IDEXX Laboratories Inc

NASDAQ:IDXX

Earnings Call Analysis

IDEXX Reports Solid Q3 Growth and Raised EPS Guidance

IDEXX Laboratories enjoyed an increase in organic revenue of 8% in Q3, backed by a 9% rise in its core CAG diagnostic recurring revenues despite some challenges including fewer selling days and a 2% decline in US clinical visits. The overall financial performance surpassed expectations, marked by meaningful operating profit and an 18% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) to $2.53. Boosted by these positive results, the company is now aligning its full-year EPS forecast towards the higher end of the previously stated range, showing confidence in continued strong operating margin performance. International operations also reported a robust 10.3% growth in recurring revenue, showcasing effective market execution and growth initiatives.

Steady Growth and Impressive Profit in Q3 2023

IDEXX Laboratories has concluded its third quarter of 2023 with a robust organic revenue growth of 8%, outperforming the expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $2.53, marking an 18% increase as reported. The company's financial strength was bolstered by high operational gains leading to strong profit margins and free cash flow of $238 million.

Revenue Forecasts Reflect Confidence Amid Market Trends

Looking ahead, IDEXX revises its 2023 revenue guidance to $3,635 million to $3,650 million, considering both the recent third-quarter outcomes and currency valuation changes. This update aligns with a projected 8.3% to 8.8% organic growth rate for the remaining fiscal year, underpinned by an expected 9.8% to 10.3% organic growth in the CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue.

IDEXX's Profit Outlook and Capital Management Strategies

IDEXX maintains the high end of its full-year EPS guidance, narrowing the range to $9.74 to $9.90 per share. Free cash flow is estimated to be strong, converting 85% to 90% of net income, supported by continued capital allocations to share repurchases. The company's balance sheet remains solid with modest leverage ratios, indicating conservative financial management practices.

Innovative Advances and Expansion Solidify Market Position

Significant technological advances are proving fruitful for IDEXX, especially with its software and diagnostic imaging segment that saw high-teen organic growth. A new reference laboratory in Perth and the introduction of novel veterinary diagnostic tools are enhancing the company's value proposition, ensuring it can keep up with burgeoning demand across a global veterinary dedicated network.

Optimistic Long-Term Growth Offset by Near-Term Clinic Challenges

While acknowledging challenges in clinic capacity and macro-environmental pressures, management remains confident in sustaining a long-term growth potential of 10%, citing their strong positioning and increased adoption of IDEXX technologies. Strategically navigating these constraints, IDEXX's long-term optimism is backed by expanded pet populations, favorable pet ownership demographics, and their innovation-led competitive edge.

Earnings Call Transcript 2023-Q3

[Operator]

Good morning, and welcome to the IDEXX Laboratories Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. Participating in the call this morning are Jay Mazelsky, President and Chief Executive Officer; Brian McKeon, Chief Financial Officer; and John Ravis, Vice President, Investor Relations.

IDEXX would like to preface the discussion today with a caution regarding forward-looking statements. Listeners are reminded that our discussion during the call will include forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed today.

Additional information regarding these risks and uncertainties is available under the forward-looking statements noticed in our press release issued this morning as well as in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be obtained from the SEC or by visiting the Investor Relations section of our website, idexx.com.

During this call, we will be discussing certain financial measures not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are provided in our earnings release, which may also be found by visiting the Investor Relations section of our website.

In reviewing our third quarter 2023 results, please note all references to growth, organic growth and comparable growth refer to growth compared to the equivalent period in 2022, unless otherwise noted. [Operator Instructions]. Today's prepared remarks will be posted through the Investor Relations section of idexx.com after the earnings conference call concludes.

I would now like to turn the call over to Brian McKeon.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

Good morning, and welcome to our third quarter earnings call. Today, I'll take you through our Q3 results and review our updated financial outlook for 2023. In terms of highlights, IDEXX achieved solid revenue growth and strong profit gains in the third quarter. Overall revenues increased 8% organically, supported by 9% organic growth in CAG Diagnostics recurring revenues, net of approximately 50 basis points of negative impact from pure equivalent selling days.

Organic revenue growth was supported by sustained benefits from IDEXX execution drivers, including continued strong premium instrument placements, solid new business gains, high levels of customer retention and high growth in recurring veterinary software revenues.

Overall CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue gains in the quarter were moderated by a 2% same-store decline in U.S. clinical visits. This was below our expectations for relatively flattening U.S. clinic visit trends, reflecting ongoing capacity management challenges at U.S. clinics and relatively softer wellness levels.

Operating profit results were ahead of our expectations, supported by gross margin gains and operating expense leverage, which enabled EPS delivery of $2.53 per share, up 18% as reported and 16% on a comparable basis. Based on our strong financial results in the quarter, we're updating our full year EPS outlook aligned with the higher end of our previous guidance range. This reflects expectations for strong comparable operating margin gains this year.

We're also updating our full year revenue guidance ranges to incorporate our Q3 results and recent sector trends as well as to reflect the recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar. We'll review our updated guidance detail later in my comments.

Let's begin with a review of our third quarter results. Third quarter organic revenue growth of 8% was driven by 8% organic CAG gains and 7% organic growth in our Water business. Overall organic revenue growth was moderated by 2% organic growth in our LPD business and approximately $3 million of headwind related to lower OPTI Medical revenues, including effects from the wind down of our human COVID testing business.

CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue increased 9% organically, reflecting 8.3% gains in the U.S. and 10.3% growth in international regions, net of a 0.5% global growth headwind from equivalent days effects. CAG Diagnostics organic recurring revenue growth in Q3 was supported by average global net price improvement of approximately 7%, in line with our expectations for 6% to 7% gains in the second half of this year.

Overall, organic revenue growth was supported by 13% organic growth in Veterinary Software and Diagnostic Imaging revenues driven by continued strong gains in Recurring Software revenues.

CAG instrument revenues were down 10% organically, reflecting comparisons to high prior year levels, program pricing effects and global mix. IDEXX CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue growth remained solidly above sector growth levels.

In the U.S., CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue organic growth was 8.3%, including approximately 50 basis points of negative impact from fewer selling days in Q3. This reflects an approximate 1,100 basis point normalized growth premium compared to same-store U.S. clinic visit growth levels, which declined an estimated 2% overall in the quarter.

IDEXX' growth results reflect continued increases in diagnostic frequency and utilization per clinical visit at the practice level and strong benefits from IDEXX execution drivers, including higher net price realization, solid new business gains and sustained high customer retention levels.

As noted, same-store U.S. clinic visit declines of 2% were below our expectations for relatively flat clinic visit growth in the second half of 2023. Softer trends in Q3 appear to have been impacted by ongoing capacity management challenges at U.S. clinics, including effects from high staff turnover.

We also saw a relative slowdown in wellness visits in the quarter, which may reflect some macro impacts on demand at the clinic level. We've refined our full year revenue outlook to capture potential impacts from these trends in Q4, while reinforcing our strong outlook for 2023 profit performance.

IDEXX International CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue growth was 10.3% in Q3, reflecting continued benefits from higher net price realization and improved volume gains. International results were also supported by strong IDEXX execution reflected in sustained new business gains and high Q3 premium instrument placements, which supported a double-digit expansion of our premium instrument installed base.

Double-digit growth rate benefits from IDEXX execution offset negative impacts from international macro conditions, which continue to pressure same-store volume growth trends in the quarter. Globally, Q3 results were supported by strong growth of IDEXX in-clinic CAG Diagnostics recurring revenues.

IDEXX VetLab consumable revenues increased 11% organically with double-digit gains in U.S. and international regions. Consumable gains were supported by 11% year-on-year growth in our global premium instrument installed base, reflecting strong gains across our catalysts, premium hematology and SediVue platforms.

We placed 4,571 CAG premium instruments in Q3, a decrease of 4% year-on-year compared to record prior year levels, which included benefits from our international launch of ProCyte One. The quality of the instrument placements continues to be excellent, reflected in solid global gains in EVI metrics and sustain high new and competitive catalyst placements in the U.S.

Global catalyst placements decreased 2% overall, reflecting tough comparisons to high prior year international placement levels. ProCyte One installed base expansion continued at a solid pace reflected in a global installed base of over 12,000 instruments.

Global Rapid Assay revenues expanded 8% organically in Q3, supported by strong growth in the U.S., including benefits from higher net price realization. Global Lab revenues increased 7% organically, reflecting high single-digit gains in the U.S. and relatively improved mid- to high single-digit growth in international regions.

In other areas of our CAG business, Veterinary Software and Diagnostic Imaging revenues increased 13% organically. Results were supported by continued high levels of organic growth in recurring Software and Diagnostic Imaging revenues and ongoing momentum in cloud-based software placements.

Water revenues increased 7% organically in Q3 compared to strong prior year growth levels. Growth was driven by continued solid gains in the U.S., including benefits from net price improvement. Our TECTA-PDS acquisition integration continues to progress well and added approximately 1% to reported Water growth.

Livestock, Poultry and Dairy revenues increased 2% organically as strong gains in the U.S. continue to be moderated by constraints on international growth, including impacts from lower herd health screening revenues related to reduced China import testing.

Turning to the P&L. Q3 profit results were supported by high comparable operating margin gains, including benefits from operating expense leverage. Gross profit increased 8% in the quarter as reported and on a comparable basis. Gross margins were 59.9%, up 30 basis points on a comparable basis compared to strong prior year levels.

Gross margin gains reflected benefits from higher net price realization, business mix and improvement in software service gross margins. As expected, reported gross margin gains were moderated by a 60 basis point negative impact related to FX driven by the lapping of prior year hedge gains. We're projecting an approximate 70 basis point gross margin headwind in Q4 related to FX, again, primarily related to the lapping of prior year hedge gains.

On a reported basis, operating expenses increased 4% year-on-year as reported and on a comparable basis, reflecting benefits from cost controls and lapping of prior year R&D and commercial investments. We're planning for a higher level of OpEx growth in Q4 as we advance our U.S. commercial expansion and increased R&D investments aligned with our innovation initiatives, including our planned 2024 new platform launch.

EPS was $2.53 per share in Q3, an increase of 18% as reported and 16% on a comparable basis. Foreign exchange reduced operating profits by $1 million and EPS by $0.01 per share in the quarter, including impacts from the lapping of $9 million in prior year hedge gains. Impacts from 2023 foreign exchange hedges resulted in a $1 million gain in the quarter.

