Interactive Brokers Group Inc
NASDAQ:IBKR

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Interactive Brokers Group Inc
NASDAQ:IBKR
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Market Cap: 74.9B USD
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q3-2023 Analysis
Interactive Brokers Group Inc

Robust Account Growth and Record Revenues Amidst Market Downturn

Despite a downturn across markets, resulting in lower trading volumes and Daily Average Revenue Trades (DARTs), the company saw its account growth surge by 21%, and client equity increase by 29%. Net interest income and total adjusted net revenues both hit record highs, surpassing $1 billion for the third consecutive quarter. Commission revenue saw a moderate increase, backed by high option volumes. The geopolitical landscape and upcoming US election have pushed investors toward more stable investments, like U.S. treasuries, and maintained interest in the 'Magnificent Seven' top stock holdings. The company adjusted its long-term account growth estimate from 30% to the low 20% area. Expenses such as Compensation & Benefits climbed by 14% due to headcount growth and inflation, yet the adjusted pretax margin improved to 73%. Assets reached $121 billion, fueled by margin and securities lending, maintaining a strong, liquid balance sheet with no long-term debt.

Company Performance and Management Insights

Led by CEO Milan Galik, the company presented robust results with a strong customer base, low costs, competitive interest rates, and effective risk and operating expense controls, affording it a strong performance in a complex market environment.

Account Growth and Equity Increases

A significant 21% growth in customer accounts displayed the company's capability to attract new business steadily. Simultaneously, client equity saw an impressive surge of 29%, underscoring both the trust in the company's services and a rise in customer financial strength.

Bond Trading and Interest Rates

Activity on the government and corporate bond platform significantly rose, demonstrating a shift in investor behavior potentially in response to inflationary pressures that are not predicted to subside notably. The focus on stable investments like US Treasuries also increased.

Advertising Efforts and Customer Cash

The company has honed its advertising approach through an automated system designed to optimize spending based on the yield from each advertising channel. Despite promotional efforts emphasizing a 4.83% return on cash, customer cash reserves only increased by a modest 2% compared to the prior year.

Product Enhancements and Expansions

The company launched noteworthy products and features, including fractional shares trading, a Securities Lending dashboard, an advanced IBKR Desktop trading platform, a financial literacy podcast, and long-term investment accounts in Hungary, reflecting its commitment to innovation and customer empowerment.

Revenue Highlights and Customer Loan Interest

Net revenue exceeded $1.1 billion, commission revenue increased by 4% to $333 million, even with the broader market experiencing declines in equities volume. Net interest income reached a record $733 million, driven by robust growth in segregated cash interest and margin loan interest, which nearly doubled compared to the previous year despite only a slight increase in margin loan balances.

Income, Tax, and Profit Margins

Other income reached $27 million, with adjusted figures accounting for $20 million in the quarter. Gross Transactional Profit margin was a substantial 77%, attributable to an efficient cost structure, where Execution & Clearing costs represented 23% of commission revenue. Adjusted pretax margin increased to 73%, while income tax expenses totaled $68 million.

Financial Assets and Contract Volumes

Total assets amassed by the company were a substantial $121 billion, largely fueled by growth in margin lending and securities lending sectors. Options contracts reached an all-time high for the quarter, up 18% from the previous year.

Strategic Assessment and Dividend Policy

The company undertook strategic assessments of potential opportunities; however, it has chosen not to pursue acquisitions that did not align with its valuation criteria or other objectives. Furthermore, the company remained steadfast in its decision not to increase dividends, preferring to bolster its financial reserves for client security and attracting larger investors.

Cost Management and European Operations

Focused on cost efficiency, the company realized a reduction in employee compensation and benefits and is in the process of consolidating European operations. This consolidation is expected to result in a $7 million annual cost-saving benefit following an initial restructuring charge.

Outlook on Market Innovations

European exchanges are seen as catching up with the United States by listing zero-day and five-day options, anticipating a potential increase in trading volumes in Europe, albeit from a currently very small base compared to total global volumes.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

from 0
Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Interactive Brokers Group Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would like to advise that today's conference call is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker for today, Nancy Stuebe. Please go ahead.

N
Nancy Stuebe
executive

Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Once again, Thomas is on the call, but asked me to present his comments on the business. Also joining us today are Milan Galik, our CEO; and Paul Brody, our CFO. After prepared remarks, we will have a Q&A.

