Cisco Systems Inc
NASDAQ:CSCO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CSCO stock under the Base Case scenario is 55.11 USD. Compared to the current market price of 57.56 USD, Cisco Systems Inc is Overvalued by 4%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Cisco Systems Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Cisco Systems Inc., a global leader in networking and cybersecurity solutions, has been at the forefront of technological innovation for over three decades. Founded in 1984, the company pioneered the development of routers and switches that form the backbone of the internet, enabling seamless connectivity for businesses and individuals alike. Today, Cisco has evolved its offerings to meet the demands of our increasingly digital world, focusing on cloud computing, the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced security solutions. With a robust product portfolio that includes collaboration tools, security software, and data center systems, Cisco positions itself as not just a hardware provider, bu...
Cisco Systems Inc., a global leader in networking and cybersecurity solutions, has been at the forefront of technological innovation for over three decades. Founded in 1984, the company pioneered the development of routers and switches that form the backbone of the internet, enabling seamless connectivity for businesses and individuals alike. Today, Cisco has evolved its offerings to meet the demands of our increasingly digital world, focusing on cloud computing, the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced security solutions. With a robust product portfolio that includes collaboration tools, security software, and data center systems, Cisco positions itself as not just a hardware provider, but a comprehensive partner in enabling digital transformation for organizations of all sizes.
For investors, Cisco presents a compelling opportunity due to its consistent revenue growth, strong market position, and commitment to innovation. The company generates a significant portion of its revenue from recurring subscription services, providing stable cash flows that support dividend payments and share buybacks, making it attractive for income-focused investors. Furthermore, as businesses continue to prioritize cybersecurity and remote collaboration in the face of evolving threats and challenges, Cisco stands to benefit from its strategic investments in these areas. With a solid balance sheet and a history of smart acquisitions, Cisco is well-equipped to capitalize on future trends in technology, making it a sound choice for those looking to invest in a company that is both resilient and poised for growth.
Cisco Systems Inc. is a multinational technology conglomerate that specializes in networking hardware, software, telecommunications equipment, and other high-tech services and products. Its core business segments can be outlined as follows:
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Infrastructure Platforms: This segment is central to Cisco's operations and includes products such as routers, switches, and other hardware designed to facilitate networking and data center operations. The infrastructure platforms support cloud and data center services, helping businesses manage their IT environments more efficiently.
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Applications: This segment features a variety of software offerings that enhance network management and facilitate collaboration. Key products include Cisco Webex (for video conferencing and collaboration), security applications, and analytics tools that help organizations optimize their network performance and user experience.
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Security: Cisco’s security segment focuses on protecting networks and data from cyber threats. The offerings include firewalls, intrusion prevention systems, cloud security, and endpoint security solutions. This segment has gained importance with the increasing need for robust cybersecurity in the digital age.
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Collaboration: This segment encompasses products that promote communication and teamwork across organizations. Cisco's collaboration tools, particularly Webex, enable virtual meetings, messaging, and team collaboration, supporting remote work and global communication needs.
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Internet of Things (IoT): Cisco also invests in IoT technologies that connect devices and systems to improve efficiency and access to data. This segment includes products for smart cities, industrial IoT, and connected vehicles, leveraging Cisco's networking capabilities to enhance data collection and analysis.
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Service Providers: This segment provides solutions tailored specifically for telecom providers, enabling them to deliver services such as broadband and mobile communications. Cisco offers various solutions for network virtualization, cloud services, and content delivery networks to these clients.
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Cloud: Cisco has increasingly focused on cloud solutions, helping organizations transition to hybrid and multi-cloud environments. This includes partnerships with major cloud providers and solutions that integrate Cisco hardware and software into various cloud ecosystems.
Overall, Cisco's diverse portfolio enables it to cater to a wide range of industries, addressing the needs of enterprise customers, service providers, and government organizations with comprehensive networking, security, and collaboration solutions.
Cisco Systems Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that have allowed it to maintain a strong position in the technology and networking industry. Here are some key factors:
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Comprehensive Product Portfolio: Cisco offers a wide range of products and services, including networking equipment, security systems, collaboration tools, and data center solutions. This diversification allows Cisco to cater to various customer needs, making it a one-stop shop for networking solutions.
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Brand Recognition and Reputation: Cisco has established itself as a leading brand in networking and telecommunications. Its reputation for quality, reliability, and innovation enables it to command customer loyalty and attract enterprise clients.
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Strong Market Share: Cisco is a market leader in routing, switching, and network security, maintaining a significant share of the global market. This entrenched position provides it with economies of scale, allowing for competitive pricing and increased profitability.
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Extensive Research and Development (R&D): Cisco invests heavily in R&D to drive innovation and stay ahead of technological advancements. This commitment enables the company to develop cutting-edge technologies and maintain its competitive edge.
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Strong Ecosystem and Partnerships: Cisco has built a robust ecosystem of partners and developers that enhances its product offerings. Collaborations with cloud providers, application developers, and other tech firms create added value for customers through integrated solutions.
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Focus on Security: In an era of increasing cybersecurity threats, Cisco has prioritized network security solutions. Its offerings in this area, including advanced threat detection and prevention systems, give it a distinctive advantage over competitors that may not have as comprehensive security features.
