Calumet Specialty Products Partners LP
NASDAQ:CLMT

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NASDAQ:CLMT
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q1

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Q1 2021 Calumet Specialty Products Partners, L.P. Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Brad McMurray of Investor Relations. Thank you. Please go ahead.

B
Brad McMurray
Investor Relations

Thanks, Elise. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on the call to discuss our first quarter results. I'm joined today by Steve Mawer, CEO; Todd Borgmann, CFO; Bruce Fleming, EVP, Montana Renewables and Corporate Development; Scott Obermeier, EVP, Specialty Products & Solutions; and Marc L., EVP, Performance Brands.

Before we proceed, allow me to remind everyone that during the course of this call, we may provide various forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the beliefs of our management as well as assumptions made by them and in each case based on the information currently available to them. Although our management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, neither the partnership, its general partner nor our management can provide any assurances that the expectations will prove correct. Please refer to the partnership's press release that was issued this morning as well as our latest filings with the SEC for a list of factors that may affect our results. We may also reference and discuss certain non-GAAP measures. Please see the earnings press release and slides for reconciliations to GAAP financial measures.

As a reminder, you may now download a PDF of the slides that will accompany the remarks made on today's call in the Investor Relations section of our website, www.calumetspecialty.com. A webcast replay of this call will be available on our website within a few hours. You can contact our Investor Relations department as needed for support.

With that, I'll pass the call to Steve. Steve?

S
Steve Mawer
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone, and thanks, Brad. It's good to have you on our team. Like pretty much everyone in similar lines of businesses and geographies, our first quarter results are dominated by a single onetime event, the impact of winter storm Uri and resulting production losses.

Our first quarter adjusted EBITDA was negative $5.4 million. Despite these challenges, our Performance Brands and our Specialty Products & Solutions segments maintained or improved unit margins despite the dramatic increase in crude prices during this quarter. This clearly continues to demonstrate our ability to minimize the impact of price volatility and continues the excellent work demonstrated by our team during 2020.

In late February, our Shreveport refinery was successfully and safely completing its largest turnaround in the decade. As we prepared for the restart, Uri bore down on Northwest Louisiana. A 10-day hard freeze created a humanitarian disaster for the Shreveport area with loss of municipal water, roads unpassable for most of that time, food shortages and power outages. I'll go into that detail to demonstrate the level of challenge presented to our teams at affected locations in Louisiana and Texas.

We're really proud and appreciative of our colleagues. They work long, long hours to fix hard freeze damage while contending with personal weather-driven challenges and in many cases, also helping their communities during this time of significant need. Nevertheless, the combined impact of repair costs and volume loss affected our first quarter by an excess of $30 million. A hard freeze on an entirely cold plant presents additional challenges and results in additional damage and additional diagnosis time.

Our forward-looking picture is as promising as it has been in many a year. Building on my comments on the last call, we continue to be able to sell everything we can make. Furthermore, the economy appears to have only strengthened, thanks to the vaccine rollout and the economy reopening. Back in late 2020, our team looked forward and termed 2021 as the year of the price increase. We expected stress on the input side via basic feedstock costs or supply chain disruptions and prepared accordingly. The reality was more pronounced than even we expected, but we've been able to minimize that impact.

Although like everyone, we have had at times needed to scramble to source materials and transportation, we've still been able to set records in our Performance Brands business, hitting our first million gallon TruFuel sales milestone in the month of January and maintained good unit margins in our Specialty Products & Solutions businesses.

Strategically, we continue to make good progress. Earlier this week, we launched the process to redeem $70 million of our 2022 unsecured notes. We also completed our business resegmentation process, recently filing an 8-K, providing investors more insight and transparency, and investor feedback about these actions has been very positive.

Progress on the Montana Renewables project is more than satisfactory. The process of derisking and beginning execution of the project is on track, and partner discussions are productive. Given the exceptional nature of this ultra-competitive project, Todd and I will get into it in more depth later in remarks, and Bruce will also be here for Q&A.

So with that, I'll hand over to Todd who will be taking you deeper into our results.

