H&E Equipment Services Inc

NASDAQ:HEES

Earnings Call Transcript 2022-Q4

[Operator]

Good morning, and welcome to H&E Equipment Services Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Today’s call is being recorded.

At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Jeff Chastain, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Jeff Chastain, Vice President of Investor Relations]

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to a review of fourth quarter and full-year 2022 results. We appreciate your participation on today's call and your continued interest in H&E equipment. A press release reporting our results was issued earlier today and can be found along with all supporting statements and schedules at the H&E website www.he-equipment.com.

Our discussion this morning is accompanied by a slide presentation, which can also be found at the H&E website under the Investor Relations tab and Events and Presentations. Joining me today are Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer; John Engquist, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary.

Brad will begin today's discussion. But before I turn the call over to him, if you will please proceed to slide three, I'll remind you that today's call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Statements about our beliefs and expectations and statements containing words such as may, could, believe, expect, anticipate and similar expressions constitute forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. A summary of these uncertainties is included in the safe harbor statement contained in the company's slide presentation for today's call and includes the risks described in the risk factors in the company's annual report on Form 10-K and other periodic reports.

Investors, potential investors and other listeners are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The company does not undertake to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements after the date of this call.

Also, we are referencing non-GAAP financial measures during today's call. You will find the required supplemental disclosure for these measures, including the most directly comparable GAAP measure and an associated reconciliation as supporting schedules to our press release and in the -- to today's presentation materials. Finally, unless specifically noted, all results and comparisons for the periods reported and discussed this morning, are presented on a continuing operations basis.

I'll now turn the call over to Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer of H&E Equipment Services.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, and welcome to our review of fourth quarter and full-year 2022 financial results. We appreciate your participation this morning, and I thank you for your continued interest in H&E.

Please proceed to slide four. I will begin this morning with a review of financial and strategic highlights in the quarter, followed by an update on key performance metrics in our rental business segment. Also having just concluded an outstanding year for our business, I want to identify some expected drivers of activity in 2023, including favorable trends that should support another year of robust activity.

I will then close with a summary of our strategic achievements in 2022, which included record results and rental fleet investment and expansion of our geographic coverage. I will also identify our strategic growth initiatives for 2023. Leslie will follow with a comprehensive review of fourth quarter financial results, including business segment performance data and an update on our capital and our capital structure and liquidity, then we will be happy to address your questions.

Slide six, please. The fourth quarter of 2022 was one of our most productive quarters on record. We reported excellent financial results as we have done all year, while reaching important achievements with significant implications in terms of future operations and competitive positioning. Our excellent financial performance was due in part to resilient industry trends, which prevail throughout the period, while the supply of equipment remained constrained. These favorable factors produced healthy fleet utilizations and further rate appreciation resulting in a 25.6% year-over-year improvement in total revenues and a more than 35% increase in equipment rental revenues.

In addition, EBITDA improved 56% over the same period. Each of these financial measures concluded 2022 at record levels. We also recognized some important strategic wins in the quarter, which included the sale of our Komatsu earthmoving distribution business in December of ‘22, effectively completing our transformation to a pure-play rental business. This final step allows for greater revenue stability and margin appreciation throughout the cycle. The transaction resulted in a gain on the sale, which Leslie will explain as part of our financial review.

Further, we significantly advanced the integration of One Source equipment following the closing of our acquisition in October of ‘22, adding $139 million in fleet at OEC and 10 new branches, six of which now places H&E in the Midwest. Other accomplishments include further success with our accelerated branch expansion program following the addition of two new locations in the fourth quarter, bringing the total number of new locations added in 2022 to 10. These branch additions in combination with the acquisition of One Source drove an 18% year-over-year increase in our branch count, extending our operational scale.

Finally, we continue to invest in our rental fleet with a gross investment of $128.3 million in the quarter, resulting in record gross expenditures for the year of $507.8 million. Our OEC concluded the quarter at a record level of just under $2.4 billion or 26.8% greater than the fourth quarter of 2021. I now want to delve deeper into the results of our rental business.

