CME Group Inc
NASDAQ:CME

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CME Group Inc
NASDAQ:CME
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Price: 229.04 USD 1.09% Market Closed
Market Cap: 82.5B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CME stock under the Base Case scenario is 140.55 USD. Compared to the current market price of 229.04 USD, CME Group Inc is Overvalued by 39%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CME Intrinsic Value
140.55 USD
Overvaluation 39%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Valuation Backtest
CME Group Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

CME Group Inc. stands as a pivotal player in the global financial landscape, serving as the largest options and futures exchange in the world. Founded in 1898, the company began its journey as a modest market for agricultural commodities and has since transformed into a sophisticated trading hub that spans a vast array of asset classes, including interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, energy, and agricultural products. With a commitment to innovation, CME Group has embraced advanced technology to enhance trading efficiency and transparency, offering a suite of risk management solutions that cater to a diverse clientele ranging from institutional investors to individual traders. Th...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
CME Group Inc

Current Assets 103.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 2.4B
Receivables 629.4m
Other Current Assets 100.1B
Non-Current Assets 34.7B
PP&E 684.1m
Intangibles 30.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.4B
Current Liabilities 100.8B
Accounts Payable 129.9m
Accrued Liabilities 46.8m
Other Current Liabilities 100.6B
Non-Current Liabilities 8.8B
Long-Term Debt 2.7B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
CME Group Inc

Revenue
10.3B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.2B USD
Operating Income
8.1B USD
Other Expenses
-4.6B USD
Net Income
3.4B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
CME Group Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

CME Group achieved record quarterly revenue of nearly $1.6 billion, a notable 18% increase from the previous quarter. Net income also surged to $977 million, reflecting a 19% year-over-year rise. Key drivers included a 27% uptick in average daily trading volumes, especially in interest rate products, which grew 36%. The company saw a significant international boost, with EMEA volumes rising 30% and APAC by 28%. Adjusted operating margins reached 69.1%, up 260 basis points from last year. Looking ahead, the company has lowered its effective tax rate guidance to 22.5%-23% due to strong financial performance.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CME Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

CME Group Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Operating Income
Positive Net Income
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
59/100
Profitability
Score

CME Group Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CME Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

CME Group Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
Positive Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
62/100
Solvency
Score

CME Group Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CME Price Targets Summary
CME Group Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CME is 240.65 USD with a low forecast of 182.81 USD and a high forecast of 288.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
182.81 USD
20% Downside
Average
Price Target
240.65 USD
5% Upside
Highest
Price Target
288.75 USD
26% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
25
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CME is .

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Ownership

CME Insider Trading
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Profile

CME Group Inc Logo
CME Group Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Financial Services

Market Cap

82.4B USD

Dividend Yield

4.28%

Description

CME Group, Inc. operates a derivatives marketplace, which offers a range of futures and options products for risk management. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois and currently employs 3,480 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-12-06. The firm offers a range of products across interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange (FX), agricultural commodities, energy and metals. The company also offers cash and repo fixed income trading through BrokerTec, and cash and OTC FX trading through electronic broking services (EBS). The Company’s segment consists of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. (CME), Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. (CBOT), New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX), Commodity Exchange, Inc. (COMEX) and its cash markets business. In addition, it operates central counterparty clearinghouses. The firm offers clearing, settlement and guarantees for all products cleared through the clearinghouse. Its subsidiaries include Astley & Pearce Limited, Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc., BrokerTec Americas LLC, BrokerTec Europe Limited and BrokerTec Holdings Inc.

Contact

ILLINOIS
Chicago
20 S Wacker Dr
+13129301000.0
www.cmegroup.com

IPO

2002-12-06

Employees

3 480

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Mr. Terrence A. Duffy
Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Lynne Fitzpatrick
Senior MD & COO
Ms. Julie Holzrichter
Chief Information Officer
Mr. Sunil Cutinho
Senior MD & Global Head of Commodities Markets
Mr. Derek Sammann
Global Head of Fixed Income
Mr. Michael G. Dennis
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MD & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Jack Tobin
Managing Director of Investor Relations
Mr. John C. Peschier
Senior MD & General Counsel
Mr. Jonathan L. Marcus
Senior Managing Director of Corporate Marketing & Communications
Ms. Anita Liskey
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CME stock?

The intrinsic value of one CME stock under the Base Case scenario is 140.55 USD.

Is CME stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 229.04 USD, CME Group Inc is Overvalued by 39%.

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