Coinbase Global Inc
NASDAQ:COIN
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one COIN stock under the Base Case scenario is 109.75 USD. Compared to the current market price of 304.64 USD, Coinbase Global Inc is Overvalued by 64%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Coinbase Global Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Coinbase Global Inc
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Coinbase Global Inc. stands as a prominent player in the cryptocurrency landscape, offering a user-friendly platform that allows individuals and institutions to buy, sell, and store a variety of digital assets. Founded in 2012 by Brian Armstrong and Fred Ehrsam, Coinbase has rapidly evolved from a simple exchange into a comprehensive financial services provider in the crypto space. The company's mission revolves around making cryptocurrency accessible to everyone, which they achieve through intuitive technology and a commitment to regulatory compliance. With over 100 million users and a robust suite of products including Coinbase Pro for advanced traders and Coinbase Wallet for seamless asse...
Coinbase Global Inc. stands as a prominent player in the cryptocurrency landscape, offering a user-friendly platform that allows individuals and institutions to buy, sell, and store a variety of digital assets. Founded in 2012 by Brian Armstrong and Fred Ehrsam, Coinbase has rapidly evolved from a simple exchange into a comprehensive financial services provider in the crypto space. The company's mission revolves around making cryptocurrency accessible to everyone, which they achieve through intuitive technology and a commitment to regulatory compliance. With over 100 million users and a robust suite of products including Coinbase Pro for advanced traders and Coinbase Wallet for seamless asset management, the company caters to a diverse range of customer needs.
As an investor, the compelling narrative of Coinbase lies in its position as a bridge between traditional finance and the emerging world of digital currencies. The company has benefited from the explosive growth of cryptocurrencies, with revenues often driven by trading activities during market fluctuations. However, Coinbase faces challenges, including regulatory scrutiny and fierce competition from both established financial institutions and new startups. Despite this, its strong brand recognition, strategic partnerships, and continuous innovation suggest a promising future as it navigates an evolving market landscape. For investors seeking exposure to the digital economy, Coinbase represents not just an opportunity in cryptocurrency trading, but also a player in the broader transformation of financial services.
Coinbase Global Inc. operates primarily in the cryptocurrency and blockchain space and focuses on several core business segments:
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Retail Trading: This is one of the main revenue drivers for Coinbase. The platform allows individual users to buy, sell, and trade various cryptocurrencies. Retail services include features like the Coinbase app and web platform, which provide an intuitive interface for new and experienced traders. Coinbase typically earns transaction fees from retail trades.
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Institutional Trading: Coinbase has a separate platform tailored for institutional investors, which includes features like algorithmic trading and advanced reporting tools. This segment services hedge funds, family offices, and other institutional clients looking for a secure and compliant way to access the cryptocurrency market.
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Coinbase Earn: This segment allows users to earn cryptocurrency by completing educational modules about different projects and tokens. The program incentivizes users to learn about blockchain technologies while also providing a pathway for Coinbase to promote newly listed assets.
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Staking Services: Coinbase allows users to stake selected cryptocurrencies, which earns them rewards in the form of additional tokens. This involves locking up a certain amount of cryptocurrency to support the network's operations.
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Coinbase Wallet: Coinbase provides a non-custodial wallet that allows users to hold and manage their cryptocurrencies and NFTs independently of the Coinbase exchange. This segment enhances user engagement and offers additional services like decentralized finance (DeFi) and decentralized applications (DApps).
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Coinbase Commerce: This service enables businesses to accept cryptocurrency payments. It provides tools for merchants to integrate cryptocurrency transactions into their existing payment systems, expanding the usability of cryptocurrencies in everyday transactions.
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Data and Analytics: Coinbase also provides analytics services, leveraging its vast data on trading and market trends. This segment may cater to institutional investors, researchers, and other stakeholders interested in market insights.
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Coinbase Cloud: This expands Coinbase's offerings beyond just trading, providing blockchain solutions and tools for developers, including APIs and other development resources for building on blockchain protocols.
Coinbase has diversified its revenue streams by expanding into these segments, reflecting an ambition to be a comprehensive platform for all things related to cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology.
Coinbase Global Inc holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the cryptocurrency exchange and blockchain ecosystem:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Coinbase is one of the most recognizable names in the cryptocurrency space, which helps attract new users and build trust among existing customers. It was one of the first platforms to go public and has established a strong reputation for transparency and security.
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User-Friendly Interface: The platform is designed for ease of use, making it accessible for both beginners and experienced investors. Coinbase's intuitive interface simplifies the buying, selling, and trading of cryptocurrencies, appealing to a wider audience.
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Regulatory Compliance: Coinbase has prioritized regulatory compliance, which has allowed it to operate legally in multiple jurisdictions. This commitment to compliance distinguishes it from many competitors and builds trust with institutional investors.
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Diverse Product Offering: Beyond basic trading, Coinbase offers a range of products, including Coinbase Pro for advanced trading, staking options to earn rewards on holdings, and its own wallet service. This diverse ecosystem attracts different types of users—from casual investors to professional traders.
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Liquidity and Network Effects: As one of the largest cryptocurrency exchanges by volume, Coinbase benefits from high liquidity, enabling faster transactions and better pricing for its users. The large user base creates a network effect, making it more attractive for new users to join the platform.
