Chesapeake Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CHK
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CHK stock under the Base Case scenario is 100.52 USD. Compared to the current market price of 85.66 USD, Chesapeake Energy Corp is Undervalued by 15%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Chesapeake Energy Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Chesapeake Energy Corporation, founded in 1989, has established itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil industry, primarily focusing on the exploration and production of these vital resources in the United States. Over the years, the company has adeptly navigated the fluctuating energy market, leveraging its vast reserves and cutting-edge technology to extract value from unconventional resources, particularly in the prolific areas of the Marcellus and Haynesville shale formations. With a commitment to maximizing shareholder value, Chesapeake has emphasized a disciplined capital allocation strategy, guiding its operations with a focus on both profitability and environmental stewards...
Chesapeake Energy Corporation, founded in 1989, has established itself as a key player in the natural gas and oil industry, primarily focusing on the exploration and production of these vital resources in the United States. Over the years, the company has adeptly navigated the fluctuating energy market, leveraging its vast reserves and cutting-edge technology to extract value from unconventional resources, particularly in the prolific areas of the Marcellus and Haynesville shale formations. With a commitment to maximizing shareholder value, Chesapeake has emphasized a disciplined capital allocation strategy, guiding its operations with a focus on both profitability and environmental stewardship. This approach has positioned the company as a competitive force, committed to sustainable practices while adapting to the increasing demand for cleaner energy.
In recent years, Chesapeake has undergone significant transformations, including a restructuring aligned with macroeconomic trends and shifting market dynamics. This includes a relentless push towards operational efficiency and cost reduction, ensuring the company remains resilient amid price volatility and global energy shifts. Investors looking at Chesapeake will find a company with a strong balance sheet, proactive in reducing debt through strategic asset sales, and focused on enhancing its free cash flow generation. Furthermore, as the energy sector increasingly leans towards renewable sources, Chesapeake is making strides in diversifying its portfolio while remaining firmly rooted in its natural gas and oil heritage. Overall, Chesapeake Energy Corp presents a compelling opportunity for investors, marrying the potential for growth with a pragmatic approach to navigating the complex energy landscape.
Chesapeake Energy Corporation is primarily engaged in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company operates primarily in the United States and is known for its focus on unconventional natural gas and oil reserves. Here are the core business segments:
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Exploration and Production (E&P):
- Natural Gas: Chesapeake has a significant focus on natural gas, particularly from shale formations. The company has operations in key basins such as the Marcellus Shale, Haynesville Shale, and the Barnett Shale.
- Oil: While historically focused on natural gas, Chesapeake has diversified into oil production, especially in favorable market conditions. This shift has increased its oil output significantly, capitalizing on higher oil prices when gas prices may be lower.
- NGLs (Natural Gas Liquids): The company also produces NGLs, which include ethane, propane, butane, and other liquid hydrocarbons, contributing to its overall production mix.
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Asset Management:
- Chesapeake manages and optimizes its asset portfolio, which includes upstream assets (like wells and production facilities) and midstream services (such as transportation and processing of hydrocarbons). This segment focuses on maximizing the value of its existing resources.
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Land and Mineral Rights:
- The company controls significant land holdings and mineral rights that support its exploration and production activities. This segment is vital for acquiring new drilling opportunities and enhancing its resource base.
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Environmental and Regulatory Compliance:
- As part of its operational strategy, Chesapeake emphasizes compliance with environmental regulations and sustainable practices. This segment involves ensuring that all operations meet regulatory requirements and uphold environmental stewardship.
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Technology and Innovation:
- Chesapeake invests in technology to improve extraction techniques, enhance operational efficiency, and reduce costs. This includes advancements in drilling technology and data analytics for optimizing production.
Chesapeake Energy's strategic focus on these core business segments positions it to adapt to market dynamics and leverage its assets effectively in the competitive energy industry. Its ongoing efforts to balance natural gas and oil production while maintaining regulatory compliance are crucial for its long-term sustainability and profitability.
Chesapeake Energy Corp, a leading player in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Asset Diversification: Chesapeake has a diverse portfolio of natural gas and oil assets across various regions in the United States. This geographic diversification helps mitigate risks associated with localized market fluctuations and regulatory changes.
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Operational Expertise: The company has significant expertise in the development of shale resources, particularly in the Marcellus and Haynesville Basins. This technical proficiency allows Chesapeake to maximize recovery rates and minimize costs associated with drilling and production.
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Strong Infrastructure: Chesapeake has developed a robust infrastructure for transporting and processing natural gas and oil, which enhances its ability to bring products to market efficiently and reduces operational bottlenecks.
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Cost Structure: The company has focused on streamlining operations to lower its cost structure. Efficient drilling techniques and capital allocation strategies allow Chesapeake to maintain competitive pricing, even when market conditions are challenging.
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Strategic Joint Ventures and Partnerships: Chesapeake has engaged in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that bolster its financial and operational capabilities. These collaborations can enhance resource access, improve technology sharing, and provide additional financial leverage.
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Strong Balance Sheet and Financial Resilience: As of its latest financials, Chesapeake has worked towards improving its balance sheet by reducing debt and enhancing liquidity. This financial stability positions the company to withstand market downturns better than some of its peers.
