Euronet Worldwide Inc

NASDAQ:EEFT

Earnings Call Analysis

Strong Earnings and Optimistic Outlook for 2024

The company announced a successful Q4 with $957 million in revenue and full-year earnings of $7.46 per share, up 15% from 2022. Growth was contributed by all segments: EFT, epay, and Money Transfer, showing particularly strong adjusted operating income in EFT (53%) and Money Transfer (27%). Expansion into new markets and optimistic travel spend projections for 2024 underpin their positive outlook. Additionally, plans to optimize the ATM network by removing unprofitable machines offer expected increases in profitability and cost savings. The company is confident about surpassing the adjusted EPS growth guidance range of 10-15% next year.

EFT Segment Strikes Back with Remarkable Growth

After facing a dip with a 15% year-over-year decline in operating income in the previous quarter, the company's EFT business made a head-turning comeback, registering a 53% surge in operating income in the fourth quarter compared to the previous year. Aided by strategic expansions into new regions such as Mexico and Belgium, the EFT segment marked its presence in 38 countries across three continents. Notably, the launch of new services in the Philippines and Poland has enhanced customer convenience and marked a significant step in diversifying services and revenue sources. Coupled with favorable macroeconomic forecasts indicating wage growth surpassing inflation, these developments forge an optimistic outlook for the segment's profitability in 2024.

Cost Optimization and Growth Opportunities in ATM Network

A detailed assessment of ATM performance led to the removal of about 1,300 less profitable ATMs. The ongoing ATM network optimization, aimed at rationalizing costs and enhancing profitability, is anticipated to improve EFT's profit margins in 2024. Rich in opportunities, the company entered 2024 with the tailwinds of momentum from newly entered markets, which promises improvement in domestic interchange rates and greater travel activity.

Epay's Transition to a Solutions Provider

epay, recognized for distributing prepaid content, is transforming into a leading solutions provider. The launch of Google Workspace at a major UK retailer and online gift card marketplaces in Brazil and India highlights epay's potent technology use cases. New agreements, such as the launch of Google Play credits in Vietnam, underline epay's robust growth trajectory and its significance in new, high-potential markets.

Impressive Trajectory for Money Transfer Services

The Money Transfer segment boasts consistent growth, with operating income and adjusted EBITDA expanding by 20% or more for consecutive quarters. The network now encompasses 4.1 billion bank accounts and 2 billion wallet accounts across 198 countries, evidencing its extensive reach. A notable shift towards digital account transactions, doubling to 39% of total volume, underscores the segment's success in navigating consumer preferences. Furthermore, the launch of agreements with substantial international partners strengthens the segment's growth outlook, while plans for geographic expansion could enlarge the company's addressable market by 38%, emphasizing the positive outlook for Money Transfer growth in 2024.

Looking Ahead: 2024 Full-Year Guidance and Strategic Focus

With all business segments contributing to revenue and profit growth, bolstered by a record fourth quarter in the previous year, there is well-grounded optimism for the year ahead. The company targets an adjusted EPS and earnings growth in the range of 10% to 15% for 2024, reflecting confidence in continuing this growth trajectory and potentially exceeding these expectations.

Earnings Call Transcript 2023-Q4

[Operator]

Good evening, and welcome to the Euronet Worldwide Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Scott Claassen, General Counsel for Euronet Worldwide. Thank you. Mr. Claassen, you may begin.

[Scott Claassen, executive]

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Euronav's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Earnings Conference Call. On the call, we have Mike Brown, our Chairman and CEO; Rick Weller, our CFO.

Before we begin, I need to call your attention to the forward-looking statements disclaimer on the second slide of the PowerPoint presentation we're making today. Statements made on this call that concern Euronet or its management's intentions, expectations or predictions of future performance are forward-looking statements. Euronet's actual results may vary materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of a number of factors that are listed on the second slide of our presentation.

Except as maybe required by law, Euronet does not intend to update these forward-looking statements and undertakes no duty to any person to provide an update. You should avoid placing undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. In addition, the PowerPoint presentation includes a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures we'll be using during the call to their most comparable GAAP measures. Now I'll turn the call over to our CFO, Rick Weller.

[Rick Weller, executive]

Thank you, Scott. Good morning, and I would like to thank everyone for joining us today. I will begin my comments on Slide 5. For the fourth quarter, we produced revenue of $957 million, operating income of $97 million, adjusted operating income of $100 million and adjusted EBITDA of $147 million. These results were made possible by contributions from all 3 segments.

Adjusted EPS was $1.88 per share compared to $1.39 in the fourth quarter of 2022 and ahead of the $1.75 guidance we provided for the quarter. We exceeded our guidance by better-than-expected performance across the business, good expense management, lower-than-expected tax rates and improved FX rates against the U.S. dollar.

I would also like to call out that adjusted operating income, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS excluded a $2.5 million non-cash purchase accounting charge.

Next slide, please. Slide 6 shows our results on an as-reported basis. On a year-over-year basis, we saw our most significant currencies increase at mid-single to low double-digit rates with a few exceptions like the Egyptian pound, which declined 26% and the Pakistan rupee, which declined 21%. To normalize the impacts of these currency changes, we have presented our results adjusted for currency on the next slide.

