GEN Restaurant Group Inc

NASDAQ:GENK

Earnings Call Analysis

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Greetings. Welcome to GEN Restaurant Group 2024 (sic) [ Second Quarter 2024 ] Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Tom Croal, CFO. Thank you. You may begin.

[Thomas Croal, executive]

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon. By now, everyone should have access to our second quarter 2024 earnings release. If not, it can be found at www.genkoreanbbq.com in the Investor Relations section.

Before we begin our formal remarks, I need to remind everyone that our discussions today will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements about growth plans and potential new store openings as well as those types of statements identified in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2024, and our subsequent reports filed with the SEC.

These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore you should not put undue reliance on them. These statements represent our views only as of the date of this call and are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we currently expect.

We refer you to our recent SEC filings, including our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events.

During today's call, we will discuss some non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are available in our earnings press release and our SEC filings, which are available in the Investor Relations section of our website.

Now I'd like to turn it over to our Board Chair and Co-CEO, David Kim.

[Wook Kim, executive]

Thank you, Tom, and good afternoon, everyone. In the second quarter, we continued executing on our strategic growth initiatives to expand GEN's geographic coverage and overall market share. This quarter, we delivered another strong revenue performance, achieving a 16% year-over-year increase in total revenue for the second quarter in a row while delivering a restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA margin ahead of our expectations at 19% due to operational efficiencies.

I'm proud to say that we exceeded nearly all consensus estimate as we continue to deliver on the strategy we've laid out. With the sustained profitability of existing stores, strong revenue growth from new stores and ongoing cost optimization initiatives, we're well positioned to continue executing through the remainder of the year. For those of you who are newer to our story, I always like to start these calls by giving you a recap of who GEN Korean BBQ is, what differentiates us and why our model positions us for sustainable future growth.

GEN Korean BBQ is an all-you-can-eat full service cook-it-yourself at your table casual dining restaurant concept that offers consumers a variety of best-in-class proteins as well as solid alternatives across both lunch and dinner at affordable all-inclusive price. Our unique business model both optimizes and minimizes kitchen staff and space, allowing us to offer consumers an exceptional dining experience at an incredible value, which is our core proposition.

Going forward, we expect our proven model to generate at least, on average, a cash-on-cash return of 40% in a payback period of approximately 2 to 2.5 years driven by an average of $4 million to $5 million in annual unit volume and restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% to 20%. It's worth noting that our payback period includes preopening costs. If you were to exclude these costs as some of our other peers do, we are at an even more attractive level of less than 2 years. For further context, our 10 most recent new restaurants are showing 2.5 years payback and getting better.

Overall, we're bullish on the long-term potential of our concept. Further underscoring our confidence is the increasing popularity of Asian dining concepts across the millennial and gen Z age group. In fact, we have seen ample press coverage over the past several months on this very topic. Reputable outlets such as Nation's Restaurant News, FSR, CNN and others have all cited this shift towards Asian-focused cuisine, driven by both changing ethnic demographics and younger audience seeking new and unique flavor profiles.

We are proud to be at the forefront of this emerging trend and believe we have the necessary expansion strategy in place to continue introducing our unique and innovative concepts to many new customers.

Now let's dive into our restaurant development. In the second quarter, we opened new restaurants in Jacksonville, Florida, bringing our total stores for 2024 up to 3. We also began construction on 7 additional locations across the country. We expect to open 1 restaurant next month and the remaining 6 by the end of the year or sooner. As a result, with these planned new locations making significant progress towards opening, we're adjusting our guidance from 8 new restaurants to 10 to 11 new restaurants for 2024.

In addition to the 10 to 11 restaurants in 2024, we have 11 or more locations with leases either being signed or in the process of being signed. Also, we have 15 to 20 additional leases and negotiations, which should lead to our 2026 projections. We're raising the bottom end of our guidance for the end of 2026 and now expect to have 75 to 80 locations. Looking ahead to our overarching expansion road map, we are experiencing strong momentum and maintain high confidence in achieving our long-term growth goals.

