CSX Corp
NASDAQ:CSX
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CSX stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.32 USD. Compared to the current market price of 36.48 USD, CSX Corp is Overvalued by 17%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
CSX Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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CSX Corporation stands as one of the largest rail transportation companies in the United States, operating a vast network that spans approximately 21,000 miles across 23 states and the District of Columbia. Founded in the 19th century and headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, CSX plays a pivotal role in the movement of goods throughout the eastern part of the United States. With a diverse array of freight including coal, intermodal containers, and various industrial products, the company's efficiency and capacity to connect producers with consumers have cemented its position as a critical player in America's transportation infrastructure. Investors are drawn to CSX not just for its long-st...
CSX Corporation stands as one of the largest rail transportation companies in the United States, operating a vast network that spans approximately 21,000 miles across 23 states and the District of Columbia. Founded in the 19th century and headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, CSX plays a pivotal role in the movement of goods throughout the eastern part of the United States. With a diverse array of freight including coal, intermodal containers, and various industrial products, the company's efficiency and capacity to connect producers with consumers have cemented its position as a critical player in America's transportation infrastructure. Investors are drawn to CSX not just for its long-standing history, but also for its commitment to technological advancements and sustainability initiatives that aim to enhance operational efficiency while decreasing environmental impact.
CSX's financial health is underscored by consistent revenue growth and a robust business model that benefits from economies of scale. The company's strategic focus on cost management and improving service delivery has positioned it well in a competitive landscape, making it a reliable investment option. CSX has also prioritized returning value to shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks, reinforcing its commitment to shareholder interests. As the demand for freight transportation continues to rise, bolstered by recent trends toward e-commerce and infrastructure investments, CSX is poised for future growth. This combination of a strong market presence, innovative practices, and a commitment to shareholder value makes CSX Corporation an intriguing opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the resilience of the U.S. rail industry.
CSX Corp. is a leading transportation company that primarily operates in the rail sector. Its core business segments can be described as follows:
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Freight Transportation: This is the primary segment of CSX's business, encompassing various types of freight services:
- Intermodal: CSX provides intermodal transportation services that combine rail and truck transportation, facilitating the movement of shipping containers and trailers.
- Bulk Commodities: This includes transportation of bulk materials such as coal, chemicals, and agricultural products.
- Manifest Freight: This involves the movement of mixed freight, which may include finished goods, automobiles, and industrial products.
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Railroad Operations: This segment involves the network and infrastructure essential for transportation services. CSX operates a vast rail network across the eastern United States, which provides a critical link for moving goods efficiently and effectively.
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Logistics and Supply Chain Services: CSX offers a range of logistics services that help businesses manage their supply chains more effectively. This may include freight forwarding, warehousing, and distribution services.
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Real Estate and Asset Management: CSX owns significant real estate assets and conducts operations related to land leasing and property management. This may involve the sale or lease of land and facilities that are no longer needed for railroad operations.
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Technology and Innovation: An emerging segment that focuses on leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency, customer service, and safety. This includes investments in data analytics, automation, and digital platforms for freight management.
CSX aims to enhance its operational efficiency, customer satisfaction, and sustainability initiatives within these segments while navigating market dynamics and regulatory challenges in the transportation industry.
CSX Corp, one of the leading transportation companies in the United States, has several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the rail industry. Here are some key advantages:
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Extensive Network: CSX operates one of the largest rail networks in the Eastern United States, providing extensive coverage and connectivity. This allows the company to serve a diverse customer base and improved access to key markets.
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Operational Efficiency: CSX has invested significantly in technology and infrastructure to enhance operational efficiency. Their initiatives, like Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR), have led to better asset utilization, reduced turnaround times, and lower operating costs, giving them an edge in service reliability.
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Diverse Customer Base: The company serves a wide range of industries, including agriculture, automotive, chemicals, and coal. This diversification helps to mitigate risks associated with downturns in specific sectors and provides stability to revenue streams.
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Strong Intermodal Services: CSX has developed strong intermodal capabilities, allowing for the efficient movement of freight across different transportation methods (rail, truck, ship). This service attracts more customers looking for seamless transportation solutions, especially in e-commerce and consumer goods sectors.
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Sustainable Practices: Rail transport is inherently more fuel-efficient per ton-mile compared to trucks. CSX has made strides in sustainability, which appeals to environmentally-conscious companies and aligns with global shifts toward reduced carbon footprints in logistics.
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Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: CSX has a history of strategic acquisitions and partnerships that enhance its service offerings and market presence. These moves can create synergies, reduce competition, and expand its operational capabilities.
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Strong Brand Reputation: With a long history in the industry, CSX has built a reputable brand known for reliability and service quality. Customer loyalty and brand recognition can provide significant advantages in a competitive market.
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Highly Skilled Workforce: CSX invests in training and retaining a skilled workforce, which is vital in the transportation industry. A well-trained team can improve safety, efficiency, and service quality, contributing to overall business success.