As a reminder, today's call may include forward-looking statements, which represent the company's belief regarding future events, which, by their nature, are not certain and are outside of the company's control. Our actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from what is indicated in these forward-looking statements.

We ask that you refer to the disclaimers in our press release. You should also review a description of risk factors contained in our financial reports filed with the SEC.

Our robust operating metrics once again translated into strong financial results this quarter. Our account growth remained strong at 21%, while our client equity was up 29%. Net interest income reached a record as did our total adjusted net revenues, which were over $1 billion for the third consecutive quarter.

On the other hand, markets were down in nearly every country in the quarter and trading volumes dropped. Low market volatility, customers moving to higher price stocks of companies with greater capitalization and overwhelming competitive strengths and a geopolitical environment that is increasingly uncertain, all led to lower DARTs.

This meant that while we were able to increase our commission revenue slightly, reaching its fourth highest level in our history, it is still the case that investors are holding on to the same 7 equities and not trading others actively. However, options volumes continue to be strong and option commissions were up the most this quarter, then came futures, while stock commission revenue dropped. As I've said previously, I do not expect the situation to reverse.

There are several competing crosscurrents in the markets. If you are a long-term investor, I'm looking 10 years out, what you want most is stability and not to lose a lot of money. You want to put your assets in a politically, currency and inflation-wise, stable place. While historically, that has been the U.S. The U.S. will look less stable politically as the election approaches, and inflation will look worse because of wage increases and union issues as well as the increasing cost of carrying U.S. government debt.

As a parent U.S. political stability weakens, people are less likely to invest in equities. On the other hand, there is the tax liability for U.S. taxpayers on substantially appreciated stock prices, should that gain be realized. This background explains what we have been seeing lately in the markets.

Our customers' top stock holdings, the Magnificent Seven, haven't changed much, but corresponding options activity has increased. In addition, we are seeing more and more investors getting into U.S. treasuries. Generally, activity on our government and corporate bond platform has picked up appreciably.

We do not see inflation coming down substantially and still see interest rates staying at elevated levels for a long time, which will in turn increase spending to pay the interest on this debt, adding to inflationary pressures. It remains the case that investors globally are looking to the markets to stay ahead of inflation and uncertainty. More people want to invest in securities markets, hold their choice of currency in their accounts and gain exposure to different countries, particularly the U.S. as a way to build wealth and security.

We continue to advertise and closely watch which outlets work the best for us. We have built an automated advertising system where we measure the yield and use an algorithm to adjust spending on each channel where we advertise. Telling everyone about our 4.83% return on immediately available qualified cash may have prevented withdrawals but it barely help to increase customer cash, which grew only by a little more than 2% from the prior year.

In terms of our client segments, our strongest ones for account growth have been individuals and proprietary traders, which have also shown the strongest growth in 12-month commission revenue. While financial advisers, individuals and introducing brokers have seen the strongest growth in net interest income.

Geographically, Europe has seen the fastest account growth followed by Asia, then the Americas.

I would like to talk about our introducing broker segment. I spoke of 2 large accounts coming. I regret that now because the timing of these accounts is out of our control and with the larger of the 2, it is difficult to put an exact time on it. But we have so much else going on that I feel it is a disservice to focus only on when, when, when for this 1 client when we have so many other promising items lined up.

First, the smaller of the 2 IBrokers successfully began onboarding the are approximately 52,000 accounts. So far, more than half of them are with us, and we expect the bulk of the rest by the end of the year. Next, a couple of other introducing brokers are joining us. All this is to say when that other IBroker starts to onboard, I will let you know. Until then, I cannot put a date on it. I've been wrong on the date for a while now, so it is unclear to me what you would want me to keep giving one.

But unfortunately, it is not only the date I have been wrong on. I've also misestimated the size of these operations. They now both appear to be smaller than I originally expected. And accordingly, I need to reduce my estimate of long-term account growth from 30% to below 20% area.

On the hedge fund side, the most recent Preqin statistics show us moving into the #5 position in terms of number of hedge funds for which we serve as prime broker. We were once again the fastest-growing of the top prime brokers this year. We plan to be #4 next year behind only Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan.