Moving forward, our robust pipeline of new restaurant openings and lease agreements reflect our confidence in scaling our footprint and achieving our growth targets. With a solid foundation, a profitable operating model and a healthy balance sheet, we're achieving sustained success and are committed to delivering significant value to our shareholders in the years ahead. Thank you for your continued support and partnership on this exciting journey.

I would now like to turn the call over to our CFO, Tom Croal, to discuss our second quarter results in more detail.

[Thomas Croal, executive]

Thank you, David. For the second quarter, revenue increased 15.9% to $53.9 million compared to $46.5 million in the second quarter of 2023, driven primarily by new unit openings, including our latest location in Jacksonville.

I'd like to touch on how the broader economic landscape is affecting our customers and what we experienced in the second quarter. Overall, consumers are certainly feeling the pressure of persistent inflation, causing them to be more aware of their spending. While other macro data such as employment rates and wage growth aren't signaling any long-term concerns, softer consumer spending impacted the restaurant industry as a whole this quarter.

GEN is not immune to these trends in that we did experience a 5.6% decline in same-store sales growth. We have locations generating both positive and negative same-store sales comps, but the negative decline was primarily driven by 5 underperforming locations. Without these 5 locations, we would have generated a positive same-store sales figure through June 30. Two of these restaurants have had 3 to 4 new competitors open up in the area, and 1 restaurant was impacted by a new restaurant we opened in the same area.

However, it's important to note that while these locations are offsetting the overall same-store sales figures, they are all well within our internal profitability targets and contributed $4.4 million of restaurant-level EBITDA during the 6 months ended June 30. It would be foolish to shut down any of these 5 restaurants just to improve our same-store sales. Further, with only 33 restaurants in our same-store analysis, the sample size is too small to get any clear indication. Our next 10 to 15 restaurants will be outside of California, which should normalize our same-store sales ratio in the future.

We are also constantly evaluating our menu options and introducing new items to keep the experience fresh for new customers while ensuring we remain on top of broader consumer trends. We recently introduced our premium menu, for example, has created single-digit sales comp improvement at several of our restaurants. We will continue to look for further opportunities to drive customer interest while also improving our financial performance.

Turning to expenses. Cost of goods sold as a percentage of company restaurant sales increased year-over-year by 110 basis points to 32.9%, largely due to slightly higher food costs associated with the implementation and integration of our premium menu. Cost of goods sold declined 50 basis points on a sequential basis compared to the first quarter of 2024.

Payroll and benefits as a percentage of company restaurant sales decreased 40 basis points year-over-year and decreased 140 basis points sequentially to 30.4%. Occupancy expenses as a percentage of company restaurant sales increased by 20 basis points year-over-year to 8.1% because of new restaurant openings over the last 12 months. On a sequential basis, occupancy expenses as a percentage of restaurant sales declined by 20 basis points from the first quarter to the second quarter.

Other operating expenses as a percentage of company restaurant sales increased 60 basis points year-over-year to 9.9%, but decreased by 10 basis points from the first quarter of 2024. Overall, we are tightly managing our costs throughout the organization and pleased with our sequential decreases across the board. Adjusted restaurant-level EBITDA as a percentage of total revenue was 19% for the quarter compared to 20.4% in the second quarter of 2023. The year-over-year decline was primarily due to the previously mentioned increase in costs.

Most importantly, though, I'd like to highlight that adjusted restaurant-level EBITDA improved sequentially by 240 basis points compared to the first quarter of 2024 as we continue to focus on this metric through operational efficiencies G&A during the second quarter was approximately $4.3 million or 8% of revenue excluding stock-based compensation, which is consistent with our first quarter 2024 results.

The year-over-year increase in G&A is largely due to the addition of new personnel needed for new restaurant development, along with public company costs, which weren't present in the second quarter of 2023 because we were a private company. Since we went public in June of 2023, our third quarter of 2024 will be the first quarter that is comparable on a year-over-year basis.

