First Solar Inc
NASDAQ:FSLR
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FSLR stock under the Base Case scenario is 373.07 USD. Compared to the current market price of 190.45 USD, First Solar Inc is Undervalued by 49%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
First Solar Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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First Solar Inc. is a leading American solar energy company that stands at the forefront of the transition to renewable energy solutions. Founded in 1999, First Solar has carved out a niche in the photovoltaic market by specializing in the manufacture of thin-film solar modules. Unlike traditional silicon-based solar cells, First Solar’s technology utilizes cadmium telluride, which offers a lower carbon footprint and more efficient energy production under varying environmental conditions. The company not only focuses on solar module production but also plays a significant role in developing utility-scale solar energy projects, thereby solidifying its position as a key player in global effort...
First Solar Inc. is a leading American solar energy company that stands at the forefront of the transition to renewable energy solutions. Founded in 1999, First Solar has carved out a niche in the photovoltaic market by specializing in the manufacture of thin-film solar modules. Unlike traditional silicon-based solar cells, First Solar’s technology utilizes cadmium telluride, which offers a lower carbon footprint and more efficient energy production under varying environmental conditions. The company not only focuses on solar module production but also plays a significant role in developing utility-scale solar energy projects, thereby solidifying its position as a key player in global efforts to reduce carbon emissions and combat climate change.
For investors looking to tap into the burgeoning renewable energy sector, First Solar presents a compelling opportunity. With rising awareness and regulatory support for sustainable energy, the demand for solar solutions is expected to skyrocket in the coming years. The company has continuously demonstrated robust financial performance, with strong revenue growth driven by expanding production capabilities and strategic partnerships. Additionally, First Solar is investing heavily in innovation, including energy storage technologies and recycling initiatives for its modules, ensuring it not only meets current market needs but is also poised for long-term sustainability and profitability. As the world shifts toward clean energy, First Solar stands as a beacon of growth potential, making it an attractive prospect for conscientious investors.
First Solar, Inc. operates primarily in the renewable energy sector, specifically focusing on solar energy solutions. The company's core business segments can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Photovoltaic (PV) Module Manufacturing:
- First Solar is one of the world's largest manufacturers of thin-film photovoltaic modules. They utilize a unique cadmium telluride (CdTe) technology, which provides a more sustainable and efficient alternative compared to traditional silicon-based solar panels. This segment caters to various markets, including utility-scale solar projects, commercial applications, and residential installations.
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Utility-Scale Solar Power Plants:
- First Solar develops, constructs, and operates large-scale solar power plants. This segment includes the installation of solar arrays that generate significant amounts of energy, typically feeding into the electrical grid. The company focuses on large utility projects, providing energy to utility companies and contributing to long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs).
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Project Development:
- In this segment, First Solar engages in the development of solar energy projects from inception to completion. This includes site acquisition, permit processing, financing, and project management. The company also focuses on building strong relationships with investors and utilities to facilitate the growth of its project pipeline.
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Operations and Maintenance (O&M):
- First Solar provides operations and maintenance services for solar power plants it has developed, as well as for third-party installations. This segment includes monitoring performance, ensuring optimal operation of solar power systems, and providing maintenance services to enhance energy production and system lifespan.
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Energy Sales:
- Through its developed projects, First Solar also engages in energy sales, where it sells electricity generated from its solar facilities directly to utilities and other customers under long-term contracts. This strategically aligns with their goal of securing stable, recurring revenue streams.
Each of these segments plays a crucial role in First Solar's overall strategy to promote sustainable energy solutions and drive growth in the solar market, supporting its commitment to reducing dependence on fossil fuels and contributing to a cleaner environment.
First Solar Inc., a leading manufacturer of solar panels and provider of utility-scale PV solar power plants, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Thin-Film Technology: First Solar specializes in cadmium telluride (CdTe) thin-film solar technology. This technology allows for the production of solar panels that are generally more efficient under low-light conditions and have a smaller carbon footprint compared to traditional silicon-based solar panels.
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Cost Efficiency: First Solar has achieved significant cost reductions in its manufacturing processes over the years. Their focus on thin-film technology enables them to produce solar panels at lower costs, which can translate into cheaper prices for consumers and projects.
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Vertical Integration: First Solar's business model incorporates vertical integration, allowing them to control various aspects of the solar value chain, from manufacturing to plant development. This enables better quality control, reduced costs, and improved margins.
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Experience and Scale: As one of the largest solar manufacturers in the world, First Solar benefits from economies of scale, which allow them to lower production costs. Their extensive track record also instills confidence in customers and investors regarding their operational capabilities and reliability.
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Strong U.S. Presence: First Solar is one of the few major solar manufacturers based in the United States. This strategic positioning allows them to serve domestic markets effectively, especially with increasing government support for renewable energy.
