ETSY Inc
NASDAQ:ETSY

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ETSY Inc
NASDAQ:ETSY
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Price: 51.71 USD 1.67% Market Closed
Market Cap: 5.8B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ETSY stock under the Base Case scenario is 56.03 USD. Compared to the current market price of 51.71 USD, ETSY Inc is Undervalued by 8%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ETSY Intrinsic Value
56.03 USD
Undervaluation 8%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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ETSY Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Etsy Inc. began its journey in 2005 as a vibrant online marketplace that connects millions of independent artisans and creators with buyers seeking unique, handcrafted, and vintage goods. Unlike traditional e-commerce platforms, Etsy's strength lies in its distinctive focus on creative, one-of-a-kind items, ranging from handmade jewelry and home décor to vintage collectibles. This unique positioning has enabled Etsy to cultivate a loyal and passionate community of both sellers and buyers, fostering an environment that celebrates individuality and creativity. As consumer demand for personalized products grows, Etsy has positioned itself as a leader in this niche market, providing sellers with...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
ETSY Inc

Current Assets 1.3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1B
Receivables 181.2m
Other Current Assets 94.5m
Non-Current Assets 1.1B
Long-Term Investments 107m
PP&E 242.9m
Intangibles 582.6m
Other Non-Current Assets 189m
Current Liabilities 553m
Accounts Payable 19.6m
Accrued Liabilities 299m
Other Current Liabilities 234.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.5B
Long-Term Debt 2.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 131.5m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
ETSY Inc

Revenue
2.8B USD
Cost of Revenue
-807m USD
Gross Profit
2B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.6B USD
Operating Income
367.1m USD
Other Expenses
-110.5m USD
Net Income
256.6m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
ETSY Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2024, Etsy reported a consolidated Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) of $2.9 billion, down 4.1% year-over-year. Revenue increased 4.1% to $662 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 28%. Active buyers remained stable at 91 million. Q4 guidance predicts a low to mid-single-digit GMS decline. However, Etsy expects a take rate of 22.3%, enhancing margin expectations of 28-29%. Investments focused on elevating customer experiences are linked to improved engagement. The new seller setup fee aims to enhance listing quality and maintain margins. Despite economic pressures, Etsy’s focus on quality and unique offerings positions it strongly for future growth.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ETSY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

ETSY Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive ROIC
48/100
Profitability
Score

ETSY Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ETSY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

ETSY Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
54/100
Solvency
Score

ETSY Inc's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ETSY Price Targets Summary
ETSY Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast ETSY stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ETSY is 62.82 USD with a low forecast of 44.44 USD and a high forecast of 110.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
44.44 USD
14% Downside
Average
Price Target
62.82 USD
21% Upside
Highest
Price Target
110.25 USD
113% Upside
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Dividends

ETSY Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ETSY is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
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Ownership

ETSY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Period Sold Bought Net
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ETSY News

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Profile

ETSY Inc Logo
ETSY Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

5.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Etsy, Inc. engages in the operation of online marketplace. The company is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York and currently employs 2,402 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-04-16. The firm operates through four segments: Etsy, Reverb, Depop, and Elo7. The Company’s primary marketplace, Etsy.com, is the global destination for goods made by independent sellers. Its Reverb is a two-sided marketplace on the principle that buying and selling musical instruments should be easy. The Company’s Depop is dedicated to building the diverse and progressive home of fashion. Its Elo7, known as the Etsy of Brazil, specializes in custom and made-to-order merchandise. Its Elo7 marketplace includes items in over 40 retail categories. Its services include on-site advertising services, which allow Etsy sellers to pay for placement of its listings in search results, and shipping labels, which allow Etsy sellers in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Australia, and India to purchase discounted shipping labels.

Contact

NEW YORK
Brooklyn
117 Adams St
+17188803660.0
www.etsy.com

IPO

2015-04-16

Employees

2 402

Officers

CEO, President & Director
Mr. Joshua G. Silverman
Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Rachel C. Glaser
Chief Operating & Marketing Officer
Ms. Raina Moskowitz
Chief Technology Officer
Ms. Rachana Kumar
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Colin S. Stretch
Co-Founder
Jared Tarbell
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VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Merilee Buckley
Vice President of Investor Relations & ESG Engagement
Ms. Debra A. Wasser
Senior Director of Corporate Communications & Partnerships
Ms. Kelly Clausen
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ETSY stock?

The intrinsic value of one ETSY stock under the Base Case scenario is 56.03 USD.

Is ETSY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 51.71 USD, ETSY Inc is Undervalued by 8%.

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