Cricut Inc

NASDAQ:CRCT

Earnings Call Transcript 2021-Q1

[Operator]

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Cricut Q1 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation there will a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. I will now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Jessica Barker, Investor Relations at Blueshirt Group. Ms. Jessica, please go ahead.

[Jessica Barker, IR, The Blueshirt Group]

Thank you, operator and good afternoon everyone. Thank you for joining us on Cricut’s first quarter 2021 earnings call. Please note that today’s call is being webcast on the Investor Relations section of the company’s website. A replay of the webcast will also be available following today’s call. For your reference, prepared remarks and accompanying slides used on today’s call have also been posted to the investor relations section of the company’s website, investor.cricut.com. Joining me today on the call are Ashish Arora, Chief Executive Officer, and Marty Petersen, Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, we would like to remind everyone that our prepared remarks contain forward-looking statements and management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These statements do not guarantee future performance, and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. These statements are based on current expectations of the company's management and involve inherent risks and uncertainties, including those identified in the Risk Factors section of Cricut's most-recently filed Form 10-Q and S-1 Registration Statement. Actual events or results could differ materially.

All non-GAAP numbers referenced in today's call are reconciled in the press release or the slide presentation on our investor relations website. This call also contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of the date of this broadcast, May 13, 2021. Cricut assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking projection that may be made in today's release or call. I will now turn the call over to Ashish to begin.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thank you, Jessie. Welcome to our first earnings call as a public company. I want to start off by thanking all those that have supported us over the years, our passionate community of users around the world, my special thanks to the Perot family and their investment organization, Petrus Asset Management for their early investment and continued support, and most importantly our entire Cricut team for their hard work and continued dedication to our mission and our culture.

In March, we completed our IPO and I want to welcome our new shareholders. We look forward to sharing our journey with you as we continue to grow and fulfill our mission to help people lead creative lives. While the IPO will help support growth across multiple strategic initiatives, we will continue to be very disciplined in our investment approach. We have had a long history of delivering solid growth. In 2020, in addition to COVID, we saw growth because of international expansion, the introduction of the Cricut Joy product family. Cricut Joy helped us expand our retail footprint, acquire more beginner users, and broaden our penetration. I’d like to start by sharing a few highlights from the quarter, and then I am going to spend a few minutes talking about the power of our platform and business model, our passionate community, as well as our growth drivers going forward. Q1 was a continuation of growth in 2020 as we acquired new users efficiently and drove engagement. Revenue in the first quarter was $324 million, or 125% growth over Q1 of last year putting us at a trailing 12-month run rate in excess of $1 billion. EBITDA was $68.6 million in the first quarter, a 232% increase over the first quarter of last year.

We experienced a significant increase in user growth in the first quarter, growing 76% year-over-year, bringing our total users to just under 5 million, all this while we faced connected machine shortages. For the large influx of users that we acquired in 2020, we benefitted from monetizing those users with accessories, materials, and subscriptions. User acquisition is just the start of our users’ journey with Cricut. Keeping them engaged and creating is one of the important ways we fuel the user acquisition and monetization flywheel. The more users are engaged, the more they are talking about Cricut and sharing projects with friends and family. As of the end of Q1 2021, 62% of our users created with their Cricut machines over the trailing 90-day period, up from 60% in Q1 2020. As our users create with their connected machines, we have an opportunity to drive revenues across our accessories and materials, as well as subscriptions that are recurring in nature. Ending paid subscribers grew 118% year-over-year.

Let me talk about the platform. We have built a platform of software and products that accompany a user from inspiration to a finished project. We define our platform to include our highly versatile connected machines, design apps to discover and create projects, as well as hundreds of different types of accessories and materials that are designed to seamlessly work across our connected machines. For those new to the Cricut story, let me reinforce some of the key trends that shape our business and a typical user journey. We are benefitting from major long-term secular trends that include personalization, digitization of tools, technology enabling a new generation of entrepreneurs, and proliferation of social media. Our user journey typically starts with the purchase of one of our connected machines. From the time the user opens the box, registers on our platform, and makes their first project, design plays a key role in that journey. Our goal is to wow our users at every touch point. Every user gets free design apps on PC, Mac, iOS, and Android, and because we are cloud-based, a user can start a project on one device and pick it up on another.

Users can access a selection of images, fonts, and ready-to-make projects, some free and some for purchase, as well as upload their own images. We have two subscription offerings; Cricut Access and Cricut Access Premium. Through these subscriptions, users get access to our content library of over 140,000 images as well as discounts on Cricut.com and priority Member Care. As of the end of Q1 2021, nearly 33% of our users were subscribed to Cricut Access. Our platform offers several community features which allow users to follow each other in the Cricut community, share projects, and create projects that other users have shared. The data from our users’ contributions on the platform gives us valuable insights into their preferences and behaviors.