Our developers have been extremely busy with new products and's tools and have a full plate for the remainder of the year. This quarter, we introduced fractional shares trading for Canadian stocks and ETFs, launched a securities lending dashboard for a more sophisticated clients to be able to assess short-selling activity for specific securities and inform their decision-making, introduce the next-generation IBKR desktop trading platform, launched the Discover tool to help clients find opportunities based on their own customized settings and trading preferences, started our Cents of Security podcast, designed to help improve financial literacy for newer investors, and introduce long-term investment accounts in Hungary.

We remain very optimistic about what our business model international market access, a strong and secure balance sheet and multiple features and tools, all at low prices with high interest paid on cash balances, offers to clients and potential clients around the world.

In an increasingly uncertain world, the greater degrees of freedom our clients have to manage their portfolios as they wish, the better their ability to educate themselves as events change and economies increasingly fluctuate and diverge, the better off they will be.

With that, I will turn the call over to our CFO, Paul Brody, who will go through the numbers for the quarter. Paul?

P
Paul Brody
executive

Thank you, Nancy. Welcome, everyone, to the call. As usual, starting with our revenue items on Page 3 of the release. We followed on our strong first and second quarter performances with net revenues reaching over $1.1 billion. With ongoing customer account and balance sheet growth, we continue to build a strong base for revenue growth in the future.

Commissions were $333 million, up 4% from the year ago quarter, despite industry-wide declines in equities volume. Our options volumes, in particular, came in at a quarterly high, doubling the pace of industry volume growth. Stock share volumes declined from last year's quarter, once again driven by a drop in trading of lower-priced stocks, but also reflective of lower industry volumes.

Net interest income was a quarterly record $733 million, reflecting higher interest and margin loans and segregated cash. These gains were partially offset by the higher interest we paid on customer credit balances as our long-standing policy is to pass through rate hikes above 50 basis points to our customers on their qualified funds.

Other fees and services generated $52 million with the biggest contributors being market data fee revenue of $17 million, risk exposure fee revenue of $13 million and options exchange liquidity payments of $8 million. The $8 million overall increase in risk exposure fees from the prior year quarter was driven by more risk on positioning of customers.

Other income was $27 million, and includes gains and losses on our investments, our currency diversification strategy and principal transactions. Note that many of these noncore items are excluded in our adjusted earnings. And without these excluded items, other income was $20 million for the quarter.

Turning to expenses. Execution, clearing and distribution costs rose 14% versus last year, led by higher volumes and options, which carry higher fees than equities. We measure the profitability of our commissions by looking at gross transactional profit, which is commission revenue less action and clearing costs. This measure excludes market data expense, which is a pass-through.

In the third quarter, execution and clearing costs were 23% of commission revenue for a gross transactional profit margin of 77%.

Compensation and benefits expense rose 14% over the prior year quarter on a combination of a 5% increase in average head count and also on inflation. Compensation and benefits expense was 11% of our adjusted net revenues versus 13% last year and below its historical level. Our head count at quarter end was 2,927.

G&A expenses returned to a more typical level this quarter after we recorded a reserve in the second quarter for regulatory matters, which have since been settled. Versus the prior year quarter, increases were related to advertising and legal expenses, partially offset by a reduction in consulting fees. Our adjusted pretax margin was 73%, up from 68% in the year ago quarter.

Income tax expense of $68 million reflects the sum of the public company's $36 million and the operating company is $32 million.

Moving to our balance sheet on Page 5 of the release. Our total assets were $121 billion at the end of the quarter, with growth over last year driven primarily by increases in our margin lending and securities lending businesses. We maintain a balance sheet aimed at supporting our growing businesses and providing ample financial resources during volatile markets. with maximum flexibility and short-term liquidity. We have no long-term debt and the duration of our U.S. investment portfolio at September 30, was 26 days.

In our operating data on Pages 6 and 7, our contract volumes for all customers were strong, with options reaching their highest quarterly level, up 18% from a year ago. Futures contract volumes were down slightly, in line with industry volumes. And in stocks, the drop-off of 22% was largely attributable to investors moving to higher quality stocks as trading in pink sheet and other very low-priced stocks declined the most.

On Page 7, you can see that our account growth remains robust with over 140,000 net account adds in the quarter and total accounts of $2.4 million, up 21% over the prior year.

Total customer DARTs were 1.9 million trades per day, down slightly from the prior year quarter.

