Catalyst Pharmaceuticals Inc
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2018-Q4

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Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Catalyst Pharmaceuticals Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2018 Financial Results Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Ali Grande, Chief Financial Officer for Catalyst Pharmaceuticals. Thank you. You may begin.

A
Ali Grande
CFO

Good morning, everyone. And thanks for joining our conference call. On today's call, we have Pat McEnany, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Dr. Steve Miller, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Scientific Officer; and Dan Brennan, Chief Commercial Officer.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that in the following comments and in the Q&A session, we will make statements about expected future results, which may be forward-looking statements for purposes of the Federal Securities Laws. These statements relate to our current expectations, estimates and projections, and are not guarantees of future performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict and which may prove not to be accurate. Actual results may vary. Disclosure of these statements should be considered only in conjunction with the detailed information contained in our SEC filings, including the risk factors in our annual report on Form 10-K.

At this time, I’ll turn the call over to Pat.

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Ali. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us today.

2018 was a pivotal year for Catalyst that culminated in the approval of Firdapse, which was commercially launched on January 15th. It was also a transformational year for adult patients in United States who struggle with the debilitating effects of Lambert-Eaton myasthenic syndrome or LEMS. Prior to the approval of Firdapse, these patients had no evidence-based treatment option that was approved, for years. Furthermore, only a small number of LEMS patients had access to any treatment at all in the form of an unapproved investigational amifampridine treatment.

I'd like to focus my remarks today on our three strategic priorities. First and most importantly, the successful execution of the Firdapse launch plan; second, the continued execution of our other clinical trials evaluating Firdapse for the treatment of CMS, MuSK antibody positive MG and SMA Type 3; and third, our efforts to develop a longer acting formulation of Firdapse.

I'd like to start by informing you all about what has been a very strong start to the commercial launch of Firdapse. As most of you know, we were launch-ready as of January 15th. Our primary goal during this initial phase of the launch period has been a smooth and seamless transition of all 3,4-DAP experienced patients to commercial Firdapse. As part of that effort, we have successfully transitioned patients from the Cleveland Clinic, Duke University, the Mayo Clinic, as well as other centers of excellence. During this transition, I'm pleased to report that so far, we are not aware of any patient from an early access program desiring to remain on therapy that has missed a single dose of drug.

In addition, despite some patient concerns initially, most all patients that are now being treated with Firdapse have experienced an out-of-pocket expense of $10 per month or less. The first and most important priority is to remain laser-focused on our continued efforts to execute a successful launch of Firdapse. We are quite pleased with the strong momentum that we have achieved in the first few months of the launch, including the breadth of prescribers and number of patient enrollment or start forms in Catalyst Pathways, which is our comprehensive patient services program that was launched at the time of the Firdapse approval.

With respect to our experience with payers, progress to-date has been tracking better than expected. So far, with few exceptions, every payer that has been presented with a claim, has indicated that they would cover Firdapse, including large, well-known payers such as Express Scripts, Cigna, Caremark, Aetna and Prime Therapeutics, which represents about 25 Blue Cross Blue Shield plans across the country.

So, now, let me provide you with a few of the launch key performance indicators as of last Friday, March 15th, two months into our launch. We have more than 300 LEMS patients that have been enrolled in Catalyst Pathways and more than 250 patients that are currently being treated with Firdapse. Additionally, 165 unique physicians have written at least one prescription for Firdapse through our Catalyst Pathways patient services hub. And what is especially gratifying is the fact that we've enrolled 39 patients in Catalyst Pathways, who have not previously had access to an amifampridine drug therapy. Dan will provide more details on our commercial activity shortly.

We are pleased with the early uptake of commercial Firdapse. In preparation for this possibility, our inventory and supply chain partners were well-positioned. We have manufactured sufficient quantities of Firdapse dosage form an API, or active pharmaceutical ingredient to supply our best case forecast for the next 18 months. Also, we have scheduled additional manufacturing campaigns during the next few months.

We anticipate that we’ll be in a position to provide revenue guidance for 2019 by the time that we announce first quarter results in early May. At that time, we should have enough data and experience to be able to project with confidence a range of revenues for the full year 2019.

