Casella Waste Systems Inc
NASDAQ:CWST
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CWST stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.04 USD. Compared to the current market price of 112.91 USD, Casella Waste Systems Inc is Overvalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Casella Waste Systems Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Casella Waste Systems Inc. has carved a unique niche in the waste management sector, primarily serving the northeastern United States. Founded in 1975, the company focuses on sustainable waste management and recycling solutions, positioning itself as a leader in an industry increasingly driven by environmental considerations. Casella operates a network of services that include collection, transfer, landfill, recycling, and organic waste management, aiming to minimize waste and maximize resource recovery. This strategic focus on sustainability is complemented by a robust operational framework, which enables the company to serve a diverse clientele, from residential customers to commercial ent...
Casella Waste Systems Inc. has carved a unique niche in the waste management sector, primarily serving the northeastern United States. Founded in 1975, the company focuses on sustainable waste management and recycling solutions, positioning itself as a leader in an industry increasingly driven by environmental considerations. Casella operates a network of services that include collection, transfer, landfill, recycling, and organic waste management, aiming to minimize waste and maximize resource recovery. This strategic focus on sustainability is complemented by a robust operational framework, which enables the company to serve a diverse clientele, from residential customers to commercial enterprises and municipalities.
For investors, Casella represents not just a waste management company, but a forward-thinking enterprise aligned with the growing emphasis on sustainability and environmental stewardship. With an increasing number of states implementing stricter waste recycling regulations and citizens more conscientious about their environmental footprint, Casella is poised for growth. Additionally, the company’s prudent investments in advanced recycling technologies and landfill management strategies position it competitively in a market ripe with opportunities. As urbanization continues to rise and environmental regulations tighten, Casella Waste Systems Inc. stands at the forefront of driving meaningful change while delivering value to its shareholders.
Casella Waste Systems Inc. operates primarily in the waste management sector and is known for its integrated waste services. The company's core business segments are typically categorized as follows:
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Collection Services: This segment involves the collection of municipal solid waste, recyclable materials, and organic waste from residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Casella provides scheduled pickups, typically using a fleet of specialized vehicles designed for efficient waste collection.
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Transfer Station Operations: Casella operates transfer stations where collected waste is consolidated and transported to disposal sites. This segment emphasizes managing the logistical aspects of waste transport, optimizing routes, and minimizing costs.
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Landfill Operations: Casella owns and operates several landfills where waste is ultimately deposited. This segment is crucial for the company’s overall business model, as landfills generate revenue from waste disposal fees and can also contribute to environmental services, such as gas collection and renewable energy generation.
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Recycling Services: The company processes recyclable materials, diverting them from landfills. This includes curbside recycling programs and the operation of recycling facilities where materials like paper, plastics, metals, and glass are sorted and prepared for resale. This segment is increasingly important due to rising consumer and regulatory demand for sustainable waste management practices.
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Organics Management: In response to growing interest in composting and organic waste diversion, Casella has developed services for managing biodegradable materials. This includes collecting food scraps and yard waste to convert into compost or other usable products.
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Industrial Services: This segment caters to businesses needing specialized waste management solutions, including hazardous waste disposal and waste handling services. Such services are tailored to meet regulatory requirements and provide businesses with efficient waste disposal options.
These segments collectively allow Casella Waste Systems to provide comprehensive waste management solutions, focusing on sustainability and environmental responsibility while ensuring profitability and operational efficiency.
Casella Waste Systems Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the waste management and recycling industry. These advantages can be tied to various factors including its operational strategies, market positioning, and customer relationships. Here are some key competitive advantages:
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Regional Focus: Casella primarily operates in the Northeast and parts of the Midwest, allowing it to build strong local relationships and better understand regional waste management needs. This regional focus helps in optimizing routes, reducing costs, and improving service efficiency.
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Integrated Services: Casella offers a comprehensive range of services, including waste collection, recycling, and disposal. Its ability to provide integrated waste management solutions allows for better customer retention and creates a one-stop-shop for clients, enhancing convenience and efficiency.
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Emphasis on Recycling and Sustainability: The company has a strong commitment to recycling and sustainability. It invests in advanced recycling technologies and waste diversion programs, which appeal to environmentally conscious consumers and businesses. This differentiates Casella from competitors who may not prioritize these aspects as strongly.
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Operational Efficiency: Casella has a strong focus on operational efficiency and cost management. By leveraging technology to optimize routes and improve fleet management, the company can reduce operating costs and enhance service delivery.
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Strong Brand Reputation: Casella has established a solid brand reputation over the years for its customer service and reliability. This strong recognition can be a significant barrier to entry for new competitors and serves to retain existing customers.
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Community Engagement: The company places a strong emphasis on community engagement and education about recycling and waste management. This commitment helps build trust and loyalty within the communities it serves, fostering customer retention and long-term relationships.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Casella has pursued a strategy of acquiring smaller, regional waste management companies to expand its footprint and customer base. These acquisitions provide synergistic benefits and allow for enhanced service offerings in new markets.