Here on Slide 7, we show our results adjusted for currency fluctuations. Before I jump into each segment, I want to reflect on the strength of our 3 segments, which produced another record consolidated revenue quarter and strong earnings growth across all 3 segments. EFT revenue grew 9%, while adjusted operating income grew 53% and adjusted EBITDA grew 21%. This strong growth was the result of an increase in international withdrawal transactions, combined with the continued strong performance from our merchant acquiring business where profits have doubled over the past 2 years. EFT margins improved year-over-year due to an increase in high-value cross-border transactions.

Epay revenue grew 7%, while adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA each grew 3% year-over-year. This increase is primarily from continued growth in the core epay business including strong growth in digital channels, partially offset by fewer promotional campaigns from our retail partners in the fourth quarter compared with the prior year. Excluding promotional activity, our epay business revenue for the fourth quarter grew 8% and the operating income and adjusted EBITDA each grew 12% compared to the fourth quarter of '22, highlighting the continued strength of our core epay business.

Epay margins came in a bit due to the mix of higher value promotional transactions in the fourth quarter of last year.

Money Transfer fourth quarter revenue, adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA grew 7%, 27% and 20%, respectively. This growth was the result of 8% growth in U.S. outbound transactions, 10% growth in international originated money transfers, which include 7% growth from Americas outside the U.S., 8% growth in transfers initiated largely in Europe, 20% growth in transfers initiated in the Middle East and Asia and 17% growth in XE transactions partially offset by a 13% decline in intra U.S. business. These transaction growth rates include 20% growth in direct-to-consumer digital transactions.

Adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth also included effective expense management, producing the best operating margin in the past 3 years. Money transfer margins continued their improvement trends as driven by revenue growth and attentive expense management.

In conclusion, we are pleased to see growth across all segments, together with generally improving profit margins. Our fourth quarter growth trajectory and margin results position us nicely for a robust launch of 2024.

With that, let's go to Slide 8 to make few comments about the balance sheet. Here on Slide 8, we present our year-end balance sheet compared to the prior quarter. As you can see, we ended the fourth quarter with more than $1.2 billion in unrestricted cash and debt of approximately $1.9 billion. The increase in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents is mainly due to cash generated from operations of $98 million, the return of $75 million in cash from our ATMs following the peak travel season and working capital fluctuations partially offset by $54 million in share repurchases and the issuance of a $60 million convertible note receivable.

The increase in debt was largely due to borrowing on the revolving credit facility to facilitate payments across several currencies over the year-end. These borrowings were largely repaid immediately following year-end.

Now let's go to Slide 10 for a few comments on the full year. For the full year 2023, we delivered record annual consolidated revenue of $3.7 billion adjusted operating income of $432 million and adjusted EBITDA of $619 million. Adjusted EPS for the full year was $7.46, a 15% increase compared to the $6.51 for 2022. The full year results are largely in line with the fourth quarter, so I won't go through all the details again. However, I think it bears repeating that we are extremely pleased with the full year record revenue and adjusted earnings per share, driven by contributions from all 3 segments.

As we reflect on '23, we are pleased with the resilience of all 3 segments. In EFT, we saw transactions improve in the fourth quarter and even exceed travel trends. And our merchant acquiring business acquired in 2022 continued to exceed expectations.

For epay, we produced continued growth in our core business especially in digital channels with more focus on expansion of our own products. In Money Transfer, we closed the year with another quarter of double-digit operating margin and continued to expand both our physical and digital networks. We are also continuing to build momentum in our digital initiatives as we sign more REN and Dandelion deals.

As we explained in the third quarter, we expect our 2024 adjusted EPS growth to be in the 10% to 15% range. And while we feel confident with that range, you can rest assured that we are working hard to deliver earnings above the range. It has been another great year for Euronet, and with that, I'll turn it over to Mike, Slide 15, please.

[Michael Brown, executive]

Thanks, Rick, and thank you, everybody, for joining us today. I'll begin my comments on Slide 15, as Rick said. Well, let me just start out and say, wow, what a quarter. We delivered fourth quarter earnings ahead of our expectations, which you may recall was nicely ahead of the consensus expectations back in October. These results were driven by better-than-expected improvement in international cash withdrawals, solid growth in our core epay business and diligent expense management in both EFT and Money Transfer. The record fourth quarter results are a true testament to the product and geographic diversity of our business together with the attention of our management around the world. .

As we shared with you in the third quarter, nearly 2/3 of our earnings are generated from non-ATM related businesses. Throughout our nearly 30-year history, we have focused on developing a network of access points, products and solutions that are secure, easy to use and enable customers to send and receive payments and access their money using their preferred method. This unique combination of our network, our product portfolio, technical solutions and geographic footprint differentiates us from our competition and allows us to weather even the most challenging economic shifts.

As I reflect on 2023 and look forward to 2024, I do so with great optimism. Back last summer, the market was ready to write the obituary on cash. And, in turn, the entire EFT segment of our business. We believe the recovery of international card usage on our ATMs in the latter part of the third quarter and its continuation into the fourth quarter together with the third-party published data has put that subject to [indiscernible]. And I can look forward to growth across all 3 segments in 2024 because of the momentum we gained in the fourth quarter, along with several strong drivers that are in place, which include inflationary pressures are easy, while wages are growing as we look forward to the 2024 travel season.

