Freshpet Inc
NASDAQ:FRPT
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FRPT stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.1 USD. Compared to the current market price of 156.76 USD, Freshpet Inc is Overvalued by 69%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Freshpet Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Freshpet Inc
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Freshpet Inc. is a pioneering company in the pet food industry, dedicated to providing fresh, refrigerated meals for pets, particularly dogs and cats. Founded in 2006, Freshpet has positioned itself as a leader in the rapidly growing segment of natural and healthy pet food options. Unlike traditional dry or canned pet food, Freshpet leverages high-quality, natural ingredients, which it delivers to consumers through a unique distribution model that includes partnerships with major grocery chains and pet specialty stores. This innovative approach has resonated strongly with pet owners who seek wholesome alternatives for their furry companions, reflected in the robust growth rates and expanding...
Freshpet Inc. is a pioneering company in the pet food industry, dedicated to providing fresh, refrigerated meals for pets, particularly dogs and cats. Founded in 2006, Freshpet has positioned itself as a leader in the rapidly growing segment of natural and healthy pet food options. Unlike traditional dry or canned pet food, Freshpet leverages high-quality, natural ingredients, which it delivers to consumers through a unique distribution model that includes partnerships with major grocery chains and pet specialty stores. This innovative approach has resonated strongly with pet owners who seek wholesome alternatives for their furry companions, reflected in the robust growth rates and expanding market presence that Freshpet has achieved over the past decade.
Investors looking at Freshpet will find a company that is tapping into a significant trend toward premiumization in pet food, fueled by the increasing humanization of pets and a desire for transparency in ingredients. With a commitment to sustainability, Freshpet uses no artificial preservatives or fillers and embraces eco-friendly practices in its operations. As the pet industry continues to thrive and consumer preferences shift towards healthier options, Freshpet is in a prime position to capture market share and drive long-term value. The company's strategic focus on scale, product innovation, and expanding distribution channels suggests an optimistic outlook, making it a compelling option for investors aiming to tap into the evolving landscape of pet care.
Freshpet Inc. primarily operates in the pet food industry, focusing on producing and marketing fresh, refrigerated pet food products for dogs and cats. The core business segments of Freshpet Inc. can be categorized as follows:
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Dog Food Products: This segment includes a variety of freshly prepared meals, treats, and snacks designed specifically for dogs. Freshpet offers different formulations that cater to various dietary needs and preferences. This includes recipes made from high-quality proteins, vegetables, and grains, emphasizing natural ingredients without preservatives.
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Cat Food Products: Similar to its dog food line, Freshpet's cat food segment consists of fresh, refrigerated meals and treats. These products are formulated to provide complete nutrition for cats and may include high-quality meats, fish, and complemented by nutrients tailored for feline health.
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Refrigerated Pet Food Market: Freshpet has established itself in the refrigerated pet food category, which differentiates it from many competitors who primarily sell dry or shelf-stable pet foods. This market segment appeals to pet owners looking for fresh, minimally processed food options for their pets.
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Retail Partnerships: Freshpet's business model heavily relies on strategic partnerships with various retail channels, including supermarkets, pet specialty stores, and online platforms. This segment focuses on expanding distribution and increasing brand visibility in retail markets.
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Research and Development (R&D): Although not a direct revenue segment, R&D plays a crucial role in Freshpet’s operations. Continuous innovation to enhance product offerings, improve nutritional profiles, and develop new recipes is vital for maintaining competitiveness in the evolving pet food market.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Freshpet has increasingly focused on sustainable practices, which can also be viewed as a business segment that aligns with consumer preferences. This includes using ethically sourced ingredients and environmentally friendly packaging solutions.
These core segments reflect Freshpet Inc.'s commitment to providing high-quality and health-oriented pet food options while focusing on growth through innovation and retail partnerships. Their emphasis on fresh ingredients and refrigerated products distinguishes them in the competitive pet food landscape.
Freshpet Inc. holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the pet food industry, particularly in the fresh and organic segments. These advantages include:
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Fresh, High-Quality Ingredients: Freshpet emphasizes using high-quality, fresh ingredients that are minimally processed. This approach appeals to health-conscious pet owners who seek nutritious options for their pets.
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Limited Competition in Fresh Refrigerated Pet Food: While the pet food market is vast and includes many dry and canned options, Freshpet’s focus on fresh, refrigerated pet food sets it apart from many traditional competitors. This niche market is growing and offers less direct competition.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Loyalty: Freshpet has cultivated a strong brand identity associated with premium quality and transparency in sourcing ingredients. This reputation fosters customer loyalty among pet owners who prioritize their pets’ health.
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Innovative Product Offerings: The company continuously introduces new products, flavors, and formulations to meet the evolving preferences of pet owners. This innovation helps keep the brand relevant and appealing in a competitive marketplace.
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Sustainability and Ethical Practices: Freshpet prioritizes sustainability in its production processes and packaging, which resonates with environmentally conscious consumers. This positioning can enhance brand appeal and differentiation in the marketplace.
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Strong Distribution Network: Freshpet has established relationships with a range of retailers, including major grocery chains, which allows for effective distribution and visibility for its products.