Free cash flow was $238 million in the third quarter. On a trailing 12-month basis, our net income to free cash flow conversion ratio was 83%. For the full year, we're updating our outlook for free cash flow conversion to 85% to 90% of net income at the higher end of earlier projections, reflecting estimated capital spending of $160 million to $180 million.

Our balance sheet remains in a strong position. We ended the quarter with leverage ratios of 0.8x gross and 0.6x net of cash. Share repurchases over the last year supported a 0.1% reduction in diluted shares outstanding for the quarter. We allocated $35 million of capital on share repurchases in the third quarter as we continue to manage our balance sheet relatively more conservatively in the current interest rate environment.

Turning to our 2023 P&L guidance. We're updating our full year outlook to incorporate our Q3 results and revised estimates for foreign exchange impacts, reflecting the recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Our updated full year guidance for reported revenues is $3.635 billion to $3.650 billion reflecting a 7.9% to 8.4% reported growth range.

The updated reported revenue outlook includes a $20 million reduction for FX impacts compared to prior estimates. We now estimate FX will reduce fully reported growth by approximately 0.5% with limited year-on-year revenue growth effects in Q4. In terms of our operational revenue growth outlook, we're updating our full year organic growth guidance to 8.3% to 8.8% supported by an outlook for CAG Diagnostic recurring revenue organic growth of 9.8% to 10.3%. This aligns with the lower end of our most recent guidance ranges in the midpoint of our original guidance for 2023.

Our organic growth guidance assumes a level of continued pressure on U.S. same-store clinical visits and international same-store sales levels in Q4 reflecting ongoing clinic capacity management dynamics and macroeconomic impacts on demand. Consistent with earlier guidance, our outlook for CAG diagnostic recurring revenue growth reflects continued solid positive benefits from IDEXX execution drivers, including consistent expectations for 6% to 7% net price improvement in the second half of 2023.

In Q4, we expect global net price improvement within this range, with U.S. net price gains of approximately 6%, reflecting the lapping of prior year price increases. Our Q4 outlook also incorporates a 1% equivalent day volume growth headwind. We're maintaining the high end of our reported EPS outlook and narrowing the full year EPS guidance range to $9.74 to $9.90 per share, an increase of $0.05 per share at midpoint.

At midpoint, we're maintaining a consistent operational EPS outlook as revisions to our organic revenue growth range are offset by positive adjustments to our projections for operating margins, incorporating our strong year-to-date performance. We've increased the outlook for reported operating margins to 29.6% to 29.8% for the full year. This reflects an outlook for 360 to 380 basis points in comparable operating margin expansion including approximately 280 basis points in combined benefit from the $16 million Q1 customer contract resolution payment and the lapping of $80 million of discrete R&D investment in the second quarter of 2022.

Our updated full year EPS guidance incorporates $0.11 per share and positive revisions combined to our interest expense and tax rate outlook, including $0.04 in upside related to share-based compensation tax benefits. These gains are partially offset by $0.05 of negative impact from foreign exchange changes at updated rates.

We now estimate that foreign exchange impacts will decrease EPS by $0.25 per share for the full year and will reduce full year operating margins by approximately 70 basis points, including impacts to a lapping of $26 million in 2022 hedge gains.

We provided details on our updated 2023 outlook in the press release tables and earnings snapshots.

That concludes our financial review. I will now turn the call over to Jay for his comments.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Thank you, Brian, and good morning. IDEXX continued to make excellent progress in advancing our business strategy in Q3, while delivering solid organic revenue growth and strong financial performance. Our strategy of high-touch commercial engagement supported by relevant testing and workflow innovations drove continued adoption of IDEXX' world-class products and services.

IDEXX solutions support our customers' mission to deliver high standards of care, enabled through the continued expansion of diagnostics frequency and utilization at the practice level. Diagnostics revenue remains the fastest-growing area of veterinary clinic revenues, a durable trend since the determination of a patient's health status and the best treatment path very often requires testing. IDEXX' strong financial performance in Q3 was supported by solid gains in CAG Diagnostics recurring revenues across our major regions. The expansion of recurring revenues benefit from multiple IDEXX execution drivers including solid placements of premium instruments building off high prior year levels, sustained new business gains, net price realization and continued momentum in placements of cloud-based software solutions.

These gains are offsetting near-term headwinds in overall clinic visit levels globally, reflecting ongoing capacity management challenges in veterinary practices as well as impacts from macroeconomic dynamics. Productivity remains a top priority for veterinary clinics who continue to refine their business approach and make trade-offs necessary to balance staffing management challenges with strong demand for medical services.

IDEXX solutions anchored by our software-enabled multi-modality offering, give clinics the tools to address these dynamics. Today, I'll review how we're advancing our strategy focused on developing the significant long-term growth opportunity for our business while delivering strong financial performance.

I'll start with an update on our global commercial performance and how our focus on customer engagement supports the increase in adoption and utilization of diagnostics.

IDEXX commercial teams are highly engaged in a customer-centric model that supports both existing customers' [ use ] of diagnostics and expanding our customer base. Our commercial professionals delivered another excellent quarter of results in Q3. Solid CAG Diagnostics recurring revenue reflects benefits from our expanding loyal installed base and our veterinary partnership model to communicate the importance of diagnostics to clinicians.