We see opportunities for pricing increases, particularly in the EFT segment. We have plans for expansion into new markets in all 3 segments, and we will introduce new products and technology solutions to further diversify the business in this year. You will see examples of each of these as we go through the fourth quarter highlights.

Let's go to Slide #16, and I will update you on our international card trends in EFT. In the graph on the left, you can see that we have updated the slide we presented during our third quarter earnings call, with the update of international cards used on our ATMs versus euro control data through the end of the year. At the end of the second quarter, the market's conclusion was clear that cash was dead, and therefore, so is our growth potential. More than a bit of an overreaction, when you agree -- at this time, we believe that our data together with the research data coming out of Europe showed that the shift was related to economic pressure on consumer spending in Europe, rather than an abrupt shift from cash to card.

I'd like to remind you that over 80% of our international transactions are from Europeans traveling within Europe. So economic pressure on European customers is very, very relevant. During the third quarter, we saw the realignment between [indiscernible] controlled travel data and the international card usage on our machines, which continued to improve as we move through the fourth quarter. In fact, our adjusted operating income grew 53% in the fourth quarter over the prior year and the main reason, international transaction growth.

We know that the most popular question that we will be asked today is what we expect for [ 2024's ] travel spend. And while it is difficult to predict the future exactly, we have some research to try to get a feel for what to expect on the economic data, which is available. In the graph on the right, you can see that in late 2022 or early 2023 inflation peaked in Europe, largely in line with higher fuel prices, driven by the war in Ukraine, while salary per employee significantly lagged that inflation. This resulted in less discretionary income when traveling. The graph also shows that in 2024, it is expected that wages will catch up to and past inflation, which will ease the pressure on consumer spending.

Additionally, in their most recent overview, Eurocontrol expects that [indiscernible] reach 98% of pre-COVID levels in 2024, another positive indicator of improving trends.

Finally, and perhaps most importantly, in an update to the consumer behavior survey that we showed you in the second quarter of last year, 71% of European survey today say that they will increase or maintain their travel budget going into 2024. This further supports our optimism for the upcoming travel season since this is the opposite of the same survey done in June of last year, where 2/3 of the respondents said they were going to decrease their travel spend during 2023.

At the beginning of last year, we were facing inflation led by rising energy costs, increased living expenses and travel costs were on the rise, while wage increases lagged. All indicators now are pointing to easing inflation, lower travel costs and improving wage trends, which, together with our new market expansion and product diversification really drive our optimistic outlook for 2024.

Now let's go on to Slide 17, and we'll talk more about the specific EFT highlights. Now that we've discussed the macroeconomic travel trends, let's talk about how we've continued to grow and expand our EFT business. Our EFT business rebounded from a third quarter where we saw a 15% year-over-year decline in operating income to an increase of 53% in the fourth quarter when compared to the prior year. The key drivers of the rebound work and increase in our most profitable international transactions compared to the prior year, an increase in merchant acquiring of 15% compared to Q4 2022, and continued expansion into new markets. The growth is made possible by our continued focus on diversifying our business by expanding our market presence and product portfolio.

This quarter, we were able to achieve this by the launch of a new independent ATM network in Mexico, our first ATM network in Latin America. We also expanded into Belgium, our 32nd market in Europe. With these 2 additions, we now have Euronet ATM networks in 38 countries on 3 continents. Additionally, we signed an agreement with GoTime Bank to provide ATM managed services, 1 of the largest and the fastest growing digital banks in the Philippines. Moreover, you may recall that during the second quarter, we signed a cardless cash withdrawal agreement with the Bank of the Philippine Islands that we have now launched. This provides more convenient and secure access to cash for our customers in the Philippines.

Finally, building upon our successful ATM deposit network in Poland, which last year propped at $7 billion in deposits, we signed a network participation agreement with [indiscernible] Bank in Romania. This network provides additional flexibility for both merchants and consumers to convert physical cash to digital money.

We entered 2024 with the momentum of the last half of 2023, along with new opportunities. recent improvements in the domestic surcharge or interchange in Poland, Romania, Denmark and the Netherlands, growth recently entered new markets, outsourcing opportunities that we see all over the place, and improving travel trends. Hopefully, you will recognize the momentum that reduced these record fourth quarter results, and more importantly, can feel as I do that the continuation of this momentum going into 2024 and the optimism that brings to us. And let's not forget, as we have said many times before, all of this is made possible by utilizing the power of our REN platform.

Next slide, please. Now let's discuss our ATM estate. As we discussed in the third quarter, with travel at over 90% of 2019 levels, we took a hard look at the profitability of each of our ATMs. This resulted in the removal of approximately 1,300 ATMs in the fourth quarter. Throughout 2024, we expect to see increased profitability and cost savings as we remove and reallocate -- relocate unprofitable ATM locations. We expect to see a temporary net reduction in our installed ATMs, which will result in slightly less revenue, but an increase in profits and margins. As we move into 2024, we will continue to remove unprofitable ATMs, many of which will be redeployed into new profitable locations.

As we build on the momentum of the fourth quarter, our plan is to deploy between 3,000 and 3,500 new ATMs for 2024. So to make it simple, we expect the net impact of this ATM optimization will be improved profit margins for EFT in 2024.