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Growing Trend Toward Humanization of Pets: As pet owners increasingly view pets as family members, there’s a growing market for premium, nutritious pet foods. Freshpet’s focus on fresh ingredients aligns well with this trend.
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Focus on Transparency and Ingredient Sourcing: Freshpet provides clear information about where its ingredients come from and how its products are made. This level of transparency can build trust with consumers and enhance the brand's reputation.
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Direct-to-Consumer Sales Model: Freshpet also engages in online sales, allowing them to reach a broader audience and providing convenience for customers who prefer shopping from home.
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Commitment to Research and Development: Ongoing investment in R&D enables Freshpet to develop new products that meet emerging consumer demands and address specific health needs for pets.
By leveraging these advantages, Freshpet Inc. is positioned well to compete in the evolving landscape of the pet food industry, catering to a growing segment of health-conscious pet owners.
Freshpet Inc., a company focused on producing fresh, refrigerated pet food, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: As seen during the global pandemic, disruptions in the supply chain can affect ingredient availability, production timelines, and costs. Freshpet relies on high-quality, fresh ingredients, and any fluctuation could impact their ability to maintain product quality and availability.
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Increased Competition: The pet food industry is becoming increasingly competitive, with many new entrants and established brands expanding into the fresh pet food category. This competition can lead to price pressures and require Freshpet to increase marketing expenses to differentiate itself.
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Consumer Trends and Preferences: The pet food market is influenced by changing consumer preferences, including health and wellness trends. If Freshpet fails to keep up with evolving customer demands or preferences (like sustainability, organic ingredients, or plant-based options), it may risk losing market share.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can impact discretionary spending, including pet food purchases. If consumers choose to cut back on spending, Freshpet’s premium pricing strategy may be challenged.
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Regulatory Compliance: The food industry is heavily regulated, and Freshpet must continuously comply with safety and quality regulations. Changes in regulations or compliance failures could result in fines, product recalls, or reputational damage.
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Distribution Challenges: As a relatively niche product in pet food, Freshpet's distribution might face challenges, notably in getting their products into more retail channels or ensuring consistent availability in stores.
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Operational Scalability: As demand increases, Freshpet must scale its operations efficiently while maintaining quality. Missteps in scaling production or distribution could undermine customer satisfaction and brand loyalty.
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Market Saturation: The fresh pet food market is growing, but as it matures, Freshpet may face challenges related to market saturation, making it harder to capture new customers without significant marketing investment.
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Brand Loyalty and Customer Retention: While Freshpet has a loyal consumer base, maintaining this loyalty in a market with a plethora of choices can be a challenge. They need to ensure excellent customer experience and value to keep consumers from switching to competitors.
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Innovation and Product Development: To stay relevant, Freshpet must continuously innovate its product offerings. Failing to adapt to new trends or consumer demands could render their product lineup obsolete.
Addressing these challenges effectively will be crucial for Freshpet's sustained growth and success in the pet food market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Freshpet Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Freshpet Inc
Current Assets | 421.3m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 274.6m |
Receivables | 65m |
Other Current Assets | 81.7m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 33.4m |
PP&E | 1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 33.3m |
Current Liabilities | 89.2m |
Accounts Payable | 35.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 50.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 421m |
Long-Term Debt | 418.5m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Freshpet Inc
Revenue
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927.9m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-568.3m
USD
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Gross Profit
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359.6m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-324.1m
USD
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Operating Income
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35.6m
USD
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Other Expenses
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8.5m
USD
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Net Income
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44.1m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Freshpet Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3, Freshpet reported net sales of $253.4 million, up 26% year-over-year, with adjusted gross margins rising to 46.5%. The company credits improved input costs and quality, alongside robust logistics management. They raised their 2024 net sales guidance from $965 million to $975 million, reflecting anticipated strong operational efficiency and ongoing capacity expansions. Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased from $140 million to at least $155 million. As Freshpet advances toward its 2027 target of 20 million households, it continues to enhance its competitive position in the pet food market, focusing on increased media investment expected to exceed last year's by 50%.
What is Earnings Call?
FRPT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Freshpet Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Freshpet Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FRPT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Freshpet Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Freshpet Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FRPT Price Targets Summary
Freshpet Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FRPT is 175.32 USD with a low forecast of 155.54 USD and a high forecast of 198.45 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FRPT is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
FRPT Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Freshpet, Inc. is engaged in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of pet food and pet treats for dogs and cats. The company is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey and currently employs 789 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-11-07. The firm's products consist of dog food, cat food and dog treats. The Company’s products are made according to its nutritional philosophy of fresh, meat-based nutrition and minimal processing. Its recipes include real, fresh meat and varying combinations of vitamin-rich vegetables, leafy greens and antioxidant rich fruits, without the use of preservatives, additives or artificial ingredients. Its products are sold under the Freshpet brand name, with ingredients, packaging and labeling customized by different classes of trade and are available in multiple forms. The company also offers fresh treats across all classes of retail under the Dognation and Dog Joy labels. The company sells its products through a growing network of Company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges. The firm sells its products throughout the United States, Canada and Europe.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one FRPT stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.1 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 156.76 USD, Freshpet Inc is Overvalued by 69%.