Freshpet Inc
NASDAQ:FRPT

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Freshpet Inc
NASDAQ:FRPT
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Price: 156.76 USD 0.12% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.6B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one FRPT stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.1 USD. Compared to the current market price of 156.76 USD, Freshpet Inc is Overvalued by 69%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

FRPT Intrinsic Value
49.1 USD
Overvaluation 69%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Freshpet Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Freshpet Inc

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Business Breakdown

Freshpet Inc. is a pioneering company in the pet food industry, dedicated to providing fresh, refrigerated meals for pets, particularly dogs and cats. Founded in 2006, Freshpet has positioned itself as a leader in the rapidly growing segment of natural and healthy pet food options. Unlike traditional dry or canned pet food, Freshpet leverages high-quality, natural ingredients, which it delivers to consumers through a unique distribution model that includes partnerships with major grocery chains and pet specialty stores. This innovative approach has resonated strongly with pet owners who seek wholesome alternatives for their furry companions, reflected in the robust growth rates and expanding...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Freshpet Inc

Current Assets 421.3m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 274.6m
Receivables 65m
Other Current Assets 81.7m
Non-Current Assets 1.1B
Long-Term Investments 33.4m
PP&E 1B
Other Non-Current Assets 33.3m
Current Liabilities 89.2m
Accounts Payable 35.5m
Accrued Liabilities 50.7m
Other Current Liabilities 3.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 421m
Long-Term Debt 418.5m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Freshpet Inc

Revenue
927.9m USD
Cost of Revenue
-568.3m USD
Gross Profit
359.6m USD
Operating Expenses
-324.1m USD
Operating Income
35.6m USD
Other Expenses
8.5m USD
Net Income
44.1m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Freshpet Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3, Freshpet reported net sales of $253.4 million, up 26% year-over-year, with adjusted gross margins rising to 46.5%. The company credits improved input costs and quality, alongside robust logistics management. They raised their 2024 net sales guidance from $965 million to $975 million, reflecting anticipated strong operational efficiency and ongoing capacity expansions. Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased from $140 million to at least $155 million. As Freshpet advances toward its 2027 target of 20 million households, it continues to enhance its competitive position in the pet food market, focusing on increased media investment expected to exceed last year's by 50%.

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Fundamental Scores

FRPT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Freshpet Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
ROE is Increasing
43/100
Profitability
Score

Freshpet Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

FRPT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Freshpet Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
65/100
Solvency
Score

Freshpet Inc's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

FRPT Price Targets Summary
Freshpet Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast FRPT stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FRPT is 175.32 USD with a low forecast of 155.54 USD and a high forecast of 198.45 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
155.54 USD
1% Downside
Average
Price Target
175.32 USD
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
198.45 USD
27% Upside
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Dividends

Freshpet Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for FRPT is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Ownership

FRPT Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Freshpet Inc Logo
Freshpet Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Food Products

Market Cap

7.6B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Freshpet, Inc. is engaged in the manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of pet food and pet treats for dogs and cats. The company is headquartered in Secaucus, New Jersey and currently employs 789 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-11-07. The firm's products consist of dog food, cat food and dog treats. The Company’s products are made according to its nutritional philosophy of fresh, meat-based nutrition and minimal processing. Its recipes include real, fresh meat and varying combinations of vitamin-rich vegetables, leafy greens and antioxidant rich fruits, without the use of preservatives, additives or artificial ingredients. Its products are sold under the Freshpet brand name, with ingredients, packaging and labeling customized by different classes of trade and are available in multiple forms. The company also offers fresh treats across all classes of retail under the Dognation and Dog Joy labels. The company sells its products through a growing network of Company-owned branded refrigerators, the Freshpet Fridges. The firm sells its products throughout the United States, Canada and Europe.

Contact

NEW JERSEY
Secaucus
400 Plaza Dr Fl 1
+12015204000.0
freshpet.com

IPO

2014-11-07

Employees

789

Officers

CEO & Executive Director
Mr. William B. Cyr
Co-Founder & President
Mr. Scott James Morris
Co-Founder, Senior VP & MD of Europe
Mr. Cathal Walsh
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Todd E. Cunfer
Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Thembeka Machaba
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Nicola J Baty
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Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Nishu Patel
Executive VP of Manufacturing, Technology & Supply Chain
Mr. Jay Dahlgren
Chief Information Officer
Mr. Christopher Kraus
Vice President of Investor Relations
Ms. Rachel Perkins-Ulsh
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one FRPT stock?

The intrinsic value of one FRPT stock under the Base Case scenario is 49.1 USD.

Is FRPT stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 156.76 USD, Freshpet Inc is Overvalued by 69%.

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