Many of our users share a love of our brand, products, and our mission. Our users are passionate about sharing Cricut tips, tricks, personal stories and more. All of this helps foster a loyal community of users who are deeply engaged with Cricut. Our community creates a reinforcing network effect. As the number of our users grow, so does the number of projects made and shared physically or digitally. This generates even more shared projects and word-of-mouth that in turn helps to grow our community. This community network effect has allowed us to efficiently acquire new users and drive sales by word-of-mouth referrals, complimented by our targeted sales and marketing efforts.

We have over 5 million followers across relevant social media platforms. I encourage you all to visit our social media pages where we regularly showcase the creativity of our users. We also have over 2 billion views on hashtag Cricut on TikTok, which are almost entirely organic. We also have a deep focus on creating a diverse community of users and improving the breadth and depth of content we offer. We are constantly offering new styles, genres, seasonal content, and content that supports causes, all with the goal of inspiring creative needs. For example, in February, during Black History Month, we celebrated creators within our community and shared some of our favorite projects. We also plan to further expand the content in Design Space to reflect the interests of our diverse community.

Finally, 29% of our users use their machines to create projects to sell and many have created their own businesses. We believe we have a huge opportunity to continue to scale our user base. We measure our opportunity in terms of a serviceable addressable market, or SAM. Our SAM includes active creatives who have created at least one project in the last 12 months in categories that we already address with our existing product portfolio. We estimate that our SAM in the U.S. and Canada is roughly 85 million individuals. Combined with our international opportunity in our four top international markets alone, Australia, France, Germany and the UK, our total SAM is about 130 million individuals. With a user base of approximately five million, we have penetrated less than 4% of our SAM.

As we continue to grow and become more mainstream, the opportunity to expand beyond our SAM is significant. Fundamentally, we believe that everyone is innately creative and anyone can be a part of the Cricut community. As we make new products and expand our reach, we believe there is even greater opportunity for creatives and potential creatives anywhere to join the Cricut platform. We also believe there is a significant opportunity for Cricut to grow internationally. We began our international expansion by launching in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. We have also localized our design apps in several languages such as French, German, Portuguese, and Spanish. We will continue to pursue a disciplined international expansion by targeting countries with large populations of active creatives where we believe the Cricut value proposition will resonate. International revenue grew 253% in the first quarter. We believe that the trends that helped drive user acquisition and growth in North America are truly global in nature.

In addition, we are seeing similar network effects and a passionate community of users in each of the markets we have launched. In the future, we expect to expand into new emerging markets strategically to continue to drive growth. Our cloud-based software enables us to update the functionality and features of existing physical and digital products and to release new products that seamlessly integrate with our platform. Our platform is extensible, allowing for innovation and growth from new products, tools and accessories, increased content, and greater functionality available through our software and apps. For example, in Q1 we launched the Cricut Mug Press, a machine accessory that allows our users to easily create professional-looking, personalized mugs for personal use, for gifting, and for selling. Users can now get peel-proof, dishwasher safe results with our Infusible Ink materials.

As part of this launch, we added new designs in our library for mugs and coupled that with new software capabilities, infusible ink transfer sheets, and infusible ink compatible mug blanks. These mugs are designed with a special coating that makes it possible for the infusible ink transfers. They can also use our infusible ink pens to make customized mugs that have handwritten notes and drawings on these mugs. The Mug Press launch is a great example of the extensibility of our platform. Our users are being inspired with new mugs and gift ideas every time they use our apps and cloud-based software. It has been amazing to see our users’ creativity not only in the mugs they are making but also in the occasions and friends they are making gifts for. We have been pleased with sales so far.

We spend a lot of time listening to our users, adding greater functionality to our software, and improving the user experience. We added some great educational tutorials and step by step “how tos” built right inside Design Space to increase ease of use and help drive engagement. We also enhanced our search functionality, added project collections to help users organize their creative work, and launched the highly requested Offset feature which allows users to add decorative outlines and shadowing to shapes, text, or groups of images to make their designs pop. Software is core to our platform and you will see us continue to invest in this area going forward.