Adjusted EBITDA was $4.9 million net of preopening costs compared to $6.3 million for the second quarter of 2023. While adjusted EBITDA decreased year-over-year primarily due to increases in G&A that I just mentioned, our second quarter adjusted EBITDA came in higher than indicated by estimates. Without preopening costs, adjusted EBITDA would be approximately $6.5 million. Our net income was $2.1 million compared to net income of $4.5 million in the second quarter of 2023. This decline is driven by the same factors I mentioned earlier, primarily due to increased G&A.

Turning to liquidity. As of June 30, we had $29.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, and we carried no long-term debt except for $5 million in government-funded EIDL loans, which we had when we went public. We also have $20 million available in our revolving line of credit. Although we incurred $8.4 million of development costs and additionally paid $3 million for the purchase of the remaining ownership of our Hawaii business during the first 6 months of the year for a total of $11.4 million spent, our cash only decreased by $3.4 million from $32.6 million at December 31 and to $29.2 million at June 30.

Our cash flow has been so strong that we've been able to internally finance almost all of our development without having to use cash or debt. Since we went public in 2023, we have funded $21 million in development costs without depleting our cash balance or incurring any debt. As I've said before, I'd like to restate that GEN continues to generate strong free cash flow, a trend we anticipate continuing throughout the remainder of the year.

This concludes our prepared remarks. We'd like to thank you again for joining us on this call today, and we are now happy to answer any questions you may have. Operator, please open the line for questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jeremy Hamblin with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

[Jeremy Hamblin, analyst]

Congrats on the strong profitability here. I wanted to just ask a little bit deeper on the same-store sales trends and a little bit of a softening here that you're seeing. Can you give us a sense for the cadence of same-store sales trends during the quarter and then how things have started off here to start Q3?

[Wook Kim, executive]

Okay. So the -- so you're talking about after the quarter, June 30, right?

[Jeremy Hamblin, analyst]

Yes. Just to clarify, get a sense for during the second quarter, which months were your strongest and kind of the magnitude of that, and then how things have started out here in July.

[Wook Kim, executive]

So April started off pretty strong, and then it started to taper down. July is -- has not started strong, it's tapered down. But I want to reiterate our position of negative comp. Right now, we don't have enough sample sizes. We are concentrated close to 50% in one region, which is California, and the rest is spread out. The subsequent openings that we have going forward for the next 2 years is probably all outside of California, maybe one store in San Diego coming up.

So what does that mean? California is probably the most that's impacted in terms of sales. But in our case, it's not all restaurants that are all negative. We have positive ones and negative ones. But when we started to go into a lot of details, 5 of the restaurants, which were high-volume restaurants, were impacted a lot due to competition. When there are stores that open 3 to 4 stores in your immediate neighbor or immediate area, by default, each new competitor is going to chip away sales in small increments.

So just by default, if one opens up, we'll probably lose 3% to 5% and they add up. So at this time, as a company, we're not too concerned about the negative comps because it's not an even spread out issue here. So as we open up more restaurants and we get to closer to the 80 or 100 restaurants, we'll have a better view of what the negative or positive comps are.

And I'd like to reiterate again another subject here is as a company, as a philosophy, it is not going to change. We're going to continuously make profits. We're going to continuously use the cash flow to grow. And our concept is to take off and return our internal rate of return to try to achieve between 2 and 2.5 years. And that model will not change, and we'll continue that process here.

So yes, we are concerned about the softening of consumers' behaviors, but we're dealing with those issues with combating with new product and new drinks. And there are some other things that we're doing now that we haven't really pulled the Street yet. We are not going to announce it until we actually test it and see what the results are.

[Jeremy Hamblin, analyst]

Great. Helpful color. I also wanted to ask about one of those new things. In terms of your -- the premium menu, which I think, in June, you launched across your chain, what is the attachment rate? What is the portion of your orders that are coming from the premium menu or kind of that $20 upsell that you're getting in your restaurants? And how is that performing, let's say, in larger markets versus, let's say, smaller or lower income markets? Or is there any notable difference?