As we have stated previously, we anticipate transitioning most 3,4-DAP experienced patients by the end of the second quarter and then a steady, slower pace of patient enrollment from this meaningful base as the year progresses.

Our patient and physician education programs continue through our medical affairs team and MSLs. We view this as one of the longer term, critical success requirements to not only better educate the patient community about LEMS, but also young upcoming neurologists. To that end, later this month, we’ll be sponsoring our first Catalyst LEMS Firdapse Ambassador Fellows program in Dallas. Neuromuscular fellows from 15 academic centers across the U.S. will be participating. We expect to conduct similar programs several times a year.

Our next priority remains on the clinical development front, the ongoing evaluation of Firdapse in clinical trials for the treatment of MuSK-MG, CMS and SMA Type 3. With the MuSK-MG trial, we are working with some of the top neuromuscular experts at 29 clinical trial sites in the U.S. and Europe. These programs continue to enroll and we anticipate top-line results for the MuSK-MG and CMS trials in the second half of this year. Steve will provide more details on these programs later in the presentation.

Collectively, these clinical development activities comprise what we refer to as Firdapse platform. Assuming the clinical trial outcomes are satisfactory to the FDA, we believe these programs represent substantial label expansion opportunities to serve patients with other rare, neuromuscular, unmet medical needs in the coming years.

Our third priority is moving forward on our development efforts for a long-acting formulation of Firdapse that addresses additional important LEMS patient needs. Patients have told us that they’d like a product that provides relief from LEMS symptoms throughout the day, so they don't have to plan their daily activities around their scheduled dosing times. They've also expressed a desire and need for a LEMS medication that lasts through the night while they sleep. Also, we received patient requests for a formulation that could be dosed once or twice each day, which would provide a steady and stated drug effect throughout the day and likely lead to better medication adherence and compliance. We're designing our Firdapse Sustained Release program specifically to address these patient needs and based on their input. It is gratifying to know that through this development program, we may be able to further improve the lives of LEMS patients.

Now, let me turn the call over to Dan who can provide some additional insights into our commercial activities. Dan?

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

Thanks, Pat. Good morning, everyone.

We are encouraged by the early Firdapse launch trends, and I'd like to take a moment today to share what we have seen thus far.

Let me remind you, we estimate that there are about 3,000 LEMS patients in the United States and claims data reviewed over the most recent two-year period indicates that approximately 1,500 unique patients are currently diagnosed. This estimate triangulates well with other epidemiology data published in literature. Furthermore, we believe that approximately 300 of these 3,000 patients were accessing investigational 3,4-DAP via the Jacobus Pharmaceuticals or via our Expanded Access study at the end of last year.

Our initial efforts and goals have focused on two important LEMS patient groups. First, successful transition to Firdapse for the 300 or so patients previously on investigational drug, starting January 15th, with no lapse in their therapy; second, making Firdapse available to all other LEMs diagnosed patients who were -- but who were previously inexperienced with 3,4-DAP. Internally, we describe these patients as 3,4-DAP naïve and starting that effort February 4th of this year. We are pleased to have made good progress on both of those focus areas to-date. First, we began shipping Firdapse to patients transitioning from 3,4-DAP on January 14th. We believe that almost all patients who desire to transition from Jacobus investigational 3,4-DAP or our Catalyst Expanded Access Program, have already submitted enrollment forms into our Catalyst pathway patient service system. Of course, we can’t be certain that each and every one of these Jacobus LEMS patients have enrolled because we don't have access to a full listing of those sites and patients. But according to our estimates, most appear to have transitioned with their physicians sending in a Firdapse enrollment form into Catalyst Pathways or into our specialty pharmacy system.

We are aware of and closely monitoring patient exhaust dates for 3,4-DAP and Expanded Access Program patients and are coordinating shipments according to those exhaust dates. These patients and prescriptions should be fully transitioned by the time of our next conference call.

In January, we also received our first enrollment form from a 3,4-DAP naĂŻve patient and Firdapse was shipped to that patients on January 24th, ahead of our February 4th announced availability date, primarily because of the strong and urgent need by this and other patients with their physicians who have been aware of 3,4-DAP but were unable to access it via one of the investigational study programs. We are very encouraged that 39 of these patients who were previously unable to obtain investigational or compounded 3,4-DAP, have already enrolled via Catalyst Pathways with the prescriptions and/or a first shipment of Firdapse since making it widely available.

