Expedia Group Inc
NASDAQ:EXPE
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one EXPE stock under the Base Case scenario is 213.08 USD. Compared to the current market price of 185.43 USD, Expedia Group Inc is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Expedia Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Expedia Group Inc. stands as a prominent player in the global travel industry, operating a suite of leading online travel brands including Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo. Founded in 1996, the company has evolved from a mere travel booking site into a comprehensive platform where millions of travelers can plan, book, and experience their journeys seamlessly. With a robust technological backbone and a user-friendly interface, Expedia leverages data analytics to deliver personalized experiences, making travel accessible and efficient for individuals and families alike. As global travel demand continues to recover post-pandemic, the company is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the...
Expedia Group Inc. stands as a prominent player in the global travel industry, operating a suite of leading online travel brands including Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo. Founded in 1996, the company has evolved from a mere travel booking site into a comprehensive platform where millions of travelers can plan, book, and experience their journeys seamlessly. With a robust technological backbone and a user-friendly interface, Expedia leverages data analytics to deliver personalized experiences, making travel accessible and efficient for individuals and families alike. As global travel demand continues to recover post-pandemic, the company is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the expanding market, especially with its increasing focus on vacation rentals and alternative lodging options.
Investors looking at Expedia Group can find compelling opportunities in its diverse revenue streams, which include travel bookings, advertising, and vacation rentals. The company's strong positioning in the vacation rental segment, particularly through Vrbo, indicates a strategic shift aligning with evolving consumer preferences towards unique travel experiences. Additionally, Expedia's investments in innovative technologies and partnerships enhance its competitive edge, fostering growth in both domestic and international markets. While navigating challenges such as fluctuating travel regulations and rising operational costs, Expedia's robust brand portfolio and commitment to improving customer experiences suggest resilience and potential upside for investors willing to embrace the travel sector’s recovery narrative.
Expedia Group Inc. operates several core business segments that comprise its comprehensive travel and booking services. These segments include:
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Lodging: This is one of the largest segments of Expedia Group, facilitating hotel bookings across a vast network of properties worldwide. It includes both direct bookings and bookings made through its various brands, such as Hotels.com, Expedia.com, and Trivago. The segment focuses on providing travelers with options ranging from budget accommodations to luxury hotels.
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Air Travel: This segment allows users to book flights from a wide array of airlines, including both domestic and international routes. Expedia Group aggregates flight options and provides features like price comparisons and package deals that combine flight and hotel bookings.
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Vacation Rentals: With the rise of alternative accommodations, this segment includes services like Vrbo (formerly HomeAway) and other vacation rental platforms. It allows users to book entire homes or unique lodging experiences, catering to families and groups seeking more personalized travel experiences.
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Travel Activities and Services: This segment covers additional travel-related services including car rentals, activities, tours, and experiences. It allows travelers to book excursions, transportation, and other services to enhance their trip experience.
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Corporate Travel: Through its Egencia brand, Expedia Group offers specialized travel management services for businesses, providing solutions for corporate travelers, including expense management and travel policy enforcement.
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Advertising and Media: This segment generates revenue through advertising partnerships and relationships with other travel providers. It includes services offered via Expedia’s websites and mobile applications, allowing for targeted advertising and sponsored listings based on user behavior and preferences.
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Other Revenues: This includes various ancillary services such as booking fees, commissions from travel partners, and other related services that don’t fall under the major categories mentioned above.
Overall, Expedia Group Inc. employs a diversified approach within the travel and hospitality industry, offering a wide array of services that cater to the needs of both leisure and business travelers. By leveraging technology and a strong brand portfolio, the company aims to simplify the travel planning and booking process.
Expedia Group Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain its position in the highly competitive online travel booking industry. Here are some key advantages:
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Comprehensive Portfolio: Expedia Group operates a vast array of brands under its umbrella, including Expedia.com, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Orbitz, and Trivago. This diversified portfolio allows them to cater to various customer segments, from budget travelers to luxury seekers, enhancing their market reach.
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Strong Brand Recognition: With decades in the industry, Expedia has built a trusted brand. Its strong reputation helps attract both customers and partners, leading to higher conversion rates and customer loyalty.
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Data and Analytics: Expedia leverages extensive data analytics to understand consumer behavior and preferences. This data-driven approach enables personalized marketing, targeted advertising, and tailored travel recommendations, enhancing the customer experience.
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Global Presence and Scale: As a leading player in the online travel market, Expedia Group enjoys significant economies of scale. This scale allows for cost advantages in marketing, operations, and customer service, which can be challenging for smaller competitors to replicate.
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Robust Technology Platform: Expedia invests heavily in technology and innovation, providing a seamless user experience across its platforms. Their technology infrastructure supports advanced features such as AI-driven chatbots, personalized recommendations, and dynamic pricing.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: The company generates revenue from multiple sources, including hotel bookings, airlines, vacation rentals, car rentals, and travel insurance. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single revenue stream.