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Steve. Moving to Slide 4, I'll discuss our summary financial performance then we'll dive into the segments a bit further. As Steve mentioned, we lost $5.4 million in adjusted EBITDA during the quarter as we battled winter storm Uri. Our Specialty Products & Solutions segment bore the brunt of the storm, resulting in $2 million adjusted EBITDA loss. Performance Brands generated $16 million for the quarter, and Montana Renewables lost $2 million of adjusted EBITDA.

Additionally, costs from our Corporate segment were just over $17 million for the quarter, down from $20 million in the same period a year ago. This is the first quarterly earnings call where we've been able to report Specialty Products & Solutions, Performance Brands and Mountain Renewables as separate segments and we released an 8-K last week providing full year 2019 and 2020 results recast by segment.

Further, we've removed the mark-to-market impact of RINs from adjusted EBITDA, which aligns with the approach we've taken historically for all other noncash mark-to-market gains and losses. The goal of our reporting changes is to generate better financial, operational and strategic insight into our business and to display our businesses through the same lens that management uses.

On the last earnings call, I mentioned that we would be using the $70 million of proceeds from the Shreveport fuels terminal sale leaseback to pay down debt as soon as we got the Shreveport turnaround comfortably behind us. It took a little longer than originally planned given the freeze, but Shreveport is up and running 49,000 barrels a day of feed, and we launched that call process this week. The process of calling these notes will be complete in early June. Our liquidity did not change significantly during the first quarter, and we continue to have plenty of availability.

Moving to segment financial performance during the quarter. Let's turn to Slide 5 and discuss Specialty Products & Solutions. You already heard about the impact of the Shreveport turnaround in Uri, and the effects were most visible in this segment, as year-over-year production was down 47% in the quarter and early in the second quarter, we've been replenishing inventories throughout our supply chain.

Despite the challenging quarter, I want to point out the unit margins being generated in this business. Steve alluded to it earlier, the crude costs increased approximately 30% over the quarter, and we had to purchase higher-than-normal quantities of third-party finished materials, yet specialty material margin were up over the past two quarters. Material margin is an operational metric we've established in this segment to provide investors visibility into specialty margins, while also providing clear insight into the volatility that comes from fuels, asphalt and intermediates that are made as byproducts of the specialty production process. We did not receive much financial contribution from fuels in the first quarter, but future cracks are substantially improved from levels we've seen over the past 4 quarters.

On Slide 6, you'll see more detail underlying the strong growth in our Performance Brands business, and we are excited to now be providing this segment on a stand-alone basis. We produced $16 million of adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, which is stronger than the 2020 quarterly average despite a favorable feedstock environment in the middle of last year. Further, the first quarter is traditionally a weaker one and compared to Q1 of 2020, the segment's adjusted EBITDA was up 51%.

In January, we had our first million-gallon month of TruFuel sales. And to support growing demand for the brand, we kicked off a small growth project to expand our packaging capacity for larger quantity cans. TruFuel gets a lot of attention, but it is not the only story in this division. Part of the increased adjusted gross profit on a unit basis is mix related and comes from growth in high-margin Royal Purple and Delray sales throughout the quarter. We're very pleased with the growth we're seeing across all 3 of the iconic brands in this business.

Let's turn to Slide 7. Our $2 million adjusted EBITDA loss in Montana Renewables was down $8.4 million versus last quarter. Typical seasonality in the asphalt business, combined with the rapid increase in crude price, accounted for the majority of this difference. PADD 4 has always been a great place to be a refiner with plenty of seasonality. And given recent improvement in cracks, asphalt and WCS disk, we're excited to be moving into the spring and summer months.

Let's flip to Slide 8 and talk more about our Montana Energy transition project. First, let me start by saying that we have an awesome team in Great Falls, and we expect to keep full employment at the site as we convert the refinery. To explain how, I'll provide a short history of this plant at Calumet.

In 2012, Calumet purchased a 10,000 barrel a day niche specialty asphalt refinery. In 2016, the company spent $450 million installing an oversized hydrocracker and meddling up the plant with 317L stainless steel in order to run discounted highly acidic feedstocks. Last quarter, we announced the energy transition project, which will convert the same hydrocracker into renewable diesel service, leaving behind the original plant to operate as it used to, albeit in the metaled up and improved state.