In total, as of the end of last week, there were 165 unique physicians who have submitted the Firdapse prescription through Catalyst Pathways for at least one adult LEMS patient and a total of more than 300 completed enrollment forms for unique patients that have been turned into Catalyst Pathways. Each of these enrollment forms includes a Firdapse prescription.

Our seasoned sales force is calling on approximately 1,250 neurologists or neuromuscular specialists, many of whom were part of our Expanded Access Program or were part of a known 3,4-DAP IND site. But this also includes physicians with the high potential of having a LEMS diagnosed patient according to our healthcare claims data analysis and review process. We have further segmented this target physician universe into four priority tiers, and we have confidence that we deployed our valuable field force in an optimal manner with this approach. Good progress is being made in reaching this base, and we expect to reach 80% of Tier 1, Tier 2 priority targets by the end of Q2, if not earlier.

This field level promotion through our regional account managers or RAMs is further supplemented with targeted non-personal educational awareness efforts on both existing and additional targets, leveraging digital outreach means another mechanism to gain insight into healthcare providers segment behavior and to generate leads for further follow-up. Our Catalyst Pathways program is fully operational and served as a gateway for our free bridge medication for patients transitioning from investigational drug or those awaiting reimbursement and then proven essential to providing support to these patients.

The Catalyst Pathways program, as Pat touched on, is a resource for patients diagnosed with LEMS and their physicians as a personalized support program, ranging from disease and product education to a wide array of financial assistance programs. It also serves as logistical support, providing door-to-door product treatment and delivery of medication to our limited number of specialty pharmacies.

I want to turn now to market access, where we also see positive developments. Market access uptake for Firdapse has progressed well since launch with high levels of formulary placement and reimbursement from the commercial, government and Medicare channels. We have seen a positive response by insurers based on the initial impression of the clinical benefit of our medicine and recognizing the medical need.

We have seen only a few initial denials and our Catalyst Pathways team are assisting with the appeals process in conjunction with our national account managers in the field. Most insurers have placed formal prior authorization requirements on Firdapse but have not included any problematic or inappropriate requirements from what we feel that is outside of what is expected or found in our label.

During the time, we benefit investigation and prior authorization or appeal process is taking place, our free bridge meditation program via Catalyst Pathways has been working while ensuring that those patients do not experience a lapse in therapy. And importantly, for those patients who have received a positive coverage and reimbursement decision, we see that the average monthly co-pay out-of-pocket amount is only $7 and over 50% of patients are paying zero dollars per month. In fact, we believe that all patients who have reached out to utilize one of the financial assistance programs available to them are paying $10 per month or less for their Firdapse medication.

We are pleased with the time to fill and time to reimbursement metrics, which are currently trending better than our original assumption of 60 to 90 days. As we continue to progress through the initial launch phase and gain additional months of experience, we will be able to provide an update on these metrics.

The next or third phase of our launch strategy will gear up later this year and will mark the initiation of the typical hard thought focus on generating awareness and prescriptions for the approximate 1,500 undiagnosed and misdiagnosed LEMS patients for this ultra rare disease, targeting physician education on the disease and providing tools to ensure and hasten proper diagnosis of LEMS. We are utilizing machine learning and artificial intelligence algorithms to identify patterns and signals in healthcare claims data that suggest a patient with LEMS has been misdiagnosed or remains undiagnosed. This algorithm will identify a wider group of specific physicians with whom we will communicate via non-personal promotional tools such as direct or digital mailings and programs or we can deploy our regional account managers for an awareness or educational interaction with tools that will help shorten the LEMS diagnosis time in the right patients.

