HashiCorp Inc
NASDAQ:HCP
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one HCP stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.64 USD. Compared to the current market price of 33.86 USD, HashiCorp Inc is Overvalued by 51%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
HashiCorp Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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HashiCorp Inc. is a pioneering software company that specializes in providing infrastructure automation tools, facilitating the seamless management of cloud environments for businesses across the globe. Founded in 2012 by Mitchell Hashimoto and Armon Dadgar, the company has quickly gained prominence by developing open-source solutions that help organizations provision, secure, connect, and run applications in multi-cloud environments. With a suite of widely adopted products such as Terraform, Vault, Consul, and Nomad, HashiCorp empowers enterprises to modernize their IT infrastructure and streamline their development processes, ultimately driving efficiency and reducing operational challenge...
HashiCorp Inc. is a pioneering software company that specializes in providing infrastructure automation tools, facilitating the seamless management of cloud environments for businesses across the globe. Founded in 2012 by Mitchell Hashimoto and Armon Dadgar, the company has quickly gained prominence by developing open-source solutions that help organizations provision, secure, connect, and run applications in multi-cloud environments. With a suite of widely adopted products such as Terraform, Vault, Consul, and Nomad, HashiCorp empowers enterprises to modernize their IT infrastructure and streamline their development processes, ultimately driving efficiency and reducing operational challenges.
As businesses increasingly adopt cloud technologies, HashiCorp stands at the forefront of this transformation, tapping into a growing market that emphasizes agile and scalable solutions. The company's dual business model encompasses both open-source offerings and a robust enterprise version, allowing for widespread community adoption while providing premium services to larger organizations. Investors may find HashiCorp’s strong revenue growth, anchored by a recurring revenue model from subscriptions, particularly appealing as it positions the company for sustained long-term success. With an experienced leadership team and a robust ecosystem of partners, HashiCorp not only addresses current market needs but also anticipates future trends, making it a compelling player in the tech landscape.
HashiCorp Inc. is a software company that focuses on providing infrastructure automation software for cloud environments. Its core business segments can be broken down as follows:
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Infrastructure Provisioning:
- Terraform: HashiCorp's flagship product that allows users to define and provision cloud infrastructure using a high-level configuration language. It supports various cloud providers, making it a vital tool for DevOps and infrastructure teams.
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Secure Access:
- HashiCorp Vault: A tool for managing secrets and protecting sensitive data, such as API keys, passwords, and certificates. Vault provides secure storage, encryption, and access controls, ensuring data security in cloud environments.
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Service Networking:
- Consul: A service mesh solution that facilitates service discovery and connectivity across distributed applications. Consul allows organizations to manage communication between services in a dynamic cloud environment, enhancing reliability and performance.
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Application Deployment:
- Nomad: A flexible workload orchestrator that enables developers to deploy applications easily across on-premises and cloud environments. Nomad supports various workloads, including containerized and non-containerized applications.
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Management and Governance:
- HashiCorp Packer: A tool for creating identical machine images for multiple platforms from a single source configuration. It simplifies the deployment process and ensures consistency across environments.
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Enterprise Solutions:
- HashiCorp Enterprise Products: Tailored offerings that provide enhanced features for large organizations, including advanced security, compliance, and management capabilities for products like Vault, Consul, and Terraform.
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Cloud Services:
- HashiCorp Cloud Platform (HCP): A managed offering of HashiCorp's products that allows customers to utilize their infrastructure automation tools without the overhead of self-managing them. This service aims to simplify deployment and management in a cloud-native environment.
HashiCorp’s business model revolves around subscription-based licensing for its enterprise products and cloud offerings, often appealing to businesses undergoing digital transformation and seeking efficient cloud infrastructure management solutions.
HashiCorp Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the cloud infrastructure management and DevOps space:
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Open Source Model: HashiCorp has built a strong community around its open-source products, allowing for wider adoption and continuous improvement through community contributions. This model fosters loyalty and encourages collaborative innovation.
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Comprehensive Product Suite: HashiCorp offers a robust suite of tools (such as Terraform for infrastructure as code, Vault for secrets management, Consul for service networking, and Nomad for workload orchestration). This interconnectedness allows customers to manage their infrastructure seamlessly across various environments.
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Infrastructure as Code (IaC) Leadership: Terraform, one of HashiCorp’s flagship products, has established itself as a leader in the IaC space. Its flexibility, extensibility, and provider ecosystem enable users to manage infrastructure more effectively across multiple cloud platforms.
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Strong Brand Reputation: HashiCorp is recognized as a pioneer in the DevOps and cloud infrastructure space, which attracts large enterprises. Its reputation for reliability and innovation builds trust with customers, enhancing customer retention.
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Focus on Multi-Cloud and Hybrid Cloud Solutions: The company emphasizes multi-cloud capabilities, helping organizations avoid vendor lock-in and easily manage resources across different cloud providers, which is increasingly critical for enterprises.
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Enterprise Features and Support: HashiCorp offers advanced enterprise features, support, and training that enhance the usability of its tools for large organizations. This enterprise focus helps them secure larger contracts and long-term partnerships.
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Community and Ecosystem: The strong community engagement not only drives product development but also creates a vast ecosystem of integrations and third-party tools that enhance the functionality of HashiCorp’s offerings.