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Global Presence and Support Services: With a strong global presence, Cisco can serve a diverse array of markets and customers. Its extensive support and service network further enhance customer satisfaction and retention.
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Transition to Software and Recurring Revenue Models: Cisco has strategically shifted toward software-based solutions and subscription models, creating more predictable and stable revenue streams. This transition aligns well with industry trends and customer preferences for ongoing support and service.
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Acquisition Strategy: Cisco has a long history of successful acquisitions, allowing it to enhance its capabilities, enter new markets, and eliminate competition. This strategy has enabled Cisco to grow its product offerings and strengthen its market position.
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Education and Training Programs: Cisco offers extensive training and certification programs through its Cisco Networking Academy. This focus on education not only builds a skilled workforce familiar with its technology but also fosters brand loyalty and customer dependency on its products.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Cisco Systems Inc. to maintain its leadership in the rapidly evolving tech landscape, providing the company with resilience against competitive pressures and market changes.
Cisco Systems Inc faces several risks and challenges as it navigates the competitive landscape of networking and technology. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Intense Competition: Cisco operates in a highly competitive market with rivals like Juniper Networks, Arista Networks, and software-defined networking companies. Competitors may offer similar products at lower prices or innovatively differentiate their offerings, impacting Cisco's market share.
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Rapid Technological Change: The technology sector is characterized by rapid advancements and innovation. Cisco needs to continuously evolve its product offerings to stay relevant, particularly in areas like cloud computing, cybersecurity, and the Internet of Things (IoT). Failing to keep pace with technological developments could undermine its competitive position.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a technology company, Cisco is not only a provider of networking equipment but also a target for cyberattacks. Ensuring the security of its products and corporate infrastructure is critical. Any breaches could damage its reputation and lead to significant financial loss.
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Dependence on Government Contracts: Cisco has a substantial portion of its revenues tied to government contracts. Changes in government spending, regulations, or priorities could adversely impact its business.
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Economic Uncertainty: Global economic conditions, including inflation, recession risks, and geopolitical tensions, can affect IT spending. Companies may delay or reduce technology investments, impacting Cisco's sales.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The ongoing supply chain challenges, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, can impact Cisco’s ability to deliver products on time, affecting customer satisfaction and revenue.
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Increased Focus on Subscription Services: Cisco is shifting towards a subscription-based model. Transitioning existing customers to this model while maintaining revenue growth poses a challenge, especially in a market accustomed to traditional licensing.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: As a technology company, Cisco relies on top talent to drive innovation. The ongoing competition for skilled employees in the tech sector makes attracting and retaining talent a critical issue.
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Regulatory and Compliance Risks: Operating in multiple regions exposes Cisco to various regulatory challenges. Compliance with local laws and international regulations can be costly and complex.
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Customer Preferences: Shifts in customer preferences towards cloud-based services or alternative networking solutions can impact Cisco's traditional offerings. The company must adapt to these evolving needs to capture and retain market share.
By effectively addressing these risks and challenges, Cisco can position itself for sustained growth and innovation in the ever-evolving tech landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Cisco Systems Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Cisco Systems Inc
Current Assets | 35.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 18.7B |
Receivables | 7.6B |
Other Current Assets | 9.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 87.6B |
PP&E | 2.1B |
Intangibles | 69.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16B |
Current Liabilities | 40.5B |
Accounts Payable | 2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 35.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 37.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 19.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 17.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Cisco Systems Inc
Revenue
|
53B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-18.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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34.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-22.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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11.6B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-2.2B
USD
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Net Income
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9.4B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Cisco Systems Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Cisco launched its fiscal year 2025 with solid results, achieving $13.8 billion in Q1 revenue, driven by a 22% increase in annualized recurring revenue. The non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.91 surpassed guidance, supported by a non-GAAP gross margin of 69.3%. Notably, product orders surged 20%, led by a 33% rise in enterprise orders, with a significant share attributed to cloud infrastructure. Cisco anticipates Q2 revenue between $13.75 billion and $13.95 billion, targeting full-year earnings per share of $3.60 to $3.66, reflecting confidence in innovation and market demand.
What is Earnings Call?
CSCO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Cisco Systems Inc's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Cisco Systems Inc's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CSCO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Cisco Systems Inc's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Cisco Systems Inc's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CSCO Price Targets Summary
Cisco Systems Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CSCO is 62.87 USD with a low forecast of 52.52 USD and a high forecast of 81.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CSCO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CSCO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Cisco Systems, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of Internet Protocol-based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California and currently employs 79,500 full-time employees. The company operates through three geographic segments: Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Asia Pacific, Japan, and China. Its product and technologies include infrastructure platforms; applications; security and other products. Infrastructure Platforms consists of its core networking technologies of switching, routing, data center products and wireless that are designed to work together to deliver networking capabilities and transport and store data. Application product category consists primarily of software-related offerings that utilize the core networking and data center platforms to provide their functions. Security product category primarily includes unified threat management products, threat security products and Web security products. Its subsidiary, ThousandEyes, Inc., offers Internet and cloud intelligence platform.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CSCO stock under the Base Case scenario is 55.11 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 57.56 USD, Cisco Systems Inc is Overvalued by 4%.