It also reflects benefits from our focus on placing high-value analyzers at existing and competitive accounts in order to drive profitable future recurring revenues including 5% competitive catalyst placement growth in North America, which supported solid EVI growth.

Our continued progress on this front reflects a relentless focus on providing busy clinicians with the products, services and the support they need to serve the high demand for veterinary services and meet the expectations of pet owners who seek and increasingly demand no compromises in the care for their pets.

In addition to driving the core growth in medical services in the clinic, Diagnostics are also a key profit center, continued growth in both Diagnostics frequency and utilization per clinical visit was supported by gains in wellness testing per visit, building on substantial increases due to the pandemic. This demonstrates that veterinarians continue to incorporate and expand the use of diagnostics in their care protocols, while pet owners continue to show willingness to spend on their pets.

This focus supported solid 7% gains in same-store diagnostic revenue gain at the practice level, growth that is being achieved despite ongoing headwinds in clinical visit growth in a resource-constrained and challenging macro environment. This performance shows that pet owners continue to prioritize health care for their pets, which reinforces the resiliency of our sector. And IDEXX customers are growing even faster supported by our direct customer engagement model and superior integrated diagnostic solutions.

IDEXX' experienced sales professionals deep partnership with the veterinarians they serve supported sector diagnostics revenue growth that outpaced both practice revenue and clinical revenue growth by 200-plus basis points in Q3, building on our strong momentum in helping to advance pet health care through diagnostics testing.

Growing our commercial footprint in a disciplined way is a key element of our customer engagement strategy. As we shared at Investor Day, extensive practice data analysis shows that customers using our broader DX offering generate approximately 200 basis points higher practice clinical and diagnostics revenue growth, consistent with our execution trends. This benefits the patient, practice economics and by extension IDEXX.

Our U.S. commercial expansion is progressing to plan, and we expect to enter the new year with an expanded team in place. This is the first U.S. expansion in 4 years and many territories have appreciably increased in size since then. Increasing reach and engagement with clinics in our largest and most developed region prepares us well to support the growing portfolio of IDEXX Innovations. Outlined in the U.S., we remain focused on deploying our commercial playbook in countries across the world and are encouraged to report that third quarter international CAG Diagnostics recurring revenues benefited from another quarter of improving volume growth. Higher reached revenue metrics, strengthened relationships between IDEXX commercial professionals and in-region veterinarians. Our increased commercial presence as a result of 7 international commercial expansion since 2020 helped drive solid double-digit year-over-year gains in our international premium instrument installed base across platforms.

This includes record third quarter instrument placements in the Asia Pacific region, which helped drive 13% growth in our international installed base. This growth demonstrates that our highly capable sales teams have the right products at the right time and reinforce significant potential associated with the development of international regions.

These geographies represent an outsized portion of our long-term opportunity of over 200,000 incremental premium placements for existing instrument categories.

Turning to our innovation agenda. Software is a key pillar in our growth strategy in an area of important focus in the clinic, a trend that we are well positioned to facilitate and enable. Clinics are embracing software to improve efficiency in all aspects of their business from patient processing and billing to diagnostics interpretation and pet owner communication. Higher software adoption is driven by the desire to realize the benefits of modern technology and applications to address these significant workflow pain points.

It also positions practices to incorporate solutions that increase engagement with pet owners through scheduling and other tools that they use and rely on in other aspects of their lives. The multiplier benefit to our business from the adoption of IDEXX software is significant, reflected in third quarter growth in our Software and Diagnostics Imaging segment with high-teen organic gains in our highly profitable recurring annuity stream.

Excellent commercial execution and strong customer interest drove outstanding third quarter PIMS placements. Most notably, our cloud-based PIMS products represent 95% of total PIMS placements and as a result, now comprise over 50% of our PIMS installed base. This achievement reflects broad-based adoption of cloud-based products that reflects an inflection point in technology adoption while veterinarians earlier in their careers are more digitally native. Sales profiles indicate that customers of all career stages appreciate the workflow benefits and easy use of our wide-ranging software stack. The common denominator is that contemporary software solutions allow them to better focus on the delivery of care and minimize non-value-add administrative activities.

Our software product offering also includes an integrated diagnostics portal, VetConnect PLUS with IDEXX DecisionIQ that not only provides testing results, but also decision support, clinical insights and next step considerations across a growing range of clinical use cases.

IDEXX Software and Data Solutions situate us well to benefit from these trends as well as the accretion and operating margin drop-through associated with a revenue base that is increasingly recurring in nature. Our software innovation is deeply integrated with our diagnostics innovation approach as evidenced by our highly successful instrument platform strategy, enabled by cloud-based capabilities and connectivity that enhance practice insight and workflow. We're very excited about our continued progress in bringing transformative solutions to point of care, and we are on plan to announce our new platform at VMX in January.

Our product development efforts continue to advance aligned to our timing expectations and we're excited to share more details in just a few short months and how it will add to our over 200,000 placement opportunity estimate for existing instrument categories.

We also continue to advance our innovation engine in other areas like advanced test menu, innovation and assays that provide new clinical insights earlier in disease states is especially valued by veterinarians, since they drive higher standards of care aligned with the goal of improving health outcomes for their patients.