Finally, we are proud of the relationships that we continue to develop with the LEMS community as we help these patients navigate their treatment needs. This community is comprised of not only patients but also their families, caregivers, and physicians. We have conducted several market research studies in order to better understand the disease experience, its impact on daily life, and any concerns the individuals may have. Through this research in the coordination with Catalyst Pathways, we have gained the deeper understanding of the LEMS community and are encouraged by the enthusiasm we have received from the community for Firdapse and for Catalyst. I can't say enough about the Catalyst, Catalyst Pathways and entire commercial team. Everyone is motivated by the challenge created by LEMS in the day to day lives for these patients and families, excited to hear about the positive impact that Firdapse is having and their response to the efforts in Catalyst Pathways programs we have in place to ensure that therapy is provided without a lapse and without a financial burden to them personally. We are also inspired by their efforts to make the transition successfully to this medication.

We look forward to sharing progress with you throughout the year. And with that, I’ll now turn the call over to Steve.

D
Dr. Steve Miller
COO and Chief Scientific Officer

Thank you, Dan, and good morning.

We are very excited about the approval of Firdapse as this marks an incredible milestone, both for LEMS patients and Catalyst. Following the approval of Firdapse for LEMS, we continue to focus our development efforts on clinical programs for new indications to help patients with unmet medical needs and on product improvements for Firdapse to improve the treatment experience for all patients.

When we submitted our NDA for Firdapse for LEMS, we decided not to include an indication for the limited types of CMS that are mechanistically similar to LEMS in order to simplify the NDA review process for the FDA and to ensure timely approval of the NDA, which occurred on the assigned PDUFA action date of November 28th. However, we're still committed to our clinical program for CMS. This program is currently in Phase 3 development with enrollment completion and reporting of top-line results expected in the second half of 2019. Assuming positive top-line results from this trial, we will work closely with the FDA to evaluate the suitability of Firdapse for all available CMS types and hope to file a supplemental NDA for a new indication for the treatment of one or more types of CMS in 2020. There are currently no approved therapies or off-label alternatives for the treatment of CMS and we are excited about potentially bringing a treatment option to these patients.

In addition to CMS, we are evaluating Firdapse for the treatment of MuSK antibody positive, myasthenia gravis or MuSK-MG. We are currently conducting a Phase 3 trial for this new indication at 29 trial sites in the U.S. and Europe. This trial follows our prior successful single site proof-of-concept trial, which demonstrated clinical improvement with statistical significance in multiple assessments, including the FDA required primary endpoint of MG-ADL.

We enrolled our first patient in this current trial in the second quarter of 2018 and look forward to report top-line results in the second half of this year. This trial is being conducted under a Special Protocol Assessment or SPA with the FDA.

Pending positive top-line Phase 3 results in the second half of this year, we've been working with the FDA to file a supplemental NDA in 2020 to include MuSK-MG as a new indication to already approved label for Firdapse.

Lastly, we are studying Firdapse for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy or SMA Type 3 in a proof-of-concept trial. We enrolled our first patient in this trial in the first quarter of 2019 and remain on track to report top-line results in the first half of 2020. We are hopeful of the potential for Firdapse for an SMA Type 3 based on input of several neuromuscular medical experts that believe Firdapse could be a valid treatment option for these patients.

As Firdapse is being studied in CMS, we continue to support our Expanded Access Program, which provides CMS patients access to amifampridine phosphate tablets. For these eligible patients, therapies provide free of charge if the patients have no other treatment option and the physicians believe that this treatment could provide relief to their patients. Catalyst is also supporting MuSK-MG patients to participate in our Phase 3 study by providing Firdapse at no cost to these patients as part of a long-term safety study, if these patients have no other treatment options and the physicians belief that this treatment could provide relief to their patients.

In addition to these clinical programs, as Pat mentioned earlier, we are in the early stages of our work to develop a longer acting formulation of Firdapse. We continue to receive input from patients that need a meditation that is longer acting that will eliminate the need to plan their daily activities around their current dosing schedule antiques and efficacy of Firdapse. We hope that this new dosage for would ensure an optimum level of efficacy throughout the day and through the night. And in addition to these clinical benefits, we hope that it would also be a more patient finally medication, leading to better compliance.