Now let's discuss epay. In the market, epay is well known as a leading distributor of mobile top-up and prepaid branded content. However, for those of you that have been following epay for a while, you've heard us discuss the significant investment we're making to expand our business offering. By leveraging our world-class technology, we've become a leading solutions provider to our existing retail and content partners around the world. More specifically, our solutions enable customers to purchase the branded services they enjoy in the manner that's most convenient to them. For example, this quarter, we launched Google Workspace at [indiscernible], a large U.K. electronics retailer. Google is leveraging epay's issuing platform called Conductor, which provides an end-to-end service ranging from balanced management, transaction processing, life cycle management and distribution. The sales pipeline for our issuing service is growing, and we're excited about its potential.

Additionally, in Brazil, we launched an online gift card marketplace for Nubank, the largest fintech bank in Latin America. We also introduced a similar offering for the popular Google Pay wallet in India. These are demanding partners and these launches highlight the global scalability and versatility of our technology.

We also continue to expand our core distribution business into new markets, which I would like to reiterate, grew at a healthy double-digit rate. During the quarter, we signed an agreement with Google Play, to launch prepaid credits into Vietnam, a new high potential market with 65% penetration of Android-based phones with a population of nearly 100 million people, Vietnam is positioned as 1 of the top 3 South Asian gaming markets in terms of revenue and ranked second in terms of gamer population size.

I am extremely proud of the technology and product advancements our epay team has created. They continue to stay ahead of the market in order to provide our brand and retail partners competitive advantages in the ever-changing payment landscape. And I am excited to take this momentum into 2024.

With that, let's go to Money Transfer. Slide #20. As I mentioned earlier, we had contributions from all 3 segments. Money Transfer's contribution included back-to-back quarters of operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth of 20% or better. We accomplished this strong growth and profit while we continue to invest in our network, which now has expanded to an impressive 4.1 billion bank accounts and over 2 billion wallet accounts with 580,000 physical locations across 198 countries and territories. For 2023, we launched 97 correspondent banks and payment partners, 43% more than we activated in the previous year. In the fourth quarter alone, we launched 29 new correspondents in 25 countries, which was our best quarter of the year, which now represents -- which gives us strong momentum as we enter 2024.

The bottom line is that our network is the most strategic real-time payments network in the world, in terms of its geographic reach and how it encourages financial participation by enabling people to pay how they want to pay using cash or digital options and allows their beneficiary to receive money how they want to, either cash or digital. Our ability to expand the network over the years has led to our growth and it continues to unlock growth opportunities not only for our traditional money transfer business, but also for our Dandelion customers.

For example, while account deposit growth rates have surpassed cash pickup for many years, principal transfer to digital accounts represented only 20% of our total volume by the end of 2019 compared to 39% in the last quarter. That's basically doubling and the growth rates for account deposit accelerated sharply in 2023 at a 34% rate versus 17% in 2022, another doubling. While our bank deposit reach extends to countries comprising nearly 95% of the world's GDP, we spent the last 4 years expanding the product offerings of our network by extending our real-time account deposit REIT to more than 60% of the world's GDP and adding consumer and business payment capabilities to over 92% of the world's GDP.

As I mentioned last quarter, we spent some effort and money revising our marketing strategy to position ourselves for substantial customer acquisition and more efficient deployment of marketing dollars. These efforts have led to an acceleration in our digital growth, while it's still relatively early in this journey, I can report that we've seen 3 months of record digital customer acquisitions through January, each month surpassing the previous month.

We've also seen improvements in customer satisfaction and retention. And perhaps most importantly, our digital channel is profitable -- and with expanding bottom line margins, gives us room to pivot into investment opportunities as they arrive. When I think about the opportunities ahead for Ria and XE, perhaps none is greater than geographic expansion. Ria and XE have licenses to send money in markets that represent approximately 63% of the global market.

Geographic expansion is something our teams evaluate constantly considering both organic and M&A and other avenues. We have eyes on additional markets that, over time, would expand our addressable market by 38% to 86% of the global [ sand ] market. While many of these markets are not imminent, expansion into several of these markets is underway by actionable plans that are in flight.

As we entered 2024, a I'm excited about our money transfer growth prospects, and we expect to continue to outpace market growth. We have steadily taken market share from the competition over the years. And given the momentum built coming out of 2023, I'm optimistic as ever that our Money Transfer segment will continue to elevate itself to the top of the list.

And now let's turn to the next slide to discuss another money transfer business, our Dandelion network. Slide 21. Throughout the quarter, our Dandelion customers continue to harness the power of our money transfer network. The strong growth is attributed to our network's ongoing enhancement, particularly in terms of mobile wallet coverage, which now spans as I told you before, 2 billion wallet accounts. As you can see on this Slide #21, this fourth quarter was our most successful quarter to date signing new customers. These signings were made possible because of the strength of our network. As I remind everyone, Dandelion is a network as a service. We signed several key agreements this quarter, including an exciting agreement with Commonwealth Bank in Australia. Commonwealth is the largest bank in Australia with $831 billion in assets and 17 million customers. Commonwealth was attracted to Dandelion's value proposition due to a desire to compete more effectively for the outbound payments flow from Australia.

