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Intchains Group Ltd
NASDAQ:ICG

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Intchains Group Ltd
NASDAQ:ICG
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Price: 3.972 USD -0.95% Market Closed
Market Cap: 238.4m USD
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 12, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one ICG stock is 2.331 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.972 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

ICG DCF Value
Base Case
2.331 USD
Overvaluation 41%
DCF Value
Price
I
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
2.331
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 2.331 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 60.6m CNY. The present value of the terminal value is 239.7m CNY. The total present value equals 300.3m CNY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 300.3m CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 694.8m CNY
+ Investments 14.2m CNY
Firm Value 1B CNY
Equity Value 1B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 60m
Value per Share 16.818 CNY
CNY / USD Exchange Rate 0.1386
ICG DCF Value 2.331 USD
Overvalued by 41%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
50.9m 143.8m
Operating Income
15.7m 80.4m
FCFF
-4.7m 25.1m

See Also

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What is the DCF value of one ICG stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one ICG stock is 2.331 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.972 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 41%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Intchains Group Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 300.3m CNY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 2.331 USD per share.

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