Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL

Watchlist Manager
Duolingo Inc Logo
Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL
Watchlist
Price: 351.97 USD 3.04% Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.5B USD
Have any thoughts about
Duolingo Inc?
Write Note

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one DUOL stock under the Base Case scenario is 79.5 USD. Compared to the current market price of 351.97 USD, Duolingo Inc is Overvalued by 77%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

DUOL Intrinsic Value
79.5 USD
Overvaluation 77%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Duolingo Inc

Backtest Intrinsic Value
Dive into the past to invest in the future

Uncover deeper insights with the Valuation Backtest. Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Start backtest now and learn if your stock is truly undervalued or overvalued!

Run Backtest
Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

Backtest Example
Register to View Results
Register to View Results

To access the results of this valuation backtest, please register an account with us. Registration is quick and gives you instant access to insights on 3 stocks per week for free.

Backtest Unavailable

The backtest for DUOL cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints. Please select a different stock or adjust your settings.

Backtest In Progress...
Backtest In Progress...
How do you feel about DUOL?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish

Fundamental Analysis

Company Quality
No Indicators Selected
Select Indicators

Select up to 3 indicators:

Insider Trading
0-3
Months
0-6
Months
0-12
Months
0-36
Months
No Periods Selected
Select Periods

Select up to 2 periods:

Investment Journal
AI Assistant
AI Assistant
Ask me anything about Duolingo Inc

Provide an overview of the primary business activities
of Duolingo Inc.

What unique competitive advantages
does Duolingo Inc hold over its rivals?

What risks and challenges
does Duolingo Inc face in the near future?

Has there been any significant insider trading activity
in Duolingo Inc recently?

Summarize the latest earnings call
of Duolingo Inc.

Is it considered overvalued or undervalued
based on the latest financial data?

Show all valuation multiples
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide P/S
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide P/E
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide P/OCF
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide P/FCFE
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide P/B
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/S
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/GP
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/EBITDA
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/EBIT
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/OCF
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/FCFF
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide EV/IC
for Duolingo Inc.

Show me price targets
for Duolingo Inc made by professional analysts.

What are the Revenue projections
for Duolingo Inc?

How accurate were the past Revenue estimates
for Duolingo Inc?

What are the Net Income projections
for Duolingo Inc?

How accurate were the past Net Income estimates
for Duolingo Inc?

What are the EPS projections
for Duolingo Inc?

How accurate were the past EPS estimates
for Duolingo Inc?

What are the EBIT projections
for Duolingo Inc?

How accurate were the past EBIT estimates
for Duolingo Inc?

Compare the revenue forecasts
for Duolingo Inc with those of its competitors based on recent analyst estimates.

Compare the intrinsic valuations
of Duolingo Inc and its key competitors using the latest financial data.

Compare historical revenue growth rates
of Duolingo Inc against its competitors.

Analyze the profit margins
(gross, operating, and net) of Duolingo Inc compared to its peers.

Compare the P/E ratios
of Duolingo Inc against its peers.

Discuss the investment returns and shareholder value creation
comparing Duolingo Inc with its peers.

Analyze the financial leverage
of Duolingo Inc compared to its main competitors.

Show all profitability ratios
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide ROE
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide ROA
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide ROIC
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide ROCE
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Gross Margin
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Operating Margin
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Net Margin
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide FCF Margin
for Duolingo Inc.

Show all solvency ratios
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide D/E Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide D/A Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Interest Coverage Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Altman Z-Score Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Quick Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Current Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

Provide Cash Ratio
for Duolingo Inc.

What is the historical Revenue growth
over the last 5 years for Duolingo Inc?

What is the historical Net Income growth
over the last 5 years for Duolingo Inc?

What is the current Free Cash Flow
of Duolingo Inc?

Discuss the annual earnings per share (EPS)
trend over the past five years for Duolingo Inc.

Business Breakdown

Duolingo Inc. is a pioneering force in the world of language learning, transforming the way millions of people acquire new languages through its innovative app. Launched in 2011 by co-founders Luis von Ahn and Severin Hacker, Duolingo leverages a gamified approach to education, making language acquisition engaging and accessible. With over 500 million downloads globally, the platform offers courses in more than 30 languages, enabling users from diverse backgrounds to connect and communicate. Its unique freemium model allows users to access essential learning materials for free while providing optional premium features to enhance their experience. This blend of accessibility and monetization...