Our cleared IBKR Pro customers paid an average of $3.11 commission per cleared commissionable order, up 5% from last year, as our clients' volume mix included higher per order contributions from options and futures.

Page 8 presents our net interest margin numbers. Total GAAP net interest income rose 55% to $733 million from the year ago quarter, reflecting stronger earnings on segregated cash and margin loans, partially offset by higher interest expense and customer cash balances.

With 1 more 25 basis point hike in the latest quarter, the average federal funds rate was over 300 basis points higher this year than last. Many other central banks also raised this quarter. This group includes the U.K., Canada, Hong Kong and the Euro zone.

Net interest earned on segregated cash was $728 million, up $500 million from last year, primarily from global rate hikes. Maintaining a short duration on our invested funds continue to allow us to closely match asset and liability maturities and pick up benchmark rate increases quickly.

As I said, at September 30, our U.S. portfolio duration was 26 days, so the investments have rolled over into new higher rates with a fairly short lag time. A 5% increase over the year ago quarter and average segregated cash and securities balances also helped drive interest income higher.

Margin loan interest rose to $623 million, nearly doubling the prior year quarter despite average margin loan balances rising only slightly. Higher rates in the U.S. and internationally have driven higher margin interest income. Securities lending net interest was $66 million, down from the year ago quarter due both to lighter overall demand for so-called hard-to-borrow stock. And to a rate dynamic we have noticed previously, namely, as benchmark rates rise, the greater portion of the revenue generated by lending securities, for which we received cash collateral that we invest as segregated funds is categorized as interest on segregated cash.

We estimate this impact to be about $28 million for the quarter versus last year. In other words, without the shift in reporting line item, net interest from securities lending would have been $94 million versus $114 million in the year ago quarter.

Interest on customer credit balances or the interest we pay our customers grew as higher rates in many currencies led to our paying interest and qualifying balances as we pass through rate increases. We paid $832 million to our customers on their balances in the third quarter.

Fully rate-sensitive balances were up about 5% from the second quarter at $21 billion. We consider our policy offering clients the full pass-through of all rate hikes after the first 50 basis points on their qualified cash, a significant component in our success and one that continues to set us apart. We believe this leads to clients choosing to keep their cash with us, especially active clients who do not want to use suite programs that prevent them from immediately accessing their cash to invest.

Now for our estimates of the impact of increases in rates, increases and decreases, given market expectations of near-term rate hikes and further out rate reduction, we estimate the effects of both increases and decreases in the Fed funds rate on our net interest income. We estimate increases in the Fed funds rate to produce additional annual net interest income of approximately $56 million for each 25 basis point increase in the benchmark.

Symmetrically, decreases in the Fed funds rate should reduce annual net interest income by approximately $56 million for each 25 basis point decrease in the benchmark.

Note that our starting point for these estimates is September 30, with the Fed funds effective rate at 5.33% and based on balances at that date.

About 25% of our customer cash balances is not in U.S. dollars. So estimates of U.S. rate change effect exclude those currencies. We estimate increases in all the relevant non-USD benchmark rates to produce additional annual net interest income of approximately $20 million for each 25 basis point increase in the benchmarks.

In conclusion, the company performed well in the third quarter in a complex and uncertain environment, reflecting our continued ability to grow our customer base and deliver our core services to customers at low cost competitive interest rates as we manage the business effectively with strong controls over risk and operating expenses.

And with that, we will turn it over to our moderator and happy to take questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today will be coming from Craig Siegenthaler of Bank of America.

C
Craig Siegenthaler
analyst

With equity now over $13 billion, we wanted to get your updated thoughts on the potential usage for deployments, either returning capital to shareholders via a dividend increase or special dividend or even through M&A. And I think you just talked up the prospects of M&A at a competitor conference last month. So maybe refresh us on that topic, please.

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

So we have looked at 2 specific opportunities, neither 1 of them have the DART. They wanted higher price than -- no, actually, in 1 case, the target wanted more than we were willing to pay. And in the other case, they were not interested in doing anything. And since they have very strong voting power, there is nothing we can do. But we keep on looking. So if anybody hears of anything, please let us know.

C
Craig Siegenthaler
analyst

And Thomas, also on the dividend, too, please.

