Casella Waste Systems Inc
NASDAQ:CWST

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Casella Waste Systems Inc Logo
Casella Waste Systems Inc
NASDAQ:CWST
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Price: 112.91 USD 0.31% Market Closed
Market Cap: 7.1B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CWST stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.04 USD. Compared to the current market price of 112.91 USD, Casella Waste Systems Inc is Overvalued by 52%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CWST Intrinsic Value
54.04 USD
Overvaluation 52%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Casella Waste Systems Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Casella Waste Systems Inc. has carved a unique niche in the waste management sector, primarily serving the northeastern United States. Founded in 1975, the company focuses on sustainable waste management and recycling solutions, positioning itself as a leader in an industry increasingly driven by environmental considerations. Casella operates a network of services that include collection, transfer, landfill, recycling, and organic waste management, aiming to minimize waste and maximize resource recovery. This strategic focus on sustainability is complemented by a robust operational framework, which enables the company to serve a diverse clientele, from residential customers to commercial ent...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Casella Waste Systems Inc

Current Assets 743.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 519m
Receivables 173.1m
Other Current Assets 51m
Non-Current Assets 2.4B
Long-Term Investments 11m
PP&E 1.2B
Intangibles 1.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 25.9m
Current Liabilities 291.3m
Accounts Payable 101.6m
Accrued Liabilities 103.5m
Other Current Liabilities 86.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.3B
Long-Term Debt 1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 254.9m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Casella Waste Systems Inc

Revenue
1.5B USD
Cost of Revenue
-980.9m USD
Gross Profit
508.5m USD
Operating Expenses
-404.8m USD
Operating Income
103.7m USD
Other Expenses
-96.8m USD
Net Income
6.8m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Casella Waste Systems Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter, the company reported revenues of $411.6 million, a 16.7% increase year-over-year, driven by acquisitions and solid organic growth. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $102.9 million, marking a 14.9% increase. Despite challenges in construction and demolition waste volumes, landfill prices increased by 7.1%. The company anticipates revenue growth of 12% to 15% and adjusted EBITDA growth in the same range for 2025, supported by a $125 million rollover from acquisitions and improved pricing initiatives. Recent acquisitions, including Royal Carting, are expected to enhance profitability through operational efficiencies and strategic integration.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CWST Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Casella Waste Systems Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
49/100
Profitability
Score

Casella Waste Systems Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CWST Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Casella Waste Systems Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Average Altman Z-Score
49/100
Solvency
Score

Casella Waste Systems Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CWST Price Targets Summary
Casella Waste Systems Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CWST stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CWST is 116.17 USD with a low forecast of 104.03 USD and a high forecast of 136.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
104.03 USD
8% Downside
Average
Price Target
116.17 USD
3% Upside
Highest
Price Target
136.5 USD
21% Upside
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Dividends

Casella Waste Systems Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CWST is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Average
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Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
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Ownership

CWST Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Profile

Casella Waste Systems Inc Logo
Casella Waste Systems Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Commercial Services & Supplies

Market Cap

7.1B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. engages in the provision of resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers, in the areas of solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling and organics services. The company is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont and currently employs 2,900 full-time employees. The firm manages its solid waste operations on a geographic basis through two regional segments, the Eastern and Western regions, each of which provides a range of solid waste services. The company manages its resource-renewal operations through the Resource Solutions segment, which includes recycling and commodity brokerage operations along with its organics services and, commercial and industrial services. The company provides resource management and services to residential, commercial, municipal and industrial customers, primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling and organics services. The company operates approximately 50 solid waste collection operations, 65 transfer stations, 23 recycling facilities, eight Subtitle D landfills, three landfill gas-to-energy facilities, and one landfill permitted to accept construction and demolition (C&D) materials.

Contact

VERMONT
Rutland
25 Green Hill Ln
+18027750325.0
www.casella.com

IPO

1997-10-29

Employees

2 900

Officers

Chairman, CEO & Secretary
Mr. John W. Casella
President
Mr. Edmond R. Coletta
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Bradford J. Helgeson
Senior VP & General Counsel
Ms. Shelley E. Sayward
Senior VP of Sustainable Growth & Chief Revenue Officer
Mr. Paul J. Ligon
Senior VP & COO of Solid Waste Operations
Mr. Sean M. Steves
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VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Kevin J. Drohan
Senior VP & Chief Information Officer
Mr. Keith S. Landau
Vice President of Business Development & Special Waste
Mr. Michael J. Viani
Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Mr. Kelley J. Robinson
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CWST stock?

The intrinsic value of one CWST stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.04 USD.

Is CWST stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 112.91 USD, Casella Waste Systems Inc is Overvalued by 52%.

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