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Innovative Technology Adoption: The company invests in technology for data analytics, customer management, and operational efficiencies. This allows them to stay ahead of the competition and enhance overall service quality.
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Strong Financial Position: A solid financial foundation enables the company to invest in growth opportunities, whether through equipment purchases, technological advancements, or strategic acquisitions, which can be a significant advantage in a capital-intensive industry.
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Compliance and Regulatory Expertise: Casella’s experience in navigating the complex regulatory environment associated with waste management gives it an edge over competitors who may lack the same level of expertise. This can minimize legal risks and enhance operational certainty.
In summary, Casella Waste Systems Inc.'s competitive advantages stem from its regional expertise, diverse service offerings, sustainable practices, operational efficiencies, and strong community ties, all of which contribute to a robust market position.
Casella Waste Systems Inc., like many companies in the waste management sector, faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future:
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Regulatory Changes: Waste management is heavily regulated at both federal and state levels. Changes in regulations concerning waste disposal, recycling, emissions, or landfill operations can lead to increased compliance costs or the need for operational adjustments.
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Environmental Concerns: Growing public and governmental attention to environmental sustainability can place pressure on waste management companies. This includes demands for better recycling practices, reduced landfill use, and heightened scrutiny over emissions.
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Market Competition: The waste management industry is competitive, with numerous small and large players. Increased competition could impact pricing power and margins.
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Economic Cycles: Casella's business may be sensitive to economic conditions. During economic downturns, waste volumes may decline as industrial activity decreases, affecting revenue.
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Technological Changes: The rise of technologies related to waste processing and recycling could disrupt traditional waste management models. Companies that fail to adapt may find themselves at a disadvantage.
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Labor Issues: The company may face challenges related to labor, including labor shortages, wage pressures, and the need for ongoing training in safety and operational efficiency.
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Public Perception: Negative public sentiment regarding waste management practices or specific incidents (e.g., environmental spills) could harm the company's reputation and lead to community pushback against its operations.
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Inflation and Rising Costs: Increased costs for fuel, equipment, and landfill operations can squeeze profit margins. A significant rise in these expenses can directly impact the bottom line.
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Acquisition Integration: If Casella continues to grow through acquisitions, effectively integrating new companies and operations can present challenges, including cultural alignment and operational efficiency.
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Dependency on Local Markets: Casella’s operations are geographically concentrated in the northeastern U.S. Economic or demographic shifts in these areas can significantly impact demand for its services.
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Climate Change: As climate change impacts intensify, the company may face both physical risks (e.g., extreme weather affecting operations) and transition risks (e.g., stricter regulations or changing consumer preferences).
Addressing these risks requires strategic planning, investment in technology, and active stakeholder engagement to maintain operational resilience and ensure long-term growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Casella Waste Systems Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Casella Waste Systems Inc
Current Assets | 743.1m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 519m |
Receivables | 173.1m |
Other Current Assets | 51m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 11m |
PP&E | 1.2B |
Intangibles | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 25.9m |
Current Liabilities | 291.3m |
Accounts Payable | 101.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 103.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 86.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 254.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Casella Waste Systems Inc
Revenue
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1.5B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-980.9m
USD
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Gross Profit
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508.5m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-404.8m
USD
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Operating Income
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103.7m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-96.8m
USD
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Net Income
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6.8m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Casella Waste Systems Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter, the company reported revenues of $411.6 million, a 16.7% increase year-over-year, driven by acquisitions and solid organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $102.9 million, marking a 14.9% increase. Despite challenges in construction and demolition waste volumes, landfill prices increased by 7.1%. The company anticipates revenue growth of 12% to 15% and adjusted EBITDA growth in the same range for 2025, supported by a $125 million rollover from acquisitions and improved pricing initiatives. Recent acquisitions, including Royal Carting, are expected to enhance profitability through operational efficiencies and strategic integration.
What is Earnings Call?
CWST Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Casella Waste Systems Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Casella Waste Systems Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CWST Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Casella Waste Systems Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Casella Waste Systems Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CWST Price Targets Summary
Casella Waste Systems Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CWST is 116.17 USD with a low forecast of 104.03 USD and a high forecast of 136.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CWST is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CWST Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. engages in the provision of resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers, in the areas of solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling and organics services. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont and currently employs 2,900 full-time employees. The firm manages its solid waste operations on a geographic basis through two regional segments, the Eastern and Western regions, each of which provides a range of solid waste services. The company manages its resource-renewal operations through the Resource Solutions segment, which includes recycling and commodity brokerage operations along with its organics services and, commercial and industrial services. The company provides resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers, primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling and organics services. The company operates approximately 50 solid waste collection operations, 65 transfer stations, 23 recycling facilities, eight Subtitle D landfills, three landfill gas-to-energy facilities, and one landfill permitted to accept construction and demolition (C&D) materials.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one CWST stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.04 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 112.91 USD, Casella Waste Systems Inc is Overvalued by 52%.