Intel Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one INTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 29.37 USD. Compared to the current market price of 24.01 USD, Intel Corp is Undervalued by 18%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Intel Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Intel Corporation, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has played a pivotal role in shaping the computing landscape since its inception in 1968. Renowned for its cutting-edge microprocessors that power everything from personal computers to data centers, Intel's chips have been at the heart of technological innovation. As the company navigates challenges posed by increased competition from rivals like AMD and NVIDIA, as well as the ongoing global semiconductor shortage, Intel is poised to enhance its market presence through strategic investments in research and development. With a renewed focus on manufacturing capabilities and a commitment to restoring its position as a leader in semicond...
Intel Corporation, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has played a pivotal role in shaping the computing landscape since its inception in 1968. Renowned for its cutting-edge microprocessors that power everything from personal computers to data centers, Intel's chips have been at the heart of technological innovation. As the company navigates challenges posed by increased competition from rivals like AMD and NVIDIA, as well as the ongoing global semiconductor shortage, Intel is poised to enhance its market presence through strategic investments in research and development. With a renewed focus on manufacturing capabilities and a commitment to restoring its position as a leader in semiconductor technology, Intel's recent initiatives include the expansion of its manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and Europe, positioning itself to meet the surging demand for advanced computing technologies.
For investors, Intel represents a compelling blend of growth potential and stability. The company's pivot towards artificial intelligence, 5G technology, and cloud computing underscores its dedication to adapting to emerging market trends. While its stock has experienced volatility, driven by competitive pressures and periodic operational challenges, Intel's strong balance sheet and dividend history make it an attractive option for long-term investors seeking both growth and income. As the world increasingly relies on advanced computing solutions, Intel is not only a stalwart in the industry but also a company that has the potential to capitalize on transformative technological shifts, making it a noteworthy consideration for any investment portfolio.
Intel Corporation operates through several core business segments that drive its revenue and growth. The primary segments include:
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Client Computing Group (CCG):
- This segment focuses on providing processors and related technologies for personal computers, laptops, and tablets. It includes desktop, mobile, and IoT (Internet of Things) solutions. CCG is a significant contributor to Intel’s revenue, driven by demand for processing power as remote work and digital lifestyles grow.
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Data Center Group (DCG):
- DCG supplies processors and technologies for servers, storage, and networking solutions. This segment serves various markets, including cloud service providers, enterprise customers, and government organizations. As data generation increases, the demand for robust data center solutions continues to rise.
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Internet of Things Group (IoTG):
- The IoTG segment offers processors and solutions for IoT applications across various industries, including retail, healthcare, and industrial automation. Intel's focus on IoT includes products for edge computing, connectivity, and data security.
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Mobileye:
- Acquired by Intel, Mobileye specializes in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicle technologies. This segment is growing rapidly as the automotive industry increasingly focuses on safety features and self-driving technologies.
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Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group (NSG):
- This segment develops and manufactures NAND flash memory solutions used in various applications, such as SSDs (solid-state drives), data centers, and consumer electronics. The NSG segment addresses the increasing demand for faster, more efficient storage solutions.
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Programmable Solutions Group (PSG):
- PSG focuses on field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) and other programmable solutions. These products cater to various applications, including telecommunications, automotive, and data centers, allowing customers to customize hardware for specific needs.
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Other Intel Products (OIP):
- This segment includes various products and initiatives not covered by the primary segments, such as software and services, IP licensing, and research in emerging technologies.
Intel's business strategy emphasizes innovation, investment in R&D, and expansion into high-growth areas such as AI, 5G, and autonomous vehicles, positioning the company to leverage its strengths and technology leadership across these segments.
Intel Corporation maintains several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the semiconductor industry. Here are some key factors that contribute to Intel's market position:
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Brand Recognition and Reputation: Intel has built a strong brand recognized globally for quality and innovation in semiconductor technology. Its long-standing reputation provides customer loyalty and trust that can be difficult for new entrants or competitors to overcome.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest semiconductor manufacturers in the world, Intel benefits from economies of scale that allow it to produce chips at lower marginal costs compared to smaller competitors. This cost efficiency enables Intel to either maintain higher profit margins or offer competitive pricing.
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Extensive R&D Capability: Intel invests heavily in research and development, which allows it to stay at the forefront of technology and innovation. This continuous investment has led to advancements in chip performance, energy efficiency, and manufacturing techniques.
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Advanced Manufacturing Processes: Intel has historically been a leader in manufacturing process technology, often introducing smaller process nodes (e.g., 5nm, 10nm) before its competitors. This technological edge supports the creation of faster and more efficient chips.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Intel offers a wide range of products, including microprocessors, graphics chips, and memory solutions, catering to various markets such as consumer electronics, data centers, and IoT devices. This diversification helps stabilize revenue streams even if one segment faces challenges.
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Strong Ecosystem and Partnerships: Intel has established strong relationships with OEMs, software developers, and other industry partners, creating an ecosystem that enhances the attractiveness of its products. This network can also provide Intel with insights into market trends and customer needs.
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Customer Trust and Long-term Contracts: Many of Intel’s clients, including major tech companies, rely on its products for critical applications. Long-standing relationships and contracts bolster Intel's revenue stability and create switching costs for customers, as they may prefer not to change suppliers due to the potential risks.