We have a proven ability to drive profitable growth which we believe positions us well to keep innovating and delivering great experiences for our users over the long-term. I’m extremely humbled by what our teams have been able to accomplish and how we’ve been able to enrich the lives of so many community users over the years. With continued strong demand, we enter the second quarter with positive momentum. Although we are taking a judicious approach to the medium-term, we are very long-term focused on executing well and continuing to build our platform and enriching our community. I’ll now turn the call over to Marty for more details on the financials.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Thank you, Ashish and good afternoon, everyone. It’s good to be here today on our first public earnings call. Before we move into the detailed financial results, I want to touch on the strength of our business model which has been the engine of our rapid growth. Cricut has a proven track record of strong revenue growth and demonstrated profitability stretching back to 2014. Our sales are diversified across categories and give us revenue streams that are largely predictable. As Ashish discussed, the user journey generally starts with the purchase of a Connected Machine. The gross profit from that purchase mostly covers our customer acquisition cost. The purchase then triggers a flywheel of engagement which in turn drives ongoing revenue from subscriptions and accessories and materials.

Revenue in the quarter was $324 million, an increase of 125% over Q1 last year and was the primary driver in delivering significant growth in Net Income and EBITDA. Revenue from Connected Machines grew 148% over Q1 last year. Strong machine sales and new-user acquisition throughout 2020 and Q1 of this year helped drive 141% revenue growth in Subscriptions in the quarter and 102% growth in Accessories and Materials. In terms of geographic breakdown, international revenue growth outpaced growth in North America, increasing 253% in the first quarter over the same quarter in 2020. As a percentage of total revenue, International represented 10.3% in the first quarter, significantly up from 7.4% in all of 2020 and 3.6% in 2019. We anticipate the investments we made in 2020, and ongoing future investments, will continue to expand consumer reach and brand awareness internationally.

The Cricut community of users drives healthy engagement on our platform and is one of the keys to building our long-term business with sustainable growth and compelling margins. The way we measure engagement is to look at what percentage of our entire user base is using their machines to create something in a given 90-day period. In the first quarter, engagement remained strong at 62% of our entire user base, up from 60% in Q1 of 2020. Sequentially it was lower than Q4, which is to be expected, as Q4 is typically our seasonal high quarter in a given year. As we emerge from the COVID environment, we expect that overall engagement will generally be in line with historical levels, though the ways in which our users engage with us may change. For instance, as users begin spending more time outside the home, we may see them doing fewer home improvement projects and turning back to other types of projects like weddings, parties, back-to-school, and t-shirts for family vacations.

We also saw higher year-over-year growth in both total users and paid subscribers. We ended the quarter with just under 5 million total users, which represents 76% year-over-year growth. Ending paid subscribers also grew in Q1 to 1.6 million, up 118% over first quarter 2020. As engagement remains healthy on our platform, we’re able to monetize that engagement through subscriptions and accessories and materials. We measure that monetization through ARPU in each of those segments. We calculate average revenue per user for subscriptions by dividing total subscription revenue by our entire user base, not just subscribers within that period. ARPU for subscriptions in the first quarter was $9.96, compared to $7.20 in Q1 2020. The increase was driven by an increase in the attached rate of Paid Subscribers to total Users. We calculate ARPU from accessories and materials by dividing that portion of revenue by our average user base for the period. ARPU from accessories and materials in Q1 was $29.45, compared to $25.40 in Q1 2020. This increase was driven by our typical monetization flywheel, and also by the launch of our Mug Press product line in Q1. Accessories and Materials ARPU experiences seasonality patterns similar to our overall business where Q4 is typically our strongest quarter of the year.

All three of our product segments experienced increases in gross margin this quarter. Our total gross margin was 37%, up from 31% in the first quarter of 2020. We benefited from lower tariffs associated with moving the bulk of our Connected Machine production from China to Malaysia. As a result, Connected Machine margins returned to levels closer to what we saw in early 2018 prior to the increase in tariffs. Strategically, primary production will remain in Malaysia, with the ability to flex manufacturing capacity in China as needed. In 2020 and in 2021, this strategy proved successful as we were able to increase production in an effort to help meet unusually high demands. Going forward, we expect to continue to incur some tariffs as we leverage production capacity in China to help address continued demand for Connected Machines. In addition, depending upon how the post-COVID environment plays out, we may choose to be more promotional in the second half of the year as demand and supply normalize, which could put pressure on margins.

Profitability and a disciplined approach to spending have always been a priority for us. Our cost structure is characterized by three things: efficient Sales and Marketing spend, driven by our strong word-of-mouth adoption and network effects, investing in R&D for growth, and leverage in our fixed costs. Total operating expenses in the first quarter were $55.6 million, an increase over Q1 2020 of $28.2 million. $8.2 million of this increase was a one-time charge related to the corporate reorganization associated with the IPO. As we move into 2021, we will continue to invest carefully in marketing initiatives, including those that support our international business, new products, our platform, our global community, and content all to support future revenue growth to drive new users and increased engagement.