Another impressive agreement signed during the quarter is for PingPong. One of the first and the largest China-based cross-border digital payment providers with transaction volume of $18 billion. PingPong has partnered with 100-plus major e-commerce platforms, website operators and cross border ecosystem service providers, which include Amazon, eBay, Walmart, Wish, Shoppe, Shopify and [indiscernible]. With these agreements, Dandelion continues to bolster our global presence and real-time digital payment capabilities.

Let's go to the next slide, and I'll briefly give you an update on our REN development. Slide 22. As you all know, REN is the technology backbone that powers diverse businesses at Euronet. It has proven to support different use cases, whether it is routing cash, withdrawn transactions to the card scheme, issuing prepaid cards for global brand or routing or routing remittance transactions through the real-time payment rails of a country into a consumer's bank account. We believe REN is well positioned to allow banks, fintechs and governments to keep pace with the ever-changing environment across the world of card-based and now account-based payments. We started our go-to-market strategy in the emerging markets of Asia and Africa, where we secured marquee wins with players like Standard Charter Bank, [indiscernible] Bank of the Philippine Islands, and we are now expanding our presence [indiscernible] accounts by supporting new use cases and new market expansions of these clients.

As an example, we added additional functionality to the Bank of the Philippine Islands real-time payments implementation by launching person-to-merchant services on the bank's wallet and mobile banking app. Additionally, in Malaysia, we launched Grabs Digital Bank, their second digital banking market after Singapore. Grab, as you may know, is Asia's leading super app providing everyday services like mobility, deliveries and financial services. As part of their financial services vertical, they launched digital banks in these 2 countries. Their goal is to convert their super app users to banking clients by accepting deposits and making loans. Grab selected REN as their SaaS-based issuer processing platform for both markets. Additionally, following a very successful first phase of the project with [ Simo and Mozambique ], we are expanding our relationship with them by building a national QR code system to power daily micro payments.

As part of the geographic expansion of REN into new markets, we have entered into the Americas region and continue to see strong interest in our REN technology from banks and processors in South America as evidenced by the deals that we have announced and signed in the previous quarter. Initial interactions with prospects in the United States are also very positive. We are excited about the modern cloud native technology that we are offering to banks and financial institutions in the U.S. to help them modernize and keep pace with a rapidly changing payments landscape.

Now let's go on to Slide 23 to wrap up the quarter. As I conclude my remarks, I am proud of Euronet's results for the fourth quarter and the full year. What a quarter. Adjusted EPS of $1.88, a 35% over the prior year fourth quarter. And here's why I'm optimistic about 2024. First, delivering a momentum driving record fourth quarter results across all financial metrics. Second, the inflationary pressures, which impacted EFT in 2022 and 2023 appear to be easy which, together with improving in wages will increase discretionary travel spend. Third, we continue to diversify our business as about 2/3 of our adjusted EBITDA comes from outside ATM transactions. Fourth, epay is becoming a solutions provider, delivering double-digit operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth in its core business.

Next, Money Transfer enters 2024 finishing 2023 with back-to-back quarters of operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth at or above 20%.

Finally, all segments of our business are driving growth, both revenue and in profit. These are tangible reasons for optimism as we launch 2024, so how does this influence our expectations for 2024. As we mentioned in the third quarter, we will provide full year earnings guidance rather than quarterly guidance. For 2024, we expect adjusted EPS and earnings growth in the 10% to 15% range. But as Rick said, we are driving the business to produce even better results than that. With that, we'd be happy to take questions. Operator, will you please assist?

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Pete Heckmann from D.A. Davidson.

[Peter Heckmann, analyst]

In terms of your ATM footprint review, you talked about 3,000 to 3,500 deployments in 2024 was your target. I guess, what are you thinking as a net number in terms of what additional units -- I guess, -- does that include units that are removed and then redeployed or I'm trying to think about [indiscernible] .

[Michael Brown, executive]

So kind of how we look at it is we see 3,000 to 3,500 new opportunities for new sites for ATM, and then we will also continue to call our network. Remember, we didn't until just recently get back to -- you might say, the travel volume that we had in 2019. So we were a little bit hesitant to just take out tons of ATMs before we knew how many travelers would really be there. And if the sites are still good based upon travel changes and so forth. So we took out those ATMs, a bit over 1,000 ATMs in the fourth quarter. We'll probably take out another 1,000, maybe even -- somewhere between 1,000 and [ 2 ] this year. But outside of that, we will place 3,000 to 3,500 new ones.

[Peter Heckmann, analyst]

Okay. Okay. And then I just wanted to ask, I don't -- I wouldn't assume this is a super significant exposure. But I'm sure you've seen what's going on with Paytm in India. And I guess, what is your read on that? What would be your exposure to Paytm? And is it your impression that to the extent the regulators shut that down, that consumers would just move to 1 of the other global wallets?

[Michael Brown, executive]

That's exactly what would happen, if it happened, but I do kind of find it hard to believe, they're so [indiscernible] large that they would be shut down. So -- but the deal is we have every single wallet in India. And so you just see the volumes move across.

[Peter Heckmann, analyst]

Makes sense. All right.

[Michael Brown, executive]

And a little aside from the people that I talked to, a whole lot of people in India have more than 1 wallet already on their phone. So it wouldn't even be that big a challenge shift.