On to slide seven, please. Strong core fundamentals in the quarter, combined with our fleet growth, successful branch expansion program and the addition of One Source operations resulted in a 34.6% year-over-year increase in rental revenue to $245 million. The outcome which was a new record for the rental business led to a gross margin in the quarter of 53.1% or 140 basis points ahead of the year ago quarter.

Rental rates in the quarter, which exclude One Source, remained impressive, improving 10.6% when compared to the fourth quarter of ‘21 and 1.8% on a sequential quarterly basis. Our average rental rate appreciation for the full-year of '22 was equally impressive, finishing the year 9.3% better than 2021. Each measure remained among best in our industry. Our Smart Rate pricing platform, which is now used in use across all 10 One Source branch locations is expected to capture valuable synergies in future periods, due to the application of a dynamic pricing methodology as well as improved equipment mix in each location.

Physical utilization in the fourth quarter averaged a healthy 72%, despite pressure from typical seasonal factors, including rain and winter conditions across several geographic regions. These events contributed to a decline in the measure of 110 basis points, when compared to the year ago results and 130 basis points on a sequential quarterly basis. Finally, dollar utilization in the fourth quarter was 41.9% or 260 basis points better than the same quarter in 2021.

For the year, dollar utilization averaged 40.9% or 410 basis points better than the previous year, largely demonstrating the benefits from fleet management, including improvement in fleet mix, higher rental rates and strong physical utilization.

Next, I want to give a breakdown on our perspective on the 2023 industry outlook. Given the divergent thoughts and opinions addressing the macro economy in ‘23, I can confirm our optimistic view of the industry has not diminished as favorable trends continue to reinforce important end markets leading to an expectation of healthy demand for our equipment.

On to slide eight, please. Customer feedback regarding non-residential and industrial project backlog continues to indicate a robust scope of work in 2023, which is expected to drive healthy fleet utilization over the year. The encouraging customer feedback is reinforced by projections of future non-residential building activity as measured by the Dodge Momentum Index. The construction backlog indicator reported by the associated builders and contractors and AIA's Architectural Building Index. Although recent results from each of these indicators has declined from historic high readings, they continue to reflect robust non-residential construction project backlogs and active planning agendas, which is likely to bode well for 2023 and beyond.

In addition, we expect equipment demand in 2023 to be supplemented by an increase in federal spending addressing U.S. infrastructure, manufacturing capabilities and renewable energy. Many of these projects will require extended periods of time to complete. Finally, growth in rental penetration should drive new demand for equipment as the combination of unfavorable fiscal conditions, including rising interest rates and lingering delays in equipment deliverability tend to encourage a shift by certain customers away from ownership of equipment.

A recent report from the American Rental Association disclosed that compared to 2021, rental penetration improved 150 basis points in 2022 to 53.8%. We believe further rental penetration is likely. We expect these multiple catalysts for increased rental demand to result in the continuation of healthy equipment utilization and to contribute to an attractive pricing environment characterized by modest sequential quarterly rate improvement. Non-residential and industrial construction projects accounted for 75% of our total revenues in 2022.

We believe the success of our growth initiatives, including investment in our rental fleet and geographic expansion of our operational presence has advantageously positioned our company for new opportunities in these and other end markets, while our strong mix of equipment and the young age of our fleet have been instrumental in driving greater customer interest in H&E. We remain focused on further growth initiatives in 2022 and believe this fundamentally sound industry will continue to create attractive opportunities for expansion.

Slide nine, please. As I mentioned earlier, H&E successfully added 10 new branch locations in each of the last two years. The success of our branch expansion program was a critical component to our long-term strategy we aim to increase our footprint and location density in key geographic regions that offer impressive prospects for nonresidential and industrial construction growth.

Being mindful of this important growth initiative, we plan to add no fewer than 10 locations in 2023 and as many as 15 with the escalation indicative of our expansion team's continued success in identifying locations with impactful opportunities for growth. Also, we are targeting a gross fleet investment of $500 million to $550 million in 2023 as we continue to support existing stores in the new branch locations with both a young fleet and a diversified mix of equipment.