In order to accelerate the ongoing clinical programs that I just described, Catalyst has been adding to our R&D. We now employ 14 clinical and medical affairs staff members which includes the recent hire of Stanley Iyadurai, PhD, MD, as our Vice President of Clinical Operations. Dr. Iyadurai is a noted neuromuscular specialist with many professional relationships within the neuromuscular physician community and extensive research experience in neuromuscular diseases. Under his leadership as VP of Clinical Operations and leveraging his relationship and experience, we hope to bring the previously described clinical progress to a timely and successful conclusion.

Catalyst is committed to provide Firdapse to every patient that needs it. And we have established a robust supply chain to ensure that there will always be adequate, uninterrupted supplies of medication. Firdapse and its active ingredient are made in the United States. We use two different manufacturers of Firdapse in order to ensure that unforeseen interruptions to manufacturer will not affect the availability of medication. Finally, we maintain inventories of hundreds of thousands of tablets to assure that Firdapse will always be available to anyone that needs it.

I will now turn the call over to Ali Grande, our Chief Financial Officer to review our financial results.

A
Ali Grande
CFO

Thanks, Steve.

All references to per share in this call refer to basic and diluted shares. Yesterday, we reported a GAAP net loss of $34 million, or $0.33 per share for the year ended December 31, 2018 as compared to a GAAP net loss of $18.4 million or $0.21 per share for the year 2017. For 2018, non-GAAP net loss was the same as GAAP net loss as there were no non-GAAP adjustments. In comparison 2017, non-GAAP net loss was $18.2 million or $0.21 per share, which excludes a non-cash loss of a $187,000 attributable to the change in fair value of liability-classified warrants.

For the fourth quarter of 2018, we reported a GAAP net loss of $14.5 million or $0.14 per share compared to a GAAP net loss of $5.4 million or $0.06 per share for the same period in 2017. For the fourth quarters of both 2018 and 2017, non-GAAP net loss was the same as GAAP net loss as there were no non-GAAP adjustments.

Research and development expenses were $8.4 million a $19.9 million for the fourth quarter and full-year 2018, respectively, as compared to $3.4 million and $11.4 million for the fourth quarter and full-year 2017. The increase in R&D for the year 2018 was primarily due to increases in consulting expenses as we prepare to submit our NDA, milestone expenses in connection with the acceptance and approval of our Firdapse NDA for LEMS, expenses from our medical affairs program and compensation and related personal costs as we expanded our headcount to support our clinical trials and programs. We expect that research and development costs will continue to be substantial in 2019 as we work towards completing trials evaluating Firdapse for the treatment of CMS, MuSK-MG and SMA Type 3, continue our Expanded Access Program for Firdapse and begin development of a sustained release formulation of Firdapse.

General and administrative expenses for the fourth quarter and full year 2018 totaled $6.9 million and $15.9 million, respectively, compared to $2.1 million and $7.3 million in the fourth quarter and full-year 2017. The increase for the year 2018 was primarily due to increases in pre-commercialization expenses, headcount and corporate expenses as we built up our infrastructure and commercial programs in preparation for the launch of Firdapse in the first quarter of 2019. We expect G&A cost excluding commercialization expenses that going forward will be reported as selling expenses to continue to increase in 2019 as we continue to expand our workforce and operations to support the launch of Firdapse.

During the fourth quarter and year 2018, Catalyst had revenues of $500,000 from our collaboration with Endo for generic Sabril that began during December 2018. Catalyst had no revenues for the fourth quarter or year 2017.

At December 31, 2018, Catalyst had cash and investments of $58.5 million and no debt. Although there can be no assurance, based on current available information, we believe that these resources will be sufficient to support our planned operations for at least the next 12 months. More detailed information and analysis may be found in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission Yesterday, March 18, 2019, and can be found on the Investor Relations page of our website at www.catalystpharma.com.

I will now turn the call back to Pat.

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Ali. As I mentioned earlier, we believe this is just the beginning of the Firdapse platform. We are pleased with the initial results, but we're very early in the launch and much more work lies ahead. The efforts to further refine our understanding of the patients’ needs as well as the market dynamics remain ongoing. And as the year progresses, we expect to have more information to share. For now, we are very encouraged by the early results and remain optimistic.