[Peter Heckmann, analyst]

That makes sense. .

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Darrin Peller from Wolfe Research.

[Darrin Peller, analyst]

Travel seems to be driving still about 1/3 of EBITDA when we look at the numbers. And Mike, when looking out a few years, this is a little bit of a bigger picture question, but just considering the growth drivers, many of which you went through are a little less cyclical or less tied to travel perhaps. If you could just give us a sense of what you would expect the mix to look like? When you think of EFT also growing still or resuming growth at a rate that's pretty healthy. What kind of contribution do you think the business is going to see from travel related in a couple of years? And to the best of your knowledge, I mean, EFT is also going to grow well, I would imagine. So maybe if you factor that into?

[Michael Brown, executive]

Well, it's hard to know which 1 of our segments will grow the fat past us and once you get to steady state. But what is real is that this year, we're going to finally get to the point where we kind of got our full legs underneath this with respect to travel and spend. And so once that's there, I mean you just look at the opportunities we have in EFT, it will be a fast grower. And so the 3 divisions and the other opportunities with REN and Dandelion are all are all fighting to try to keep up. I mean it's going to be a healthy race to see who grows the fastest, but we're really excited about every 1 of our endeavor.

[Rick Weller, executive]

Darrin, I would add that if you look at our history, all of our businesses have consistent, very good, strong growth rates, either at or near double-digit growth rates. We don't have a bias for growth. We have a culture for growth. And so when we take a look at what the opportunities are around the world, we see continued expansion for all 3 of our segments. So while we might see some different rates of growth out of each of the segments as we execute our plans, we've got a very consistent history of double-digit or near double-digit growth from all 3 segments. And we see that the opportunities to continue that around the world remain as attractive, if not more attractive as we go forward.

[Darrin Peller, analyst]

Okay. I'm just trying to figure out the cyclicality of the business going [indiscernible] .

[Michael Brown, executive]

So stick with [indiscernible] when you look at seasonal cyclicality. We're always going to have that because travelers mostly traveling Q2 and Q3. But with respect to kind of the macro changes, now that we're getting traveled back, I don't think we're going to see cyclicality after that.

As Rick said, all 3 segments have histories of very strong growth -- and that's why we're kind of looking for now that we -- like I said, we got the travel stuff strengthened out. We're really excited that where we are. Remember, in 2019, 58% of our EBITDA was in the EFT segment. It was all ATMs, okay? And now it's all -- we've got diversity as our key -- and now that's just 1/3 of our business, while the other businesses have grown markedly over the last several years. So that's what gives us the optimism.

[Darrin Peller, analyst]

Mike, what percentage of your new ATM deployments are going to be outside of Europe? And I mean, I know we saw the Belgium and Mexico additions also if you can help us size impacts or deployment time lines there?

[Michael Brown, executive]

Yes, probably half or so.

[Darrin Peller, analyst]

Okay. Good. So it truly is, I mean, getting a lot more diverse. And a lot of that is Asia also, the APAC areas you had started [indiscernible] .

[Michael Brown, executive]

Asia, North Africa and now south of our border. And I'd like to remind you those ATMs that we're putting outside of Europe are probably twice as profitable as the ones in Europe. And the reason is, is because there's card access or acceptance all over Europe for most all of your spend. You just need a little bit of cash to get buy in Europe. You don't need a lot -- but in these other markets, they're primarily cash-based markets. So good luck having lunch with a card. You've got to go -- you've got to use cash. And so that's why those ATMs are so much busier.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Andrew Jeffrey from Truist Securities.

[Andrew Jeffrey, analyst]

I appreciate you taking the question. Mike, I wanted to ask you about Money Transfer. That's pretty impressive agent growth. So I guess just starting out, is Ria Euronet now the largest agent network in the world, just want to kind of level set?

[Michael Brown, executive]

We believe so, yes. And when you look at -- well, I don't know if you call it agent growth, we'll just say point growth because we have agents on the send side and then we have others -- and then we have payout correspondence on the other side. And including with those -- in addition to the correspondence, which were typically like banks or big retailers in some of these markets, we now have bank accounts directly, where people don't have to walk in, that just drops into their bank account directly, and we've got 4 billion of those. But the new distribution channel are wallet. Because in the developing world, everybody's got a wallet now. And so we can drop money directly into 2 billion wallet. And that is an advantage that we have that nobody has.

[Andrew Jeffrey, analyst]

Yes. And that sort of dovetails on my next question, which is your digital growth strategy and the success you seem to be having, is the 20% digital transaction growth at baseline from which you'd expect to grow such that you're going to see or we should expect segment revenue growth to accelerate over time? Or do you feel pretty good about sort of generally you are around 10%, high single digits?

[Michael Brown, executive]

I think we're going to get growth out of both of them. I don't know which 1 is going to grow the funding. Well, right now, the digital is growing faster and they'll probably continue to do so. And I think 1 of the reasons that we're having a really good success with our digital growth strategy is because of our digital payout. We told you those numbers of how well we're paying out into bank accounts and wallets.

[Andrew Jeffrey, analyst]

Okay. And 1 last one, if I might sneak it in. Just with regard to REN. Is sort of the -- what appears to be an accelerating shift to open banking and RTP globally going to reach a tipping point such that you think that REN growth accelerates? Or is it going to be sort of a more steady or linear compounding?