We have always focused on building a long-term, durable business model that allows us to grow the top line, invest for our future, and just as importantly continue to deliver solid profitability. We are pleased to report a ninth consecutive quarter of positive net income. Q1 net income was $49.4 million, up 279% from the same period last year, and diluted earnings per share was $0.24. Note that Cricut did not have a comparable EPS history prior to the reorganization at the time of the IPO.

Turning to EBITDA, which includes stock-based compensation expense, we delivered EBITDA of $68.6 million or 21.2% margin in the first quarter, compared to $20.7 million or 14.4% margin in the first quarter 2020. Q1 total stock-based compensation expense was $11.7 million, including $3.5 million in recurring stock-based compensation expense and an $8.2 million one-time charge related to the IPO corporate reorganization. Going forward, we expect stock-based compensation expense to be approximately $11 million per quarter over the next three quarters.

Turning now to the balance sheet and liquidity. We ended the quarter with $337 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities which includes $243 million in proceeds from the IPO. Subsequent to quarter end, the underwriters exercised a portion of the overallotment option, bringing the approximate total proceeds to $261 million. We also have an untapped credit line of $137 million as of the end of Q1. Cash used in operations for the first quarter was $22 million, reflecting payments for higher levels of inventory as we continue to work to keep up with demand, especially on Connected Machines.

As we discussed during our IPO process, we are not providing quantitative guidance at this time. That said, I want to provide some color as we look to the rest of the year. Typically, Q2 is our seasonally low quarter and declined slightly from Q1 in a normal year. While we are only mid-way through the second quarter, current trend suggest that Q2 revenues will be in a range similar to Q1. As we look to the second half of the year, we maintain a careful view as we navigate several different dynamics related to the pandemic and possible inventory supply challenges that might occur. However, we currently expect to add at least as many new users in the full year 2021 as we did in the full year 2020. Please note that user growth in Q1 typically benefits from the increased number of machines sold in the last few weeks of the preceding Q4 holiday season. And due to typical seasonality, sequentially lower user growth would be expected in Q2, with new user growth picking back up later in the calendar year.

It’s also important to remember that we have aggressively and consistently grown the business for many years prior to the pandemic. We have built a durable business model and a passionate and viral community of users that drive our new-user acquisition. We believe the fundamentals, the macro trends, and the behaviors that drove our growth then remain intact. We have made significant progress over the years to reach our long-term targets and we are proud of what we’ve achieved so far. Longer-term, we will continue to invest for growth, drive new user acquisition and engagement, and bring the Cricut ecosystem to millions more around the globe. Our long-term model includes gross margins in the 37% to 38% range and EBITDA margins in the 17% to 20% range. We are committed and focused on the long-term, and it is our job to continue to execute the way we always have. With that we’ll turn it back to the operator for questions

[Operator]

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And your first question comes from the line of Rod Hall with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

Hey guys, can I ask a follow-up, do you guys mind if I…

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Sure.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

I guess, good numbers here obviously, and things are looking good into Q2 as well. I just wanted to double check your user growth expectations, and kind of your commentary there, Marty, in terms of phasing through the year. I assume that you're growing users faster than you normally would here at the beginning of this year, given we've been in lockdown conditions and so on and then -- but then I'm also assuming you would assume that user growth isn't maybe as good in the back end of the year as you normally would expect, but I'm just not quite sure what you're thinking to the back-end of user growth? So that was my first question then I have a follow-up.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Yes, so one thing to just re-highlight that we talked about in my prepared comments is that there's a seasonal -- a normal seasonal shift in how new users are acquired. New users in Q1 are quite a bit higher than new users in Q2. And then, as we progress through the year, new user growth picks up later in the year. We have always expected to see some normalization as we emerge from the pandemic. And we're pleased to see that hasn't happened so far. But I think that they are directed back to my prepared comments, and so that we feel comfortable that at a minimum, we will match the number of new users that we brought on last year this year. And last year 2020 was a pretty exceptional year for us. So our expectation is to grow users on top of that strong year.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

Okay. Thanks.