The range amounts to another year of record gross expenditures for our rental fleet. Although 2022 original gross expenditure target was reduced due to the failure of certain manufacturers to meet their commitments, we believe our OEM have a more realistic understanding of production volumes in ‘23, and that will result in achievable target range despite the persistent disruptions in the supply chain. Finally, attractive acquisition opportunities continue to appear in our industry and an evaluation of suitable targets remains an ongoing part of our comprehensive plan for growth in ‘23.

Slide 10, please. We opened 2023 with 120 branches across 29 states, including new markets in the Midwest, South and greater density in the Southeast, Gulf Coast and West Coast.

Before I hand the call over to Leslie, I will close by reiterating the importance of numerous accomplishments in 2022. These include the completion of our strategic transition to a pure-play rental business, record gross investment in our rental fleet, the continuation of branch expansion program and the acquisition of One Source. It is also important to point out our team's exceptional operational execution, which I believe has produced the industry's best rental rate performance and highest levels of physical utilization.

Individually, each represents a significant achievement for the company. However, taken together, these strategic wins serve to fortify sound base for future operations and strategic growth while escalating our competitive posture.

Now on to slide 11, and I'll turn the call over to Leslie for a comprehensive review of our fourth quarter financial performance. Leslie?

[Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary]

Thank you, Brad. Good morning, and welcome, everyone. Before I begin my review of the fourth quarter, I want to first expand upon Brad's earlier comments relating to the sale of our Komatsu earthmoving distribution business. The transaction with [Indiscernible] Payers Industries, LLC or WPI, which closed on December 15, 2022, resulted in cash proceeds of $29.2 million. A pretax gain of $15.4 million was recognized in the quarter, including $12.9 million recorded as a gain on the sale of property and equipment and $2.5 million as a gain on other net.

As in the case of the sale of two Arkansas distribution branches in the third quarter of 2021, fourth quarter 2022 results were not adjusted for the $15.4 million gain on the sale as the transaction remains consistent with the company's exit from all material business arrangements involving distribution. For the sake of clarity, I will refer to the WPI transaction during my review.

And with that, I'll begin this morning on slide 12. Fourth quarter revenues totaled $353.1 million improving $71.8 million or 25.6%, when compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The improvement was led by our rental business, where revenue rose $63 million or 34.6% on a year-over-year basis. The business segment experienced strong support from a growing fleet, excellent rental rate performance and contribution from our acquisition of One Source.

We concluded the fourth quarter with a fleet five as measured by original equipment cost or OEC of approximately $2.4 billion, representing a net increase in OEC of $498 million, when compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The fleet growth included a record gross investment of $507.8 million, plus $139.2 million resulting from the acquisition of One Source.

Rental rates in the fourth quarter, excluding One Source, were 10.6% better than the year ago quarter and 1.8% ahead of the third quarter of 2022. We closed 2022 with average year-over-year rental rate improvements of 9.3% among the best results in our industry.

Average physical fleet utilization in the fourth quarter was 72% was 110 basis below the year ago measure with ordinary seasonal patterns in the quarter, modestly impeding results. Across other business segments, used equipment sales in the fourth quarter saw its best result in 2022, improving to $30.2 million, compared to $29.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2021.

Activity in this segment has run below historic levels, due largely to tight equipment supplies. Higher sales of earthmoving and aerial work platforms were largely offset by lower sales of material handling equipment. New equipment sales declined 4.5% to $21.5 million compared to $22.5 million in the same quarter of 2021.

Consolidated gross profit in the fourth quarter improved $41.2 million or 34.8% to $159.4 million, compared to $118.2 million in the year ago quarter. With the improvement, the consolidated gross margin grew to 45.1%, compared to 42% over the same period of comparison. The 310-basis point improvement was due largely to higher rental margins and sales of used equipment, along with a favorable revenue mix.