Read More
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Duolingo Inc

Current Assets 1.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 880.8m
Receivables 94.2m
Other Current Assets 83.5m
Non-Current Assets 161.1m
Long-Term Investments 55.3m
PP&E 68.1m
Intangibles 32.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 5.2m
Current Liabilities 342.1m
Accounts Payable 3.6m
Accrued Liabilities 27.8m
Other Current Liabilities 310.6m
Non-Current Liabilities 55m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 55m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Duolingo Inc

Revenue
689.5m USD
Cost of Revenue
-185.3m USD
Gross Profit
504.2m USD
Operating Expenses
-449.9m USD
Operating Income
54.2m USD
Other Expenses
32.5m USD
Net Income
86.8m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Duolingo Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Duolingo's third quarter showcased impressive growth, with daily active users up 54% year-over-year. The company reported a 38% increase in bookings and a 40% rise in revenue, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.7%. The highly anticipated Duolingo Max, featuring an AI-powered Video Call, has been rolled out to 50% of users, expected to grow to 60-70% by year-end. The company raised its full-year guidance, projecting 36% bookings growth and 40% revenue growth. However, a slight decline in gross margin is anticipated due to costs associated with generative AI. Looking ahead, the adjusted EBITDA margin target for 2024 is set at 25.5%.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

DUOL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Duolingo Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
52/100
Profitability
Score

Duolingo Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

DUOL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Duolingo Inc's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
76/100
Solvency
Score

Duolingo Inc's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

DUOL Price Targets Summary
Duolingo Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast DUOL stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DUOL is 333.78 USD with a low forecast of 202.27 USD and a high forecast of 428.4 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
202.27 USD
43% Downside
Average
Price Target
333.78 USD
5% Downside
Highest
Price Target
428.4 USD
22% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates
Want to learn more about Wall St estimates for DUOL?

Click here to dive deeper.

Dividends

Duolingo Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for DUOL is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Ownership

DUOL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

DUOL News

Other Videos

Profile

Duolingo Inc Logo
Duolingo Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Diversified Consumer Services

Market Cap

15.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Duolingo, Inc. is a language-learning website and mobile application, which engages in the development of a free language learning website and crowd sourced text translation platform. The company is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and currently employs 500 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-07-28. The firm's platform enables users to learn languages online. Duolingo offers approximately 97 courses in 40 languages, and is available on International Organization for Standardization (iOS), Android, and Web at www.duolingo.com. The firm's products include Duolingo for Schools, Duolingo English Test, Duolingo ABC, Duolingo Events, Duolingo podcasts, stories and dictionaries. Duolingo for Schools is a free web-based tool that makes it easier for teachers to use its platform in a structured learning environment. Duolingo English Test is an online English proficiency assessment. Duolingo ABC is a free application that teaches literacy skills to children's ageing three to six. Duolingo Events are online gatherings that bring together language learners from around the world for fun.

Contact

PENNSYLVANIA
Pittsburgh
5900 Penn Ave, Second Floor
+14123476116.0
www.duolingo.com

IPO

2021-07-28

Employees

500

Officers

Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO
Dr. Luis Alfonso von Ahn Arellano Ph.D.
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Matthew Skaruppa
General Counsel
Mr. Stephen Chen
Chief Business Officer
Mr. Robert Meese
Chief Engineering Officer
Dr. Natalie Glance Ph.D.
Co-Founder, CTO & Director
Dr. Severin Benedict Hacker Ph.D.
Show More
VP of Investor Relations
Ms. Deborah Belevan CPA
Global Head of Communications
Sam Dalsimer
Chief Marketing Officer
Mr. Manu Orssaud
Chief People Officer
Ms. Molly Lindsay
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one DUOL stock?

The intrinsic value of one DUOL stock under the Base Case scenario is 79.5 USD.

Is DUOL stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 351.97 USD, Duolingo Inc is Overvalued by 77%.

Back to Top