[Wook Kim, executive]

We haven't seen notable difference in certain markets other than we have restaurants that are -- it makes up 2% more in sales. Some stores make up 10%. It's very inconsistent right now. But one of the consistencies -- again, we just only saw it in one restaurant, we'll find out more when we open the other one next month, is the practice of upselling. As a company's culture, we were so focused on turning table, we did not have a product line to train our staff to suggest these different, higher-priced products.

So when we introduce and roll out these higher-priced products, we had a little issue with our staff actually falling through the upselling process because they weren't used to it. So we are still going through that process now. We're not -- we are nowhere close to executing that practice. But the ones that have came on board and followed our process to upsell and train staff and stay on top of staff, they actually are showing better results. Therefore, we are putting a lot of focus these days on training our staff to do more upselling of these new higher-end products.

[Jeremy Hamblin, analyst]

Great. And then last one, just related to the premium menu. I noticed that your cost of goods sold sequentially improved in Q2 versus Q1 but a bit more degradation to the food cost margin in Q2, which you noted was related to that kind of the uptake in the premium menu.

I would imagine that maybe there's some -- on a go-forward basis, some scale advantages related to rolling that out to the entire chain, but in terms of thinking about food costs going forward here for the remainder of the year, is that something where you feel like that's kind of settled into a more targeted area in terms of your margin profile? Do you feel like the premium menu pricing is at the right price point? Or is there any potential for experimentation around that?

[Wook Kim, executive]

We think there is more room for experimental around that at this point. It is still not very clear because of the inconsistencies throughout the restaurant. So when we get more consistencies, we can kind of find that. We don't see any uptick in food cost in the future at this point. So yes, quarter-on-quarter, we've been improving, but we still have some areas to improve if we compare it to last year. So we're still experimenting in some areas right now.

[Operator]

Our next question is from Todd Brooks with The Benchmark Company.

[Todd Brooks, analyst]

If we can start on -- and you rightfully made the point that ex 1 data point, you guys really outstripped consensus expectations for the quarter. I wanted to dig in on -- with the same-store sales performance coming in down in that 5.6% range, how well are the non-California markets performing to plan to allow you to deliver the revenue upside that you did?

[Wook Kim, executive]

Is your question pertaining to the existing stores that have the 1-year -- year-over-year comparison, or the brand new stores we just opened?

[Todd Brooks, analyst]

Really, I'm talking about the total base, David. So I know that the comp base is largely California-located, but I know that the total sales result was substantially above what people were looking for an estimate. So you more than offset the kind of greater-than-expected comp weakness, what has to be strong performance in the stores that aren't in the same-store sales base yet?

[Thomas Croal, executive]

Yes. Todd, that's right. We've done very well at our new restaurants that have opened up during the last year. And of course, everyone is a little bit different, but overall, they're -- as a group, they're above expectations. And that directly is impacting our ability to beat the numbers.

[Todd Brooks, analyst]

Okay. Great. And then the second question, if we think about the impressive kind of lift in margins that you saw getting back to that 19% level in Q2, it sounds like from the quarter-to-date, qualitative commentary that you gave, David, that we haven't -- we've seen a little bit more of a degradation in same-store sales performance. But how sturdy should that margin be in the second half, knowing that you guys are working diligently on the cost side of the equation?

[Wook Kim, executive]

Our target is still 20% four-wall, and we are marching towards that. Now as we get closer and we are getting very in detail, looking at every aspect of this, it's not -- it's harder to gain a percentage, but -- we think we can get there, okay? Can we get to 22%? No. But can we get to 20%? We're very close.

[Todd Brooks, analyst]

Okay. Great. And then a final one for me. It looks like you found sources of labor efficiency during the course of the quarter. GEN is a growth company. You need bodies to help fuel that growth. I guess where have you found efficiencies that you've extracted on the labor line? And how sturdy are those going forward as you continue to grow?

[Wook Kim, executive]

Okay. So 2 ways, there's always areas to improve, okay, because we are focused in the day-to-day operations. But besides that, as we grow outside of California, California being the most expensive state for labor, as we open more restaurants outside and the ones that we already opened are coming in line to compare, the labor cost will by default go down because other states are lower than Southern California. So when we -- when the Southern California, let's say, store becomes 25% of the overall company, not 50%, our labor cost by default will get better.

