Exelixis Inc
NASDAQ:EXEL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one EXEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.99 USD. Compared to the current market price of 35.64 USD, Exelixis Inc is Overvalued by 27%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Exelixis Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Exelixis Inc
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Exelixis Inc., a prominent player in the biotech landscape, is dedicated to advancing cancer treatment through its innovative drug development programs. Founded in 1994 and based in South San Francisco, the company made its mark with cabozantinib, a multi-kinase inhibitor that targets key pathways involved in tumor growth, particularly in advanced kidney and liver cancers. Since its initial approval in 2012, cabozantinib has not only become a cornerstone of Exelixis's product portfolio but has also garnered recognition for improving patient outcomes where traditional therapies have fallen short. This success has positioned Exelixis as a leader in precision medicine, with a robust pipeline th...
Exelixis Inc., a prominent player in the biotech landscape, is dedicated to advancing cancer treatment through its innovative drug development programs. Founded in 1994 and based in South San Francisco, the company made its mark with cabozantinib, a multi-kinase inhibitor that targets key pathways involved in tumor growth, particularly in advanced kidney and liver cancers. Since its initial approval in 2012, cabozantinib has not only become a cornerstone of Exelixis's product portfolio but has also garnered recognition for improving patient outcomes where traditional therapies have fallen short. This success has positioned Exelixis as a leader in precision medicine, with a robust pipeline that includes additional therapies currently undergoing clinical trials, aimed at expanding treatment options for various cancer types.
For investors, Exelixis offers an appealing blend of established market presence and promising growth potential. The company's strategic focus on maximizing cabozantinib’s sales while developing complementary therapies ensures a sustainable revenue stream, which is further supported by collaborations with major pharmaceutical partners. As the company continues to explore new indications and combinations, it signals a commitment to innovation that could enhance shareholder value. Moreover, Exelixis operates in a rapidly evolving market characterized by increasing demand for targeted cancer therapies, positioning itself well to capitalize on future opportunities. With a solid foundation and a forward-looking approach, Exelixis Inc. stands out as a compelling investment choice for those looking to participate in the biotech sector's growth.
Exelixis, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on the development of therapies for cancer treatment. The company's core business segments can be outlined as follows:
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Pharmaceutical Development:
- Cabozantinib (Cabometyx): This is Exelixis' leading product, which is approved for the treatment of various types of cancer, including renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The company is actively involved in ongoing studies to assess its efficacy in other cancer types.
- Other Candidates: Exelixis is also engaged in the development of other novel compounds, exploring various targets and mechanisms of action to expand their oncology pipeline.
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Commercialization:
- Exelixis has a strong focus on bringing its products to market and maximizing their commercial potential. This includes marketing and sales efforts for Cabometyx and potential future products, as well as strategic partnerships to enhance distribution and access.
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Research and Development (R&D):
- The company invests heavily in R&D to discover and develop new cancer therapies. This includes preclinical and clinical trials, as well as collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies and research institutions to discover new compounds or enhance existing therapies.
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Collaborations and Partnerships:
- Exelixis often engages in collaborations with other biotech and pharmaceutical companies, academic institutions, and researchers to advance its pipeline. These partnerships can involve co-development agreements, licensing deals, and joint ventures that strengthen its product offerings.
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Commercial Partnerships:
- The company has formed strategic alliances with larger pharmaceutical companies to support the distribution and commercialization of its products, enhancing its market reach and resources.
Exelixis positions itself as a key player in the oncology space, continually working to innovate and expand its portfolio to address unmet medical needs in cancer treatment.
Exelixis Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that can distinguish it from its rivals in the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industry. Here are some of them:
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Specialization in Oncology: Exelixis focuses heavily on the development of cancer therapies, particularly in targeted treatments and immuno-oncology. This specialization allows the company to leverage deep expertise in understanding cancer biology, which can lead to more effective treatments.
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Successful Product Portfolio: The company's lead product, Cabometyx (cabozantinib), has shown strong clinical performance and has achieved significant market penetration. Success with this drug positions Exelixis well financially and enhances its reputation.
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Robust Pipeline: Exelixis has a diverse pipeline of investigational therapies, including both monotherapy and combination treatments. A rich pipeline offers potential for sustained revenue growth and reduces dependency on any single product.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company has engaged in collaborations with larger biopharma firms for drug development and commercialization that not only reduce financial risk but also provide access to additional resources and expertise.
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Strong Focus on Clinical Research: Exelixis emphasizes clinical trials and research, often investing in innovative approaches to study its drugs. This commitment can lead to more actionable data and quicker advancements in treatment options.
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Adaptive Business Model: The company's approach to the market is adaptable, allowing it to respond quickly to changes in the competitive landscape, regulatory considerations, and patient needs. This agility can provide a strategic edge.
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Market Access and Reimbursement Expertise: Exelixis has established relationships with payers, allowing for better market access for its products. This expertise can enhance the adoption of its therapies in the marketplace.