As I mentioned, the hydrocracker is oversized and already contains the metal needed to process highly acidic renewable feedstocks. From here, we can simply change the catalyst, convert some tanks, expand dewatering and we'll be in service. We plan to make this catalyst change in April of '22, and we'll be producing 5,000 barrels a day of renewable diesel thereafter.

Internally, we think of this as the first module. It's straightforward, utilizes the existing equipment and gets us the market extremely quickly. After this module is complete, the hydrocracker still is way underutilized. Remember, today, this unit produces over 15,000 barrels a day of diesel fuel and has a nameplate capacity of 24,000 barrels a day. But our existing hydrogen plant will be maxed out at 5,000 barrels a day mark.

So the second module is constructing a renewable hydrogen plant to unleash more capacity. This second phase gets us to 10,000 barrels a day of renewable diesel production in the second half of '22. The renewable hydrogen will significantly lower the carbon intensity of the product, thus improving overall economics of the project.

So on the feed, which is a question we get asked most about, we expect to start out next spring on soy because it's the fastest lowest risk track. Discussions with suppliers are ongoing, and we are evaluating offers, while at the same time, balancing strategic partner interest and allowing for feedstock flexibility.

Adding pretreatment to provide max feedstock flexibility is the third module. It's one that clearly adds tremendous value and flexibility, and it can be done relatively quickly. Another benefit is that non-soy feedstock can be sourced locally. To be clear, all investor materials provided to date, assuming exclusively soy economics, which are by far the most conservative.

I'm going to turn it over to Steve to add a little more about the project and wrap up, but I'd summarize the project, both internally and externally, as something that is moving quickly with great enthusiasm. The state of Montana is business-friendly, and this project is great for the local area. We have an existing facility with the right geography, equipment and logistics that set us apart on capital costs and speed to market. And we're currently evaluating supply and offtake contracts that we're balancing with strategic partnership discussions.

Steve, back to you.

S
Steve Mawer
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Todd. So let's turn to Slide 9 with our summary and outlook. As you can see and Todd talked about, we made significant progress on the Montana Renewables project, both in terms of speed to market and further verification of its exceptional position as a leading RD conversion project.

At the very highest level, the best derisking of any investment is to have an asset that performs well through any and all cycles, and we believe that the Montana project certainly does that. The project competes either as a stand-alone renewables project or as a dual conventional renewable train where the conventional site can provide an additional count to cyclical high cash flow risk minimum.

Over the short term, we further derisked by high speed to market at low capital investment. Over the medium term, we derisk through our modular approach to implementation, which makes the execution easier and cheaper and spread out the investment on ramp over time. Finally, our existing metallurgy means that the transition to multi-feed processing appears to be immediately practical, if not inevitable, and that's at low cost and in pretty short order.

Based on the very significant interest in partnering with us, we're also comfortable that we have substantial external recognition that we have a top-notch project. Pretty much all the projects that sit just behind us on the competitive stack are proprietary within existing corporations and will not be available to direct investors. So partnering with Montana Renewables is a unique offering, and that uniqueness has been recognized.

Building and closing the right partnerships for this project is proceeding nicely. We really appreciate the investments and analyst interest in this process, but at the same time, I doubt the process will be best served by Twitter like updates of exactly where we are. We remain focused on creating as much value for the unitholders of Calumet as possible.

In that light, playing the game with all our cards face up on the table, although it's a lot more interesting for the audience, is not medium-term value maximizing. It may frustrate people, it may lose us some short-term special situations investors, but to build on the card game analogy, this will be much more like a game of gin rummy than a game of bridge. There's a path of significant unitholder value here, and that's best served by focus on completing the partnership process and then there will be time for communications. Rest assured, we're moving forward with appropriate haste, not excessive pace, but with the motivation that this opportunity is central to completing positioning Calumet on an exciting forward trajectory and, therefore, this is our greatest priority behind the safe operation of our plants.