This will end the formal presentation. And we’ll now turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Charles Duncan with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your question.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Hi, guys. First of all, congratulations on what appears to be a good execution thus far, early in this launch for LEMS patients. I had just a couple of questions. The first one is, I think, you've referred to 165 unique prescribers. Can you tell us whether or not any of those prescribers are outside of the centers, which were the primary catchment base for the previous -- access to the previous forms of 3,4-DAP?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Dan, do you want to answer that, please?

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

Sure. Yes. Many of the physicians of the 165 are outside of those centers that both Pat mentioned, at Mayo, Duke; Cleveland actually wasn't in the Jacobus IND cycle; it’s part of our EAP. But, there are many physicians outside of the main centers, but had perhaps 1 or 2 patients or a handful of patients that were part of the Jacobus IND. And then, also, you heard us mention that 39 patients have been prescribed that were previously naïve to treatment. And many of those physicians are completely outside of previous experience with 3,4-DAP or amifampridine.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. That’s helpful. And I'm glad you brought up those 39 patients, because my next question was on those Firdapse naïve patients. Do you have any feedback from the physicians on how they're doing and what their persistence with the therapy is thus far?

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

It's very early going on that to understand the persistence. The general reaction has been positive. We don't get regular updates. Our Catalyst Pathways folks are definitely reporting that these patients are pleased or happy with -- and pleasantly surprised with the co-pay amounts that they actually have to pay. But, it is a bit early to report back as far as the level of efficacy and persistence. We do expect it would track along the lines as what we saw in our clinical studies and EAP for the naĂŻve type patients that have never been on 3,4-DAP previously.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. And then, regarding disease awareness, I think you mentioned a program for some being held in Dallas certainly I think next month. Do you have similar programs that you're planning throughout the rest of the year? And are there any regional areas that you want to focus on?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

I don't think, Charles, that additional meetings have been planned as of yet. This is our first of what I explained would be more of these meetings. So, we anticipate before the end of this year, there'll be another meeting. I’m not sure where it will be, at this point. Though, we’ll certainly advise you in advance.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay. And then, final question is for Steve regarding further clinical development of Firdapse. I'm wondering if you could give us a sense of the timing of the CMS data versus the MuSK-MG data and if you have any perspective on a blinded basis the types of patients that are being enrolled in MuSK-MG, are they clearly MG patients -- or excuse me, MuSK patients, and how do you feel about the conduct of their trial thus far?

D
Dr. Steve Miller
COO and Chief Scientific Officer

With regard to the overall completion timing, I can't comment beyond what we've already said, which is second half of 2019. With regard to the overall progress of the trials, they're progressing well and patients do respond to the medication.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Final question for you Steve is, the longer acting formulation, you talked about that briefly, but do you have any timelines, any goal dates, next steps that you can share with us, when could we see a longer acting formulation start to enter, call it clinical evaluation?

D
Dr. Steve Miller
COO and Chief Scientific Officer

Well, we don't have any specific information or guidance that I can provide with regard to the development of that. In addition to that, there is limitations to what I can say anyway for intellectual property reasons. And finally, I think it's important to point out that the development of the product includes both formulation development as well as some clinical trials. So, it will take a few years to get it developed and introduced to the patients. We will try to get it introduced to them as quickly as reasonably possible because the patients have a desire for a long-acting formulation.

C
Charles Duncan
Cantor Fitzgerald

Okay, thanks for taking my questions and thanks also further granularity on metrics thus far.

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Charles.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Joe Catanzaro with Piper Jaffray. Please proceed with your question.

J
Joe Catanzaro
Piper Jaffray

Hey guys. Thanks for taking my questions, and congrats on the progress. I just have a couple questions here. So, for the patients who have converted from investigational 3,4-DAP to Firdapse, can you just give us a sense about what percent of those patients are currently being covered by their insurance?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Dan, why don't you answer that?

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

Yes. I think that we're going to wait until May to give the specifics to that. But, a very large proportion of these have already received a payer positive decision and are either being shipped

reimbursed drug right now or because they're waiting for their existing supply to exhaust, for example, if they haven’t had their closeout visit from our Expanded Access Program study or if they still had a good amount on hand from Jacobus, it seems these patients want to wind those down before getting shipped the drug, but a good percentage of these have been already received -- have already received a positive pay or reimbursement decision.