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

We are not looking to increase. The dividend, we are looking to increase the amount of money we have because it gives us greater -- it gives our clients a greater sense of security. And as you have heard, we are hoping to get larger and larger investors to come with us and that security cushion is very important to them, especially since we are not systematically important counterpart.

C
Craig Siegenthaler
analyst

Great. And I think, Thomas, do I get a follow-up? Or is it just one?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

As far as I'm concerned, go ahead.

C
Craig Siegenthaler
analyst

All right. Great. So my second one is on the expense side. Employee comp and benefits down about $9 million sequentially. So any comment on that? And is this a good run rate to work on for next quarter? And I think you also consolidated some European offices in the quarter. So I don't know if that benefited this quarter or if that's going to benefit a future quarter?

P
Paul Brody
executive

Right. So Craig, we mentioned last quarter that there was an odd accounting requirement that we measure vacation days taken by employees around the world every quarter. And we accrue them at a certain rate, and then we subtract the days taken, and we have to take an expense for the difference. That tends to build up in the second quarter and then go back down in the third quarter as people take vacation over the summer. It only seems obvious to many of us.

We have -- so that unfortunately generates a little bit of quarter-to-quarter noise. We've done some research into this and determined that we can measure this annually instead of quarterly sort of anticipating that it does go up and down and employees do, in fact, take their vacations annually. And by the end of the year, it's mostly even again. So we're going to adopt that next year, starting with the 2024 and you should stop seeing the quarter-to-quarter variations. And that accounted for $4 million, $5 million of the change upside and then downside -- upside in the second quarter, downside in the third quarter.

As far as consolidating office or rather merging operations in Europe, we would not expect that to have a material impact. It's primarily driven by our desire to simplify our regulatory environment by having 1 regulator instead of 2, not driven by rationalizing the staff as they say.

M
Milan Galik
executive

Let me clarify that a little bit. So your question was whether we are already seeing the benefits in the numbers of the consolidation. And the answer to that is no. The migration of the accounts to our Irish entity as well as consolidation of the 2 entities into 1 is going to take anywhere between 6 and 9 months.

At first, we are going to see a restructuring charge as we migrate the accounts to Ireland. We're going to be paying into an insurance fund. But after that, we are expecting to see the benefit of $7 million or so dollars per year that is direct cost savings aside from reduced distraction that we have to suffer because we have to pay attention to 2 European entities as opposed to 1. So the $7 million is a direct benefit, plus there are significant benefits by reducing the distraction and being able to focus on fewer entities.

Operator

And our next question will be coming from Benjamin Budish of Barclays.

B
Benjamin Budish
analyst

Thomas, I wanted to ask if you could maybe clarify the sort of long-term account guidance you talked about. I think earlier last month at a presentation, you talked about sort of moving away from the 30% target to like a 20% plus. I'm just wondering how much of today's commentary is different from that? Is it sort of because you have less clarity around the timing of the IBroker accounts that you talked about before? Or is it sort of more of a material change in your longer-term outlook?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Well, no. I mean what happened was that initially, when these 2 introducing brokers came on the scene, I thought that they were both having more customers that they, in fact, do and that is a size of the fact that it is extremely cumbersome to a lengthy process to onboard the second one.

Generally, I thought I went too far in guessing and saying, yes, I think that it's going to be 30%. I just have to come back and have up to -- that now I realize that I really don't know. I mean the fact is that we don't see into the future, and there is no big truck out there that tells me what it's going to be, right?

So it remains a guess, but I think that I'd rather give you a more conservative guess, and I'm comfortable with 20% to 22%, 23%, 24%, maybe even 25%, but somewhere in the 20% to 25% range, I feel more comfortable.

B
Benjamin Budish
analyst

Got it. Well, I really appreciate the candor there. Maybe a follow-up on the options activity. Just curious if you can give any more color on like what the breakout of that is? Is it more opportunity outside the U.S.? Is it the shorter dated pieces? Is it your hedge fund clients or the retail clients? What are the key drivers of that?

And just thinking about as we kind of seen options activity grow over the last several years. How much more room do you think there is to go kind of based on all those pieces that you see?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

So I think that options activity has a tremendous future because what has been going on in the United States, as you all know, is generally followed by other places around the world with a lag of 10, 20, 30 years. And so we see more and more interest outside of the United States, and we also -- there is no options trading overnight. So it's basically 24 hours a day, even though overnight, is still very little volume, but it's catching on. And I see everyone in 5 to 10 years from when options volume will be the same 24 hours, no matter what time of the day, you're looking at it.