Moving on more generally on outlook. The bulk of Uri disruption is behind us, although on select product lines, we're still rebuilding operating inventories and finishing the stabilization of our supply chains. More generally, like all of you, we're excited about the reopening of our economy and the level of intense demand response that we are experiencing. We ask ourselves if, how and when this eases, but in the meantime, this brings benefits to us in both demand and margins across our entire product line, both specialties and fuels. The cost and efficiency measures we implemented in 2020, together with our decision to not make distressed asset sales during the pandemic, should give us additional operating leverage to this upside situation.

Additional crude prices were eminently possible. And although the second half of 2020 and the first quarter show that generally, we're able to mitigate the price lag effect that you can see in specialties, this issue will require continuous vigilance.

The other challenge that comes with strong economic activity is that supply chain issues also don't look like they're going away. We started prioritizing this issue back in 2020, building more system redundancy and options, but a big part of managing this is the real-time response of our dedicated and hard-working team who do great work every day making things happen for Calumet and our customers.

That concludes our remarks. Thank you very much for joining us today. And thank you for your interest in and support of Calumet. So with that, I'd like to turn the call over to the operator to open up the line to Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Gregg Brody with Bank of America.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Hopefully, you can hear me okay.

S
Steve Mawer
Chief Executive Officer

We can.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Maybe I could just start just a follow-up on the renewables project. You've laid out a path for -- it looks like by April of next year, after the catalyst change, you'll have 5,000 of capacity and 10,000 by the second half. How -- will refinery have to go offline before the April '22 catalyst change to prepare for that first phase?

B
Bruce Fleming

Gregg, it's Bruce. The answer is no. April is a scheduled refinery-wide turnaround, that's what makes it the right time to get into the hydrocracker for the catalyst switch and final separation of the oil moving activities on the site, but there's no pre-shut down.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Got it. And this quarter, the Montana refinery look to be a bit weaker than a year ago. I see you mentioned the Canadian diffs being a driver. Maybe you can walk us a little bit through what you expect out of that business going for the rest of this year and where we could see some improvements in margin?

B
Bruce Fleming

Yes. So Gregg, one of the reasons we put the Rockies crack spread environment into the slide deck is to highlight that this is within -- easily within the range of normal market volatility. The refinery ran full through this quarter, and it's simply external price environment. There's no trends to that. The chart we put in shows a $40 crack spread environment generally in the Rockies. And I can tell you, if you extended that chart back for 13 years, you get the same $40, no trend line. So that's the external condition, but you're going to see a lot of volatility to it. And I think that's all that we are experiencing.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Do you think it's fair that -- is this refinery experiencing recovery that others are experiencing right now? I see that cracks up, but I just would have thought that quarter would have been a little better in that particular business. You mentioned volatility, but I guess, is that abating -- what are you seeing through the first month of the year?

B
Bruce Fleming

Yes. Yes. I think if you pull the price series that you guys use in your model, you're going to find it's ticked up sharply just in the last 6 weeks. That's a portion of normal seasonal component and a portion of the commodities complex lifting. We do have the WCS diff moving favorably toward us, but still below WCS differential average, historically.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Got it. And then coming back to Specialty Products & Solutions where I think we saw the majority of the $30 million impact this quarter. Has that

-- is there any residual this quarter? Or is it all behind us?

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

The plant is up and running, Gregg. This is Todd. Thanks for the question. The plants are up and running now, have been running fairly well this quarter. We did have a little bit of inventory rebuilding and supply chain building in April. So probably a little bit of delay early in the quarter getting all those sales out to the customers and recognized. But the good news is, we are up and running fully. And as of May here, should be recognizing full quarters.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Got it. So this quarter, we'll have some impact, but sounds like you've got to...

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we'll see how much we can make up. We're producing as hard as we can and strong demand out there, have quite a backlog of orders. So we're not expecting just to get inventories replenished. We're going to keep oil moving out the door as fast as we can. But it'll take a couple of months to work through that whole process.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Okay. And I've got one more here before I hop back in the queue. So obviously, the Supreme Court argument started last week with respect to the small refinery exemption case that we're waiting anxiously to get results from. In the event that -- obviously, if this premium quarter reverses it, that's great for you. But if they don't, if they maintain the ruling, how does that play out with respect to your options for -- from that point in terms of having to pay it? And can you talk about how you would have to fund it, if it did, if they really won against you?