[Operator]

Our next question is from George Kelly with ROTH MKM.

[George Kelly, analyst]

So maybe to follow up on that last question, David, if you could. I'm curious, as you open restaurants outside of California and really focused outside of California, like could you highlight the different sort of unit level economic profile? Like what do you expect one of these new restaurants in a place that you're more focused now, be it Florida or Texas versus one of your legacy California restaurants, how does that unit economic profile differ?

[Wook Kim, executive]

We were looking at that too, intently. But actually, we have low-volume stores in, let's say, Florida, but the low-volume stores that we were talking about last year, they all came up in sales, again in EBITDA. So we're saying, well, maybe outside of California, it's taking a little longer to get the sales up because it's less known. But some areas like in Texas, we opened and sales are very high.

So there's no like specific areas where we can pinpoint is good and bad. Seattle, tremendous amount of sales that we're doing. I didn't expect that. So it's all over the map right now. So we're maybe looking at to see, is it site selection that we have, that we have an issue on the low volume versus the high volume? Our criteria hasn't changed.

So again, not enough sampling right now. And we are going into some new areas. Next -- in the first quarter of next year, we should start building those out and see how they perform, but it's not consistent.

[George Kelly, analyst]

Okay. Understood. And then next question, still on new openings. So if you're able to execute on your updated guidance, call it, 10 this year, that gets you still right around 30 shy of where you expect to be at the midpoint of your end '26 guidance that you just mentioned, the 75 to 80. And so I guess the question is, what is the kind of cadence of openings next year and in '26? I mean, should it be 15 openings next year?

And then the second part of the question, is where -- I'm sure you have a pretty good view right now of your '25 openings, at least. Are there geographies where you're expecting to really focus on and densify? And what are those, if you don't mind sharing?

[Wook Kim, executive]

Sure. To answer the second question, we are opening in areas that we're very strong in, okay, with sales and EBITDA. So we'll continue to grow those areas. So for example, let's say, for every 4 existing markets, we'll open one new existing, okay? We still have to plant something in areas that we're not there yet. But we are going to focus on -- so all these openings are in areas that we are doing well in, and then a small portion of that will be in new areas. So I think I've answered that question. What was your first question again? I apologize, George.

[George Kelly, analyst]

This year, if you end with just shy of 50 restaurants, that still leaves you like almost 30 for the next 2 years. And I'm just curious, will it be 15 next year? Like how many openings should we expect next year?

[Wook Kim, executive]

I think we'll -- on the next call, when we give our guidance for 2025, we were going to announce 11 or 12 but we have more than what our -- like, for example, next quarter, why we are able to let you know that we can open so many stores by the end of the year is because once we start construction, then we're in a lot control of the destiny of when these restaurants can open. But up to getting the building permit is where we don't have a lot of control because it's controlled by a government agency.

Having said that, we were going to announce maybe 11 or 12, but we have a lot more that we are negotiating with landlords than what we are telling the Street of 75 to 80. We'll probably do more than that, but right now, that's a number -- a conservative number we're comfortable with as of today.

[George Kelly, analyst]

Okay. Understood. Last question for me is just on your fiscal year '24 guidance. You, last quarter, gave us revenue and four-wall margin guidance. And I didn't hear any kind of update on the -- in your prepared remarks. Just curious if there's any kind of update.

[Thomas Croal, executive]

Yes. I think at this point on the revenue side, we're sticking with our range that we gave before, probably closer to the higher end of the range. And then on the margin, we said we would be approaching 18%. We're already there, obviously. So we're doing a little bit better. But as David said, the goal is to get to 20%, and we're working as hard as we can as fast as we can to get there.

[Operator]

We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Kim for closing remarks.

[Wook Kim, executive]

Thank you very much for being on this call. We are just very focused in what we do. So yes, there's -- there are issues out there, political issues with consumer spending, but we're not deviating from what we said we will achieve. So thank you very much for listening and believing in us.

[Operator]

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.