And it is also true that, yes, short-term dated options, the larger the largest volume is in [indiscernible] date options. And that's just what's happening.

Operator

And our next question will be coming from Patrick Moley of Piper Sandler.

P
Patrick Moley
analyst

Congrats on a strong quarter. So maybe just diving back to Ben's question. Can you maybe hammer in on the trend you're seeing in the 0 DTE piece and maybe the flow buildout...

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Hold it. Please, hold it. We do not understand your words. So it comes across very garbled. Could you please move whatever you're talking into further away from yourself?

P
Patrick Moley
analyst

Yes. Can you hear me better now?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Yes, it's better and slower, please.

P
Patrick Moley
analyst

Yes, sure. So just was hoping we could maybe dive back into the 0 DTE piece. Can you talk a little bit more about the breakout that you're seeing there, the flow between institutional in retail and the sustainability there and maybe what it means for growth going forward.

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Well, between institution and retail, I never quite understood how to categorize something into institution versus retail. So when the account is opened in the name of an entity rather than a person, we call that institutional. Now as you know, introducing brokers are entities. So even though there are individuals at the other end of the process. So I cannot tell you the [indiscernible] between what's institutional, what's retail. But there are certainly many, many trading shops that I assume basically are institutional who trade a lot of options.

M
Milan Galik
executive

Maybe I can give you a little bit of a color. Perhaps it's going to be helpful. The way we participate and our customers participate in this zero-day options, expiring options is that we often send the customer orders into price improvement options.

Now that requires that we first find liquidity for the customers order from one of the market makers, one of the institutions that we are connected to. So a lot of the trading we do in these zero-day options, we have an institution on 1 side and the customer on the other side. It's not obviously 100% of the volume, but it's quite a bit of it. So in short, it's mixed participation.

Operator

Our next question today will be coming from Brennan Hawken of UBS.

B
Brennan Hawken
analyst

I'd actually like to follow up on that 0 DTE and try and get some color from a different perspective. You mentioned that it was a material part of the option volume. Could you give some more specific color around what proportion 0 DTE represents today versus maybe a year ago? And when you think about...

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

We do not measure that.

B
Brennan Hawken
analyst

Okay. Well, then that's straightforward. Maybe shifting to your perspective, Thomas. When you think about this product and its maturity, what inning do you think we are in its emergence and in its growth?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

No, I think it takes -- I would guess. Again, I'm just guessing. I mean I don't have anything more than anybody else does. I'm guessing that the relative proportion of 0-date and very short date options is going to probably remain the same, but overall option volume will keep increasing. And I think that it's probably going to increase by 5% to 10% a year going forward indefinitely.

B
Brennan Hawken
analyst

That's overall option volume?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Yes.

B
Brennan Hawken
analyst

Got it. Got it.

M
Milan Galik
executive

And there is 1 interesting thing, if I could add. There is 1 interesting thing happening in Europe. The European exchanges were obviously observing this phenomenon in the United States with NV, and they are going to be listing a zero-day options or 5-day options that are listed every day. So every day you will have an expiring option in cash settled index options, and that's what they really are. So we will see some of the same phenomenon over time outside of the United States.

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

That is true, but European option volume -- option volume and European exchanges is very, very tiny percentage of the total.

B
Brennan Hawken
analyst

We'll see what NV can get us on that front. I'd like to -- and I totally appreciate this is really sort of challenging to nail down. But when you were answering the prior question about the introducing broker, Thomas, sort of a couple of other questions jump to mind. You mentioned that the -- your sense of the size of one of the introducing brokers has changed. It's not as large as you thought.

Was that -- I was kind of curious about what might cause that. Was that because maybe they aren't growing as fast as you had thought when you initially started to talk to them or that maybe the opportunity set to move a portion of their business over to Interactive is going to be just smaller than you had initially guessed?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

To be quite frank, I was so enthusiastic when they first showed up and the C&I estimated that we would have several million accounts. And now it turns out that they probably have hundreds of thousands of accounts.