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

Well, Gregg, I think there's like -- there's multiple questions in there with kind of hypothetical building on hypothetical. So I think the...

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

Just to make it simple because, I mean, the simple question is, if you have this liability, if the ruling move against you, how do you deal with that liability? Is there cash that you need to post sooner than later? Are there appeals there? I recognize, in case -- I'm just trying to understand how to think about that liability.

B
Bruce Fleming

Gregg, it's Bruce. Remember, RINs are not money, RINs are a quantity of demonstrated blending. And none of these are due yet. The EPA has extended all of the timelines. So there's a long road and there is a nest of court activity besides the narrow one around HollyFrontier that's in front of the Supreme Court. So I think it's not bimodal as you posit it. I guess it's a ticket. And we see a couple of ways through, but I might direct you to the fact that the renewable diesel project more than covers the issue that you're bringing up.

G
Gregg Brody
Bank of America

And I appreciate that. I'm just wondering if there is a cash need in between the time that comes online and...

B
Bruce Fleming

Gregg, we don't believe that's the case. I think whatever the Supreme Court rules, it's just the beginning. Even though the Supreme Court would appear to be the final voice, it's just the beginning of the process both ways.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.

N
Neil Mehta
Goldman Sachs

First question is just on gross margins at the specialty products business. They seemed pretty durable in the first quarter despite the rising crude price environment. Can you just talk to us about how do you think about those gross margin sustainability if oil prices continue to grind higher?

S
Scott Obermeier
EVP, Specialty Products & Solutions

Neil, Scott Obermeier. Thanks for the question. I would probably make a few comments and -- to your question. The first would be, as you know, Neil, we've talked a little bit about it the past year or 2. We've been really focused commercially on improving our skills and our mindset on extracting the full value and implementing pricing and various commercial excellence activities. And so I think that the team has come a long way the past couple of years. I think that's shown in our results, Neil. And we've been thrust tested, if you will, last year, as crude spiked up in the Q1.

And so we feel that the business is resilient. Demand is strong, and we've got the right execution in place to handle, frankly, any type of feedstock volatility or market volatility at this time.

S
Steve Mawer
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, Neil, this is Steve, if I could add. I mean so we've written the market from minus $40 to plus $65 on crude with reasonable success so far. Demand remains good. I think -- so I think we're comfortable with our macro ability, like Scott said, to manage it. And then there's always going to be some mix effect at the margin. And I think we think between Q1 and Q4, the mix effect was kind of neutral. There were some positives to mix and negatives to the mix, but I really think that kind of the macro works and then occasionally, there's some mix noise around it.

N
Neil Mehta
Goldman Sachs

I appreciated your comments around Shreveport and, hopefully, your team was able to stay safe and make it through the strong. In your -- and as we think about the 1Q EBITDA at Specialties, it was obviously softer than expected, largely because of volumes. Can you talk about what the lost opportunity profit was from the downtime if you have that number?

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. I think -- this is Todd. We said the freeze costs us $30 million. Turnaround probably cost us $10 million on top of that and mostly in lost opportunities. So we haven't broken it out specifically. We have internally between lost opportunity and actual specific volume charges. But I think it'd be fair to say $25 million, $30 million of that is -- well, I shouldn't say that. It's lost volume. There's another $10 million on top of that, that's roughly lost opportunity.

N
Neil Mehta
Goldman Sachs

So $35 million to $40 million, that's a pretax number?

T
Todd Borgmann
Chief Financial Officer

Correct. EBITDA.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And at this time, there are no further questions. I would now like to turn the call back over to Brad McMurray for any closing remarks.

B
Brad McMurray
Investor Relations

Thank you, everybody, for your time. Have a good weekend. Goodbye.

Operator

That does conclude today's conference. We thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.