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Insurance and Security Measures: Coinbase provides insurance for digital assets stored on its platform (up to a certain limit) and has implemented robust security measures. This mitigates some of the risks associated with cryptocurrency trading and attracts risk-averse users.
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Educational Resources: Coinbase has invested in educational initiatives to help users understand cryptocurrency and blockchain technology. This focus on education helps demystify the space for new investors, fostering larger adoption.
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Institutional Services: Coinbase has built a suite of services tailored for institutional clients, including custody solutions and trading services. This focus on institutional clients differentiates it from many competitors and allows access to large capital inflows.
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Innovative Technology and Integrations: The company continuously seeks to innovate and integrate new technologies, such as layer-2 scaling solutions and partnerships with DeFi platforms. This adaptability helps them stay relevant in a rapidly evolving market.
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Global Reach: Coinbase has expanded its services to various international markets, giving it a broader customer base compared to many competitors that may focus primarily on specific regions.
These advantages, combined with a strategic focus on compliance, security, and user experience, help position Coinbase favorably in the competitive landscape of the cryptocurrency market.
Coinbase Global Inc., as a leading cryptocurrency exchange, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Regulatory Scrutiny: The cryptocurrency industry is under increasing scrutiny by regulators worldwide. Changes in regulations or enforcement actions can impact Coinbase's operations, profitability, and market position.
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Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, which can affect trading volumes and revenues. A significant downturn in market prices may lead to reduced trading activity and lower transaction fees.
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Competition: The cryptocurrency exchange space is becoming increasingly crowded, with both established players and new entrants. Competition could lead to reduced market share and pressure on fees.
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Security Threats: Cybersecurity threats are a significant risk for cryptocurrency exchanges. Any security breaches or hacks could undermine user trust and lead to substantial financial losses.
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Technological Changes: The rapid pace of technological advancements in blockchain and fintech could render Coinbase’s existing business models or technologies obsolete. Keeping up with innovation requires ongoing investment.
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Customer Acquisition and Retention: As the market matures, acquiring new users and retaining existing ones could become more challenging. Customers may be drawn to platforms offering lower fees or superior user experiences.
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Global Economic Conditions: Economic factors such as inflation, interest rate changes, and macroeconomic stability can impact investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, influencing trading activity on Coinbase.
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Legal Risks: Potential lawsuits related to trading practices, compliance failures, or other operational aspects can create legal liabilities and reputational damage.
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Dependence on Third Parties: Coinbase relies on various third-party service providers for its operations, including banking services, cloud hosting, and payment processing. Disruptions from these partners could impact services.
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User Education and Awareness: The lack of understanding about cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology among potential users can limit market growth. Coinbase must invest in educational initiatives to enhance user trust and adoption.
In summary, while Coinbase has established itself as a leader in the cryptocurrency space, the company must navigate a complex landscape of risks and challenges to sustain its growth trajectory.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Coinbase Global Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Coinbase Global Inc
Current Assets | 286.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 7.7B |
Receivables | 602.1m |
Other Current Assets | 278.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 4.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 359.1m |
PP&E | 193m |
Intangibles | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.4B |
Current Liabilities | 277.6B |
Accounts Payable | 157.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 331.9m |
Other Current Liabilities | 277.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 4.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 11m |
Earnings Waterfall
Coinbase Global Inc
Revenue
|
5.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-706.2m
USD
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Gross Profit
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4.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.2B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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271.2m
USD
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Net Income
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1.6B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Coinbase Global Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, Coinbase reported total revenues of $1.2 billion, driven by diversification towards subscription services, expected to exceed $2 billion in 2024, up from $1.4 billion in 2023. Despite a decline in trading volume and transaction revenue down 27%, robust subscription growth and a 5% increase in USD resources to $8.2 billion signal financial strength. The launch of a $1 billion stock buyback program signifies commitment to shareholder value. Looking ahead, challenges include a projected 10% decline in Ethereum prices impacting Q4 revenues. However, strong growth in stablecoin transactions and product adoption provide optimism for future utility-driven revenue expansion.
What is Earnings Call?
COIN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Coinbase Global Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Coinbase Global Inc's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
COIN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Coinbase Global Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Coinbase Global Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
COIN Price Targets Summary
Coinbase Global Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for COIN is 264.85 USD with a low forecast of 166.65 USD and a high forecast of 420 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for COIN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
COIN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Coinbase Global, Inc. operates as a secure hosted bitcoin wallet to purchase and use bitcoin. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware and currently employs 3,730 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-04-14. The firm offers retail users the primary financial account for the crypto economy, institutions a marketplace with a liquidity for transacting in crypto assets, and ecosystem partners technology and services that enable them to build crypto-based applications and accept crypto assets as payment. The firm is engaged in building technology and financial infrastructure products and services that enable any person or business with an Internet connection to discover, transact, and engage with crypto assets and decentralized applications. The company offers Coinbase Prime, a one-stop shop for institutions to participate in the cryptoeconomy. Its Coinbase Prime combines advanced trading, custody, real-time market data and analytics, and financing products to help customers access and transact in crypto markets.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one COIN stock under the Base Case scenario is 109.75 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 304.64 USD, Coinbase Global Inc is Overvalued by 64%.