Earlier this year, we announced the launch of an important new testing assay, [indiscernible], that expands our industry-leading renal portfolio and will be available in early December, beginning with our North American lab network. This will be followed by international launches over the course of 2024. This novel marker uses IDEXX IP to help clinicians detect kidney injury earlier and more definitively and is receiving broad support from key opinion leaders, notably, a recent article in the journal of Internal Veterinary Medicine, coauthored by multiple Renal [ Interest ] Society members highlights the beneficial insights in distinguishing progressive from stable kidney disease by detecting active injury.

These clinical insights represent important medical contributions, and the test will be included in close to 2 million urine panels run at IDEXX Reference Labs in our first year post launch. Looking forward, we will announce an additional expansion to our reference lab testing menu in Q1.

In addition to these examples of product and service innovation, we continue to advance differentiated service delivery as a key element of our expansion strategy. We made a notable advancement in this area early in the third quarter when we opened our newest reference laboratory in Perth, Western Australia.

Perth is an economically vibrant city that is 5.5-hour flight from our Brisbane laboratory, including a 2-hour time difference, making it particularly difficult to service in the past. The addition of this new lab to our global network ensures customers will receive faster turnaround times for test results, enabling them to make timely and informed decisions for their patients' wellbeing.

IDEXX provides the only veterinary dedicated and accredited reference laboratory network in Australia and New Zealand. So bringing this location online is an important achievement as we strive to deliver sustainable long-term value. The expansion of our global reference lab footprint is just one way we're addressing the approximately 2/3 of our estimated TAM opportunity outside of the U.S., an area of focus.

With that, I'll now conclude the prepared remarks portion of the call. Before we move to Q&A, I want to take a moment to express our heartfelt sympathy for everyone affected by the events in Lewiston, Maine last week. We are deeply saddened by the senseless active violence impacting our communities, keeping our colleagues safe, supporting each other and providing health and well-being support as a top priority during this difficult time.

I also want to thank law enforcement and public safety personnel who are working tirelessly to keep our community safe and medical teams have continued to aid all who have been impacted.

Now let's open the line for Q&A.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] We'll move first to Michael Ryskin of Bank of America.

[Michael Ryskin, analyst]

First, I want to talk about the broader market. I mean, as you -- that visit trends, as you've said, the pressures remain, I saw some of the numbers in a snapshot, relatively consistent with what we expected from third-party data. So not a huge surprise there, but I think it's safe to say that it's lasting a lot longer than anyone had expected going into the year.

If this continues without any significant improvement, how does this impact your long-term model and longer-term expectations for the business? I might put it another way, you're targeting 8.5% organic growth this year, well below your 10% long-term target, and that's despite taking 7% to 8% price. So if pricing power is not there or not there to the same extent and volumes don't recover, I mean, what other levers do you have to offset that?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. Mike, this is Jay. Just a couple of things, maybe at a higher level, and I'll turn it over to Brian to talk about some of the specifics related to the model. Keep in mind the backdrop of the sector is very positive. It's just been an expanded PEP population. I think the human health and pet [indiscernible] has very, very strong our execution drivers as a company, the things that we could directly influence have been very strong. We've seen that in instrument placements and PIMS placements at net retention, pricing realization.

So all those things, I think, are very good. We think there's been very good end customer demand as we cited there are some constraints related to the practice capacity and some challenges there. I think the good news on that front is the practices have hired. There may be some additional churn that they're working through, but they're investing heavily in technology. We see that with the use of our lab equipment, both in clinic as well as reference labs. And obviously, the appetite for software and applications that help them with optimized workflow has continued to grow.

And then overall, our competitive position is very strong. And we think as a result of our innovation pipeline will continue to be strong and offer some differentiated advantages. So I think from an industry standpoint, it's a very positive story. I think we're well positioned to capitalize on those trends and the practice has just continued to work through some of the constraints we cited.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

Yes, Mike, just to reinforce Jay's point, I think our long-term 10% growth potential, the key drivers that we look towards, we see a lot of positive factors sustaining in terms of our competitive positioning, expansion of diagnostics frequency and utilization, the adoption of IDEXX Technologies, the long-term demand dynamics that we see associated with the expanded pet population and favorable demographics in terms of pet ownership.

So all of those factors are positive. I think the thing that we're working through is a combination of near-term capacity management challenges at the clinics. And I think that's something we're assisting with and believe we'll have solutions to help with that over time, but that is something that is -- has continued, and I think is a factor impacting near-term growth as well as some of the near-term macro impacts. So I think as we've stated many times in the past, we're a business that's very resilient but not immune to those types of impacts, and that's something that I think is also impacting our near-term growth at the margin, but we don't see that either of those factors as being long-term constraints to the growth potential for the company. And I think from a competitive positioning point of view, we're in a strong position as we've ever been in terms of our ability to support the continued expansion of the sector [indiscernible].

[Michael Ryskin, analyst]

Okay. All right. And maybe I'll use my follow-up to just be a little bit more direct then on '24. I know you're not guiding for '24. I'm not asking for '24 guide, but just looking at where consensus is right now, it is still at that roughly 10% number just given what we see about market conditions as we sit today, I mean, in November, we've already got a pretty good sense of where they are. Do you think that there's a risk that '24-2024 is also below that long-term trend line long-term model?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

We're not going to be guiding obviously today, but I think we've got a number of positive factors that we see heading into next year in terms of our execution, the competitive position that I noted, the innovation pipeline that we're looking forward to sharing more on as we move forward. And I think those are all things that will be leaning on to continue delivering solid growth and continued delivering strong financial performance, which I think we're demonstrating our ability to do this year. So we'll share more on that front as we get into next year. We're focusing on the drivers that we have a direct impact on, and we feel very good about our execution on that front.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from Nathan Rich with Goldman Sachs.