[Multiple Speakers]

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

I just want to add, thanks for the question, really apt. I just wanted to add a bit more color to what Marty said, because it kind of gives you the overall flavor of the business. So first, I wanted to remind everyone that while 2020 was a strong year, we've grown at a CAGR of 45% for several years prior to COVID, right. And Marty mentioned that, currently we expect to add at least as many new users in 2021 as we did in 2020. What that means is that as we go into the second half of the year, we have a significantly larger number of users than we did going into the second half of 2020, right. And then, so from that we benefit from those users being engaged from ARPU, from subscriptions, accessories and materials. And, I know we mentioned in our prepared remarks, we talked about some engagement behaviors changing, but many of these behaviors will still remain intact, right. So people still have back to school. In fact, they will be bigger this year. People still crowd for Halloween, Thanksgiving Holidays, people still want to use our products for emotional wellness, right. So in some way I just want to reinforce a few things that we tried to highlight in our prepared remarks. We have a durable business model, so the passion in the vital community of users and our fundamentals and trends remain strong and intact.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

And one thing to just add on there that Ashish touched on, and that is that we have large number of new users that came on in 2020 and in Q1 2021, that generate ARPU. And so if you just quantify that there were a million users that came -- new users that came on in just the second half of 2020, another 600,000 came on in Q1, and another you pick the number, you want to put a plug in there for Q2, and all of those users we know from years of history, that they will generate ARPU continuing not just through the back half of 2021, but for years in the future. And that's in addition to the rest of our user base that does the same. And so that creates a tailwind for us, not just in the near-term, but for the long-term as well.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

Yeah. Hey could I ask a follow up or you guys mind if I…

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Sure.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

The subscription ARPU progression has been great here. And I know Ashish you had planned to or one of those strategic goals you've got is to continue to increase that. And I know that you guys attempted to make some moves on that around the -- around about the time of the IPO. But I'm just curious kind of what the plan now is, as you look towards the end of the year for continuing to increase the value for that subscription, maybe talk us through that?

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Yeah, so Rod, as you pointed out, subscriptions is a key part of our portfolio. And we try to drive both engagement and the value proposition of our subscriptions. Today, the subscription value is driven by content and so one of our focus areas has been to significantly add to the diversity and the breadth of the content. But in addition to that, we are adding -- we've launched a few software services that are part of -- that are only available to subscribers. And I think you will continue to see us doing that as to -- as we try to enrich the overall value of subscriptions with enhanced content, software, as well as other services. So I'm really excited about the work the team is doing. And I think you'll see more of that in the future.

[Rod Hall, Goldman Sachs]

Great, okay, thanks a lot guys. Appreciate it.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thanks, Rod.

[Operator]

And your next question comes from the line of Katy Huberty with Morgan Stanley.

[Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley]

Thank you, good afternoon. It was impressive to see the acceleration in year-on-year growth, even as we start thinking about lapping COVID at the tail end of the March quarter. When I think about the acceleration from 114% growth in December to 125% growth in March that's about $17 million of incremental revenue. Any color, just generally speaking on what drove that incremental revenue base, was it largely related to the Mug Press launch, are you starting to see retailers build more channel inventory as they prepare for increased traffic in their stores, are there other factors that we should think about that help drive the growth acceleration? And then I have a follow-up.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Yes, a couple of things, Katy. So I think you correctly identified two items. One is channel fill of machines. We're getting back on top of our inventory or our supply constraints with machines. And so part of what you're seeing is in machines, in particular, is replenishment of channel inventories as well as just strong demand that continues in Q1 carried over from 2020. As well in accessories and materials, our Mug Press is doing well as well as our entire easy press line has grown faster than that segment as a whole. And so I think those -- as well as subscription. So if you can look at subscriptions as well, our ARPU has increased, and that's largely driven by increased attach rate of subscribers to users. So really kind of all three of our segments have contributed to the growth.

[Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley]

And Marty, just a follow-up on that. How many more quarters do you think it would take you to get to the appropriate channel inventory levels and catch up with some of the backlog in the business, I mean I appreciate that it depends on what happens with supply but is it multiple quarters in a normal supply environment to get to normal channel inventory levels or is it quicker than that?

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Yes. That's -- you're correct, that's a tricky question to be able to answer because there's multiple facets to it. One is demand, where does that go in the second half of the year and beyond. But more importantly, it's on the supply chain. And there's a number of factors that are affecting the supply chain. There's logistical issues where there's some constraints on shipping, on containers, on commodities, on other components. And so it's a little tricky to be able to say when we will be back on top and in a comfortable position on our machine inventory. But I think that a lot of these supply chain constraints will be present, at least in some form, our plan is through the end of the year. Now we've done a number of things to try to mitigate those as much as possible, that I think that we should look through at least through the end of the year to see some of that. Now on the materials and accessories side, we're back into a pretty comfortable position on those. So really, the machine areas where we're more supply-constrained at the moment.

[Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley]

Okay. Helpful...

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Katy, I'll just add a comment, I think, very consistent as Marty said. We're definitely better in the Q2 and the rest of the year time frame than we were in Q4 and Q1 last year. But I think the challenges that Marty has highlighted continues to exist, but I think we're definitely in a better position today and for the next few months and quarters than we were three or six months ago.

[Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley]

Okay. And then, Ashish if I can just ask you a follow-up. You're not providing quantitative guidance because it's hard to know how the world normalizes post the pandemic, and that is a big investor debate across all consumer stocks that saw a boost in their business as consumer behavior changed last year. Can you just talk at a high level, what metrics are you as CEO and the management team tracking to understand how your business might evolve and what are some of the leading indicators that we should think about that helps us understand early what the normal run rate of this business overall and the consumer behavior will be within your user base?

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Yes. So I think I'd like to start off by just saying, one of the things that we obsess about or very focused on is our overall how we estimate the market size, right. And then so we are consistent, we are constantly focused on understanding how we get further penetration in our SAM and TAM. Some of the macro level drivers, which I believe are leading indicators, we look at the trends, like -- and I know you talked about KPIs, but let me just kind of get to that. We're constantly looking at, are these trends, what is the seasonality of these trends, are they here to stay the mainstream. So as we look at trends like personalization, right, as we look at trends like social media and the digitization and more and more prosumers happening, those are broad indicators that we look at to make sure that none of our assumptions about our business have changed. As far as our specific metrics that we look at, I would say, clearly, net new user growth is a big one, but also engagement, right. One of the fundamental drivers or one of the drivers of our growth is that our users are engaged and that engagement not only drives ARPU, but it also drives the word of mouth. And so the more people make, the more projects they make, the more they tell people about it in the digital or the physical space. And for us, it's very important to make sure that engagement stays high. And if we can continue to drive that, we think that we'll be -- we'll stay in a healthy place.

[Katy Huberty, Morgan Stanley]

Thank you, congrats on the strong quarter.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thank you, Katy.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of James Suva with Citigroup.

[James Suva, Citigroup]

Thank you. And congratulations on your results and the qualitative outlook that you gave about subscribers. Following up on some of the earlier questions about as the year progresses, I've been trying to buy some of the product online for my wife and stuff like that, and it continues to be sold out, which is a good situation of demand exceeding supply. It sounds like you've mentioned equilibrium and supply, did you say by the end of this calendar year and does that account for semiconductor shortages, not for your supplies but for your equipment, and does that include also restocking the channel?

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

So just a point of clarification, Jim, my comment about the end of the year was intended to be at least through the end of the year. I'm not necessarily saying we'll be back in stock in the end of the year or back at normal levels. It's just too hard to be able to make that judgment but I think that a lot of the things that we're facing in the supply chain will be prevalent and manifest themselves at least through the end of the year. Now in terms of components, there are shortages in components, but we've done much to mitigate those shortages by going out and securing longer-term agreements with the manufacturers. And many of those agreements carry us at least through the end of the year. And so what I would point to is despite some of the shortages that you see in other industries, we've still been able to grow machine growth just in Q1 at 148%. So we're still able to manufacture a number of machines. We're just not -- we're still not able to manufacture as many as demand would want at the moment.

[James Suva, Citigroup]

Great. And then as my follow-up, my wife won't let me take apart her machine to see what's all inside of it but I do note there's metal and plastic. And in the world, there's been some changes of both metal and plastic costs. Is that going to hurt your margins or is it just in aggregate, they don't add up to be meaningful enough, but any thoughts about raw materials, not semiconductors, but plastics and metals, cutting knives, tools, all these things that my wife uses? Thank you.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Yes, Jim. Yes, we are now seeing increase in these commodity prices, sheet metal, resin, glue, polymers, etcetera, most of the commodities that you would expect. We're seeing those now. We -- that's really a supply/demand issue and we believe it's transitory. So we think that it will impact some -- have some margin impact in the short-term, but we think that over the medium term, that supply/demand balance comes back into line.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

And Jim, I'll just add to that comment from Marty, which is, clearly, there's -- as you rightly pointed out, there's increase in commodity costs. One of the things that I'm very proud about on behalf of the team is that as we have continued to broaden our supply chain, as we bring additional contract manufacturers, we will mitigate some of that with just more competition on the supply -- on our supplier side. So we're definitely taking some proactive steps to make sure you're offsetting some of those cost increases when we see them.

[James Suva, Citigroup]

Thank you so much for the details and clarifications. Its greatly appreciated.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Thank you Jim.

[Operator]

Your next question comes from the line of Adrienne Yih with Barclays.

