Grab Holdings Ltd
NASDAQ:GRAB
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GRAB stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.19 USD. Compared to the current market price of 5.07 USD, Grab Holdings Ltd is Overvalued by 57%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Grab Holdings Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Grab Holdings Ltd
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Grab Holdings Ltd. is a leading superapp in Southeast Asia, revolutionizing the way consumers access a wide range of services from transportation to food delivery. Founded in 2012, Grab began as a ride-hailing service and has since evolved into a multifaceted platform that offers digital payments, food delivery, and various on-demand services across the region. With a presence in multiple countries, including Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia, Grab's growth story is fueled by the rapidly increasing demand for mobile and internet-based solutions in Southeast Asia, a region characterized by its young demographic and rising middle class. As the company leverages its robust user base and extens...
Grab Holdings Ltd. is a leading superapp in Southeast Asia, revolutionizing the way consumers access a wide range of services from transportation to food delivery. Founded in 2012, Grab began as a ride-hailing service and has since evolved into a multifaceted platform that offers digital payments, food delivery, and various on-demand services across the region. With a presence in multiple countries, including Singapore, Indonesia, and Malaysia, Grab's growth story is fueled by the rapidly increasing demand for mobile and internet-based solutions in Southeast Asia, a region characterized by its young demographic and rising middle class. As the company leverages its robust user base and extensive network of driver-partners, Grab aims to capitalize on the growing trend towards digitalization and convenience in everyday life.
For investors, Grab presents a compelling opportunity as it continues to scale its operations and expand its service offerings. The company recently transitioned to a publicly traded entity on the Nasdaq, raising significant capital to fuel its growth initiatives. Grab is not just a technology company; it is deeply integrated into Southeast Asia's economic fabric, enhancing financial inclusion through its digital wallet, GrabPay, and empowering small merchants and drivers. With strategic partnerships and investments aimed at advancing technology and customer service, Grab is positioned to capture a substantial share of the expanding Southeast Asian market. By focusing on operational efficiencies and scalable business models, Grab holds the potential to return value to its shareholders while transforming the consumer lifestyle in one of the world's most dynamic regions.
Grab Holdings Ltd. operates primarily in Southeast Asia and has diversified its offerings across several core business segments. Here are the primary segments:
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Transportation Services:
- This includes ride-hailing and transportation services that allow users to book rides through the Grab app. It has expanded beyond basic taxi services to include private car rides, motorbike taxis, and even public transport services in various markets.
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Food Delivery:
- Under the brand GrabFood, the company provides food delivery services from local restaurants to consumers. This segment has seen significant growth, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, as more customers turned to online food ordering.
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Parcel Delivery and Logistics:
- Grab's logistics services, operating under GrabExpress, facilitate parcel delivery for both businesses and individuals. This segment has gained traction with the rise of e-commerce in the region.
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Payment Services and Financial Technology:
- Through GrabPay, the company offers digital wallet services, enabling users to make payments for rides, food delivery, and other services. Additionally, Grab has ventured into financial services, providing features like personal loans, insurance, and other financial products aimed at consumers and merchants.
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Enterprise Services:
- Grab also caters to businesses through its enterprise solutions, which may include tools for delivery, logistics, and advertising services to help businesses reach customers.
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GrabKios and Other Innovations:
- Focused on enhancing offline commerce, GrabKios serves as a platform to support micro-entrepreneurs and small businesses in accessing digital services and transactions.
Overall, Grab Holdings Ltd. has positioned itself as a comprehensive super app in Southeast Asia by integrating multiple services to cater to the diverse needs of its users and merchants, thereby increasing user engagement and retention.
Grab Holdings Ltd, a leading technology company in Southeast Asia, operates primarily in ride-hailing, food delivery, and digital payments. Its competitive advantages over rivals can be summarized as follows:
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Market Leadership and Brand Recognition: Grab is one of the earliest entrants into the Southeast Asian market, generating strong brand loyalty and recognition. Its established customer base gives it an edge in attracting new users and retaining existing ones.
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Comprehensive Ecosystem: Grab has developed a multi-service platform that integrates various services like ride-hailing, food delivery (GrabFood), parcel delivery (GrabExpress), and digital payments (GrabPay). This creates a more convenient experience for users, encouraging them to use multiple services within the Grab app.
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Strong Local Insights: Being originally founded in Malaysia and having expanded throughout Southeast Asia, Grab has deep local knowledge and insights into consumer behavior, preferences, and regulatory environments, giving it an edge in tailoring services to meet local needs.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Grab has formed strategic partnerships with various companies, including financial institutions, e-commerce platforms, and government agencies. These partnerships enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach.
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Technological Innovation: Grab invests in technology and data analytics, which help optimize its services and improve customer experience. Features like dynamic pricing, route optimization, and personalized promotions give it a technological edge.
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Diversified Revenue Streams: Unlike some competitors that solely focus on ride-hailing or food delivery, Grab’s diversified portfolio across multiple service lines helps mitigate risks and stabilize revenues.
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Regulatory Relationships: Grab has established relationships with local governments and regulators, which can provide a strategic advantage in navigating the complex regulatory environments of Southeast Asia.
