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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
NASDAQ:FWRG

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First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
NASDAQ:FWRG
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Price: 13.12 USD 1.63% Market Closed
Market Cap: $802.2m

P/FCFE

44.8
Current
14%
Cheaper
vs 3-y average of 52.3

Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.

P/FCFE
44.8
=
Market Cap
$694.5m
/
Free Cash Flow to Equity
$17.9m

Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio compares a company`s market value to the free cash flow available to its shareholders. It`s similar to the P/OCF ratio but more precise, since it accounts for capital expenditures deducted from operating cash flow.

P/FCFE
44.8
=
Market Cap
$694.5m
/
Free Cash Flow to Equity
$17.9m

Valuation Scenarios

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc is trading below its 3-year average

If P/FCFE returns to its 3-Year Average (52.3), the stock would be worth $15.32 (17% upside from current price).

Statistics
Positive Scenarios
1/4
Maximum Downside
-51%
Maximum Upside
+17%
Average Downside
29%
Scenario P/FCFE Value Implied Price Upside/Downside
Current Multiple 44.8 $13.12
0%
3-Year Average 52.3 $15.32
+17%
5-Year Average 27 $7.9
-40%
Industry Average 25.7 $7.53
-43%
Country Average 21.9 $6.41
-51%

Forward P/FCFE
Today’s price vs future free cash flow to equity

Not enough data available to calculate forward P/FCFE

Peer Comparison

All Multiples
P/FCFE
P/E
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/FCFE P/E
US
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
NASDAQ:FWRG
802.1m USD 44.8 41.3
US
McDonald's Corp
NYSE:MCD
209.1B USD 29.4 24.4
US
Starbucks Corp
NASDAQ:SBUX
120B USD 57 87.6
UK
Compass Group PLC
LSE:CPG
44.8B GBP 0.2 0.3
US
Yum! Brands Inc
NYSE:YUM
44.2B USD 25.5 28.4
US
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
NYSE:CMG
44.3B USD 30.6 28.9
CA
Restaurant Brands International Inc
NYSE:QSR
28B USD 76.4 36
IN
Eternal Ltd
NSE:ETERNAL
2.3T INR -117.5 972.1
US
Darden Restaurants Inc
NYSE:DRI
23B USD 22.1 20.8
JP
Friendly Corp
TSE:8209
2.9T JPY 279.2 -6.5

Market Distribution

Higher than 76% of companies in the United States of America
Percentile
76th
Based on 7 576 companies
76th percentile
44.8
Low
0 — 13.1
Typical Range
13.1 — 36.5
High
36.5 —
Distribution Statistics
the United States of America
Min 0
30th Percentile 13.1
Median 21.9
70th Percentile 36.5
Max 3 188 432.5

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
Glance View

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc. has carved out a unique niche in the competitive landscape of the restaurant industry, captivating the morning and brunch crowd since its inception in 1983. The company, primarily focused on breakfast, brunch, and lunch, has grown into a beloved chain known for its fresh, made-to-order offerings and vibrant atmosphere. Guests are often greeted by the aroma of freshly brewed coffee and the sight of enticing menus featuring everything from classic breakfast staples to health-conscious options like avocado toast and superfood bowls. First Watch prides itself on its commitment to quality ingredients, transparency, and innovation, all of which are part of its DNA and are evident in both its seasonal menu changes and its sustainable sourcing practices. With more than 400 locations spread across the United States, the company has successfully expanded while maintaining a consistent brand image that resonates with its target market. The operational model of First Watch revolves around getting diners in and out efficiently during the morning and early afternoon hours, operating typically from 7 a.m. to 2:30 p.m. This strategy allows for a focused business that maximizes revenue during peak hours while minimizing overhead costs associated with extended operating hours. By concentrating on daytime dining, First Watch manages to cultivate a unique guest experience that specializes in the early-day meal occasions. Revenue is primarily generated through dine-in services, but the company has also adapted to meet changing consumer preferences by incorporating takeout and delivery options. Additionally, First Watch benefits from a loyal customer base that values the consistent quality and innovation of its offerings, further cementing its position as a leader in the daytime dining industry. This dedication to a specific market segment, combined with a clear focus on customer experience and operational efficiency, forms the bedrock of First Watch's business model and financial success.

FWRG Intrinsic Value
21.16 USD
Undervaluation 38%
Intrinsic Value
Price $13.12
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