[Adrienne Yih, Barclays Bank]

Good afternoon. I will add my congratulations. It was very nicely done, great start to the year. Ashish, I want to stay -- I want to stay on the inventory issue and I guess my question is, what are the forward order books like in the wholesale channel, are you able to meet that demand or do you have to kind of push it off a little bit based on the uncertainty? That's my first question. And then my second question for you is what is your go-to-market strategy in a new geography, do you have customized software, and how much do you prep the market with advertising in a new market? And then I have one for Marty, thank you.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Okay. Well, I think Adrienne on the inventory side, we were constrained in Q1. So we adapted our promotional strategy to accommodate the fact that it didn't make sense for us to be -- to follow our regular cadence of promotions when we're having some inventory shortages. As we've gone through the quarter, we think the situation we have in a much better position and I think we are -- as we go into Q3 and Q4, we'll definitely not be in an oversupply situation, but I think we'll be -- we'll do fairly well when it comes to a healthy mix between supply and demand. That's what I would say to that.

On the international front, let me -- I'm actually really excited about that because one of the things that really helps us is that people are creative everywhere. So the behaviors and the intrinsic motivation of what drove our growth in the U.S. and in some of the markets we are in today, they're global. We have not yet found a country that we've gone in, and we've seen that, that behavior is different, there are some nuances though. One is in some of the countries, the channel may not be as developed, and that has allowed us, so they may not be specialty retail but the user need and the demand is there. So we have actually been -- we've been successful in working with mass retailers, electronics retailers, office stores to bring some of those solutions to our user base. Our international spend in marketing and sales will be somewhat higher, but not dramatically higher in some of these countries. But the go-to-market formula is not changing and what that go to formula entails is basically driving user engagement, seeding our products, using digital and social very actively, and really kind of creating raving paths. So it's a very ground up model. We definitely create awareness from that, but we also make sure that we are providing a great experience, and we are building off that engagement, which ultimately then drives network effects and word-of-mouth marketing. So I think both from a channel perspective and from a consumer marketing perspective, the core of the formula remains the same.

[Adrienne Yih, Barclays Bank]

Very helpful. And for Marty, this is a little bit of a loaded question because it's got so many components to it. So far, what I'm hearing on the cost side is that raw materials are going up, but you have new unit breakpoints, which are sort of economies of scale, you're shifting countries of manufacturing. And so I guess my question is, let's just take the 600 basis points of gross margin expansion in the quarter. If you take out the country mix, so how would we think about the IMU or the initial margin on the manufacturing of the product versus perhaps mix shift of higher-margin subscriptions and accessories and materials and that's why I say the loaded question because there's so much going on in there, so any help there would be super helpful? And maybe one of the easiest ways to start that is when did you shift to Malaysia from China as a full quarter and maybe that will help me give myself a baseline? Thank you.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Okay. So I'll talk to your last question first, and that is our machine production shift. So we began shifting that in 2019 and the tariffs on machines increased in mid-2019. So early 2019, you didn't -- while there was a 10% tariff, you didn't see as much. The second half, you saw a lot more. And we, for the most part had gotten all of our manufacturing to Malaysia by early 2020. But then the pandemic hit, Malaysia and other countries began closing their manufacturing doors. And so we shifted some manufacturing back to China. And so we really haven't had a full quarter of non-tariffs because in order to meet demand, we have been manufacturing some of our machines back in China as well because demand has been so strong. So we have flexed back and so even today, we haven't had a full quarter out of China. In terms -- and I'm sorry, what was your other question?

[Adrienne Yih, Barclays Bank]

Yes, the other question was of the 600 basis points, I guess, just let's use that as an example, gross margin year-on-year improvement, how much of that would be manufacturing costs, maybe -- and maybe that's the easier way, manufacturing costs itself versus a mix shift to other categories, subscriptions and accessories and materials?

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Yes, most of that was tariff related. You can see that in Q1 2020 our machines carried a gross margin of 9%, and they're 15% this quarter, and that's really tariff related. And so most of it was that. But at the same time, you do see that subscriptions, for example, was a full percentage point higher when subscriptions carry essentially a 90% gross margin. And so -- but the majority of it is really tariff-related as well as some manufacturing cost reductions because we have been able to negotiate and with some of our new manufacturers as we expand our supplier base to others.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

I'll just add to that and just say that promotions is another area that probably contributed some. We were more promotional in Q4. In general, people are -- just more promotional activity. And in Q1, we are constrained, so we also did less promotions.

[Adrienne Yih, Barclays Bank]

Yes, makes sense. Well, best of luck and I'm glad to hear Q2 is off to a strong start as well.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thank you, Adrienne.

[Operator]

And your last question comes from the line of Mark Altschwager with Baird.

[Mark Altschwager, Robert W. Baird]

Great, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question and let me offer my congrats on the quarter and your first call here as a public company. So to start out, I wanted to ask about engagement. Really nice to see that up year-over-year, any perspective you can provide on how engagement has trended in kind of maybe the March, April, May time frame, I know that the metric you provide is a 90-day metric, so maybe just qualitatively, I'm trying to understand your user behavior recently here as vaccine distributions picked up and we're seeing kind of more demand for the out-of-home activities and just any key learnings as we've begun to -- lockdowns that's really forming your outlook for the remainder of the year?

