Citi Trends Inc
NASDAQ:CTRN

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Citi Trends Inc
NASDAQ:CTRN
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Price: 18.92 USD 5.76% Market Closed
Market Cap: 163.1m USD
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Intrinsic Value

CTRN's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one CTRN stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.55 USD. Compared to the current market price of 18.92 USD, Citi Trends Inc is Undervalued by 26%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CTRN Intrinsic Value
25.55 USD
Undervaluation 26%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Citi Trends Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Citi Trends Inc

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Citi Trends Inc

Current Assets 215.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 59.3m
Receivables 3.9m
Other Current Assets 151.9m
Non-Current Assets 291.6m
PP&E 277m
Other Non-Current Assets 14.6m
Current Liabilities 185.5m
Accounts Payable 110.5m
Accrued Liabilities 73.9m
Other Current Liabilities 1.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 184.7m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 184.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Citi Trends Inc

Revenue
757.5m USD
Cost of Revenue
-477.8m USD
Gross Profit
279.7m USD
Operating Expenses
-311.3m USD
Operating Income
-31.6m USD
Other Expenses
9.5m USD
Net Income
-22.2m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Citi Trends Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Citi Trends reported a slight increase in Q2 sales of 1.7%, despite a 1.7% decline in comparable store sales. The company experienced solid back-to-school sales and continued progress in marketing. Citi Trends maintained a strong financial position with no debt and $134 million in liquidity. The inventory was stable, but significant markdowns and shrink expense impacted gross margins, which fell to 31.1%. However, Citi Trends expects improvement in the second half of fiscal 2024, projecting flat to low single-digit comparable store sales growth, a 39% gross margin, and positive EBITDA between $0.5 million to $2.5 million【4:0†source】【4:1†source】【4:2†source】.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CTRN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Citi Trends Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
43/100
Profitability
Score

Citi Trends Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CTRN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Citi Trends Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
43/100
Solvency
Score

Citi Trends Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CTRN Price Targets Summary
Citi Trends Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CTRN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CTRN is 23.46 USD with a low forecast of 14.14 USD and a high forecast of 36.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
14.14 USD
25% Downside
Average
Price Target
23.46 USD
24% Upside
Highest
Price Target
36.75 USD
94% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
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Safe
0
25
50
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100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CTRN is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

CTRN Insider Trading
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Period Sold Bought Net
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CTRN News

Profile

Citi Trends Inc Logo
Citi Trends Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

162.6m USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Citi Trends, Inc. engages in the retail of urban fashion apparel, accessories, and home decor. The company is headquartered in Savannah, Georgia and currently employs 3,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-05-18. The firm operates approximately 609 stores in urban, suburban, and rural markets in 33 states. The company offers a range of merchandise including apparel for juniors and women (plus size), including fashion sportswear, outerwear, sleepwear, lingerie, and scrubs. The company offers apparel for men's including fashion sportswear and outerwear; fashion clothing for boys and girls up to size 20 and sizes for newborns, infants, and toddlers, as well as kids uniforms and kids’ accessories. The firm also provides fashionable handbags, luggage, hats, belts, sunglasses, jewelry and watches for men and women, as well as basic undergarments, and beauty and fragrance offerings for women and men; casual and dress footwear in sizes for men's, ladies, and kids; home goods for the bedroom, bathroom, kitchen, and decorative accessories.

Contact

GEORGIA
Savannah
104 Coleman Blvd
+19122361561.0
www.cititrends.com

IPO

2005-05-18

Employees

3 000

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Peter R. Sachse
Interim CEO & Director
Mr. Kenneth Duane Seipel
CFO, Principal Financial Officer, Principal Accounting Officer & Executive VP
Ms. Heather Plutino
Executive VP & Chief Merchandising Officer
Ms. Lisa A. Powell
Senior Vice President of Supply Chain
Mr. Vivek Bhargava
Vice President of Human Resources
Ms. Katrina George
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Senior Vice President of Planning & Allocation
Ms. Jessica G. Berkowitz
VP of Stores & Real Estate
Kyle Koenig
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CTRN stock?

The intrinsic value of one CTRN stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.55 USD.

Is CTRN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 18.92 USD, Citi Trends Inc is Undervalued by 26%.

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