Total equipment rental margins were 47.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 46.3% in the year-ago quarter. Comparing other results to the year-ago quarter, rental margins were 53.1%, compared to 51.7%. Used equipment margins were 51.2%, compared to 39.3%, with fleet-only margins, which exclude used equipment obtained through trade-in, coming in at 54.5% compared to 41.9%.

Margins on new equipment sales were 13.6%, compared to 14.5%. And finally, margins on parts sales improved 28.6%, compared to 25.8%, while service margins finished the quarter at 63.9%, compared to 63.5%.

Slide 13, please. Income from operations increased $37.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022 or 89.4% to $78.8 million, compared to $41.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. The margin in the fourth quarter improved to 22.3%, compared to 14.8% in the year ago quarter. The improvement was due primarily to gains on the sale of property, plant and equipment totaling $13.9 million, of which $12.9 million related to the previously mentioned transaction with WPI. In addition, higher gross margins on rentals, used equipment sales and a favorable revenue mix of revenues contributed to the margin improvement.

Let's proceed to slide 14. Net income in the fourth quarter totaled $51.2 million or $1.41 per diluted share, compared to $21.7 million or $0.59 per diluted share in the year ago quarter. Our effective income tax rate in the fourth quarter was 26.1%, compared to 25.8% for the same quarter in 2021.

Proceed to slide 15, please. EBITDA in the fourth quarter increased $61.7 million to $171.5 million, compared to $109.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2021. The 56.1% increase, compared to a 25.6% improvement in revenue and resulted in an EBITDA margin of 48.6% in the fourth quarter, compared to 39.1% in the year-ago quarter.

Our transaction with WPI contributed 440 basis points to our fourth quarter margin, due to the pretax $15.4 million gains recorded on the sale of PP&E and other net. Of greater significance, the margin benefited from an improved mix of revenues, higher margins on used equipment sales and rentals and a favorable result from SG&A, which decreased in the quarter as a percentage of revenue.

Next slide 16, please. Regarding SG&A, expenses in the fourth quarter totaled $94.5 million, an increase of $17.1 million or 22%, compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase was due primarily to employee salaries, wages and variable compensation, as well as increased headcount. In addition, higher facility expenses, professional fees and depreciation added to the quarter-over-quarter increase.

As a percentage of revenue, SG&A expenses in the fourth quarter declined 80 basis points to 26.8%, compared to 27.5% in the prior year quarter. Approximately $3.3 million of the increased expense in the quarter was attributable to the addition of One Source with another $3.6 million related to our branch expansion efforts, which added 10 new branches over the year.

Slide 17. Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter totaled $128.3 million, including non-cash transfers from inventory, resulting in a total gross capital investment for the year of $507.8 million. Net rental fleet capital expenditures in the fourth quarter were [$100.3] (ph) million, with net rental fleet expenditures for the year totaling $424.1 million.

Gross PP&E capital expenditures for the fourth quarter were $15.1 million. Following the transaction with WPI, we recorded net PP&E proceeds of $4.9 million. And our average fleet age as of December 31, 2022, increased to 43.6 months, compared to 40.3 months in the year ago quarter and 40.6 months in the third quarter of 2022. Despite the increase, which followed the acquisition of the One Source fleet, our fleet age continue to compare favorably to the industry average fleet age of 53.3 months.

Net cash provided by operating activities totaled $102 million in the fourth quarter and $313.2 million for the year and free cash flow used in the fourth quarter and full-year of 2022 was $128 million and $233.3 million, respectively, demonstrating the company's focus on fleet growth and expansion through new branch locations and acquisitions.

Slide 18. As I noted earlier, our rental fleet size based on original equipment cost closed 2022 at approximately $2.4 billion an increase of $498.5 million or 26.8% larger than our fleet size at the close of 2021 and a record level for H&E. Average dollar utilization in the fourth quarter of 2022 improved to 41.9%, compared to 39.3% in the prior year quarter.