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Regulatory Knowledge and Relationships: Navigating the complex regulations of the transportation and logistics sectors is essential for success. CSX's established relationships with regulatory bodies can facilitate smoother operations and compliance.
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Financial Strength: A solid balance sheet and access to capital can allow CSX to invest in growth opportunities, whether through modernization of its fleet and infrastructure or technological advancements that further enhance efficiency.
Overall, these competitive advantages position CSX Corp favorably in the rail industry, enabling it to compete effectively against rivals while also capitalizing on growth opportunities in the evolving transportation landscape.
CSX Corp, a major North American transportation company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the primary factors:
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Economic Fluctuations: The demand for freight transportation is closely tied to the overall economy. Economic downturns or slowdowns can severely impact shipping volumes and, subsequently, revenues.
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Competition: CSX competes not only with other railroads but also with alternative transportation modes, such as trucking and intermodal services. Increasing competition can lead to pressure on pricing and market share.
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Regulatory Changes: The transportation sector is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations concerning safety, labor, environmental standards, and rail operations can impose additional costs and operational constraints.
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Labor Relations: Strikes, labor agreements, and workforce shortages can disrupt operations. The company must balance the interests of its workforce while maintaining efficient operations and cost structures.
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Infrastructure Investment Needs: Aging infrastructure and the need for continual investment in technology and facilities can strain capital resources. Failure to adequately maintain and upgrade infrastructure can lead to service disruptions and increased costs.
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Technological Disruptions: Innovations in logistics, automation, and alternative transportation methods can disrupt traditional rail business models. CSX needs to adapt to these advancements to remain competitive.
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Environmental and Climate Change Concerns: The transportation sector is under increasing scrutiny regarding its environmental impact. Compliance with sustainability initiatives and addressing climate-related risks can entail substantial costs.
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Supply Chain Dependencies: The ongoing global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose risks. CSX relies on various industries for freight volume; disruptions in these industries can have a cascading effect.
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Fuel Prices: Fluctuations in fuel costs can directly affect operating expenses. Rising diesel prices can squeeze margins, especially if they cannot be passed on to customers.
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Geopolitical Risks: Global political instability, trade policies, and tariffs can impact intermodal freight and international shipping routes, leading to decreased demand or increased costs.
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Public Perception and Image: Incidents, such as accidents or service interruptions, can affect public perception and customer trust, impacting long-term business relationships.
Addressing these challenges requires strategic planning, investment in technology and infrastructure, maintaining healthy stakeholder relationships, and adapting to changing market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CSX Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CSX Corp
Current Assets | 3.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.7B |
Receivables | 1.4B |
Other Current Assets | 508m |
Non-Current Assets | 39.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.5B |
PP&E | 35.7B |
Intangibles | 544m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 795m |
Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
Accounts Payable | 1.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 470m |
Other Current Liabilities | 798m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 27.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 18.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 9B |
Earnings Waterfall
CSX Corp
Revenue
|
14.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-4.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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10.6B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-5.2B
USD
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Operating Income
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5.4B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.8B
USD
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Net Income
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3.6B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
CSX Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, CSX Corporation achieved a 1% revenue increase to $3.6 billion, alongside a 3% rise in total volume, driven by a solid merchandise performance. Operating margin improved by 180 basis points to 37.4%, showcasing effective cost control despite challenges like hurricanes impacting revenue by up to $15 million. The fourth quarter outlook remains cautious, anticipating reduced revenue due to lower diesel and coal prices, with expected impacts of $200 million year-over-year. Nevertheless, merchandise revenue is projected to grow moderately, supported by favorable markets, while capital expenditures for rebuilding the infrastructure are estimated to exceed $200 million and will continue into next year.
What is Earnings Call?
CSX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CSX Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CSX Corp's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CSX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CSX Corp's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CSX Corp's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CSX Price Targets Summary
CSX Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CSX is 39.27 USD with a low forecast of 30.3 USD and a high forecast of 46.2 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CSX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
CSX Corp. engages in the provision of rail-based freight transportation services. The company is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida and currently employs 21,000 full-time employees. The firm provides rail-based freight transportation services, including traditional rail service and transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. The company categorizes its products into primary lines of business such as merchandise, intermodal and coal. Its intermodal business links customers to railroads through trucks and terminals. Its merchandise business consists of shipments in markets, such as agricultural and food products, automotive, minerals, forest products, metals and equipment, and fertilizers. The company transports domestic coal, coke and iron ore to electricity-generating power plants, steel manufacturers and industrial plants, as well as export coal to deep-water port facilities. Its principal operating subsidiary, CSX Transportation, Inc., provides an important link to the transportation supply chain through its route-mile rail.
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The intrinsic value of one CSX stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.32 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 36.48 USD, CSX Corp is Overvalued by 17%.