft Heinz continues to leverage its substantial scale and strong distribution network. Investors are drawn to its commitment to innovation, as the company strives to evolve its product offerings with a focus on sustainability and healthier options, crucial in maintaining brand relevance in today’s market.
Kraft Heinz operates with a clear strategic vision: to become the most trusted and preferred food and beverage company. Its strong cash flow generation supports aggressive investments in marketing, product development, and strategic acquisitions, enhancing its competitive edge. Moreover, the company's dedication to returning value to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks reflects its robust financial health and growth potential. For investors, the Kraft Heinz story centers on resilience and adaptability, as it navigates the complexities of a changing food landscape while capitalizing on its rich heritage and brand loyalty to drive long-term value.
Kraft Heinz Company operates through several core business segments that encompass a wide variety of consumer food products. Here are the main segments:
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Condiments and Sauces: This segment includes a range of products such as ketchup, mustard, salad dressings, sauces, and gravies. Iconic brands include Heinz Ketchup, Kraft Dressing, and Beer Cheese Sauce.
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Dairy: This segment covers cheese products, cream cheese, and other dairy items. Notable brands include Philadelphia Cream Cheese and Kraft Singles.
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Snacks: This includes various snack products, primarily in the form of crackers, nuts, and candy. Brands here include Lunchables, Oreo, and Jell-O.
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Meals and Entrees: This segment focuses on meal solutions like frozen meals, microwavable dishes, and canned meals. Key products include Kraft Macaroni & Cheese and Heinz Beanz.
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Nutrition: This segment encompasses baby food and other nutrition-based products. Prominent brands are Gerber and other specialized nutritional offerings.
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Frozen and Refrigerated Foods: This includes frozen meals, desserts, and refrigerated products that are convenient and easy to prepare. This segment features brands such as Ore-Ida and Kraft Frozen Foods.
Through these segments, Kraft Heinz aims to leverage its diverse portfolio to cater to different consumer preferences and trends in the food industry. The company focuses on innovation, brand strength, and going deeper into emerging markets to foster growth.
Kraft Heinz Co has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the food and beverage industry:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Kraft Heinz boasts a diverse and established portfolio of well-known brands such as Heinz, Kraft, Oscar Mayer, and Philadelphia. These brands have significant consumer recognition and loyalty, which help maintain market share and pricing power.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest food and beverage companies globally, Kraft Heinz benefits from economies of scale in production, purchasing, and distribution. This advantage allows the company to lower its cost structures and compete more effectively on price.
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Ownership of Key Production Facilities: The company has a significant number of manufacturing facilities, allowing it to maintain control over production quality and costs. This vertical integration helps ensure consistency and reliability in its supply chain.
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Innovative Product Development: Kraft Heinz invests in research and development to innovate and adapt its products to changing consumer preferences, such as healthier options and convenience foods. This adaptability allows the company to stay relevant in a dynamic market.
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Strong Distribution Network: Kraft Heinz has an extensive and efficient distribution network that ensures its products reach retailers and consumers effectively. This logistical prowess helps maintain shelf space and visibility in stores.
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Strategic M&A Activity: The company has been active in pursuing mergers and acquisitions to expand its product offerings and market reach. The merger of Kraft and Heinz itself is a testament to its strategy of consolidating for greater market power.
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Global Presence: With a presence in numerous international markets, Kraft Heinz benefits from diversification and the ability to leverage its brands in emerging economies, driving growth and reducing dependence on any single market.
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Commitment to Sustainability: The company has made strides in sustainability, which is increasingly important to consumers. Its efforts can enhance brand reputation and appeal to environmentally conscious customers.
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Financial Strength: Kraft Heinz has substantial financial resources, which allow it to invest in marketing, R&D, and capital improvements, giving it a competitive edge over smaller competitors that may lack similar resources.
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Focus on Core Competencies: By focusing on its strengths in condiments, sauces, and packaged foods, Kraft Heinz can optimize its operations and marketing strategies more effectively than rivals with broader but less focused portfolios.