[Nathan Rich, analyst]

Good morning. Can you hear me?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

We do.

[Nathan Rich, analyst]

Just wanted to ask about the U.S. CAG Diagnostic recurring performance in the third quarter. And maybe just if you could go into a little bit more detail on how that played out relative to expectations. Obviously, traffic decelerated during the quarter. But from a diagnostic volume standpoint, I'd wonder if you could maybe -- was there anything from a category standpoint that was more challenging than you had expected?

And I'll stop there and then maybe ask my follow-up next.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

Yes. The performance in the quarter just to reinforce some of the metrics I shared and then Jay can expand on this was our execution dimensions were very much in line with what we expected. The difference here was where planning for flattening clinical visit trends and they were down 2% in the quarter. We did see some softening through the quarter and it was relatively more on the wellness side.

So I think that, that's a smaller part of the overall testing volume, but that is something that we did see relative impact. So that was -- it was the visit trend that was different than we had been planning for or hoping for. And the execution metrics held up well and that enabled us to deliver solid growth on -- in terms of the CAG Dx recurring revenues.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. A couple of additional comments for [indiscernible]. We always start with the end customer demand. and from what we've seen in talking with our customers, there's good end-market demand. Certainly, pet owners continue to prioritize and against all other spending categories. They are bringing their pets to the veterinarian and making sure that they get the care that they need.

The other piece that we've been spending time looking at is just overall employment levels within the practice. And we think that, that has increased, and that's in a good position. We don't necessarily have insights in terms of how many hours they may be working. But in terms of just availability of staff within practices, we think that's a reasonably good shape. We have done some qualitative surveying. There is some additional churn within practices as staff goes from practice to practice that is obviously something that will work its way through the system.

Just picking up what Brian mentioned against the non-wellness or sick patient visits versus the wellness visits, the diagnostics usage on the non-wellness side is higher. It's much higher, 7% to 8% or so. I think we back that out as part of the Investor Day. And so that's, I think, an important tailwind for the business.

The other thing that I would point out is the relative frequency and utilization of diagnostics continues to grow within the practice. We've seen that in the U.S. We think that's a very positive trend. Obviously, veterinarians see the importance of core medical services and to be able to treat a patient. They very often have to first test. So it's great to see that those trends have held up and continue to grow, and we think that's a strong positive.

[Nathan Rich, analyst]

And if I could just ask on margins. I guess if you see sort of the visit pressure persists, just the ability to kind of grow margins in line with the kind of 50 to 100 basis point kind of constant currency range into next year. If you do see an overall kind of softer top line environment, just I'm curious on kind of how much kind of leverage, how much of the margin expansion is dependent on that top line growth?

[Brian McKeon, executive]

I think we've been consistently demonstrating our ability to perform well on that front and despite some of the headwinds that we've seen this year. So I think our updated outlook for margins, if you take out the -- if you normalize for the customer credit that we've highlighted as well as the lapping of R&D and foreign exchange, we're most recent guidance is to be 80 to 100 bps above prior year, and that's despite some of the headwinds that we've seen this year.

So we've consistently demonstrated the ability to leverage the business model, which we have a number of favorable dynamics that support that. We highlighted the strong growth in the software business. That's a positive driver for us as we grow. And I think we've got investments that we can leverage, and we've got new innovation coming to market.

So a number of factors that I think will help us and position us well to keep building on that strong margin delivery trend.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] We will move next to Erin Wright with Morgan Stanley.

[Erin Wilson Wright, analyst]

Has there been any early testing on the new platform you plan to launch at VMX? And if so, like what's the initial feedback? And -- and on the second platform technology, is that on track as we will both roll out in 2024? Or will both have material contributions in 2024?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. Not going talk about the new platform rather than just to reiterate, we're looking forward. It's just a couple of months away from VMX, and we can talk more about that. More generally speaking, the way the new product development process works is you develop prototypes, you put in the hands of customers. They provide feedback and it goes through an additive process, you get ready to go to marketplace. So we're excited. We think it's a platform that will make -- we'll have the right clinical and business contribution, but we really can't go into additional details beyond that.

[Erin Wilson Wright, analyst]

Okay. And thinking about -- and this is kind of a broader question, just thinking about the competitive landscape. And you have this unique positioning now be less encumbered than your closest peers in both point-of-care and reference lab, particularly in the U.S. I guess, can you talk a little bit more about your ability to take share? Could this accelerate, particularly with also your new innovation. But with any disruption associated with the other models of your peers? And how are you capitalizing on this now and how are you taking advantage of maybe the competitive landscape where it stands today?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. So a couple of maybe high-level points, and then I'll get more specific. The -- our strategic and innovation approach is really to bring an integrated solution set to the marketplace. So that's in clinic as well as reference lab and the connectivity and workflow optimization provided by our software suite, we think is highly differentiated. It supports what the practices are trying to accomplish in terms of improved standards of care, optimization, staff productivity, client communications, all of those important things. And we continue to innovate through menu expansion and then more specifically, new platforms.