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Environmental and Sustainability Focus: First Solar has a strong commitment to sustainability and recycling, offering a end-of-life recycling program for their solar panels. This focus on sustainability resonates well with environmentally conscious consumers and investors.
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Long-Term Contracts and Offtake Agreements: The company often secures long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and large corporations. These agreements provide stable revenue streams and minimize market volatility risks.
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Robust Research and Development: First Solar invests significantly in R&D to improve its technology and product offerings. This focus on innovation enables them to stay competitive in a rapidly evolving market.
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Strong Financial Position: Having a strong balance sheet allows First Solar to invest in new technologies, expansions, and weather economic downturns more effectively than many rivals, providing it with a competitive edge.
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Global Project Development Expertise: First Solar has developed a strong pipeline of projects worldwide, which gives them valuable expertise in navigating regional regulations, permitting processes, and market conditions.
These competitive advantages provide First Solar with the ability to maintain a leadership position in the solar energy market and to adapt to the evolving landscape of renewable energy.
First Solar Inc., a leading provider of solar energy solutions, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Changes: The solar energy industry is heavily influenced by government policies, including incentives, tariffs, and environmental regulations. Changes in these policies can impact First Solar’s profitability and market position.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The solar industry relies on a complex supply chain for raw materials like silicon, glass, and metals. Disruptions (e.g., due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics) can affect production costs and timelines.
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Competition: The renewable energy sector is highly competitive, with numerous players entering the market. First Solar faces competition not only from other solar manufacturers but also from alternative energy sources.
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Technological Advances: Rapid advancements in solar technology can render existing products obsolete. First Solar must continuously innovate to remain competitive and meet the evolving demands of the market.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or instability can reduce investments in renewable energy projects, affecting demand for solar products. Factors such as inflation or changes in interest rates may also influence consumer spending and investments.
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Market Demand Variability: Fluctuations in demand for solar installations can affect sales and revenue. Seasonal demand or changes in consumer preferences might create volatility in earnings.
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Project Financing: The need for significant upfront capital investment in new projects can be a barrier. Access to financing may be affected by various factors, including credit market conditions and interest rates.
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Environmental and Social Risks: The public and regulatory scrutiny regarding environmental impacts can pose challenges. Any negative publicity or challenges related to sustainability can harm the company's reputation and sales.
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Labor Shortages: As the industry expands, finding skilled labor might become increasingly difficult, which can lead to increased operational costs and project delays.
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Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing trade tensions, particularly with major manufacturing countries, can impact tariffs and trade relations, affecting the overall cost structures for First Solar.
By being aware of these risks and challenges, First Solar can better strategize its operations and navigate the competitive landscape in the renewable energy sector.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
First Solar Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
First Solar Inc
Current Assets | 3.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 904.1m |
Other Current Assets | 1.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 7.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 211.1m |
PP&E | 5.5B |
Intangibles | 86.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.8B |
Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Accounts Payable | 265.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 500.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 403.1m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
First Solar Inc
Revenue
|
3.9B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.1B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
1.8B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-464m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
1.3B
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-80m
USD
|
Net Income
|
1.2B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
First Solar Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, First Solar achieved record production of 3.8 gigawatts but faced setbacks from a $50 million product warranty charge. The company maintains a solid backlog of 73.3 gigawatts, with net bookings up to 4 gigawatts year-to-date. Revenue guidance for 2024 is expected between $4.1 billion and $4.25 billion. Notably, they anticipate earnings per diluted share of $13 to $13.50. Moving forward, First Solar will enhance production capabilities through new facilities, projecting over 14 gigawatts in U.S. capacity by 2026, despite uncertainties in India and the broader solar industry landscape.
What is Earnings Call?
FSLR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
First Solar Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
First Solar Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FSLR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
First Solar Inc's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
First Solar Inc's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FSLR Price Targets Summary
First Solar Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FSLR is 297.18 USD with a low forecast of 202 USD and a high forecast of 386.4 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FSLR is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
First Solar, Inc. engages in designing, manufacturing, marketing, and the distribution of photovoltaic solar power systems and solar modules. The company is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona and currently employs 4,800 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-11-17. The firm manufactures and sells PV solar modules with a semiconductor technology, which provides an alternative to conventional crystalline silicone PV solar modules. The firm operates through two segments: Modules Business and Other. Its Modules Business segment is involved in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of CdTe solar modules, which convert sunlight into electricity. Third-party customers of modules business segment include developers and operators of PV solar power systems. Its Other segment is engaged in residual business operations, which includes project development activities, and operations and maintenance (O&M) services. Its residual business is primarily concentrated in Japan, as well as the results of operations from PV solar power systems it owns and operates in certain international regions.
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The intrinsic value of one FSLR stock under the Base Case scenario is 373.07 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 190.45 USD, First Solar Inc is Undervalued by 49%.