M
Milan Galik
executive

Well, maybe a little bit different color. So what remains the same is the institution that we're talking about is one of the top multinational banks in the world by assets. So that remains the same. What we have learned recently is that instead of them bringing over a large chunk of the accounts that would be migrated from one broker to another, that's not what we're going to see. We're going to see very little of that.

What the hope is, is that a lot of the banking clients of these global institutions are going to become self-directed investors on the platform. This bank is integrating with us. So that's what really is changing. They are having hopes of turning their banking clients into brokerage clients.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from Daniel Fannon of Jefferies.

D
Daniel Fannon
analyst

Another question just on the account growth. I think, Thomas, you mentioned other introducing brokers that have signed up. Could you maybe talk to the discussions and/or the backlog of what might be smaller or the pipeline of how you were thinking about the broader introducing broker opportunity?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

So there are several banks and brokerage firms around the world that had a relatively small customer base, it doesn't pay for them to develop the technology that's necessary to compete in this world today. So they are relatively easy to get on to our platform. And with our very automated platform, we hope that they will grow very quickly and other firms, other similar firms seeing daily situation, the leader come along also or will drop out of the business. That's what I see.

D
Daniel Fannon
analyst

Okay. And then I wanted to follow up on the conversation or topic of M&A. We -- you have not been an acquirer previously. So could you talk to what it is you're looking for, how we should think about the return profile or accretion or economic kind of thresholds that you have for doing a transaction?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

So we believe that by far, we have the most efficient operation and our technology is by far the best. So it would make sense that other firms that have less are less automated would benefit -- I mean overall day operation with benefit coming on to our platform. So that would be the basic idea.

M
Milan Galik
executive

One additional strength that we have compared to the other players in this space is that we are global in terms of accessing the markets. So when an Asian or European institution integrates with us, they can serve not only access to the U.S. markets, but to their local markets as well.

D
Daniel Fannon
analyst

And just a follow-up. Is there -- from a size or capacity, I mean is there a limit like in terms of what you're looking at? Are these small acquisition -- small potential targets? Is it -- just trying to get a sense of how big to think about what type of M&A you would be contemplating.

M
Milan Galik
executive

It all depends, right? So what we would obviously be looking at is what is the opportunity. Is it an institution that has relatively little automation and we can jump in and generate a lot of cost savings by automating the operations. Is it a large number of active accounts that they have. It all depends.

So when we are presented with an opportunity, we look at the economics. We have usually a couple of ideas of how we would go about the integration. What is it that we would be looking for in the final outcome, and that determines the price we're willing to pay. Unfortunately, in 1 of the 2 cases that Thomas mentioned, we were short of the price that the seller was demanding. They haven't sold yet. They may come back to us, but it's unclear whether they will.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from Chris Allen of Citi.

C
Christopher Allen
analyst

One thing we've been watching is margin balances have been trending up nicely even in September when the markets were down. And you noted the strength and interest income being driven by financial advisers and hedge funds earlier. On the financial adviser front, are you seeing any benefit from the Schwab Ameritrade integration that's going on right now? On the hedge fund side, are you -- is the existing hedge fund client base expanding in size? Are you winning new hedge fund clients?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Well, there are certainly -- our salespeople speak a lot about the unhappiness of especially Ameritrade clients that had to go to Schwab on the one hand, on the other about Ameritrade clients who were Ameritrade clients in addition to Schwab clients because those clients wanted to have 2 independent brokerage firms and now that they are only one, they are looking for a second. So these are the 2 types of clients we are getting from this merger.

Now your second question was about the hedge funds, what did you actually ask?

C
Christopher Allen
analyst

Yes. Just wanting on the hedge fund side, are you seeing new hedge fund wins or the existing customer base...

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Definitely. Yes. Yes. We definitely see new hedge fund wins, yes. They turn on balance to be smaller funds in the $10 million to $50 million range, and so we get them regularly and quite often.

C
Christopher Allen
analyst

And just a quick follow-up on the M&A discussion. Are you looking at domestic opportunities overseas, both basically what you do see out there?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

It doesn't matter to us. It's going either way. We're happy. We don't care whether it's U.S. or outside.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from James Yaro of Goldman Sachs.