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Emphasis on Sustainability: Chesapeake has made strides towards safer and more sustainable energy production. By investing in technologies that reduce carbon emissions and water usage, the company aligns itself with the growing emphasis on environmental responsibility, which can resonate well with both consumers and investors.
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Market Knowledge and Relationships: A long-standing presence in the industry has allowed Chesapeake to build strong relationships with landowners, regulatory bodies, and other stakeholders. These relationships can lead to better negotiation outcomes and smoother regulatory approvals.
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Technological Innovation: The company continues to invest in and adopt new technologies, such as advanced drilling techniques and data analytics, to improve efficiency and optimize production. Staying ahead in technology can lead to significant competitive advantages in cost reduction and output maximization.
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Market Position and Brand Recognition: As one of the prominent names in the energy sector, Chesapeake benefits from brand recognition and trust, which can lead to better negotiating power and partnerships in the industry.
These competitive advantages position Chesapeake Energy Corp as a formidable player in the energy sector, enabling it to compete effectively against its rivals.
Chesapeake Energy Corp, like many companies in the oil and gas sector, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some of the key risks:
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Commodity Price Volatility: The prices of oil and natural gas are highly volatile and influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and market speculation. A significant drop in commodity prices could adversely affect Chesapeake's revenues and profitability.
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Regulatory Risks: The energy sector is subject to extensive regulation at both federal and state levels. Regulatory changes affecting environmental standards, drilling permits, and land use can pose challenges and increase compliance costs.
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Environmental Concerns and Climate Change: Increasing scrutiny over environmental impacts, including greenhouse gas emissions, can lead to stricter regulations and a shift in public sentiment towards renewable energy sources. This may impact Chesapeake's operations and strategic direction.
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Operational Risks: Chesapeake's operations involve significant technical and operational challenges, including drilling risks, equipment failures, and safety incidents. Such challenges can lead to operational delays and increased costs.
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Debt Levels: As with many companies in the industry, high levels of debt can create financial strain, especially in a low-price environment. Managing debt levels and ensuring liquidity can be a significant concern.
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Competition: The energy sector is highly competitive, with both large integrated oil companies and smaller independent producers. Competitive pressures can impact market share and pricing strategies.
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Technological Changes: Advancements in extraction and production technologies could alter cost structures or industry dynamics. Companies that cannot adapt may find themselves at a competitive disadvantage.
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Market Demand Changes: Fluctuations in demand for oil and natural gas, driven by economic conditions, alternative energy advancements, and changes in consumer behavior, can impact revenues. The transition to renewable energy sources may also reduce long-term demand for fossil fuels.
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Geopolitical Risks: Political instability in oil-producing regions and trade disputes can affect supply chains and pricing. Chesapeake must navigate these external factors that can impact its business operations.
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COVID-19 and Global Economic Uncertainty: Lingering effects from the pandemic, including potential economic slowdowns or changes in energy consumption patterns, can lead to unpredictable challenges for the industry.
In summary, Chesapeake Energy Corp must navigate a complex landscape filled with both inherent risks associated with the energy sector and broader economic and regulatory challenges. Effective risk management strategies and adaptive planning will be essential for the company's success moving forward.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Chesapeake Energy Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chesapeake Energy Corp
Current Assets | 2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1B |
Receivables | 350m |
Other Current Assets | 644m |
Non-Current Assets | 11.6B |
PP&E | 10B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.6B |
Current Liabilities | 931m |
Accounts Payable | 274m |
Accrued Liabilities | 330m |
Other Current Liabilities | 327m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 286m |
Earnings Waterfall
Chesapeake Energy Corp
Revenue
|
4.9B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
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-1.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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3.8B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
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-3.4B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
419m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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19m
USD
|
Net Income
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438m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chesapeake Energy Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In its third quarter of 2024, Expand Energy reported significant operational achievements, producing 6.75 Bcfe per day. Looking ahead, the company aims for a 2025 target of 7 Bcfe daily with a $2.7 billion capital plan, reflecting a 120% production increase over Chesapeake’s previous levels. Early integration synergies are expected at $500 million annually, 25% higher than before. Expand Energy's capital efficiency aims to reduce spending while maximizing output, supported by a solid balance sheet and a commitment to maintain a $500 million base dividend amidst fluctuating market conditions.
What is Earnings Call?
CHK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Chesapeake Energy Corp's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Chesapeake Energy Corp's profitability score is 69/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CHK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Chesapeake Energy Corp's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Chesapeake Energy Corp's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CHK Price Targets Summary
Chesapeake Energy Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHK is 97.53 USD with a low forecast of 78.78 USD and a high forecast of 126 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CHK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
Chesapeake Energy Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration and development of properties for the production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma and currently employs 1,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-02-09. The company is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) from underground reservoirs. The company owns a diverse portfolio of onshore United States unconventional natural gas and liquids assets, including interests in approximately 8,200 gross oil and natural gas wells. Its natural gas resource plays are Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania (Marcellus) and the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana (Haynesville) and the liquids-rich resource play in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas (Eagle Ford). Its liquids-rich resource play in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas (Eagle Ford). Its marketing operations include oil, natural gas and NGL marketing services, including commodity price structuring, negotiating of gathering, hauling, and processing and transportation services.
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The intrinsic value of one CHK stock under the Base Case scenario is 100.52 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 85.66 USD, Chesapeake Energy Corp is Undervalued by 15%.