[Michael Brown, executive]

No, no, no. It's -- we've already got the beginning of the hyperbolic curve because when you think about it, we've got a new -- we had a new technology that we released 3 years ago. Nobody on the planet had it. And so we had to get those early adopters in there. And we got the early adopters who are all in Asia because the Asian banks were more progressive and they were also threatened by the wallets at the time, okay? They wanted to stay relevant to their customers. So they were the early adopters.

We then became -- once you get a couple of those, then the next ones come and the next ones come. And the fact of the matter is their legacy platforms can't support the kind of solutions that customers are acting. In other words, their legacy platforms don't talk wallet. And so once we established ourselves in Asia, then we took that same product, and we went to South America, and we've been going now to North America as well. And finally, things are happening. I mean you just last July, as you know, [ FedNow ] was launched. It was an RTP network in the United States. It's running roughly 10 years behind India. But finally, we're getting our act together. So more and more people are going to be wanting to do account-based real-time payments. And this idea of just card-based payments is going to be very fast day and 10 years from now.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Charles Nabhan from Stephens.

[Charles Nabhan, analyst]

I wanted to double-click on the non-ATM piece of EFT. If I look at 1 of your disclosures, it looks like 13% of EBITDA is driven by that non-ATM piece. And if I recall, roughly 20% to 25% of revenue within that segment is generated through those sources. So I guess, first, my question is if you could speak to any trends you're seeing within Piraeus. I know you talked about some expansion last quarter. And then secondly, if my math is correct, I'm coming up with a margin somewhere north of 30 and I wanted to confirm my math is at least somewhat in the ballpark because if I'm thinking about it correctly, that could be a nice tailwind to margins with an EFT going forward?

[Michael Brown, executive]

Okay. So we've got several things that are happening. So within EFT, so the components are, of course, ATM and that would be mostly our independent ATM deployment. Second would be the outsourcing deals that we have, and that's all in that ATM piece. And then the other part of EFT is going to be REN and acquiring. Acquirings got roughly 25% margins. When we install REN, that's probably got 60% to 80% margins depending on when how that works. And then the ATMs themselves are probably -- they have been as high as a 30% margin, a 33% margin there, a little bit lower now because we don't have quite the productivity that we had in 2019 before the travel crisis, but that's coming back. So when you blend it all together, I think we could approach 30%, but depending on how fast our business grows and acquiring, a 25% it might hold it down a little bit. Rick just looked at all his numbers, so he'll give you -- he'll give you 3 significant digits on that answer.

[Rick Weller, executive]

Yes. And yes, your number is roughly right there. It is approaching 30% for the year. Our best margin years were back in 2019. So I think as we see the travel recovery, continue into '24. And as Mike said in his comments that we've seen some pricing opportunities on the interchange and possible surcharge front, we've seen some actual -- some results, some announcements in '23. We anticipate maybe some more in '24. So all of that will just further support continued margin expansion in that business. .

[Charles Nabhan, analyst]

Got it. If I could sneak in a quick follow-up. It's nice to see the margin expansion within money transfer, especially considering your -- the way you're expanding the network. I wanted to drill into that a little bit and just get a better understanding of what specifically is driving that expansion? Is it a mix shift within the business? Or is it just simply scale on your existing network? Any commentary around that would be helpful?

[Michael Brown, executive]

So remember, as we grow, we have about a 35% incremental EBITDA margin on that next transaction. So obviously, as you have more volume, it's going to average you up. And we're just doing, as we mentioned, too, on the digital side, we're being -- we've got kind of a new approach to our digital marketing that's making it more effective. So kind of everything added together, I would say.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Mike Grondahl from Northland Cpital Securities.

[Mike Grondahl, analyst]

First thing, the 1,300 ATMs redeployed in 4Q and then 1,500 roughly at your midpoint in 2024. Could you give us a little bit of color like -- are they all unprofitable? Or is this like what you just call it the bottom 5%, -- just looking for a little color kind of what the cutoff is there? And then second, maybe for Rick, what was the benefit from FX and tax rate kind of compared to your $1.75 guidance in the quarter?

[Rick Weller, executive]

Well, let's see for the ATMs, which essentially what we're seeing is these are ATMs that are not meeting our return expectations, okay? And they range from nearly breakeven to losing money. So at the end of the day, if we've got an ATM that's already on site and it's producing an incremental profit, we're not going to be motivated to want to take it out. But if it's not producing profit, then it makes sense for us to remove it. And as Mike said, over the period that we've kind of been looking to see the recovery of travel from COVID, we were a little less aggressive on taking out a machine because we didn't really have a good visibility as to what that exact traffic would look like. So we think that we're approaching that, and it just makes good management sense. But net-net, these are nonperforming machines as opposed to let's call them light performing machines. .

And then with respect to the benefit from tax or FX, we exceeded our earnings guidance by about, what, $0.13 a share. I would tell you, roughly half of that was from tax and then the other half was kind of split evenly between FX and operations.

[Operator]

Our next question will come from the line of Ken Suchoski from Autonomous Research.