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Supply Chain Management: Intel’s efficient supply chain strategy helps ensure that they can rapidly scale production and meet demand while managing costs effectively. Their ability to maintain control over manufacturing processes means they can mitigate risks associated with supply chain disruptions.
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Intellectual Property: Intel holds a wealth of patents and proprietary technologies that provide a competitive edge. This intellectual property not only protects its innovations but also creates barriers to entry for new competitors in the market.
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Adaptation to Market Trends: Intel has shown an ability to pivot and invest in emerging trends such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and 5G technologies, which positions the company to capitalize on future growth markets.
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Financial Resources: Intel’s significant cash flow and capital reserves enable it to invest strategically in acquisitions, expand production capabilities, and absorb potential downturns.
These advantages contribute to Intel’s competitive positioning, enabling it to maintain its leadership in a rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape.
Intel Corp faces several risks and challenges in the near future, reflecting both industry dynamics and internal factors. Here are some of the key challenges:
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Increased Competition: Intel competes with other semiconductor companies like AMD, NVIDIA, and newer entrants like ARM-based chip manufacturers. AMD has gained significant market share in CPUs, while NVIDIA leads in GPUs. This competition pressures pricing and innovation.
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Technological Advancements: The semiconductor industry is rapidly evolving, with a shift towards smaller nodes and more advanced manufacturing techniques. Intel has faced delays in transitioning to new technologies, notably its 10nm and 7nm processes, impacting its product lineup and competitiveness.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Continued supply chain issues, including shortages of critical materials and logistics challenges, could affect production capabilities and delay product launches.
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Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions, especially between the U.S. and China, can disrupt business operations. Tariffs and export restrictions may impact Intel’s supply chains and market access, particularly as semiconductors are a focal point in technology wars.
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R&D Investment Requirements: Continuous innovation is vital in the semiconductor industry. Intel needs to maintain significant investment in research and development to keep up with competitors, which can strain financial resources, particularly if growth slows.
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Changing Demand Trends: The demand for semiconductors is influenced by various factors, including consumer electronics trends, data center needs, and automotive industry growth. Fluctuations in demand can challenge production planning and inventory management.
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Market Dependence: Intel’s financial performance is significantly tied to the PC and data center markets. Any downturn in these sectors can have a substantial impact on revenues and profitability.
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Regulatory Environment: Increasing scrutiny and regulation around data privacy, antitrust issues, and environmental impact may pose challenges. Compliance costs and the risk of penalties can affect operational strategies.
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Strategic Execution Risks: Internally, Intel faces challenges in effectively executing its turnaround strategies, which include expanding manufacturing capabilities and entering new markets like artificial intelligence and automotive tech. Missteps can lead to lost market opportunities.
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Investor Expectations: As a historically dominant player in the semiconductor industry, Intel faces pressure to meet investor expectations regarding growth, returns, and technological leadership. Inability to deliver on these fronts can negatively impact stock performance.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry is fiercely competitive when it comes to attracting and retaining top talent. Intel must focus on building a workforce that can innovate and drive the company's growth strategy in a competitive landscape.
By addressing these challenges proactively, Intel can position itself to navigate the evolving semiconductor market landscape successfully.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Intel Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Intel Corp
Current Assets | 46.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 24.1B |
Receivables | 3.1B |
Other Current Assets | 18.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 147.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 5.5B |
PP&E | 104.2B |
Intangibles | 28.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 9B |
Current Liabilities | 35.2B |
Accounts Payable | 11.1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 17.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 58.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 46.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 12.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Intel Corp
Revenue
|
54.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-35.4B
USD
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Gross Profit
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18.8B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-22.5B
USD
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Operating Income
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-3.7B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-12.2B
USD
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Net Income
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-16B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Intel Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Intel's revenue reached $13.3 billion, up 4% sequentially, exceeding expectations despite ongoing inventory adjustments. Key cost reduction efforts, including a 15% workforce reduction and over 20% cut in capital expenditures, are on track to save more than $10 billion by 2025. Looking ahead, Q4 revenue is projected between $13.3 billion and $14.3 billion, with a gross margin target of approximately 39.5%. The company aims for annual growth of 3% to 5%, potentially scaling up to 7% to 9%. Despite restructuring bumps affecting profits, Intel is optimistic about enhancing its efficiency and competitiveness in the semiconductor market.
What is Earnings Call?
INTC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Intel Corp's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Intel Corp's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
INTC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Intel Corp's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Intel Corp's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
INTC Price Targets Summary
Intel Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for INTC is 25.94 USD with a low forecast of 20.2 USD and a high forecast of 61.46 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for INTC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
INTC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Intel Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies. The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California and currently employs 121,100 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Client Computing Group (CCG), Data Center Group (DCG), Internet of Things Group (IOTG), Mobileye, Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group (NSG) and Programmable Solutions Group (PSG). The CCG segment is focused on long-term operating system, system architecture, hardware, and application integration that enable PC experiences. The DCG segment develops workload-optimized platforms for compute, storage, and network functions. The IOTG segment develops high-performance compute platforms that solve the technology needs for business use cases that scale across vertical industries and embedded markets. The Mobileye segment provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions. The NSG segment provides memory and storage products based on Intel 3D NAND technology. The PSG segment offers programmable semiconductors, primarily FPGAs, structured ASICs, and related products.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one INTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 29.37 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 24.01 USD, Intel Corp is Undervalued by 18%.