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Sure. So Mark, one of the things that -- so we're actually really excited about our engagement and how it stayed consistent, in fact, done better than we were in the same -- at the same time last year. And it's particularly meaningful because as you're bringing in new users and majority of our users who are joining our platform are first time users, and it takes them a while to get on-boarded and get really familiar with the platform. So the fact that it stayed as healthy as it has, is really a good thing. So we really haven't noticed very many changes in the types of engagement, even in the last few weeks and months. We had a strong engagement on clearly throughout the Q1. But even more recently, like as we've gone into Mother’s Day and we've seen healthy engagement. As we go through the second half of the year, as we go into summer, there's a hypothesis that some of that engagement patterns may change.

So maybe people are doing less home DIY projects but one of the beautiful things about our platform and our category is that all of a sudden, there will be weddings, and there will be people -- there will be lots of t-shirts and people will plan trips and cruises, and they'll want to wear matching t-shirts. Back-to-school will be much bigger, so there is patterns of engagement that we're keeping very -- keeping a handle on, and we're also kind of matching our content programs. But one thing I want to emphasize, as I said before, is that, yes, there will be some engagement patterns that will change but there is a lot of engagement that will stay consistent. People will still have the same festivals and people prepare for holidays, people will be doing gift -- they'll be gifting. So we continue to monitor the situation, and we will continue to adapt our engagement. One final point I'll add is that we've actually really been investing in our dedicated engagement team, and I'm really excited about that because I think we'll be able to not only understand how user behavior is changing, but be very proactive in making sure that, that engagement stays healthy.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

Mark, and just one quick comment on a general comment on engagement. Engagement does have some seasonality in it, lots of engagement, particularly in Q4 when people are making things for the holidays, both Thanksgiving and Christmas. And so you do see some seasonality patterns in engagement.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

And one last final point, Mark I'll make is that because we are -- like we had a platform and because we are connected, we can see this engagement in real time, right. So we have not only programs that are forward planning, but we can also react to daily, weekly basis. And if you see a downturn, we can really kind of try to understand what's driving that and also put in place programs that offset some of that. But I just wanted to say this is a benefit of having a cloud-based platform that we can actually look at some of this behavior in real time.

[Mark Altschwager, Robert W. Baird]

That's great color, thank you. And then I wanted to follow-up also on international. Maybe just a bit more -- I mean great growth there. Just the 10% of sales level, is that something you would expect to sustain for the year? And then just any more color you can provide on the drivers, new retail relationships versus sales to your existing partners or any notable differences on the accessory materials, ARPU, and subscription penetration versus what you're seeing in your domestic markets? Thank you.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thanks Mark. Those are about five questions but all good ones. So we're not right now commenting on what the business will look like in the future, whether it's -- where we'll achieve. But needless to say, we are really excited, and we are learning a lot as we go into some of these markets. As you saw that 10% of the business of our total revenues in Q1 came from international. And we are very focused on driving additional countries, so while we've launched in the four markets that we've talked about, we are now in several countries in Europe, including the Nordics, Spain, Italy. We have added Middle East, South Africa. We are already -- we're building up a team in Singapore, Malaysia, and Asian countries as well. And as I said before, in some of these markets, they're specialty retail, and we understand that, and we call it the core of our concentric go-to-market strategy. But in many countries we have not had the benefit of that. And so we've been very -- we've been successful in working with other retailers like consumer electronics retailers and office retailers and mass retailers and bringing those solutions to the market. Our go-to-market strategy, which I talked about earlier still remains the same. One difference, I will highlight that I think we will encounter in some of these international markets is what we call prosumers. So while -- when we started off in North America, for example, we initially really focused on the hobby market and then we saw as we noted, 29% of our users also not upselling things made for our products. As we are going in some of these countries, there will be situations where we will enter the market more focused on small businesses and prosumers and then kind of building on that into the hobbies market. But overall, again, as I said, we are in the very early stages, and we have a great team in place, and it's the first innings.

[Mark Altschwager, Robert W. Baird]

Great, thank you. And best of luck.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Hey, thank you Mark.

[Operator]

Excuse me speakers, I'm showing no further questions at this time. You may continue.

[Marty Petersen, CFO]

I think that's it then. We want to thank everybody for joining us today and we look forward to many more of these calls. Thank you.

[Ashish Arora, President and CEO]

Thanks everyone.

[Operator]

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.