And new platforms, it's an important component of our business model in terms of really being able to give our customers, reference lab quality testing capability within the practice. We place it -- we tend to place these through marketing programs, IDEXX 360 being the primary one, customers are able to get that placement and then use reference labs or rapid assay or our Software-as-a-Service based PIMS systems as part of a dollar volume commitment. So it's a significant multiplier impact when you come out with new innovations.

We just continue to build it through a technology for life philosophy. So we have existing platforms on the marketplace. We will continue to innovate with new slides, for example, in chemistry or lots and lots of other examples, we call antigen within the reference labs, so it becomes more valuable clinically over time if customers use more of it, as they grow [ weaker ].

[Operator]

We'll move next to Chris Schott with JPMorgan.

[Christopher Schott, analyst]

Just two questions for me. I guess just coming back to the dynamics with the visit trends that we're seeing versus your expectations, is it possible to tease out how much of what you're seeing right now is macro versus how much is capacity? So I'm trying to get my hands around, is this a situation where we're now seeing some macro pressures and capacity just isn't getting better relative to where maybe you stood at mid-year or are we also seeing some setbacks on the vet capacity side as well as we think about the updated guidance? And then I just have one follow-up from there.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

We think it's primarily capacity continues to be capacity. I think practices are definitely working through that. We've seen a number of things that practices have done. And it takes time. I mean they're making investments. I think they're investing in their staff as well as technology they've hired. They're also just trying to balance the work-life balance of their teams so that they don't lose folks and make sure that it could be stabilized. So I think that's important.

We do think at the margin, there could be some macro impacts that we've seen in wellness. And I would just also point out that the wellness piece is a relatively lower use intensity-wise of Diagnostics. 70% of Diagnostics -- 70-plus percent of Diagnostics are consumed through non-wellness or the sick patient visits.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

And Chris, just -- it's a great question. I think we've always said that the in terms of macro, we might see it is on the wellness side, where that may be more of a discretionary choice for the pet owner. Interestingly, well, the visits were down in wellness in the quarter, frequency and utilization of diagnostics per wellness visit was up, actually stronger than non-wellness. So for the pet owners that are able to come in and get their pets in, they're actually doing more diagnostic testing. But overall, we saw lower levels of wellness visits.

So it's -- it does get probably commingled into some of the dynamics that are going on with capacity management. And there may be a level of impact there. We have seen that in international markets that we've been highlighting as we go. And so it's something that we're paying attention for. We're planning appropriately for. But I think it's -- as Jay pointed out, I think we think this is -- continues to be more of an impact from ongoing ability of the practices to staff and be able to manage the demand that they're facing.

[Christopher Schott, analyst]

Okay. Great. And just a second question was just -- I think you mentioned a little bit about U.S. versus international. Can you just kind of bigger picture, are you seeing noticeable differences in terms of what's happening in the U.S. versus some of your international markets? And just as part of that, is this guidance update kind of assuming a global impact in terms of visit slowdowns? Or is this skewing more U.S. versus international?

[Brian McKeon, executive]

We definitely saw more of an impact internationally for macro pressures really starting at the end of 2021. And I would say that, that has normalized over time and is now relatively more in line with the U.S. trends. We've done quite well internationally. We're doing -- benefiting from our premium instrument installed base expansion, so that really helps our growth rate.

And we highlighted this quarter, we've seen actually for a few quarters now relative improvement in the volume trends. So I think the -- it's more in line, I think, with what we're seeing sort of some of the U.S. pressures more recently, and it does seem to be normalizing and relatively improving. You can see that in some of the international metrics, things like our reference lab growth was improved in Q3. So that's a positive trend. And we're just being realistic about the macro backdrop that we're facing and planning appropriately.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

And keep in mind, the international sectors, just a bit different in terms of its overall characteristics. It tends to be more of a sick patient or rollout testing approach from a veterinary practice standpoint. So the -- obviously, that's an area of richer diagnostics usage. It's an area less sensitive to some of the discretionary spend that you may see in a difficult macro environment.

So as Brian said, we're happy with our progress. It continues to improve. We think that the team is executing extremely well and the opportunity over time is very substantial.

[Operator]

We'll go next to Jon Block with Stifel.

[Jonathan Block, analyst]

Brian, maybe just to start with you. The 3Q 23 sales and marketing expense was down roughly 3% to 4% Q-over-Q. I've got it usually like flat to slightly up 2Q to 3Q. And this year's decline was despite ongoing increases that you guys have called out on the commercial investment. So I don't know, I'm guessing FX may have played a little bit of a role Q-over-Q this year in 2023. But anything to highlight on what causes you were able to take out in the S&M side that drove the sequential decline, what you were able to do or lean on even in light of the commercial investments that seem to be ongoing through the end of the year.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

Yes, Jon, it's personally a lapping dynamic. We -- last year, in Q3 had some relatively higher sales and beating costs. Specifically, there were some discrete costs on both the sales and marketing and the R&D side that we're lapping. And so it -- as I noted in our outlook, we're expecting a relatively higher level of OpEx growth in Q4. So it's more related to this year-on-year specific factor dynamic.