[Kenneth Suchoski, analyst]

I just wanted to ask about the incremental EBIT margins in the EFT segment. I mean, how should we think about those just given the mix of business and how that's changing, 2023, I think, had a kind of a mid-teens incremental EBIT margin versus something much higher historically, you have the non-ATM bucket scaling in EFT. So some moving parts there. So any way to think about sort of the incremental margins in that segment moving forward would be very helpful?

[Rick Weller, executive]

Yes. Well, as I mentioned earlier though, we anticipate that they will continue to improve. As we said last quarter, we're going to hold off in giving a whole series of exact details. I think, hopefully, you can appreciate that producing an earnings growth in the quarter that was a 30-plus percent year-over-year number and our full year number of 15% is that we're going to have ebb and flows throughout the segments. But we consistently produce these very strong double-digit growth numbers.

But more specifically in that EFT segment, we will continue to see those margins expand. Again, as I said earlier, because of travel recovery, which is going to bring those more high-margin transactions. As Mike said earlier, as we go outside of the European markets where we've seen very good response -- very good returns on these ATMs. That should be very helpful. And then again, we're seeing some rate increases on the interchange and surcharge front. So -- and all that together with just good expense management. So we'll improve the profits because of ATM profit management pairing out the lesser performer one, some rate increases, some geographical expansion, some travel recovery, all signs point to improving margins. We will refrain on telling you what that number is. Again, we want to focus on the earnings of the consolidation as opposed to any 1 particular part.

[Kenneth Suchoski, analyst]

Yes. Okay. That's helpful, Rick. And for my follow-up, I just want to ask about money transfer. You mentioned an increase in marketing efforts in certain geographies. I was just wondering if you could talk about what you're seeing from a competitive standpoint because some of your competitors are being aggressive with promotional activity in the market. And I was hoping you could talk about how retention rates and customer acquisition costs are trending. I think you mentioned some strong digital customer acquisition in recent months. So any thoughts on customer acquisition cost trends for new customers would be helpful.

[Michael Brown, executive]

Okay. So with respect to money transfer, I mean, you got to understand, there are probably 10,000 money transfer companies in the world, okay? And you know the names of a handful, okay? So as an industry, this is a bare knuckle street bite every single day, maybe a nice side. okay? So competition really hasn't changed. There are some of our competitors are saying they're going to be more aggressive here or there. We've seen little instances of that in 1 market or another for shorter periods of time. We don't see, in general, it's much more competitive than it ever was. We do see, as I mentioned in previous calls, that just the inflationary pressures that we've seen in the United States and we see abroad have actually brought down the average amount sent per transaction. And remember, we make an FX spread on this. And so if maybe our average FX spread is 0.6%. And instead of -- and on average, our spend amount is down, call it, $20. That cost us $0.12 a transaction, which is pure margin. .

So that's where we've seen the pressure, not necessarily because of competitiveness, but just because the reality is these immigrates who have got mostly blue-collar jobs working hard, gas on their truck costs more than it did a year ago. Groceries cost more. They just spent a little bit less back to their mom, but they still send it every month. So that's kind of what we've seen.

We've got 1 more question, operator, and then we're going to be at the top of the hour. So we're already there, but...

[Operator]

And our next question comes from the line of Andrew Schmidt from Citi Global Market.

[Unknown Analyst]

This is [indiscernible] for Andrew Schmidt.

What drove the reaccelerating money transfer transaction trends quarter-to-quarter in APAC and Middle East originated transfers?

[Michael Brown, executive]

I think it's just the general economics there. and -- which is probably most of it.

[Rick Weller, executive]

And we had some -- you may recall in the third quarter, we talked about some FX movements in Pakistan that were irregular that drove the transactions from above the table to below the table in the black market. We saw that kind of rightsize itself. So that helped a little bit. But then as Mike says, it's just kind of standard marketing activity out there. But that Pakistan was only the only real call out in there.

[Unknown Analyst]

If I could just squeeze in a follow-up here. Regarding the EFT segment price increases, I'm wondering if you could provide more color on the opportunity there?

[Michael Brown, executive]

Well, it's just what we said before, over last year, there were 4 countries that either improved interchange or allowed surcharge that were not allowed in the prior year. There are a number of countries discussing both of these issues right now. So if any of them [indiscernible] we never know when they're going to come to a head. But when they do, you get the automatic step function in profit when they do. So that's what we're looking at.

[Rick Weller, executive]

And let's take a look at the dynamics of this structure in payments world out there. Interchange is at fixed rate kind of a thing as our surcharges in many respects. But look what's happened with the inflationary costs over the last few years, rents up, cash delivery is up, maintenance is up, labor costs are up. If the numbers on the cost side are up across the board, yet we can't just go out and raise the interchange rate. So it's not just us, but banks around the world are feeling this very significantly, and there's a lot of discussions underway on how the banks are going to improve that revenue stream to be able to cover the cost. And so as those discussions take place, we've seen that kind of creep into the picture more and more over the last few years. And those discussions are live and well, we expect that they will continue. So there has to be some rate improvement just to cover the increased costs over the last few years.

[Michael Brown, executive]

Point is, it isn't just [indiscernible] these numbers to go up. We're actually in conjunction with the banks as far as our thought process.

But with that, I think we're going to end our call today, I want to thank everybody for your time on the call, and I look forward to talking to you next quarter. Thank you.

[Operator]

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.