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Educational Resources: HashiCorp invests in educating users through training programs, documentation, and community forums. This not only enhances user experience but also helps in onboarding new users and maintaining customer loyalty.
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Security and Compliance Focus: With tools like Vault, HashiCorp positions itself as a leader in security and compliance in cloud environments, addressing critical enterprise concerns directly related to data protection and regulatory requirements.
Overall, HashiCorp's unique blend of open-source integration, comprehensive product offerings, focus on multi-cloud environments, and community engagement provide it with a strong competitive edge in the rapidly evolving tech landscape.
HashiCorp Inc., as a prominent player in the cloud infrastructure automation space, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Competitive Landscape: The increasing competition from established players like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, as well as emerging startups, poses a significant risk. These competitors may develop similar or superior solutions, potentially eroding HashiCorp's market share.
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Market Adoption and Integration: As businesses transition to hybrid and multi-cloud environments, there may be challenges in integrating HashiCorp’s solutions with various cloud services and platforms. This could impact customer adoption rates and overall satisfaction.
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Security Concerns: With the increasing prevalence of cybersecurity threats, HashiCorp must continuously enhance the security of its products. A significant breach or security vulnerability could damage its reputation and customer trust.
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Dependence on Open Source: While open-source products drive innovation and adoption, they also present revenue challenges. HashiCorp’s business model relies on enterprise versions of its open-source tools, and any shift in community engagement or contributions could impact product development.
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Changing Technology Trends: Rapid technological advancements mean that HashiCorp must continuously innovate to stay relevant. Failing to keep pace with trends like AI/ML, serverless computing, or new DevOps practices may hinder growth.
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Customer Retention and Satisfaction: Retaining customers in a competitive environment with many alternatives is crucial. HashiCorp needs to ensure that its products meet the evolving needs of its users and offer excellent customer support.
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Global Economic Factors: Economic downturns or fluctuations can affect IT budgets. Clients may reduce spending on new technologies, directly impacting HashiCorp's revenue growth.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: Attracting and retaining skilled employees is critical in a highly competitive tech landscape. HashiCorp may face challenges in finding and keeping top talent, particularly in specialized fields.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in data privacy laws and regulations across different regions could impact how HashiCorp operates, particularly if clients seek compliance assistance or if compliance costs increase.
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Investor Expectations and Market Volatility: As a publicly traded company, HashiCorp is subject to market volatility and investor expectations. If the company fails to meet growth targets or financial expectations, it may face stock price pressures and increased scrutiny from investors.
Addressing these challenges proactively will be crucial for HashiCorp to maintain growth and competitive advantage in the evolving cloud infrastructure landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
HashiCorp Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
HashiCorp Inc
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 147.8m |
Other Current Assets | 78.6m |
Non-Current Assets | 143.1m |
Intangibles | 22.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 120.7m |
Current Liabilities | 414.1m |
Accounts Payable | 12.9m |
Accrued Liabilities | 68m |
Other Current Liabilities | 333.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 30.8m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 30.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
HashiCorp Inc
Revenue
|
627.6m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
|
-113.1m
USD
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Gross Profit
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514.5m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-729.4m
USD
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Operating Income
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-214.9m
USD
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Other Expenses
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66.2m
USD
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Net Income
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-148.7m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
HashiCorp Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
HashiCorp's fourth quarter saw a revenue increase of 15% year-over-year, capping a fiscal year with 23% revenue growth. Looking ahead, they project a U-shaped revenue recovery in fiscal '25, with Q2 as the low point but aiming for approximately 20% year-over-year cRPO growth by year-end. Q1 revenue is expected between $152-$154 million with a non-GAAP operating loss of $19-$16 million and full-year revenue between $643-$647 million with a loss of $46-$43 million. The company intends to achieve non-GAAP operating income breakeven by Q4 Fiscal '25 and maintain strong gross margins in the 80% range. Additionally, a $250 million share repurchase program will commence in fiscal 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
HCP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
HashiCorp Inc's profitability score is 29/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
HashiCorp Inc's profitability score is 29/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HCP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
HashiCorp Inc's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
HashiCorp Inc's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HCP Price Targets Summary
HashiCorp Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HCP is 35.25 USD with a low forecast of 32.32 USD and a high forecast of 36.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for HCP is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
HCP Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
HashiCorp, Inc. engages in the infrastructure automation for multi-cloud environments. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 1,850 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-12-09. The firm's cloud operating model provides consistent workflows and a standardized approach to automating the critical processes involved in delivering applications in the cloud infrastructure provisioning, security, networking and application deployment. Its products include Terraform, Vault, Consul, Nomad, Waypoint, Boundary, Vagrant and Packer. The firm offers HashiCorp Cloud Platform (HCP), a fully managed cloud platform for multiple products that further accelerates enterprise cloud migration by addressing resource and skills gaps, improving operational efficiency, and speeding up deployment time for customers. The firm's products are available in a non-commercial form for users to download, learn, and adopt, leading to market standardization of its products. The firm offers its services to the industries, such as financial, healthcare, manufacturing, media and entertainment, public sector, retail and technology.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one HCP stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.64 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 33.86 USD, HashiCorp Inc is Overvalued by 51%.