Let's move to slide 19, please. Net debt at December 31, 2022, was approximately $1.2 billion, compared to $892.7 million at December 31, 2021. The increase was due to a decline in cash and cash equivalents following the acquisition of One Source and our continued investment in the rental fleet. Net leverage in the fourth quarter was 2.2 times, essentially unchanged from the year ago quarter. We have no maturities before 2028 on our $1.25 billion of senior unsecured notes.

Slide 20, please. Our liquidity position at December 31, 2022, totaled $820.7 million, including a cash balance of $81.3 million and borrowing availability under our amended ABL facility of $739.4 million. Excess availability under the ABL facility improved to approximately $1.5 billion at December 31, compared to approximately $1.1 billion at December 31, 2021.

The increase in availability reflects the continued investment in our fleet and our minimum availability as defined by the ABL agreement remains $75 million. By definition, excess availability is the measure used to determine if our springing fixed charge is applicable. And with our excess availability of $1.5 billion, we continue to have no covenant concerns. Also, we recently completed an extension of our ABL facility with the $750 million credit facility extended five years to February 2028.

Finally, we paid our regular quarterly dividend of $0.275 per share of common stock in the fourth quarter of 2022. And while dividends are subject to Board approval, it is our intent to continue to pay the dividend.

Slide 21. In summary, H&E reached a new level of financial performance in 2022 as our timely shift to greater rental intensity served as a highly influential catalyst for improvement. This successful transition together with a dynamic business environment led to many achieve movements over the year. They included records in the categories of total revenues, total rental revenues, gross margin and rental gross margin.

And in addition, EBITDA duration surpassed the $0.5 billion level, closing the year at a record EBITDA margin of 43% or 600 basis points better than 2021. These financial accomplishments together with record fleet investment and an 18% increase in our branch count were significant contributors to a year of remarkable growth.

With new strategic initiatives established for 2023, our growth targets will be supported by ample resources and a conservative capital structure, including a liquidity position of approximately $800 million. Also, we have no senior unsecured note maturities until 2028, and at 2.2 times, our leverage ratio remains at the low end of our guidance range of 2 times to 3 times. We are prepared to build from our successes in 2022, and we believe superior operational foundation is in place as we enter 2023.

With that, operator, we are ready to begin our Q&A period.

[Operator]

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Seth Weber with Wells Fargo Securities. Please go ahead.

[Seth Weber, Wells Fargo Securities]

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I guess maybe for Brad. Just trying to think through how we should be thinking about your rental gross margin in the lens of the acquisitions that you've been doing and the new branch openings. Is that -- does that create a near-term headwind on rental margin? Or just how should we be thinking about full year incremental guidance or incremental targets for the rental business? Thanks.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Good morning, Seth. I'll take the first part of that Leslie may have something to add. But your assumption is correct. Between the purchase accounting associated with the fleet where we have some additional depreciation for a period of time with One Source. And then, of course, the warm starts. While we're very happy. Our group of warm starts, all 20 that we've opened in the last two years are -- we're performing as a group exceptionally well. But they're a drag. I mean it takes them a while to ramp up to the levels they are dragging several different categories, but they're generating solid EBITDA and of course, adding actually greater value than we had planned for them to. So we're happy, but yes, they are a headwind.

As it pertains to the incremental margin, Leslie, would you have something that helps out?

[Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary]

Sure, good morning, Seth. So our rental gross margin flow-through will, as Brad stated, continue to be impacted by higher depreciation resulting from the fair value markup of the fleet of pain through One Source. A few other things to keep in mind. We expect that 2023 will include periods of normal seasonality following the year of really little seasonality from a utilization perspective. And playing into rental gross margin flow-through was also rates and Brad or John may want to add some color. But the expectation of rates continuing at 2022 levels is probably not a fair assumption.

[Seth Weber, Wells Fargo Securities]

Right, okay. Thank you for that. And then just maybe Leslie, a follow-up on just CapEx guidance. Is that -- should we assume the cadence is a more traditional cadence, kind of, second, third quarter weighted. Last couple of years have been kind of all over the map, but do you feel like 2023 is a more traditional cadence of bringing in fleet? Or do you think it's going to be spread out across the year again?

[Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary]

As of now, Seth, I think we are looking at more of a normal cadence throughout the year.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

And Seth, I want to go back and additionally respond. Yes, Leslie mentioned -- because I want to be really clear here, our outlook is solid for this year, very positive. But as you mentioned, 10% rate improvement year-over-year, we're not expecting to produce 10% again. We far outpaced the house benchmark last year. We're exceptionally pleased with our group. We think the execution was fantastic. Our fleet mix has continued to improve. The use of smart rates is fully supported by our sales force, and that's why we're getting these excellent outcomes.

That being said, what we're really comfortable with is that we're going to continue to get incremental sequential performance in rates going forward. So we're not giving up on rate improvement or I think we won't have it. We're going to have rate improvement but the less common. It just won't be at the same record setting levels.

[Seth Weber, Wells Fargo Securities]

Yes. Understood guys. I appreciate it. Thanks again.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is from Steven Ramsey with Thompson Research Group. Please go ahead.

[Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group]

Hi, good morning. Wanted to ask first on mega projects, clearly, a big story in non-rev and for rental companies. How much of a factor is this in your recent results? And as you look at 2023, even this order of magnitude is this a sizable percentage of rental revenue.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Sure. Good morning, Steven. In our existing results you're looking at, it's so nominal, it wouldn't show up. That being said, we've got our company broken into three divisions: East, West and Central. And we have currently active mega projects, more specifically, infrastructure, governmental supported infrastructure project in each area of the country. So we're starting to see that work. We've got equipment on project as we speak, so it's emerging.

I think it's only going to further accelerate as we move throughout the year and how material it becomes, I don't know that we're ready to give guidance on it, but we're very encouraged and it's going to become a meaningful piece of additional market opportunity going forward. So it's positive to see that it's existing today. We're on these projects, and we will be on more projects every time we get on a call for the rest of this year for sure.

[Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group]

That's helpful. And a quick add on to this topic. Do you need to shift strategically or operationally in any way to fully take advantage of this? Or is this just normal operations with an added market opportunity?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

No, there is no shift. I would say what's important is our strategic sales efforts well in advance of the opportunities. When you're dealing with projects that are measured starting with $1 billion and maybe as much as $40 billion or $50 billion, you don't wait too late to participate. So we're strategic in making sure that we approach is at the right time with the right strategy. But operationally, we execute the same way we always have. It's just associated with fleet management and our sales force effort.

[Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group]

Okay, great. And then thinking about your regions with half of your gross profits coming from the Gulf Coast and the Southeast clearly a great place to be now and for the long-term. How much do you want to grow in that geography with more fleet in branches? Or would you prefer expanding in other geographies, maybe your branch openings reflect some of this? So just any thoughts there?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

The short answer is, of course, both. We are not deterred by the density, we like greater density and the Southeast region, where we arrive at roughly 50% of our gross margin, I think arguably has been and will likely be the hottest part of the country for sustainability and growth. That being said, we have tremendous opportunity to continue to expand our reach as evidenced by some of our excitement with One Source putting us in six new markets in the Midwest. And so you're going to see us do both. If we had to toss a coin and pick one or the other, we're going to look at the robustness of the marketplace. We're going to look at available facilities. And then we're going to look at the team we can assemble and that's what's going to drive us to either increase density or to spread out a little bit further. But we're happy with our footprint. You'll see us filling it out as well as expanding it.

[Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group]

Great. And then last quick one for me, and I may have missed this in the prepared comments. On SG&A leverage, good leverage against total revenue in the fourth quarter and strong performance as a percentage of rental revenue. Can you talk about SG&A leverage in 2023 or the longer term?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

I'll let Leslie respond to that.

[Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary]

Sure. So just as a reminder, we finished the full-year 2022 at 27.6% of revenues. And considering our warm-start strategy, I think this is a fair assumption for now moving into 2023.

[Steven Ramsey, Thompson Research Group]

Great. Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is from Steven Fisher with UBS. Please go ahead.