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Partnerships and Alliances: Expedia maintains strong partnerships with a wide range of travel service providers, including airlines, hotels, and rental car companies. These relationships can lead to exclusive deals, better pricing, and an expanded inventory that enhances the attractiveness of its offerings.
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User-Friendly Interface: The company's platforms are designed to be user-friendly, providing customers with easy navigation and multiple booking options. This ease of use can significantly influence customer satisfaction and repeat bookings.
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Loyalty Programs: Expedia's loyalty programs (such as Expedia Rewards) encourage customer retention and repeat bookings by offering rewards and discounts, fostering brand loyalty in a competitive landscape.
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Investment in Marketing: Strong investment in marketing and brand promotion ensures a consistent presence in the market and helps capture a larger share of consumer demand.
These competitive advantages enable Expedia Group Inc. to differentiate itself from rivals and maintain its leading status in the online travel booking industry.
Expedia Group Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its business operations and strategic growth. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Market Competition: The online travel industry is highly competitive, with numerous players including Booking Holdings, Airbnb, and emerging local competitors. Maintaining market share while differentiating its services is essential.
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Economic Uncertainty: Economic downturns or fluctuations can impact consumer spending on travel. Factors like inflation, rising fuel prices, and overall economic instability can lead to reduced discretionary income for travel.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations related to travel, such as those concerning data privacy, taxation, and labor practices, can have significant impacts on operations. Variability in regulatory compliance across different regions poses an additional challenge.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological innovation forces Expedia to continuously upgrade its technology stack. Failing to adapt to evolving consumer preferences for usability and experience in booking platforms can lead to lost customers.
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Travel Disruptions: Events like natural disasters, pandemics, or geopolitical tensions can dramatically affect travel demand. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the vulnerability of the travel industry to such disruptions.
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Customer Expectations: As consumer preferences evolve, particularly around sustainability and personalized experiences, Expedia must invest in understanding and catering to these expectations to maintain customer loyalty.
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Partnership Dependency: Expedia’s business relies heavily on partnerships with airlines, hotels, and other service providers. Any operational or financial challenges faced by these partners can directly impact Expedia’s offerings and profitability.
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Cybersecurity Risks: With increasing reliance on digital platforms, the risk of cyber-attacks and data breaches is a significant concern. Ensuring data security and maintaining customer trust is crucial.
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Global Travel Trends: Changes in international relations, visa regulations, or shifts in public health guidelines can affect travel patterns, which may lead to volatility in demand across different regions.
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Sustainability Expectations: There’s a growing demand for sustainable travel options. Failing to adopt sustainable practices and communicate these effectively could alienate environmentally-conscious consumers.
By proactively addressing these risks and challenges, Expedia Group can position itself for sustained growth in a dynamically changing travel environment.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Expedia Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Expedia Group Inc
Current Assets | 10.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.9B |
Receivables | 3.8B |
Other Current Assets | 2.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 12.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.5B |
PP&E | 2.7B |
Intangibles | 7.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 514m |
Current Liabilities | 14.8B |
Accounts Payable | 3.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 887m |
Other Current Liabilities | 10.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 7.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 5.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Expedia Group Inc
Revenue
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13.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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11.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-10.4B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.5B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-467m
USD
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Net Income
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1.1B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Expedia Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Expedia Group reported a strong Q3, with gross bookings rising 7% to $27.5 billion and revenue increasing 3% to $4.1 billion. The company's consumer business accelerated, led by Brand Expedia and a recovery in Vrbo. Despite facing weather and currency challenges, room night growth reached 9%. Notably, the advertising segment grew 32%. For Q4, Expedia raised its guidance, now projecting gross bookings growth of 6%-8% and revenue growth around 6%. Additionally, EBITDA and EBIT margins are expected to slightly improve compared to last year, showcasing a commitment to cost discipline and efficient operations moving forward.
What is Earnings Call?
EXPE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Expedia Group Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Expedia Group Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
EXPE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Expedia Group Inc's solvency score is 31/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Expedia Group Inc's solvency score is 31/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
EXPE Price Targets Summary
Expedia Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EXPE is 185.91 USD with a low forecast of 146.45 USD and a high forecast of 231 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for EXPE is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
EXPE Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Expedia Group, Inc. is an online travel company, which engages in the provision of travel products and services to leisure and corporate travelers. The company is headquartered in Seattle, Washington and currently employs 14,800 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-07-20. The Company’s segments include Brand Expedia, Hotels.com., Vrbo, Orbitz, CheapTickets, and Travelocity. Retail segment provides a range of travel and advertising services to worldwide. Hotels.com focused on marketing lodging accommodations through its platform. Vrbo, which owns and operates an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations industry. The firm makes travel products and services primarily through its business model, including merchant model, the agency model and the advertising model. The firm offers a range of travel and non-travel verticals including corporate travel management, airlines, travel agents, online retailers and financial institutions. Its brands, including Brand Expedia, Hotels.com, Vrbo, Expedia Partner Solutions, and Egencia.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one EXPE stock under the Base Case scenario is 213.08 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 185.43 USD, Expedia Group Inc is Undervalued by 13%.