J
Joe Catanzaro
Piper Jaffray

I ,guess my other question, so on your last call, you guided towards having 250 to 300 patients on treatment by the end of 2019. It seems like you guys are almost already there or very close. Is that a number you're still speaking toward to at the moment?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

That was our original guesstimate back in December, Joe. And it appears that we all have our arms around all of those that had early access by the end of the second quarter, a little quicker than we expected. So, yes, it's -- previously we had expected to have all of those patients on reimbursed drug by the end of the year. It looks like that should happen by the end of Q2.

J
Joe Catanzaro
Piper Jaffray

And I guess my last question. So, from your discussions and interactions with payers, what kind of metrics are they going to want to see to measure patient benefit? From some of our discussions, it sounded like QMG, which is realistic endpoint in a clinical trial is not maybe as realistic in the real world settings. So, what are kind of feedback are you hearing payers to that end?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

In general, we've been pleasantly surprised at how well the payers are understanding and picking up on the severe symptoms and of the benefits of Firdapse being a very symptomatic and easily identifiable benefit by the patients. And really, we haven't had the payers push back on providing this information. Actually, we have a program in place where we are asking the patients this SGI, the subject global impression question that was provided in our studies for naïve patients. But, it's not necessarily a requirement by any of the payers back on us. The main requirement that we're seeing is that there is a confirmation of diagnosis of LEMS. And so, many of these patients have called their insurers directly and told them how important this drug is. And they themselves have been telling to insures how quickly works and how significant the impact is on them able to walk around. And the payers are getting the picture that this is something that if it's not working, the patients just aren’t going to use it or conversely that they're going to keep on using it if it's providing that good value and they can see and sense that value right away.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Edward Nash with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please proceed with your question.

U
Unidentified Analyst

This is Frank [ph] on for Edward. Congratulations on the progress, especially the early launch for Firdapse. My first question is, can you talk about -- you mentioned that the reimbursement tracking better compared to prior thoughts about 60 days and 90 days. Can you talk more about the color on that in terms of how quickly the reimbursement turnaround looks like right now?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Yes. I’ll let Dan answer that but we're not prepared yet, we don't have enough information or experience to be able to speak specific to that, other than a general statement is that as Dan has pointed out, it's been a very positive event or discussions with payers. And I think that again, on our May conference call on Q1 results, we’ll have more data to share with you at that time, so we can be a little bit more specific on the turnaround time. Anything to add to that, Dan?

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

The only thing to add is and again, as I mentioned before, we really haven't seen any problems with denials in the early launch. There are oftentimes immediate rejections of a prior authorization just because the payer doesn't have it in the system. We saw that but we've seen those get reverse very quickly. We do see that the overall trends on time to reimbursement are beating the 60 to 90 days that we originally thought back in December, but that's all I have to shake out. And we'll have a lot better color and metrics on that at the May call.

U
Unidentified Analyst

Got it. That's really helpful. And second question is on -- so, given the recent political rhetoric on drug pricing, do you see any changes in terms of patient enrollment and reimbursement, like since the topic is on the press?

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

No, we -- I'm not sure that we’re really prepared to comment on that, other than to say that it's clearly -- it's been an issue for a number of years, not just now. And so, as long as we feel that we are delivering value to our patients, which we are, and I think it's being recognized with all the various stakeholders, including physicians, patients, payers, that's what we're most concerned about. And we've not see or experienced necessarily any impact. But, again, it's early in the launch for us, but I'm not sure that that global issue is impacting us.

D
Dan Brennan
Chief Commercial Officer

And we don’t see that any of the proposed rule changes are currently causing a financial risk to us. And we're monitoring the progress of a lot of these different proposals. And of course, in the future, if we think it represents a risk, we’ll let you know.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our time allowed for questions. I'll turn the floor back to Mr. McEnany for any final comments.

P
Pat McEnany
Chairman and CEO

Thank you all for your participation on the call this morning. Thank you again to our various stakeholders for your support of Catalyst and assistance in bringing Firdapse to patients suffering from rare neuromuscular disorders. This is very exciting time for the Company and our dedicated team members. We look forward to again providing you with further updates on additional progress. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.