J
James Yaro
analyst

It's James Yaro. I think it's quite clear today what the opportunity is in terms of retail trading in Asia. But I think retail trading remains somewhat more subdued in Europe. You are investing in Europe clearly. So maybe you can just speak to your outlook for whether retail trading in Europe will accelerate and potentially over time, look more like what we see in the U.S. and what gives you that sort of confidence?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Generally, I think that, as you know, the United States is basically the hot seat of capitalism and has a history of 200 years, right? In Europe, it has a somewhat longer history, but much more subdued history.

So it -- in Europe, the traditionally people who are investing in the stock market were a very small layer of society. And we expect that, that will expand just like it has expanded in the United States. On the other hand, the average European person has only about 60% to 70% of the funds that the average American person has.

J
James Yaro
analyst

Okay. That's very clear. And then if we were to potentially see Fed funds start to come down, and I'm not saying that's going to happen imminently. But just -- maybe you could just speak to...

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

Sorry for the laugh. No. I believe that Fed funds will remain in the 5% range indefinitely for the very, very long term. They may come -- made it down to 4%, but then they will come up because there is nothing you can do about the ever increasing debt payments. So hedge funds will go to 5%, 6%, 7%, 8%, 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50% until we go into the whole.

J
James Yaro
analyst

Okay. But the market forward curve obviously has cut. So just -- you obviously manage risks very well, Thomas. So I just want to understand how you think about let's say there's downside risk and rates do come down. How do you think about hedging that, if at all? Do you extend securities duration or do you need something else?

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

If forward rates go above nearby rates, we may go out forward. But as long as nearby rates are higher, we will not do so.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from Kyle Voigt of KBW.

K
Kyle Voigt
analyst

Thomas, maybe the first one is for you. Just on your automatic share sale plan. I think that's been paused for most of 2023. Can you just kind of provide an update there on any plans to convert and sell shares? And also just remind us...

T
Thomas Peterffy
executive

I have a number of -- large number of shares that I have converted. I have constantly and always have a sales program on file, and I have a target price, which is 20% under what I believe the fair price for the stock would be. We have not reached that point yet. So when we will, you will see sales from me.

K
Kyle Voigt
analyst

Understood. And that's all automatically set in the -- this year plan. Understood. The second question is just on the expenses. Last quarter, you spoke about some of the very recent challenges you were seeing in hiring technology talent. Just wondering if you could provide an update there on the market for talent. Are you still seeing the same inflationary pressures that you spoke about last quarter? And how is your hiring plan progressing in 2023 at 5% head count growth versus where you expect it to be when this year started?

M
Milan Galik
executive

So we do not think about hiring in terms of budgeting the number of people that we have to hire in a particular year. It's much more short term than that. We always know the projects that we are currently working on, the projects that we have, we would like to work on. We see how many people we need in various groups. There is obviously some amount of attrition that we have to deal with. And these are the factors that determine when we approve a new position and we go to the market and try to hire them.

Recently, we have not had great difficulty finding people at the prices we thought that we would find them. So there is a little bit less competition for the talent compared to last year. But good technologies, the really good technologies are still hard to find and you have to pay up for them.

K
Kyle Voigt
analyst

Understood. And if I could just sneak one in at the end of the call here for Paul. Other income, I think, on an adjusted basis, was that $20 million. It was the highest in quite some time. Just wondering if you could provide any color on kind of what drove that line and what -- if that's a good run rate or we should think about it kind of reverting lower from here?

P
Paul Brody
executive

Right. So it's always difficult to talk about run rate and other income because the primary components are our currency diversification strategy, which obviously fluctuates with the dollar. And we have some other -- we have some investments, a few substantial investments that also produced some variability. So in this quarter, it's not that hard to do the math. On our currency diversification, we lost about $17 million, and we made back $20-something million on investments.

So the net of the whole thing was -- I mean, together with other normal things, we still have small trading activities and so forth. So we looked at other income of $27 million, but mostly that was because we had a non-repeat of last year's $40 million loss on the currency. They produce a lot of noise, which is why we exclude them when we report our non-GAAP numbers.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's Q&A session. I would like to turn the call back over to Nancy Stuebe for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

N
Nancy Stuebe
executive

Thank you, everyone, for participating today. As a reminder, this call will be available for replay on our website. We will also be posting a clean version of our transcript on our site tomorrow. Thank you again, and we'll talk to you next quarter end.

Operator

Thank you all for joining today's conference call. You may all disconnect. And everyone, enjoy the rest of your evening.