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Strong Financial Position: Exelixis has historically maintained a strong balance sheet, which provides financial flexibility. This can be essential for funding research and development initiatives and navigating economic fluctuations.
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Experienced Leadership: The management team at Exelixis boasts extensive experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, which can contribute to sound strategic decisions and successful execution of their business plan.
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Patient-Centric Approach: By emphasizing the needs and experiences of patients, Exelixis is positioned to build trust and loyalty within the oncology community, which can enhance its reputation and promote brand loyalty.
These advantages contribute to Exelixis's ability to not only compete effectively but also innovate and evolve within the fast-paced and highly competitive landscape of oncology therapeutics.
Exelixis Inc., a biotechnology company primarily focused on cancer therapies, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Risks: The biotechnology sector is heavily regulated. Any delays or rejections in the approval of their drugs by the FDA or other regulatory bodies can significantly impact revenue and stock prices.
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Clinical Trial Outcomes: The success of Exelixis largely depends on the outcomes of their clinical trials. Failed trials can lead to significant financial losses and damage the company's reputation.
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Market Competition: The oncology market is highly competitive, with numerous companies developing similar therapies. Exelixis must continuously innovate to stay relevant and defend its market position.
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Pricing Pressure: There is increasing scrutiny on drug pricing from payers and policymakers. Exelixis may face pressure to lower prices, which could affect profit margins.
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Dependence on Key Products: A significant portion of Exelixis’ revenue may come from a limited number of products. Any decline in sales or loss of patent protection could severely impact financial performance.
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Intellectual Property Risks: The biotechnology industry relies heavily on patents. A successful challenge to Exelixis' patents could open the door for generic alternatives, diminishing revenues.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Just like other companies, Exelixis may face supply chain issues that could disrupt manufacturing and distribution of their drugs.
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Market Access Challenges: Gaining access to key markets can be challenging, as it involves negotiations with government and commercial payers. Failure to secure favorable reimbursement terms can limit the market potential of their products.
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Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, such as inflation, recession, or changes in healthcare policies, can affect the company's operations and market performance.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The biotech industry is competitive for skilled professionals. Attracting and retaining talent is crucial for ongoing research and development success.
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Pipeline Development: The future growth of Exelixis relies on a strong pipeline of new drugs. Delays or failures in developing new products can restrict growth.
Addressing these risks requires careful navigation of clinical and market landscapes, strategic planning, and maintaining strong relationships with stakeholders in the healthcare ecosystem.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Exelixis Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Exelixis Inc
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 269.7m |
Other Current Assets | 90.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 523.4m |
PP&E | 124.4m |
Intangibles | 63.7m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 699m |
Current Liabilities | 394.3m |
Accounts Payable | 59.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 176.8m |
Other Current Liabilities | 158.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 290.5m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 290.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Exelixis Inc
Revenue
|
2.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-78m
USD
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Gross Profit
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2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.4B
USD
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Operating Income
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608.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-141.4m
USD
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Net Income
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466.9m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Exelixis Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Exelixis demonstrated impressive financial performance, boasting $539.5 million in total revenues, primarily driven by a 12% year-over-year increase in CABOMETYX sales to $478.1 million. The company raised its guidance for total revenue to between $2.15 billion and $2.2 billion and net product revenue to $1.775 billion to $1.825 billion. Optimistically, CABOMETYX could reach nearly $3 billion in annual U.S. sales by 2030. While focusing on CABOMETYX, Exelixis anticipates significant revenue for Zanza, estimating over $5 billion by 2033 from pivotal trials in various cancers, reinforcing the potential for future growth.
What is Earnings Call?
EXEL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Exelixis Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Exelixis Inc's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
EXEL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Exelixis Inc's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Exelixis Inc's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
EXEL Price Targets Summary
Exelixis Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EXEL is 33.32 USD with a low forecast of 23.23 USD and a high forecast of 40.95 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for EXEL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
EXEL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Exelixis, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development, commercialization, and discovery of new medicines for the treatment of cancer. The company is headquartered in Alameda, California and currently employs 954 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-04-11. The firm is engaged in the discovery, development, and commercialization of medicines to treat cancers. Its cabozantinib molecule, is an inhibitor of multiple tyrosine kinases including MET, AXL, VEGF receptors and RET. Cabozantinib is approved as CABOMETYX tablets used for advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC), both alone and in combination with Bristol-Myers Squibb Company's (BMS) OPDIVO (nivolumab), for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and for radioactive iodine (RAI)-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Cabozantinib is also approved as COMETRIQ capsules for metastatic medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). Its other two products are COTELLIC, an inhibitor of MEK approved as part of multiple combination regimens to treat specific forms of advanced melanoma and MINNEBRO an oral, non-steroidal, selective blocker of the mineralocorticoid receptor (MR) approved the treatment of hypertension.
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The intrinsic value of one EXEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.99 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 35.64 USD, Exelixis Inc is Overvalued by 27%.