[Steven Fisher, UBS]

Hi, thanks. Good morning. Just wanted to follow-up on the rates. Brad, you mentioned the potential for modest sequential quarterly rate improvement. Can you just maybe give us a sense of how that translates year-over-year? I know you said you wouldn't do another 10%, but I guess others have targeted kind of mid-single-digit range. Does that sound about right in your mind as well? Or how are you thinking about that?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

It does sound about right, mid-­single-digits. What's going to be interesting, Steve, as the year unfolds. We know we feel very certain we're going to continue to get these incremental gains quarter-to-quarter-to-quarter. We've got momentum coming into the year. So I think our view is more currently in the 3% to 5% range, but yes, mid-single digits.

[Steven Fisher, UBS]

Okay. And are you going to continue to report that X One Source or will that just be sort of a combined measure?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

We are going to -- and let me tell you the reason we're reporting at X One Source is One Source did not have the data, the year ago data supply to route would have allowed us to adequately do a measure. We would have had to have a placeholder or an assumptive placeholder to measure against. So for the first 12 months, we were not going to report with One Source. I'd additionally say that there's a lot of opportunity we want source for rate improvement, and we're seeing that already.

John, do you want to add to some of what we're seeing with One Source with smart rates currently.

[John Engquist, President and Chief Operating Officer]

Yes. So obviously, we've got them onto our platform now. We did -- that was one of the big synergies when we looked at One Source was the pricing synergies. And now that we have them active on our system, we're already seeing solid sequential month-over-month increases. And we expect that to continue, and we expect a lot for 2023. So all positive there.

[Steven Fisher, UBS]

That's great. And what about the impact of One Source on utilization? Do you see opportunities there to improve utilization as well? And how will that [Multiple Speakers]

[John Engquist, President and Chief Operating Officer]

Yes, we do, we do. They're not running at the same levels that we are currently. But again, we see that as an opportunity, not only with the utilization, but with the fleet mix, and that's something that we're focused on. And we're going to continue to make those improvements throughout the year. So we look forward to reporting on that progress later in the year.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Yes, Steven. And obviously, their physical utilization is just reflect in our overall company performance because we measure that at a point in time. So we know where we are there. And as John just stated, that's another opportunity, and we're very pleased with our progress with that team so far.

[Steven Fisher, UBS]

Great. And just lastly, there's been a lot of discussion on the call about the strength of demand and the mega projects and across the regions. So I guess, I'm curious if you can give us a sense of what variations you see in demand at this point. We do sense there is some mixed messages coming from various parts of the non-residential construction market as interest rates kind of filter through. How do you see that variation? Or do you not see it kind of filtering into your business at all?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

We just don't see it as much. And I've seen some of the same reporting I think you may be referring to or similar reporting. And I think we're a little more isolated with the geography we cover. I mean these high-growth, 29 states we happen to be in are holding up better than some of the areas where I've seen some pauses. We feel as strong today as we did a quarter or two quarters ago about the opportunities in front of us in mega projects, whether they be stimulus related or not are just going to be additional fuel for our fire.

[Steven Fisher, UBS]

Terrific. Thanks very much.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Thank you.

[Operator]

The next question is from Stanley Elliott with Stifel. Please go ahead.

[Brian Brophy, Stifel]

Hi, good morning. This is Brian Brophy on for Stanley. Congrats on the quarter. I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about smart rates. Give us a little bit more color on some of the actions you're taking there? And what's your sense for how much that contributed to the rate growth in the fourth quarter?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Well, we -- Smart Rate is a dynamic program that's proprietary to our company. We've developed it probably five or six years at this point, and we continue to perfect it as we move forward. And it uses a variety of data points, both real-time, existing with what's going on within our branch, within our division region or districts of course, as well as market-related data. We use customer profile size of customers and many other data points again, since it's proprietary, we don't talk in any greater detail about how we weight these variables.