These competitive advantages allow Kraft Heinz to maintain a strong position in the marketplace and respond effectively to the challenges and opportunities in the food and beverage industry.
Kraft Heinz Co faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues could impact the availability and cost of raw materials, packaging, and transportation.
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Inflationary Pressures: Rising costs for ingredients and production due to inflation can squeeze margins, making it harder to maintain profitability without passing these costs onto consumers.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: A shift towards healthier, plant-based, and organic foods poses a challenge for traditional processed food companies. Meeting these demands may require significant reformulation and innovation.
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Increased Competition: The food and beverage space is highly competitive, with both traditional rivals and new entrants capitalizing on niche markets, healthy alternatives, and direct-to-consumer platforms.
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Regulatory Challenges: Stringent food safety regulations, labeling requirements, and potential taxes on unhealthy foods (e.g., sugars, trans fats) could increase compliance costs and impact product formulations.
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Brand Perception and Loyalty: Maintaining brand loyalty in a market where consumers are more informed and discerning can be a challenge, particularly regarding sustainability and ethical sourcing.
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Global Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns or volatility in key markets can affect consumer spending habits and adversely impact sales.
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E-commerce Expansion: Adapting to the growing trend of online grocery shopping requires investment in digital strategies and infrastructure, which can be a burden for traditional business models.
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Innovation and Product Development: Sustaining a pipeline of innovative products to keep pace with changing consumer trends requires effective research and development, which can be resource-intensive.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability, trade tensions, and tariffs can affect international operations and sourcing, impacting price structures and profit margins.
Addressing these risks effectively will be critical for Kraft Heinz Co to sustain its competitive edge and drive future growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Kraft Heinz Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kraft Heinz Co
Current Assets | 7.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 900m |
Receivables | 2.2B |
Other Current Assets | 4.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 81.3B |
PP&E | 7B |
Intangibles | 71.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.4B |
Current Liabilities | 7.5B |
Accounts Payable | 4.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 984m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 32.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 19.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 13.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Kraft Heinz Co
Revenue
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26.3B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-17.2B
USD
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Gross Profit
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9.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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5.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-3.4B
USD
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Net Income
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1.9B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kraft Heinz Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q2 2024, Kraft Heinz saw a 2.4% decline in organic net sales due to continued consumer pressure and cautious sentiment. Despite this, adjusted operating income grew 2%, driven by productivity gains. Both North America and International Developed Markets faced declines in net sales, yet Emerging Markets grew by 3.4%. A strategic focus on innovations and marketing led to a 120 basis point increase in operating income margin. Kraft Heinz revised its annual guidance, lowering sales outlook from flat to up 2% growth to down 2% to flat, while expecting a gross profit margin expansion of 75 to 125 basis points.
What is Earnings Call?
KHC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Kraft Heinz Co's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Kraft Heinz Co's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
KHC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Kraft Heinz Co's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Kraft Heinz Co's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
KHC Price Targets Summary
Kraft Heinz Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KHC is 39.38 USD with a low forecast of 30.3 USD and a high forecast of 58.93 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for KHC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
KHC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
The Kraft Heinz Co. engages in the manufacture and market of food and beverage products. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and currently employs 36,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-07-06. The firm's segments include United States, International and Canada. The company manufactures and markets food and beverage products, including condiments and sauces, dairy, meals, meats, refreshment beverages, coffee, and other grocery products throughout the world. The company offers its products under various brands, such as Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Ore-Ida, Jell-O, Master, Quero, Golden Circle and Wattie's. The firm's products are sold through its own sales organizations and through independent brokers, agents, and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, drug stores, value stores, bakeries, pharmacies, mass merchants, club stores, foodservice distributors, and institutions, including hotels, restaurants, hospitals, health care facilities and certain government agencies.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one KHC stock under the Base Case scenario is 44.81 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 33.73 USD, Kraft Heinz Co is Undervalued by 25%.