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Investment and Financial Backing: Grab has attracted significant investment from major players such as SoftBank, allowing it to scale operations, invest in technology, and explore new markets aggressively.
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Consumer Loyalty Programs: Grab offers loyalty programs and promotions (like GrabRewards) that encourage repeat usage and enhance customer retention, giving it an advantage over newcomers and established competitors.
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Adaptability and Resilience: Grab has shown an ability to adapt its business model and offerings during crises (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic), making it more resilient than some rivals that struggled during uncertain times.
Overall, these unique competitive advantages position Grab Holdings as a formidable player in the Southeast Asian tech landscape, providing leverage to capture a larger share of the market compared to its rivals.
Grab Holdings Ltd, a leading technology company in Southeast Asia, faces several risks and challenges as it seeks to maintain its competitive position in the market. Here are some key risks:
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Intense Competition: Grab operates in a highly competitive market, facing rivals such as Gojek and established players in various verticals like food delivery and ride-hailing. The competition not only affects market share but also puts pressure on pricing and profitability.
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Regulatory Challenges: As Grab expands its services across different countries, it must navigate complex regulatory environments. Changes in transportation laws, labor laws, or data privacy regulations can impose additional operational costs or limit service offerings.
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Economic Conditions: The economic landscape in Southeast Asia can be volatile, and factors like inflation, unemployment rates, or pandemics (like COVID-19) can significantly impact consumer behaviors and demand for Grab’s services.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology mean that Grab must continually innovate to provide a superior user experience. Failure to keep pace with technological changes may lead to loss of users to more tech-savvy competitors.
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Operational Risks: The scale of Grab’s operations across multiple countries introduces logistical challenges and potential inefficiencies. Issues with supply chain management, driver availability, or service reliability can impact customer satisfaction.
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Market Penetration and Saturation: As Grab continues to grow in existing markets, it may face challenges related to market saturation. Finding growth opportunities in mature markets could become increasingly difficult.
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Financial Sustainability: Grab has historically operated at a loss while investing heavily in growth. Continued financial losses may raise concerns about its long-term viability, especially if it fails to achieve profitability targets.
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Partnership and Ecosystem Risks: Grab has built a diverse ecosystem involving partnerships with various service providers. Disruptions or changes in these relationships could impact service offerings and revenue streams.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a digital platform that handles large amounts of personal data, Grab is susceptible to cyber-attacks. A significant data breach could harm its reputation and lead to legal and financial repercussions.
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Consumer Trust and Brand Perception: Maintaining a good brand image is critical. Any negative incidents or failures in service can damage consumer trust and loyalty, leading to decreased usage of its services.
By being aware of and addressing these risks, Grab can strategically position itself to navigate challenges and continue its growth trajectory in the competitive Southeast Asian market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Grab Holdings Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Grab Holdings Ltd
Current Assets | 6.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 5.7B |
Receivables | 656m |
Other Current Assets | 228m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 902m |
PP&E | 524m |
Intangibles | 943m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 271m |
Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Accounts Payable | 1.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 394m |
Long-Term Debt | 228m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 166m |
Earnings Waterfall
Grab Holdings Ltd
Revenue
|
2.7B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
1.1B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.2B
USD
|
Operating Income
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-124m
USD
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Other Expenses
|
28m
USD
|
Net Income
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-96m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Grab Holdings Ltd
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In its third quarter of 2024, Grab reported a remarkable earnings surge, with adjusted EBITDA tripling to $90 million year-on-year, marking its 11th consecutive quarter of growth. Monthly transacting users grew 16% to 42 million, indicating healthy platform activity. The Delivery segment achieved a GMV growth of 16% year-on-year, while Mobility saw a 30% increase. Looking ahead, Grab anticipates strong demand, projecting 2024 adjusted EBITDA in the range of $308 to $313 million. Their strategic focus on affordable offerings and cross-selling between Food and Mart is expected to leverage further growth, with the advertising sector also performing strongly, now contributing $185 million in revenue.
What is Earnings Call?
GRAB Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Grab Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Grab Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GRAB Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Grab Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Grab Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GRAB Price Targets Summary
Grab Holdings Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GRAB is 5.47 USD with a low forecast of 4.04 USD and a high forecast of 8.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GRAB is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Grab Holdings Ltd. enables millions of people each day to access its driver- and merchant-partners to order food or groceries, send packages, hail a ride or taxi, pay for online purchases or access services such as lending, insurance, wealth management and telemedicine, all through a single “everyday everything” app. The firm's platform operates across the deliveries, mobility and digital financial services sectors in approximately 400 cities in eight countries in the Southeast Asia region, including Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. The firm's application platform enables people each day to access its driver- and merchant-partners to order food or groceries, send packages, hail a ride or taxi, pay for online purchases or access services such as lending, insurance, wealth management and telemedicine, all through a single everyday everything application. Its application is available on both Google Play Store and Apple Store.
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The intrinsic value of one GRAB stock under the Base Case scenario is 2.19 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 5.07 USD, Grab Holdings Ltd is Overvalued by 57%.