[Jonathan Block, analyst]

Okay. Sorry. Just my question was sequentially, not year-over-year. So my apologies, the 2Q to 3Q was down 3% to 4%. And it's usually up 1%. You're making commercial investments. I guess what I'm trying to get at a little bit is like managing the bottom line in the near term and getting to the EPS or [ exceeding ] the EPS number. Were there anything in sales and marketing that you scaled back on in light of the lighter revenue number? Again, Q-over-Q.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

No, you have -- there's typically some variation in cost quarter-to-quarter that are unrelated to things like staffing. So we haven't scaled back on anything.

[Jonathan Block, analyst]

Okay. And then maybe just to shift to your second question, I'm going to show my age and flash back to SediVue. Initially, you guys expected -- I think it was 3,000 to 6,000 in consumable revenue per box on SediVue. I get a couple of quarters in that forecast came down to 3,000 to 4,500 on -- maybe you can just talk about how that eventually shook out as that product cycle matured? And then any comments on the IDEXX in view trademark, which hit last week, it seems like to us, that's probably the VMX analyzer and then how to think about the revs per box on the new system.

[Brian McKeon, executive]

So on SediVue, if I got your question right, the utilization per placement played out actually quite very much in line with what we expected. So I think we haven't updated that for a bit. But I think that, that was tracked consistently in line with our original estimates and sustained over time. So I think that, that has been on track to our estimates.

And it's premature for us to get into the specifics on the new instrument launch. We look forward to sharing more on that next year, just reinforce these -- as you know, these types of platforms build over time. Really, the biggest effects from them are that they opened the door for conversation with veterinarians to talk about IDEXX technology and innovations and adopt them in their practice. And so we're very excited about moving on the momentum we had from ProCyte One to continue those dialogues and deepen our relationships with our customers, help them grow faster, and we'll share more on the specifics related to new innovations as we get into next year.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. John, the other thing that I would add to that is I think we shared some data through when Mike Ericsson presented on the evolution of menu and how that impacts the overall economic value over time. And our technology for life approach where we come to the -- we come out to the marketplace. We introduced product. Obviously, the installed base grows over time. But as we continue to add menu and improve that, more revenue, more economics are generated, and we've been able to demonstrate that through all our platforms, including the reference labs.

[Operator]

And we'll move next to [ Brandon Basquet ] with William Blair.

[Unknown Analyst]

I first wanted to just follow up, maybe ask on some of the headwinds in the quarter slightly different. There's wellness and there's a little bit of labor. The question I want to ask is, are those getting -- are they deteriorating? Are those headwinds increasing as we go into the end of the year? I guess I'm trying to ask for a little clarification, are things stable, maybe just not improving as much as we thought or are we going into year-end with those 2 dynamics kind of worsening a little bit?

[Brian McKeon, executive]

I think the key change here relative to what we expected to happen in the quarter was we were looking for flattening visit trends in the U.S., and they came in at minus 2%. So if you go fundamentally what's different than what we expected, that's it. I think our execution was strong and all those dimensions going to play out the way that we had hoped.

The U.S. clinical visit trends were minus 1% in Q2 and minus 2% in Q3 on a 2-year basis, they're pretty similar. I think it's -- we did see some relative softening through the quarter, some relatively weaker wellness clinical visit trends more at the margin. I think the bigger story here was had hoped that we had worked through the pullback effects on capacity, and we see some normalization there. And I think we're still working through some of the management dynamics.

So that is very much reflected in our balance year outlook. I think we've calibrated for that appropriately while we're reinforcing our profit delivery. So able to manage that well and teams are executing very well, and again, excited about a number of the things that we've got going into next year and relative to our positioning as a company and new innovation we're bringing to market. And look forward to continue delivering solid growth in that context.

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

Yes. And keep in mind, the expanded Pet population has been very, very substantial. So we know that the end customer demand is there. There's a lot of interest. I think that to Brian's point, as we work through that capacity at the clinic level, there's unmet unserved demand out there.

[Unknown Analyst]

Okay. Great. And maybe as a follow-up, you guys are expanding the U.S. sales force now that seems on track as we go into '24. Can you just talk about expectations? How long does it take to get those new reps trained? You'll probably also have a new innovative product for them next year in the system. So what's the time line to kind of start seeing leverage both sales and kind of margin benefits from the expanded sales force?

[Jay Mazelsky, executive]

This is something that we've been doing for a long time. I think we have a very successful formula in terms of how we expand the overall commercial ecosystem and footprint. In North America, it tends to be a relatively short time to ramp. We have, I think, their effective training approach. And when we bring new folks into the system, they're well trained, and they really come up to speed within quarters.

Now they continue to become more productive over time, but they get a lot of support through professional service vets and the field service representatives, the entire ecosystem is there to support them.

Okay. Thank you for your questions. We'll now conclude our Q&A portion of this morning's call. Before we end today's call, I'd like to extend my thanks to the nearly 11,000 IDEXX colleagues for delivering another quarter of strong execution against our organic growth strategy.

Our sector remains very dynamic and your steadfast commitment to providing a better future for animals, people on our planet has helped us maintain momentum and deliver strong results. Not only have you delivered the day in the third quarter, but your efforts position us well to continue to develop our sector and support our customers well into the future. So on behalf of the management team, thank you for your continued focus on enhancing the health and well-being pets, people and livestock. So now we'll conclude the call. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's call. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.