But what I can tell you is the combination of our professional sales force, understanding the power of this information and being motivated to use it at the point of need is what has transpired to give us a better than 10% increase Q4 over Q4. So also, as I mentioned, I believe earlier maybe in the first question, we far outpaced -- I believe we far outpace all of our competitors, larger competitors last year with rate improvement. And then we have access to the Rouse benchmark data that lets us so we outpace the benchmark by a nice margin as well.

So our view of that moderating should not be interpreted that there's anything going on in the marketplace or that we are less focused in any way of achieving greater rates. It's just there is a marketplace out there, and we have to be competitive. And so we're going to -- you'll see more incremental gains going forward.

[Brian Brophy, Stifel]

Got it. Yes, that's helpful. Thank you. And then on used gross margins, obviously, quite strong this past year. How sustainable do you think that trend is going into 2023? Or at some point do you think we start to normalize back to mid-30-ish type of used equipment margins that you guys have historically put up? Thanks.

[John Engquist, President and Chief Operating Officer]

Yes, Brian, I'll take that one. So we don't see ourselves going back to the mid-30 gross margin on used sales the used markets today, pricing is strong. We know that pricing peaked out late last year. But from what we're seeing, we see continued strength. I mean, I would not be surprised for us to continue on with used margins in the 50% range. So again, we expect a healthy used equipment market for the balance of the year and confident we can achieve that level.

[Brian Brophy, Stifel]

Got it. Thanks, that's really helpful. And then can you help us with the modeling impact from the Komatsu distribution sale? How should we think about that flowing through 2023?

[Leslie Magee, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary]

The biggest thing to point out is I would say that the Komatsu business that we sold was accounted for a little more than half -- a little more than 50% of our new equipment sales. So definitely keep that into the account. And then as well as we would expect our parts and service business to decline related to the Komatsu sale, not at that same rate because the bulk of the revenue sold were new.

[Brian Brophy, Stifel]

That’s very helpful. I’ll pass it on. Thank you.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Alex Rygiel with B. Riley. Please go ahead.

[Alex Rygiel, B. Riley]

Thank you. In the past, I think you've stated that you would spend more on your rental fleet if the equipment was available. So I guess my question here is, has the global supply chain for non-improved at all? And if so, how should we think about sort of the outlook for the supply chain through 2023?

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Yes. Good morning, Alex, I don't believe that the supply chain has improved enough to talk about an improvement. I think what has improved is our manufacturers understand the environment they're in and their planning is much more crisp this year than it was the same time a year ago. But no, there's still a real disruption out there. There's still a lack of availability, and we are still in a position where we could take more equipment than we are currently planning for in our existing forecast.

So it will let up. I mean, look, the bright side of this is it just continues to emphasize the supply and demand imbalance that gives us the confidence on solid utilization going forward and this incremental improvement in rental rates on a sequential basis.

[Alex Rygiel, B. Riley]

And secondly, as it relates to One Source, I think it was expected that utilization would be below kind of company averages for some time? Do you have any better visibility on that and when it might kind of reach company averages?

[John Engquist, President and Chief Operating Officer]

Yes. I would say in the back half of the year, you look at the -- where the One Source locations are, most of which are in the Midwest, seasonality is a bigger factor there than what we would typically see in some other markets. So I would say as we get later into the year -- into the third quarter, we should start to see that level out and get closer to those company averages. But look, this could be a 12-month project or it could happen a little bit sooner, but we are focused on it, and we know there's an opportunity to improve.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Yes. And we're getting positive gains already. So I second John's comments there, I think that group will be performing at company utilization levels by year-end, if not sooner.

[Alex Rygiel, B. Riley]

Very helpful. Thank you very much.

[Brad Barber, Chief Executive Officer]

Thank you.

[Operator]

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Jeff Chastain for any closing remarks.

[Jeff Chastain, Vice President of Investor Relations]

Okay. Thanks, Gary, and go ahead and conclude today's call. We appreciate everyone taking the time to join us today and for your continued interest in the company. We look forward to speaking with you again soon. Gary, thanks again for the assistance, and good day, everyone.

[Operator]

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.